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Introduction The Models Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example Analysis of Competing Risks in the Pareto Model for Progressive Censoring with binomial removals Reza Hashemi and


  1. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example Analysis of Competing Risks in the Pareto Model for Progressive Censoring with binomial removals Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran. August 14, 2010 Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  2. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example Outline Introduction 1 The Model’s Assumptions 2 Likelihood function 3 Maximum Likelihood Estimators and UMVUE Bootstrap confidence intervals 3 Boot-p method Boot-t method: Bayesian Analysis 4 Numerical example 5 Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  3. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example We study the competing risks model when the data is progressively type II censored with random removals which follows a binomial distribution. Under the assumptions of independent causes of failure and using Pareto distribution as the distribution of lifetime of each unit Competing Risks Censoring is inevitable in the lifetime study Progressive type II censoring with random removal The data from a progressively Type II censored sample is as follows: ( X 1 : m : n , δ 1 , R 1 ) , ( X 2 : m : n , δ 2 , R 2 ) , . . . , ( X m : m : n , δ m , R m ) Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  4. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example We study the competing risks model when the data is progressively type II censored with random removals which follows a binomial distribution. Under the assumptions of independent causes of failure and using Pareto distribution as the distribution of lifetime of each unit Competing Risks Censoring is inevitable in the lifetime study Progressive type II censoring with random removal The data from a progressively Type II censored sample is as follows: ( X 1 : m : n , δ 1 , R 1 ) , ( X 2 : m : n , δ 2 , R 2 ) , . . . , ( X m : m : n , δ m , R m ) Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  5. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example We study the competing risks model when the data is progressively type II censored with random removals which follows a binomial distribution. Under the assumptions of independent causes of failure and using Pareto distribution as the distribution of lifetime of each unit Competing Risks Censoring is inevitable in the lifetime study Progressive type II censoring with random removal The data from a progressively Type II censored sample is as follows: ( X 1 : m : n , δ 1 , R 1 ) , ( X 2 : m : n , δ 2 , R 2 ) , . . . , ( X m : m : n , δ m , R m ) Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  6. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example We study the competing risks model when the data is progressively type II censored with random removals which follows a binomial distribution. Under the assumptions of independent causes of failure and using Pareto distribution as the distribution of lifetime of each unit Competing Risks Censoring is inevitable in the lifetime study Progressive type II censoring with random removal The data from a progressively Type II censored sample is as follows: ( X 1 : m : n , δ 1 , R 1 ) , ( X 2 : m : n , δ 2 , R 2 ) , . . . , ( X m : m : n , δ m , R m ) Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  7. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example It is assumed here that the causes of failures follow pareto distributions. The pareto distribution has been used commonly to model naturally occurring phenomenon in which the distributions of random variables of interest have long tails; Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  8. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example Notations We put n independent and identical units on the life test. The test is terminated when m ≤ n , m is pre-specified, units failed. The lifetime of i -th unit is denoted by X i , i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n , and X ij denotes the time of failure of the i -th unit by the cause j where j = 1 , 2, so X i = min { X i 1 , X i 2 } . Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  9. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example Notations We put n independent and identical units on the life test. The test is terminated when m ≤ n , m is pre-specified, units failed. The lifetime of i -th unit is denoted by X i , i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n , and X ij denotes the time of failure of the i -th unit by the cause j where j = 1 , 2, so X i = min { X i 1 , X i 2 } . Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  10. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  11. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  12. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  13. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  14. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  15. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example F ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X i , F j ( . ) : cumulative distribution function of X ij , F j ( . ) : survival function of X ij , ¯ ¯ F j ( . ) = 1 − F j ( . ) . δ i : indicator variable denoting the cause of failure of the i -th unit. Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  16. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example The distribution of the random variable X ij is Pareto with parameters ( α j , β ) , j = 1 , 2 and i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n . The pdf of X ij , j = 1 , 2, for each i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n , is f j ( x ) = α j β α j x ≥ β, β > 0 , α j > 0 x α j + 1 The survival function, sf, and the hazard rate function, hrf, are respectively F j ( x ) = β α j h j ( x ) = α j ¯ x α j , x ≥ β. x Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

  17. Introduction The Model’s Assumptions Likelihood function Bootstrap confidence intervals Bayesian Analysis Numerical example The distribution of the random variable X ij is Pareto with parameters ( α j , β ) , j = 1 , 2 and i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n . The pdf of X ij , j = 1 , 2, for each i = 1 , 2 , . . . , n , is f j ( x ) = α j β α j x ≥ β, β > 0 , α j > 0 x α j + 1 The survival function, sf, and the hazard rate function, hrf, are respectively F j ( x ) = β α j h j ( x ) = α j ¯ x α j , x ≥ β. x Reza Hashemi and Jabar Azar

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