Attendance Boundary Modification (ABM) for 2016-2017 School Year - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Planning for Growth: Attendance Boundary Modification (ABM) for 2016-2017 School Year

DECEMBER 7, 2015

Presentation Team

Speakers:

• Tom Gunnell, Chief Operations Officer, Katy ISD
• Dr. Shelby McIntosh, Vice President of Research, K-12 Insight
• Dr. Kris Pool, Attorney & Chief Data Analyst, Population and Survey Analysts

Resources:

• Dr. Andrea Grooms, Chief Officer, Communications, Governmental Relations, &

Administrative Support

• Dr. Steve Robertson, Assistant Superintendent for Instructional and

Administrative Support – Area 1

• Scott Dunlap, Energy Management Coordinator/Demographics Assistant, Katy

ISD

• Jim Faron, GIS Specialist, Katy ISD
• Lisa Kassman, Project Manager, Katy ISD

Presentation Goals

Overview of growth and ABM process Review of ABM feedback Boundary recommendations

• 3 new schools
• Relief for 2 landlocked schools

Three Scenarios of Growth

60,000 65,000 70,000 75,000 80,000 85,000 90,000 95,000 100,000 105,000 110,000 2011 2016 2025

High Growth 2020 – 88,937 2025 – 105,025 Moderate Growth 2020 – 86,422 2025 – 98,910 Low Growth 2020 – 84,227 2025 – 93,727

Enrollment

Pr Projected

• jected

New Hous New Housing ing Occupancies Occupancies August ugust 2015 2015 to to October October 2020 2020

Pr Projected

• jected

New Hous New Housing ing Occupancies Occupancies October 202 October 2020 to to October October 2025 2025

Pr Projected

• jected

New Hous New Housing ing Occupancies Occupancies August ugust 2015 2015 to to October October 2020 2020

ES 2016 Opening ES 2017 Opening JH 2016 Opening HS 2017 Opening JH 2017 Opening

2014 Bond: New Schools

Overview

• An ABM is necessary for SY 2016-2017 due to the opening of 2 elementary schools

and 1 junior high school.

• The District has used an effective and efficient ABM process for the past few years.
• The ABM recommendations are crafted collaboratively with District Administration

and Population and Survey Analysts (PASA).

• The process provides a robust feedback loop through surveys and direct

communication.

• The District and PASA also examined options for any campus projected to be at

125% or more of capacity and no future planned relief school.

Public Input Criteria for Change Once Recommendation Made

What it IS

Meet school capacity Keep developmental sections within LUZ together when possible Enrollment projections/demographic data over next five years Stabilizing as many attendance zones as possible Balance enrollment numbers between neighboring schools Input from the community that meets established criteria Minimize impact of future boundary changes

What it is NOT

Distance to schools-time spent on bus Socio-economic Number of times boundaries changed in the past Grandfathering Maintain feeder patterns based on historical patterns Allegedly lowering of property values Developer or Realtor promises/statements of guarantee Name of subdivision or LUZ

ABM Public Workshop 11/15/11

(Established 11/19/2008)

ABM Timeline

July 2015:

• 20th: Discussion on ABM scope with Board
• Oct. 2015:
• 26th: Demographic update
• Nov. 2015:
• 16th: Preliminary ABM recommendation at Work Study
• 18th-Dec. 2nd: ABM public feedback and survey
• Dec. 2015:
• 7th: ABM recommendation taken to Board for discussion/action

Milestones Dependent on ABM Decision

Date Milestone January Principal meets with impacted LUZ parents Jan 9 Projected numbers provided by grade level Jan 12-Jan 23 Run data through campus ratios to project staffing numbers Jan 26-Mar 7 H.R. meetings with campuses March School name selected Mar 3-Mar 6 New campus principal interviews teachers at affected campuses Mar 21-Mar 28 Board approval of staffing Mar 29-Apr 19 Determine teachers that need to be reassigned April Submit mascot/logo for trademark review April 23 Katy ISD Teacher Fair May 30 Geo coded student information for transportation June 3 School is out and district will lose access to staff

• Online survey
• 8,895 Online responses
• Phone line
• 43 Calls taken
• Email
• 47 Emails

Feedback Summary

West Memorial Elementary (WME) and Nottingham Country Elementary (NCE)

• Option 1

– Immediate and long term relief provided to WME – Provides greatest enrollment balance to WME and NCE – NCE maintains autism programs – WME projected at 752 students next year, down from 897 currently

• Option 2

– Significant relief provided for WME but will need to be reviewed over the next couple of years – Cimarron Elementary (CE ) will also receive students to provide relief to WME – Minimal impact on student programs at NCE – WME projected at 820 students next year, down from 897 currently

• Next Steps – Either Option

– Itinerant staff housed at NCE will be relocated – Make NCE classroom modifications as necessary – Traffic study to be conducted to address potential problems with additional students – Students slated to be moved in this recommendation will be eligible for transportation

Communications

November 2015

• Social media postings, eNews and website information outlining the proposed

ABM scenarios November 18 - December 2, 2015

• Survey on proposed ABM scenarios for providing an enrollment balance (public

feedback also available through email, phone and in person via the PPAC) December 8, 2015

• eNews, principal eNews communication to schools impacted by modified ABMs,

social media, press release, and website update to all parents and community members explaining any modifications to existing ABM scenarios as a result of the December 7 Board Work Study Meeting.

Communications (c (cont.)

December 14, 2015 (following the Board Meeting)

• Press release to media, and eNews to parents and all community members

regarding Board decision on approved ABM scenarios

• Website updated to reflect approved ABM
• Social media postings showing the approved ABM

December 17, 2015

• Principal eNews communications to parents in schools impacted regarding the

approved ABM December 18, 2015

• Backpack letter home to affected elementary parents notifying them of the

approved ABM January 2016 – February 2016

• Letters mailed home to all families impacted by the approved ABMs

Attendance Boundary Modification (ABM): Survey Results & Analysis

Presented by K-12 Insight December 7, 2015

• November 18 – December 2, 2015

Details of the Study

• K12 Insight emailed individual invitations with survey links to parents and community members. Individuals who

contacted the district or K12 Insight because they had not received an email invitation were given a link to participate in the survey. The survey could also be accessed via a public URL posted on the district’s website. Paper surveys were available on request, and the survey was also available in Spanish.

• The survey was open from November 18 to December 2. Reminders were sent to those who had not yet taken

the survey on November 25, 30, and December 2.

• This report summarizes survey results. Results do not reflect random sampling; therefore, they should not be

generalized to all members of the Katy ISD community. Rather, results reflect only the perceptions and opinions

• f survey participants.
• Findings for each item in the report exclude participants who did not answer. In charts and graphs, data labels

less than 5 percent are not shown.

Purpose of the Study

• Katy ISD’s mission is to work with families and our community to provide students with unparalleled learning
• experiences. To that end, the District shared information about upcoming Attendance Boundary Modification

proposals that are intended to provide long-range solutions to managing student enrollment growth. Successful ABMs are achieved through campus capacity reductions, capacity increases or a combination of both.

• Each year, the District engages in studies of growth, development, and school and program enrollment capacity

projections conducted by Population and Survey Analysts (PASA). On October 26, 2015, new enrollment projections were presented to the Katy ISD Board of Trustees. The study estimates continued growth for Katy ISD, particularly in the northwest and southwest quadrants, with the addition of more than 47,000 new housing units (multi-family and single family) during the next 10 years.

• The primary purpose of this survey was to gather information about how families may be impacted by the

ABM proposals and to gauge support for each proposal. The survey also shared information about how growth is being addressed by Katy ISD through the ABM processes. The data from this survey will be used as a part of a broader conversation with the Katy ISD Board of Trustees.

Participation

Responding Group Number of Invitations Delivered Number of Responses via Emailed Invitations Number of Responses via Public URL Total Number of Responses All 74,987 8,162 733 8,895

356 survey participants indicated that they own a business within Katy ISD.

9% 74% 10% 8% Community members Parents Employees who are also parents Employees

Participant Profile

Please select the region of the District in which you reside: (N=8,625)

How long have you lived in the District? (N=8,549) 48% 11% 32% 9% Southwest quadrant Northwest quadrant Southeast quadrant Northeast quadrant 27% 24% 31% 9% 9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1-3 years 4-7 years 8-15 years 16-20 years 21+ years

Support for the Proposed ABM for Elementary 38

Support for the Proposed ABM for Elementary 39

Support for the Proposed ABM for Junior High 14

Support for the Proposed ABM for West Memorial Elementary

About the 59% who do not support this recommendation…

Support for the Proposed ABM for Rylander Elementary

About the 15% who do not support this recommendation…

Key Findings

• Strong majorities of survey participants—both those potentially impacted by the changes and the group as a

whole—either fully or somewhat support four of the five ABM proposals.

• A majority of participating parents potentially impacted by the proposed ABM to alleviate crowding at West

Memorial Elementary do not support this change. Almost all of these parents have children who attend Nottingham Country Elementary. Common explanations for not supporting this proposal include concerns related to:

• Safety issues, such as traffic concerns and mobility issues, including lack of sidewalks for walkers and

limited capacity for vehicles at pick-up and drop-off

• Overcrowding at Nottingham Country and the impact that will have on one-on-one instruction and

programs for special populations of students

• The kinds of students who would be rezoned to Nottingham Country; participants referenced stereotypes

associated with low-income and transient students

Attendance Boundary Modification (ABM): Recommendation

Presented by Population and Survey Analysts December 7, 2015

Student Projections

Year Before ES 40 Opens

School Capacity 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Elementary 38* 1,280 1,071 1,256 1,400 1,464 1,479 Katy Elementary 643 727 850 987 1,112 1,268 Wolman Elementary 1,030 1,343 1,564 1,719 1,808 1,888 * Projections do not include bilingual students at Elementary 38.

Student Projections

Year Before New School Opens

Assuming successful 2017 Bond Referendum

Student Projections

Year Before New School Opens

Assuming successful 2017 Bond Referendum

Landlocked schools over 125% capacity

School % Recommended action

Fielder ES 130.7 but will be reduced to near capacity in SY 2016-17 when bilingual program at ES #38

• pens.

No ABM. ES #38 resolves capacity issue. West Memorial ES 128.8 and rapidly increasing to nearly 170 by SY 2017-18. ABM with neighboring school. Rylander ES 126.8 and declining slightly. Still above 125 in SY 2020-21. ABM with neighboring school. Beckendorff JH 125.7 with significant decline projected. No ABM. If necessary consider as part of district-wide realignment at build out.

Option 1: Initial Option

Option 2: Revised Recommendation

West Memorial Elementary (WME) and Nottingham Country Elementary (NCE)

Option 1

• Immediate and long term relief provided to WME
• Provides greatest enrollment balance to WME and NCE
• NCE maintains autism programs
• WME projected at 752 students next year, down from 897 currently

Option 2

• Significant relief provided for WME but will need to be reviewed over the next couple of years
• Cimarron Elementary (CE ) will also receive students to provide relief to WME
• Minimal impact on student programs at NCE
• WME projected at 820 students next year, down from 897 currently

Next Steps – Either Option

• Itinerant staff housed at NCE will be relocated
• Make NCE spaces classroom modifications as necessary
• Traffic study to be conducted to address potential problems with additional students

Questions?