Aquaculture aspects and future demand for seafood in China Haijin - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Aquaculture aspects and future demand for seafood in China

Haijin LIU 劉 海金 Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences 中国水産科学研究院

Under saturated development of the fishery resources in the world, why FAO has still confidence in the fishery development?

《Responsible Fishery Action

Regulation》

World aquaculture development Practices in China

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Report Directory

• 1 China aquaculture situation

1.1 aquaculture situation 1.2 basic points 1.3 main issues

• 2 Future demand of Chinese seafood

2.1 demand prognosticate 2.2 approach of increase

• 3 China aquaculture policy

3.1 policy review 3.2 current policy

• 4 Conclusions

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• 1. China aquaculture

situation

1.1 Situation 1.2 Basic points 1.3 Main issues

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Seafood production in China and World

Resource：FAO Statistics（1950-2008）

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000

1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 其他国家水产品总量 中国水产品总量

10000 tons

Year

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China seafood production （1950-2008）

Resource：China fishery yearbook（1950-2008年） 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 年份

• oooton

淡养殖水 淡水捕捞 海水养殖 海水捕捞

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2008 Production

2008 China national aquaculture production 48960000 Tons

Sea water aquaculture: 13400000 tons Freshwater aquaculture : 20730000 ton Marine fishing:11500000 tons Ocen fishing: 1080000 tons Freshwater fishing: 2250000 tons

43% 27% 23% 5% 2% 海水养殖 淡水养殖 海洋捕捞 远洋渔业 淡水捕捞

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1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 1988 1998 2008 海水养殖 淡水养殖

China aquaculture area

Resource：China fishery yearbook (1988，1998，2008)

hektare

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Vessel number 2008 Vessls:1039400

Motor vessels: 630600 8284100 tons 19507300 KW Ocean vessels 1462 784403 KW

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China ocean fishery situation

Resource：China fishery statistic yearbook（1996-2008）

200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1600000 199619971998 199920002001 2002200320042005 200620072008 Year

远洋渔业总产量 远洋渔业鱼产量

Ton

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Seafood international trade （1950-2008）

,000 $ Import Export Resource：FAO statistics（1976-2008）

1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 9000000 10000000 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006

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2008 international trade value

2008 Foreign trade 6848000 tons 16.02 billion us#

Export:2965000 tons 10.61 billion us# Import 3884000 tons 5.4 billion us# Surplus:5.21billion us#

出口（万吨） 进口（万吨）

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Proportion of seafood in animal protein

Meat 肉 45.71％

Fish 鱼 31.67％

Milk 奶 6％

Egg 蛋 16.40％

Fish鱼 26.24% Meat 肉 39.01% Milk奶20.27% Egg蛋 14.48

2000年, 3706ton 2000年, 4896ton

3706.2 3706.2

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China fishery population

Resource: China fishery yearbook（1983-2008） Person Year

2000000 4000000 6000000 8000000 10000000 12000000 14000000 16000000 18000000 1 1 9 9 8 8 3 3 1 1 9 9 8 8 5 5 1 1 9 9 8 8 7 7 1 1 9 9 8 8 9 9 1 1 9 9 9 9 1 1 1 1 9 9 9 9 3 3 1 1 9 9 9 9 5 5 1 1 9 9 9 9 7 7 1 1 9 9 9 9 9 9 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 2 5 5 2 2 7 7 海洋渔业人口 淡水渔业人口

Fishery population: 20961300

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Fishmen’s income（1950-2008）

,0000 RMB Average net income per person Average net income per Labour

2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007Year

Resource：China fishery yearbook（1979-2008）

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With the conversion from fishing to aquaculture, production manner has been improved, and yield has been increased, living standard of fishmen and social civilization has been promoted.

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Nature ecosystem

Sun energy, nutrition salt plankton trash fish high-value fish

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Complex aquaculture of scallop and kept

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New ecosystem: aquaculture system

Sun energy, nutrition salt plankton

fish

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China freshwater aquaculture production

930.5, 52% 843.5, 48%

Non-feeding fish Feeding fish

freshwater aquaculture roduction: 17740000 tons

（China fishery yearbook， 2003）

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中国海水养殖产量构成 Chinese aquaculture production structure

alga12%

fish4%

scallop85 %

seawater aquaculture production: 11740000 tons

（China fishery yearbook， 2003） 985

138.4

51.9

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1.2 China aquaculture basic characteristics

1.2.1 aquaculture production persistent increasing and its price stably decreasing; 1.2.2 many plankton and phytophagous animals ； 1.2.3 large aquaculture area and many aquaculture means; 1.2.4 advanced aquaculture technology, long history and three-dimensional ecological aquaculture； 1.2.5 support from government：conservation policy， fish pond standard rehabilitation ，tax free， subsidy etc.

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1.3 Main issues of China aquaculture

• 1. Environment pollution
• 2. Reduction of resources: space, water, feed etc.
• 3. Sea food safety: water, pesticide etc.
• 4. Limited scientific technology （utilization of

cold water and lake）

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Pollutions increasing

P N

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200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 2004 2006 2008 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 污染次数 污染面积

China fishery pollution accidents

Resource：China fishery environment gazette（2004，2006，2008）

• No. of accidents

per year 000, hectare

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2000-2010 China aquaculture feed production

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Sea food safety

Domestic: turbot accident:

pesticide index exceed, no body buy，10000 tons production wasted, lost 1 billion Yuan, 3 years being recovered

International:

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Report Directory

1 China aquaculture situation

1.1 aquaculture situation 1.2 basic points 1.3 main issues

2 Future demand of Chinese seafood

2.1 China sea food consumption survey 2.2 China sea food demand

3 China aquaculture policy

3.1 policy review 3.2 current policy

4 Conclusions

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2 China sea food future demand

2.1 China sea food consumption

survey

2.2 China sea food demand 2.2 Approaches of increasing

China sea food

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2.1 Current consumption survey

1990-2003 average sea food consumption per person per year（kg） Resource：China agriculture statistics yearbook （1990-2003）

5 10 15 20 25

1990 1995 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

年份 消费量（公斤） 水产品 猪肉 家禽 鲜蛋

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2.2 Sea food demand

Resource：Shanghai Fishery University project ，2000

Population expect (000000000person)

2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 年份 人 口 预 测 （ 亿 人 ） 东部 中部 西部 总计

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Consumption per person (kg)

Resource：Shanghai Fishery University project ， 2000

24.34 29.61 36.23 42.85 65.6 10.47 13.32 16.17 19.03 27.59 0.75 1.09 1.62 2.6 8.64 13.7 16.9 20.6 24.3 37.1

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2000 2005 2010 2015 2030 年份 人 均 消 费 量 预 测 （ 公 斤 ） 东部 中部 西部 总计

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Sea food demand （million tons）

Resource：Shanghai Fishery University project ，2000

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2000 2005 2010 2015 2030 年份 中国水产品需求量（百万吨） 东部 中部 西部 总计

59390000 tons

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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 城 乡 居 民 食 用 水 产 品 预 测 值 加 工 工 业 原 料 消 费 预 测 值 出 口 预 测 值 损 耗 预 测 值

Demand prognostication

（Zhu Xinkai equation）

,0000 tons year

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Result of prognostication

Population: 2030: 1.46 billion

Consumption per person：

2030: 37.1kg/year/person

Demand: 2030: 59390000 tons Production: 2030: 56860000 tons

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Report Directory

• 1 China aquaculture situation

1.1 aquaculture situation 1.2 basic points 1.3 main issues

• 2 Future demand of Chinese seafood

2.1 demand prognosticate 2.2 approach of increase

• 3 China aquaculture policy

3.1 policy review 3.2 current policy

• 4 Conclusions

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3.1 China aquaculture policy review

Three phases：

1955-1985，fishing in nature resources; 1985-2000，aquaculture being more popular and

new fishery development policy being established;

2000-2009，paying attention to sustainable

development, resource and environment protection; “resource conservation + quality & benefit” modern fishery being put forward.

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3.2 Current aquaculture policy

• 1. Persist in conservation policy, promote healthy

aquaculture, ensure sustainable development of fishery;

• 2. Improve management, ensure sea food safety;
• 3. Enhance resources conservation, increase

enhancement and delivery activities, ensure sustainable utilization of resources;

• 4. Strengthen scientific studies, elevate ability of

resources utilization and aquaculture technology.

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Report Directory

• 1 China aquaculture situation

1.1 aquaculture situation 1.2 basic points 1.3 main issues

• 2 Future demand of Chinese seafood

2.1 demand prognosticate 2.2 approach of increase

• 3 China aquaculture policy

3.1 policy review 3.2 current policy

• 4 Conclusions

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4 Conclusion

• 1. China aquaculture could be sustainable

developed, but its development rate will be decreased.

• 2. Prognosticate: increasing rate of production will

be lower than consumption within 20 years.

• 3. Main issues that effecting aquaculture

development will be environment pollution, reduction of resources, and sea food safety.

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Thank you !

It will be optimistic, as long as the aquatic resources are developed in a sustainable way.