AMADOR-CALAVERAS CONSENSUS GROUP SOCIOECONOMIC MONITORING Hilary - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

AMADOR-CALAVERAS CONSENSUS GROUP SOCIOECONOMIC MONITORING

Hilary Sanders, Kyle Rodgers, Jonathan Kusel September 2019

PURPOSE

To establish a baseline of socioeconomic conditions in the area local to the Cornerstone CFLR, and to assess the socioeconomic impacts the Cornerstone Project has had in that area.

STUDY AREA

METHODS

Quantitative Data

• Demographic Data
• Contractor Survey

Qualitative Data

• Community Capacity

Workshop

• Interviews
• Contractor Survey

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

• 2.5
• 2
• 1.5
• 1
• 0.5

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 1999-2000 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 Percent Change Year

Percent Population Change 1999-2018

Amador Calaveras California

0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0 to 5 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 to 69 70 to 74 75 to 79 80 to 84 85 and over Percent Age

Population Distribution Amador County

Percent Female Percent Male

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0 to 5 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 to 69 70 to 74 75 to 79 80 to 84 85 and over Percent Age

Population Distribution Calaveras County

Percent Female Percent Male

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% I

• n

e / J a c k s

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V a l l e y J a c k s

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P i n e G r

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e e r / B u c k h

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n P l y m

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t h / F i d d l e t

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n / R i v e r P i n e s S u t t e r C r e e k / A m a d

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C i t y / V

• l

c a n

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a m a n c h e Percentage of Households Community

Households for Seasonal, Recreational, or Occasional Use Amador County Communities, 2013-2017

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

A r n

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d / A v e r y / D

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G r e a t e r A n g e l s C a m p / A l t a v i l l e M t . R a n c h / S h e e p R a n c h / C a l a v e r i t a s / F r i c

• t

C i t y M u r p h y s / D

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g l a s F l a t R a i l R

• a

d F l a t / G l e n c

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S a n A n d r e a s / P a l

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a l l e y S p r i n g s / R a n c h

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a l a v e r a s / L a C

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t e n t a W e s t P

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n t / W i l s e l y v i l l e / B u m m e r v i l l e C

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p e r

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i s / C

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e l u m n e H i l l T a m a r a c k Percentage of Households Community

Households for Seasonal, Recreational, or Occasional Use Calaveras County Communities, 2013-2017

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% 1990… 1991… 1993… 1994… 1996… 1997… 1999… 2000… 2002… 2003… 2005… 2006… 2008… 2009… 2011… 2012… 2014… 2015… 2017… Percent Unemployment Year

Unemployment Rate

Amador County Calaveras County California

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Percent Not in Labor Force Year

Population 16 Years and Over Not in Labor Force Amador County Communities

Camanche Ione/Jackson Valley Jackson Pine Grove Pioneer/Buckhorn Plymouth/Fiddletown/Drytown/River Pines Sutter Creek/Amador City/Volcano

CA

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Percent Not in Labor Force Year

Population 16 Years and Over Not in Labor Force Calaveras County Communities

Arnold/Avery/Dorrington Copperopolis/Copper Cove Greater Angels Camp/Altaville Mokelumne Hill

• Mt. Ranch/Sheep Ranch/Calaveritas/Fricot City

Murphys/Douglas Flat Rail Road Flat/Glencoe San Andreas/Paloma/Campo Seco Tamarack Valley Springs/Rancho Calaveras/La Contenta West Point/Wilselyville/Bummerville

CA

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Percent Enrollment Year

Elementary School Free and Reduced Price Meal Enrollment Amador County

Ione Elementary Jackson Elementary Pine Grove Elementary Pioneer Elementary Plymouth Elementary Sutter Creek Elementary

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Percent Enrollment Year

Elementary School Free and Reduced Price Meal Enrollment Calaveras County

Albert A. Michelson Elementary Copperopolis Elementary Hazel Fischer Elementary Jenny Lind Elementary Mark Twain Elementary Mokelumne Hill Elementary Rail Road Flat Elementary San Andreas Elementary Valley Springs Elementary West Point Elementary

DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT

FOREST-SPECIFIC FINDINGS

CONTRACTOR SURVEY

• Obtained list of active

contractors in CFLR area

• Up to three phone calls

made to each contractor

• Surveys completed over

the phone or online

• All surveys in Spring 2019
• 15 responses (50%)

Focus Areas:

• Recent Business Experiences
• Small-Diameter Wood
• Forest Service Contracting
• Wildfire

2 8 5

CONTRACTOR SURVEY

2 8 5

Small- diameter wood utilization

CONTRACTOR SURVEY

CONTRACTOR SURVEY

Best Value Contracting

2 8 5

CONTRACTOR SURVEY

Effects of Wildfire

BUTTE FIRE AND CANNABIS

BUTTE FIRE AND CANNABIS

• Butte Fire
• Reduced social capital
• Dead trees remaining present continued fire hazard
• An “eye-opener”
• Cannabis
• Change in social dynamics
• Caused a bubble of economic benefit that burst after the ban

CORNERSTONE OUTCOMES

CAPACITY OF PARTNERS

“It’s definitely brought some people together...those guys weren’t working together at all, they met through the ACCG basically... I think it’s been very beneficial to the organizations that do work to be able to better coordinate their work.” “Without ACCG, we would not be doing literally millions of dollars of work on our watersheds.”

LOCAL WORKFORCE

The ACCG had initially expected “zero to three companies to show up” for bid tours at a project site, and a recent project ended up with 22 companies on the site visit. “I think with all the money coming in for forest work we’re going to have more people going back to work in the woods you know, which is a good thing. But you know, how quickly that’s going to happen is really hard to know.”

LOCAL CONTRACTING

Agency partners remain divided in how they look at best value, with some acknowledging the benefits of processes that “get the community back into the game, spread money throughout the area, and make life better,” while others opt for a lowest bid contract award. “There's still what seem to be higher opportunities, better

• pportunities, if they could work out the details of what really

is best value, and how to move that forward.”

HIGHLIGHTS

• Socioeconomic context by community
• Easily replicated for future monitoring
• Contractor survey
• Butte Fire and Cannabis
• Cornerstone Outcomes
• Partner capacity, workforce capacity, and local

contracting