Applications of the Classical Model Abigail Colson Antibiotic - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

▶
applications of the classical model
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Applications of the Classical Model Abigail Colson Antibiotic - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Jan 30, 2023 152 likes •285 views

Applications of the Classical Model Abigail Colson Antibiotic resistant bacteria by Microra is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0 "Fun with Insects" by Pioneer Library System is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 "Chicago

slide-1
SLIDE 1

Applications of the Classical Model

Abigail Colson

slide-2
SLIDE 2

"Fun with Insects" by Pioneer Library System is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0 "Chicago Floods-31" by Jpos is licensed under CC BY-NC 2.0 “Antibiotic resistant bacteria” by Microra is licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0

slide-3
SLIDE 3

“A model wearing disponsable medical PPE” by Timely Medical staff is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.5 "antibiotic discs" by Iqbal Osman1 is licensed under CC BY 2.0

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Variables of interest

Bug/drug pairs

1.

  • E. coli and fluoroquinolones

2.

  • E. coli and cephalosporins

3.

  • E. coli and carbapenems

4.

  • K. pneumoniae and cephalosporins

5.

  • K. pneumoniae and carbapenems

6.

  • S. aureus and methicillin

7.

  • S. pneumoniae and penicillins

8.

  • N. gonorrhoeae and cephalosporins

9.

  • P. aeruginosa and any treatment

Countries

1. France 2. Italy 3. Spain 4. United Kingdom

slide-5
SLIDE 5

The Surveillance Atlas of Infectious Disease is available for use from the ECDC.

slide-6
SLIDE 6
  • E. coli resistance to carbapenems

Data from https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219190

Red line: historical data from EARS-Net Dashed line: median assessments Light grey: 90% credible range Dark grey: 50% credible range Experts provided assessments for 2018, 2021, and 2026.

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Klebsiella resistance to carbapenems

Data from https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219190

Red line: historical data from EARS-Net Dashed line: median assessments Light grey: 90% credible range Dark grey: 50% credible range Experts provided assessments for 2018, 2021, and 2026.

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Comparing experts and models

Figure by Colson et al. is from https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219190 and licensed under CC BY 4.0

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Photos of two infants in an advert for Mellin's food from Wellcome Images is licensed under CC-BY-4.0

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Variables of interest

Feeding Feeding Patterns by Age Cohorts 1 2 3 4 Breastfeeding, Exclusive None 3 months 6 months 6 months Breastfeeding, Any None 3 to 9 months None 6 to 24 months Infant Formula, Exclusive 6 months None None None Infant Formula, Any 6 to 15 months 3 to 15 months 6 to 15 months None Complementary Foods From 6 months From 6 months From 6 months From 6 months

slide-11
SLIDE 11

"Stormwater in Annapolis, Md." by chesbayprogram is licensed under CC BY-NC 2.0

slide-12
SLIDE 12

References

Colson, A. R., et al.. (2019). Quantifying uncertainty about future antimicrobial resistance: Comparing structured expert judgment and statistical forecasting

  • methods. PLOS ONE, 14(7), e0219190.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0219190 Colson, A. R., Cooke, R. M., & Lutter, R. (2016). How Does Breastfeeding Affect IQ? Applying the Classical Model of Structured Expert Judgment. Retrieved from Resources for the Future website: http://www.rff.org/research/publications/how- does-breastfeeding-affect-iq-applying-classical-model-structured-expert Koch, B. J., et al. (2015). Suburban watershed nitrogen retention: Estimating the effectiveness of stormwater management structures. Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 3, 000063. https://doi.org/10.12952/journal.elementa.000063

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Thank you for your attention!