SLIDE 1
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions Brexit: What happened? What now? Dr Thomas J. Leeper 13 March 2018 Research funded by ESRC UK in a Changing Europe Initiative
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Brexit: What happened? What now?
Dr Thomas J. Leeper
13 March 2018 Research funded by ESRC UK in a Changing Europe Initiative
SLIDE 4
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
About Me
Associate Professor at LSE (since 2015) Postdoc at Aarhus University (2012–2015) PhD from Northwestern University (2012)
SLIDE 5
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 6
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
1
Background and Campaign
2
The Result
3
What Now?
SLIDE 7
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
1
Background and Campaign
2
The Result
3
What Now?
SLIDE 8
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
“If there was a referendum on your country’s membership of the EU, how would you vote?”
Source: YouGov, July 2015
SLIDE 9
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Source: Ipsos MORI
SLIDE 10
SLIDE 11
SLIDE 12
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 13
SLIDE 14
SLIDE 15
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 16
SLIDE 17
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 18
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
1
Background and Campaign
2
The Result
3
What Now?
SLIDE 19
SLIDE 20
SLIDE 21
SLIDE 22
SLIDE 23
SLIDE 24
SLIDE 25
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 26
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 27
SLIDE 28
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 29
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 30
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 31
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 32
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 33
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
1
Background and Campaign
2
The Result
3
What Now?
SLIDE 34
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 35
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Summarising Trends in One Word
SLIDE 36
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Summarising Trends in One Word
Stability!
SLIDE 37
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Source: NatCen Social Research (What UK Thinks)
SLIDE 38
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Source: NatCen Social Research (What UK Thinks)
SLIDE 39
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Stability! Except...
SLIDE 40
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Source: NatCen Social Research (What UK Thinks)
SLIDE 41
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Source: NatCen Social Research (What UK Thinks)
SLIDE 42
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
What do voters want?
SLIDE 43
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
What do voters want?
1 Immigration/freedom of movement 2 Jurisdiction of the ECJ 3 Rights of EU (UK) citizens in UK (EU) 4 ‘Divorce bill’ 5 Ongoing payments to EU budget 6 Trade agreement 7 Northern Ireland border 8 Timeline for implementation
SLIDE 44
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 45
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 46
SLIDE 47
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 48
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 49
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Do you think leaving the European Union will have a positive or negative effect on Britain?
SLIDE 50
SLIDE 51
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 52
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 53
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Conclusions
SLIDE 54
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Conclusions
Leave voters were older, more rural, less education, and opposed to rising immigration
SLIDE 55
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Conclusions
Leave voters were older, more rural, less education, and opposed to rising immigration Remain voters were younger, more urban, more likely to have attended university
SLIDE 56
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Conclusions
Leave voters were older, more rural, less education, and opposed to rising immigration Remain voters were younger, more urban, more likely to have attended university Voters divided on what they want from Brexit and views of what impact it will have
SLIDE 57
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
Conclusions
Leave voters were older, more rural, less education, and opposed to rising immigration Remain voters were younger, more urban, more likely to have attended university Voters divided on what they want from Brexit and views of what impact it will have Britain is leaving the EU, but the type of Brexit remains unknown
SLIDE 58
Background and Campaign The Result What Now? Conclusions
SLIDE 59