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Around the resistome in 80 ways: an empirical evaluation of antimicrobial resistance gene detection methods Finlay Maguire finlaymaguire@gmail.com December 2, 2019 Faculty of Computer Science, Dalhousie University Table of contents 1.


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Around the resistome in 80 ways:

an empirical evaluation of antimicrobial resistance gene detection methods

Finlay Maguire finlaymaguire@gmail.com December 2, 2019

Faculty of Computer Science, Dalhousie University

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Table of contents

  • 1. Background
  • 2. Why do we care about AMR?
  • 3. Targeted sequencing
  • 4. Genomics
  • 5. Metagenomics
  • 6. Metagenomic-Assembled Genomes

1

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Background

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Evolution of Eukaryotic Endosymbioses

(Maguire, 2016)

2

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Antimicrobial Resistance

IRIDA CARD

(Matthews et al., 2018)

3

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Epidemiology

(Stairs et al., 2019)

4

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Sociology?

5

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Sociology?

5

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Why do we care about AMR?

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AMR is currently a problem

2015 EU/EEA: 33,110 deaths, Data from (Cassini et al., 2019).

6

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AMR is growing

WHO Global Health Observatory Data Repository.

7

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What can we do about it?

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Improve surveillance

  • Locally: information would help improve patient health.

8

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Improve surveillance

  • Locally: information would help improve patient health.
  • Nationally: health policies and responses to emergencies.

8

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Improve surveillance

  • Locally: information would help improve patient health.
  • Nationally: health policies and responses to emergencies.
  • Globally: emerging threats and long–term trends.

8

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Improve surveillance

  • Locally: information would help improve patient health.
  • Nationally: health policies and responses to emergencies.
  • Globally: emerging threats and long–term trends.
  • Scientifically: better understanding of underlying biology.

8

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Improve diagnostics

(Goossens et al., 2005)

9

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How do we do this?

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Phenotypically?

(Bradley et al., 2015)

10

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DNA sequencing

  • DNA is relatively tractable and stable
  • Sequencing technology is mature
  • Represents the substrate of evolution

11

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Downside of DNA: capacity not expression

12

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Downside of DNA: capacity not expression

  • 10% of random sequences can serve as active promoters
  • 60% of random sequences can modulate expression with only one

mutation

12

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Which DNA sequencing method?

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Choosing a method

Biological Sample Sequencing Analysis AMR Genes AMR Database Simulated Data Analysis AMR Genes Additional factors:

  • Does method provide other information?
  • Cost/experimental considerations

13

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Choosing a method

Biological Sample Sequencing Analysis AMR Genes AMR Database Simulated Data Analysis AMR Genes Additional factors:

  • Does method provide other information?
  • Cost/experimental considerations

13

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Choosing a method

Biological Sample Sequencing Analysis AMR Genes AMR Database Simulated Data Analysis AMR Genes Additional factors:

  • Does method provide other information?
  • Cost/experimental considerations

13

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Targeted sequencing

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Targeted sequencing

Biological Sample Oligonucleotide Probes Enriched DNA Fragment Gel/Cloning/Sequencing

  • Cheap/simple infrastructure
  • Multiple sample types
  • Low input requirements

14

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Choosing and evaluating primers

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Testing primers computationally

github.com/mwhall/VAware: Mike Hall

Needleman-Wunsch alignments:

  • Perfect: no mismatches, insert < 1500
  • Intermediate: (1-2 minor mismatches)
  • Low: (2-4 minor; 0-1 major - terminal, gaps)
  • Missed: (> 4 minor; > 1 major)

15

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Which primers?

European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing: 78 PCR Primer Sets

16

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Which AMR genes?

baumannii haemolyticus l w

  • f

i nosocomialis c

  • l

i jejuni a e r

  • g

e n e s asburiae cloacae kobei inf uenzae p a r a i n f u e n z a e pylori

  • xytoca

pneumoniae gonorrhoeae m e n i n g i t i d i s aeruginosa f uorescens putida stutzeri enterica d y s e n t e r i a e f exneri s

  • n

n e i tuberculosis b

  • t

u l i n u m dif cile perfringens tetani faecalis f a e c i u m aureus epidermidis intermedius pseud- intermedius a g a l a c t i a e anginosus pneumoniae pyogenes

1 2 4 259 3356 3 7 16 2 1 2 15 1 6 73 255 23 40 957 1 4 2 3 8 1 4 4 3 1 4 20 1 7 8 4 1 2 60 4 89 457 2 5 68 5 7 1 7 637 2 1 3 8 124 5 1 995 15 63 1 2 3 310 1046 6318 26 24 539 9 8 4 1826 1 8 5 40 3468 28 5 112 3 19 80 12 4 2 5 3 551 5 4 5 6 8 6 1 2 4 4 4 1 7 5 6 1 12 1446 181 1 997 48 7 6 185 65 12 1 3 7 3 14 46 93 2 2 11 21 37 7 5 2 5 8 199 1143 349 2171 7944 16 16 528 6 1 29 4 1 1 3 59 8 9 8 3 5 1 41 55 4 8 3 1 5 1 2 8 345 l l l

CAR D R esistomes & V ariants

l

f f i

CARD-prevalence: 85 pathogens, 116,914 resistomes (chromosome, plasmid, and WGS assembly). Brian Alcock/McArthur Lab

17

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How well do these primers work?

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Surprisingly poorly

  • Many aminoglycosides and tetracycline resistance genes totally

missed

  • Caveat: needs experimental validation

18

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Lots of serious mismatches

No primer alignment in 27.58% of tetD alleles

19

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Stagnation of primers

  • ff-target hits (1 mismatch in RP) to LEN-3, LEN-4

20

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Can we improve on this?

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Designing probes with up-to-date AMR allele diversity

(Guitor et al., 2019)

21

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Downsides of targeted-approaches

  • a priori target decisions
  • Need constantly updated
  • No easy genomic context
  • No easy source-genome attribution

22

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Why do we care about context?

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Genomics

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Case-study on strengths of genomics

3193 (V2) 3125 (G) 3146 (I) 3149 (J1) 3147 (I) 3186 (L) 3200 (N) 3191 (M) 3197 (M) 3 1 4 2 ( H ) 3353 (O) 3 1 3 3 ( H ) 3135 (H) 3 1 3 7 ( H ) 3138 (H) 3139 (H) 3156 (K) 3158 (K) 1760 (P1) 1773 (P1) 1 7 6 2 ( P 1 ) 1772 (P1) 1 7 7 ( P 1 ) 1771 (P1) 1 7 6 6 ( P 1 ) 1775 (P1) 1767 (P1) 1768 (P1) 1 7 6 9 ( P 1 ) 3140 (Q1) 3 1 6 8 ( Q 1 ) 3332 (R) 3342 (R) 1792 (Z) 1793 (T) 1803 (A2) 1890 (A2) 1888 (A2) 1 8 9 1 ( A 2 ) 1811 (A2) 3126 (Q2) 3 1 7 6 ( A D ) 3128 (AB) 3171 (V1) 3339 (S1) 3 1 4 3 ( A C ) 1892 (AA) 1893 (AA) 3333 (S2) 3151 (W) 3162 (U) 3198 (X) 3160 (U) 3 1 6 6 ( U ) 3199 (Y) 1 7 9 7 ( A 1 ) 2 3 ( B ) 2 5 ( B ) 3 1 6 7 ( C ) 3169 (D) 3 1 8 ( D ) 3348 (F) 3352 (O) 3 1 8 1 ( E ) 3 3 3 ( F ) 3179 (J2) 3184 (J2) 3305 (S1) 3306 (S1) 3 3 2 4 ( S 1 ) 3351 (S1) 3322 (S1) 3344 (S1) 3341 (S1) 3321 (S1) 3 3 2 6 ( S 1 ) 3132 (Q2) 3 3 1 4 ( S 1 ) 3134 (Q2) 3144 (Q2) 3145 (Q2) 3302 (S1) 3323 (S1) 3311 (S1) 3319 (S1) 3 3 3 6 ( S 1 ) 3337 (S1) 3313 (S1) 3315 (S1) 3 3 1 8 ( S 1 ) 3338 (S2) 3310 (S1) 3349 (S1) 3317 (S1) 1783 (P2) 1758 (P2) 1 7 7 8 ( P 2 ) 0.056 substitutions per site AMOCLA AMPICI AZITHR CEFOXI Resistant Susceptible Intermediate resistance CEFTIF CEFTRI CHLORA CIPROF GENTAM NALAC STRETP SULFIZ TETRA TRISUL

SIR Status Serotype

Kentucky Hadar Heidelberg I:4,[5],12:i: Enteritidis T yphimurium Thompson

(Maguire et al., 2019)

23

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Phenotype prediction modelling

RGI+CARD K-mers T allying Logistic Regression Set-Covering Machines Genomes AMR Genes Phenotype Decompose

(Maguire et al., 2019)

24

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Genomes allow gene-free models

A B

(Maguire et al., 2019)

25

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Generate co-selection hypotheses

(Maguire et al., 2019)

26

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Generate co-selection hypotheses

A B

(Maguire et al., 2019)

26

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Generate co-selection hypotheses

ISEcp1 CMY-2 Blc sugE

(Maguire et al., 2019)

26

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Downsides of genomics

We need genomes to identify previously unknown factors, but:

  • Culturing is expensive, time-consuming, and difficult
  • Single cell methods are noisy and analytically complex
  • Only profile ‘one’ genome per sample

27

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Metagenomics

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Read-based AMR Metagenomics

Genomes Reads AMR Genes

Sequencing AMR detection 28

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Difficulties of metagenomics

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AMR genes are rare genomically All (~324M) AMR (~2.1M) 107 108

log(Read Count) AMR Reads in Metagenome (0.643%)

2184 CARD-prevalence genomes at 1-10X abundance

29

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AMR genes have wildly different abundances

1236 AMR PATRIC genomes

30

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AMR sequence space overlaps

1000 500 500 1000 1000 500 500 1000 Actual Families 1000 500 500 1000 1000 500 500 1000 Affinity Clusters (Adj. Rand=0.30041)

MDS of CARD Proteins BLASTP-%ID

31

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Choosing an analysis approach

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Simulate data and compare tools

NT Query & NT CARD Database Methods ESKAPE Genomes Resistance Gene Identifier + CARD ART Read Simulator Labeled Simulated Metagenome ORFM Predicted ORF Protein Sequences NT Query & AA CARD Database Methods AA Query & AA CARD Database Methods

  • BLASTN
  • bowtie2
  • BWA-MEM
  • biobloom*
  • groot
  • HMMSearch
  • BLASTX
  • DIAMOND BLASTX
  • PALADIN
  • BLASTP
  • DIAMOND BLASTP
  • HMMSearch

32

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Terminology refresher

bit.ly/2pZzxJU

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How well do different methods do?

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We can find reads from AMR genes

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We can mostly identify which family

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We cannot identify which specific gene

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Highly similar families to blame

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Is there any way to improve this?

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Statistical/Machine-Learning Correction

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

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Statistical/Machine-Learning Correction

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

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Statistical/Machine-Learning Correction

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

38

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Statistical/Machine-Learning Correction

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output Classifier AMR Gene Predictions Average Precision: 0.63

38

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Statistical/Machine-Learning Correction

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output Classifier AMR Gene Predictions Average Precision: 0.63 %

38

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Revised classifier structure: exploiting the ARO

DIAMOND-BLASTX Output AMR Family Classifier AMR Families Family 1 Reads Family 1 Classifier Family ... Reads Family ... Classifier Family N Reads Family N Classifier AMR Gene Predictions

39

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Slightly improved family performance

Precision Recall

Family Test Peformance

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00

Proportion Normalised Bitscore Random Forest

Mean Precision: 0.995, Mean Recall: 0.985

40

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Greatly improved gene performance

41

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Gains not evenly distributed

25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225

Ordered AMR Family Index

0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00

Proportion Median Precision-Recall Within Families

Precision Recall

  • Not enough signal in read so output compatible set
  • Some fixed bugs

42

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Metagenomic resistome profile

ARO:0000042 ! glycylcycline ARO:0000072 ! linezolid ARO:0000004 ! monobactam ARO:0000025 ! fosfomycin ARO:3000157 ! rifamycin antibiotic ARO:3000034 ! nucleoside antibiotic ARO:3000111 ! novobiocin ARO:3000282 ! sulfonamide antibiotic ARO:3000053 ! peptide antibiotic ARO:0000041 ! bacitracin ARO:3003253 ! aminocoumarin sensitive parY ARO:3000657 ! paromomycin ARO:0000021 ! ribostamycin ARO:3000701 ! lividomycin B ARO:3000700 ! lividomycin A ARO:3000655 ! gentamicin B ARO:0000024 ! butirosin ARO:0000049 ! kanamycin A ARO:0000032 ! cephalosporin ARO:3000387 ! phenicol antibiotic ARO:3000554 ! mupirocin ARO:0000001 ! fluoroquinolone antibiotic ARO:0000044 ! cephamycin ARO:3000103 ! aminocoumarin antibiotic ARO:3000171 ! diaminopyrimidine antibiotic ARO:0000000 ! macrolide antibiotic ARO:0000016 ! aminoglycoside antibiotic ARO:0000026 ! streptogramin antibiotic ARO:3000081 ! glycopeptide antibiotic ARO:0000022 ! polymyxin antibiotic ARO:0000017 ! lincosamide antibiotic Indeterminate Class ARO:3001219 ! elfamycin antibiotic ARO:3000007 ! beta-lactam antibiotic ARO:3000050 ! tetracycline derivative Drug Class 10

6

10

5

10

4

10

3

Normalised Read Proportion AMR hits related to Drug Class

47 human gut metagenome profiles

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Great, but...

  • Known AMR genes
  • Is one organism resistant to everything?
  • Are many organisms each resistant to one thing?
  • Have AMR genes been laterally transferred?

44

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Can we get the best of metagenomics and genomics?

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Metagenomic-Assembled Genomes

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MAG binning

Genomes Reads Contigs

Metagenome- Assembled Genomes

Sequencing

Assembly Binning

45

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MAGs are popular

Figure from (Parks et al., 2017)

46

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What about plasmids?

Figure from (Antipov et al., 2016)

  • Circular or linear extrachromosomal self-replicating DNA.
  • Dissemination of AMR genes.
  • Repetitive, variable copy number, different sequence composition.

47

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Or genomic islands

www.pathogenomics.sfu.ca/islandviewer

  • Clusters of genes acquired through LGT
  • Integrons, transposons, integrative and conjugative elements (ICEs)

and prophages

  • Variable copy number and composition (used by SIGI-HMM,

IslandPath-DIMOB)

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How well do MAGs recover these sequences?

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Time to start simulating again

  • Simulate some metagenomes (lognormal abundance distribution)

from difficult genomes

  • 10 genomes: lots of plasmids
  • 10 genomes: high % of genomic islands (compositional)
  • 10 genomes: low % of genomic islands
  • Assembly using 3 alternative methods: IDBA UD, MetaSPAdes,

Megahit

  • Bin contigs using 4 different tools: metabat2, maxbin2, concoct,

dastool

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Chromosomes fairly well binned

26-94.3% median chromosomal coverage (Pre-print draft github.com/fmaguire/mag_sim_paper)

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Chromosomes fairly well binned

26-94.3% median chromosomal coverage (Pre-print draft github.com/fmaguire/mag_sim_paper)

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Plasmids are not

1.5-29.2% plasmids binned

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Genomic islands are better but bad

28-42% GIs binned

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What about AMR genes?

24-43% AMR genes binned

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Which AMR genes are lost?

  • 30-53% chromosomal AMR genes (n=120)
  • 0-45% genomic island AMR genes (n=11)
  • 0% of plasmid AMR genes (n=20)

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Be cautious with MAGs

  • Regain some context but with biased data loss
  • Disproportionate loss of AMR genes
  • Mobile Genetic Elements poorly recovered
  • Cautionary tale: more processing = more data loss

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Conclusions

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation Genomics Context, moderate analysis Isolation, throughput

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation Genomics Context, moderate analysis Isolation, throughput Metagenomics Many genomes at once Fragmented, no context, difficult analysis

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation Genomics Context, moderate analysis Isolation, throughput Metagenomics Many genomes at once Fragmented, no context, difficult analysis Metagenomic-Assembed Genomes Context for many genomes Lose key data, complex analysis

  • Simulation fundamental to evaluating approaches

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation Genomics Context, moderate analysis Isolation, throughput Metagenomics Many genomes at once Fragmented, no context, difficult analysis Metagenomic-Assembed Genomes Context for many genomes Lose key data, complex analysis

  • Simulation fundamental to evaluating approaches
  • Characterisation necessary to mitigate weaknesses and promote

strengths

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Conclusions

Method Strengths Weaknesses Targeted Cheap, easy analysis a priori, stagnation Genomics Context, moderate analysis Isolation, throughput Metagenomics Many genomes at once Fragmented, no context, difficult analysis Metagenomic-Assembed Genomes Context for many genomes Lose key data, complex analysis

  • Simulation fundamental to evaluating approaches
  • Characterisation necessary to mitigate weaknesses and promote

strengths

  • Machine-Learning represents useful tools for this (e.g. AMRtime,

gene-free AST prediction models)

56

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Acknowledgements

  • McMaster University: Brian Alcock, Amos Raphenya, Kara Tsang,

Andrew McArthur

  • Simon Fraser University: Justin Jia, Kristen Gray, Venus Lau, Fiona

Brinkman

  • Dalhousie University: Mike Hall, Robert Beiko
  • Funding: Donald Hill Family Fellowship; Genome Canada.

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Questions?

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References

Antipov, D., Hartwick, N., Shen, M., Raiko, M., Lapidus, A., and Pevzner, P. (2016). plasmidspades: assembling plasmids from whole genome sequencing data. bioRxiv, page 048942. Bradley, P., Gordon, N. C., Walker, T. M., Dunn, L., Heys, S., Huang, B., Earle, S., Pankhurst, L. J., Anson, L., De Cesare, M., et al. (2015). Rapid antibiotic-resistance predictions from genome sequence data for staphylococcus aureus and mycobacterium tuberculosis. Nature communications, 6:10063.

58

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Cassini, A., Hogberg, L. D., Plachouras, D., Quattrocchi, A., Hoxha, A., Simonsen, G. S., Colomb-Cotinat, M., Kretzschmar, M. E., Devleesschauwer, B., Cecchini, M., et al. (2019). Attributable deaths and disability-adjusted life-years caused by infections with antibiotic-resistant bacteria in the eu and the european economic area in 2015: a population-level modelling analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 19(1):56–66. de Kraker, M. E., Stewardson, A. J., and Harbarth, S. (2016). Will 10 million people die a year due to antimicrobial resistance by 2050? PLoS medicine, 13(11):e1002184. Goossens, H., Ferech, M., Vander Stichele, R., Elseviers, M., Group,

  • E. P., et al. (2005). Outpatient antibiotic use in europe and

association with resistance: a cross-national database study. The Lancet, 365(9459):579–587.

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Guitor, A. K., Raphenya, A. R., Klunk, J., Kuch, M., Alcock, B., Surette,

  • M. G., McArthur, A. G., Poinar, H. N., and Wright, G. D. (2019).

Capturing the resistome: A targeted capture method to reveal antibiotic resistance determinants in metagenomes. Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy, pages AAC–01324. Maguire, F. (2016). A multi-omic analysis of the photosynthetic endosymbioses of paramecium bursaria. PhD Thesis. Maguire, F., Rehman, M. A., Carrillo, C., Diarra, M. S., and Beiko, R. G. (2019). Identification of primary antimicrobial resistance drivers in agricultural nontyphoidal salmonella enterica serovars by using machine

  • learning. MSystems, 4(4):e00211–19.

Matthews, T. C., Bristow, F. R., Griffiths, E. J., Petkau, A., Adam, J., Dooley, D., Kruczkiewicz, P., Curatcha, J., Cabral, J., Fornika, D., et al. (2018). The integrated rapid infectious disease analysis (irida)

  • platform. bioRxiv, page 381830.

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  • n Antimicrobial Resistance, R. (2016). Tackling drug-resistant infections

globally: final report and recommendations. Review on antimicrobial resistance. Parks, D. H., Rinke, C., Chuvochina, M., Chaumeil, P.-A., Woodcroft,

  • B. J., Evans, P. N., Hugenholtz, P., and Tyson, G. W. (2017).

Recovery of nearly 8,000 metagenome-assembled genomes substantially expands the tree of life. Nature microbiology, 2(11):1533. Stairs, J., Bal, N., Maguire, F., and Scott, H. (2019). A resident-led clinic that promotes the health of refugee women through advocacy and partnership. Canadian Medical Education Journal.

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Backup

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10 million deaths?

(on Antimicrobial Resistance, 2016), (de Kraker et al., 2016)

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10 million deaths?

(on Antimicrobial Resistance, 2016), (de Kraker et al., 2016)

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Where does 10 million come from?

For 3rd-generation cephalosporin resistant E. coli, K. pneumoniae, and MRSA:

  • Estimate global BSIs (multiply average incidence in tertiary

European hospitals by global population).

  • Estimate AMR (proportion of resistant blood-cultures per country)
  • Extrapolate to other infections sites (via relative incidence to BSI in

2 studies n=16 BSIs)

  • Estimate attributable mortality rates from adjusted odds-ratios in an

unspecified manner.

  • Assume no change in mortality, 40% increase in resistance, and

doubled infection rates by 2050.

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