April 2012 Exits: Key Considerations for Private Equity Exits by - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
April 2012 Exits: Key Considerations for Private Equity Exits by - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Presentation on Private Equity Exit Considerations April 2012 Exits: Key Considerations for Private Equity Exits by Year Exit Capital ($B) # of Exits VALUE $140 600 449 510 $120 434 500 420 $100 350 400 $80 ECONOMY TAX 300 207
6.6x 7.4x 8.7x 8.5x 8.0x 9.9x 9.3x 6.9x 8.0x 8.6x 6.0x 7.0x 8.0x 9.0x 10.0x 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 $121 $120 $80 $40 $106 $104 449 510 350 207 434 420 100 200 300 400 500 600 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Exit Capital ($B) # of Exits
Exits: Key Considerations for Private Equity
1
VALUE TAX TIMING FINANCING MORALE ECONOMY
Exits by Year Median Exit EBITDA Multiple
Source: Pitchbook & Grant Thornton, 2011.
Plan Your Exit
2
- Know How to Get Out Before You get In
- Abundance of natural buyers?
- Strategic acquiror?
- Financial buyer?
- IPO candidate?
- Confidentiality issues?
- Vendors, competitors, customers
- Micro Analysis – Is Your Company
Ready?
- If NO – nothing else matters
- Execution of the investment thesis is key
- Capex, acquisitions, asset sales, HR
- Tangible success? ROI?
- Opportunity cost – time / money /
- utlook
ONEX – Sky Chefs EBITDA (1987-2000) IRR: 29.7% Multiple of Capital: 16.5x
25.6 46.0 107.0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1987 1994 2000 EBITDA ($MM) CAGR: 8.7% CAGR: 15.1%
772 1,315 827 1,267 1,099 1,200 700
- 200
400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 66 51 14 24 40 30
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Exit Paths – IPO
3
- Rarely a “mid-market” option
- Typical market cap: $1 billion
- The most “macro sensitive” option
- IPO market can be shut (mid-late 2008)
- Confidentiality is lowest
- Profit margin disclosure
- Hard to “exit” 100%
- Exit in stages over time
Number of PE-Backed IPOs Average IPO Market Cap ($MM)1
- 1. Source: S&P Capital IQ. average value of sponsor backed offerings of at least 5% of shares offered with gross proceeds over $50 mm.
Case Study – ONCAP/WIS International
Exit Paths – Auction vs. Targeted Sale
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Case Study – ONCAP/WIS International Case Study – ONCAP/CSI
Auction Targeted Sale
- The most common mid-market exit
- Story needs broad appeal
- Consumes time and management
- Confidentiality “contained”
- Effective for “natural fit”
- Often involves unsolicited approach
- Value not compromised
- Confidentiality maximized
Date: November 2010 Buyer: Moody’s Corp. Rationale: Complimented global effort in regulation, risk management and education tools Result: 5.8x ROI / 57.2% IRR Date: January 2007 Calls Made: 18 Strategic / 52 Private Equity Buyer Interest: 7 Strategic / 36 Private Equity Preliminary Bids: 12 Private Equity Result: 8.1x ROI / 73.7% IRR
Financing Considerations
5
Strong Debt Multiples = Strong PE Interest… …And High Equity Contributions Will Drive Values Higher
4.8x 4.7x 4.1x 4.0x 3.4x 3.9x 3.8x 4.2x 4.7x 4.7x 5.6x 4.5x 3.3x 4.2x 4.3x
3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x 5.5x 6.0x '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 Debt/EBITDA
7.0% 20.7% 26.2% 30.0% 37.8% 39.5% 33.6% 50.8%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% '87 '90 '93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 Equity Contribution to LBOs
Source: Lcdcomps.com
Other Exit Considerations
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Tax
Tax Considerations – Number of Exits (2010) Fundraising – Inventory of PE-owned Companies
- LP’s like to see realizations
- 40% of PE-owned companies have
been held more than 5 years
2,223 2,894 3,678 4,549 5,164 5,435 5,745 5,968
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 Number of PE-Backed Companies
- Tax rate fears drove activity in late
2010
83 104 84 163
- 20
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Number of Exits (2010)