Air Support Study HMI Matt Parr CB CCs’ Council 18 October 2017
Fleet size and utilisation Number of bases Hours flown 35 35,000 31 30 30,000 25 25,000 20 20,000 15 15 15,000 10 10,000 5 5,000 0 0 2008/09 2017 2008/09 2016
Study terms of reference To develop HMIC’s understanding of police air support and, in particular, to establish: • how well current arrangements for police air support allow the police service to adapt to changes in demand and technology; • to what extent current arrangements for police air support contribute to the effectiveness and efficiency of individual police forces; and • how police air support might be further developed to better meet the needs of the police service and other public sector organisations.
Findings • strategy and guidance • governance • fleet planning • levels of service • consistency of service between forces • charging arrangements
Strategy and guidance • last major air strategy review in 2009, which led to NPAS creation; strategy review due in 2013 has not yet been conducted • very little APP on air support; no APP on the use of drones; insufficient clarity on expected outcomes from the use of air support • NPAS has objective to harness innovation in aviation but, until very recently, has been largely silent on topic of drones • limited awareness of NPCC guidance on drones and patchy communication on policy issues with forces
0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 0 1 2 3 Merseyside Requests to NPAS Bedfordshire South Yorkshire Avon & Somerset South Wales Surrey North Wales Gwent Gloucestershire • • Requests per 1000 pop Lancashire North Wales rate 18 times higher than Cumbria South Yorkshire request rate nearly 5 times that of Kent Dorset Cheshire Hertfordshire Northamptonshire Durham Cambridgeshire Thames Valley West Yorkshire Devon & Cornwall Essex England & Wales force average requests Cleveland Wiltshire Warwickshire West Midlands Nottinghamshire Leicestershire Sussex Suffolk MPS Northumbria Dyfed - Powys GMP Norfolk West Mercia Kent Derbyshire Hampshire North Yorkshire Staffordshire Lincolnshire Cumbria
100% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0% Attendance rates MPS Durham Northumbria • 10 (of 42) forces had an attendance rate lower than 33% • only 6 (of 42) forces had an attendance rate greater than 50% • wide variation in attendance rates (MPS 73%, Lincolnshire Dorset 23%) GMP Essex North Yorkshire BTP West Yorkshire Cleveland Suffolk Hampshire Kent Proportion attended Thames Valley West Midlands Cheshire Warwickshire Norfolk South Yorkshire Leicestershire South Wales Gwent England and Wales rate Surrey Staffordshire Avon & Somerset Northamptonshire Merseyside West Mercia Cumbria Devon & Cornwall North Wales Sussex Lancashire Dyfed - Powys Nottinghamshire Gloucestershire Cambridgeshire Hertfordshire Wiltshire Derbyshire Bedfordshire Lincolnshire
00:00:00 00:07:12 00:14:24 00:21:36 00:28:48 00:36:00 00:43:12 00:50:24 00:57:36 01:04:48 01:12:00 Average response times Cumbria Dyfed - Powys Lincolnshire West Mercia Derbyshire • only 20 forces (of 42) had average response time of under • wide variation (MPS 10.5 mins, Cumbria 66 mins) Average P1 and P2 calls received to on scene Norfolk 30 mins Nottinghamshire Staffordshire Gloucestershire North Wales Cambridgeshire Kent Devon & Cornwall Wiltshire Bedfordshire Warwickshire Hertfordshire Gwent North Yorkshire Hampshire Suffolk Sussex Cheshire England and Wales average response time South Yorkshire South Wales Lancashire Northamptonshire Avon & Somerset Merseyside Leicestershire Essex Thames Valley BTP Surrey Dorset Durham West Midlands Cleveland West Yorkshire Northumbria GMP MPS
Costs • 2008/09 - £57.5m (£45m revenue + £12.5m capital) to provide and operate 33 aircraft on a 10-yr replacement cycle • 2017/18 - £50.5m (£38.3m revenue + £12.2m capital) to operate 19 aircraft on a 15-yr replacement cycle (although 4/19 now 15+ yrs old) – 4 fixed-wing aircraft already purchased but additional capital bid being prepared to provide helicopter replacement
Charging structure • charges are based solely on the number of actioned calls for service by force in the preceding calendar year • no allowance is made for differences in attendance rates or response times • force perceptions of unfairness
0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% Dyfed - Powys Cleveland £ as a proportion of NRE North Wales South Yorkshire Suffolk Dorset Merseyside Gwent Proportion of budget (NRE) spent on NPAS contributions 2016/17 South Wales Cheshire Essex Lancashire Durham Warwickshire 20 times higher than Lincolnshire Dyfed-Powys proportion of NRE spent on NPAS was Northumbria Devon & Cornwall Avon & Somerset Surrey West Yorkshire Cambridgeshire Wiltshire Nottinghamshire Gloucestershire Northamptonshire Bedfordshire GMP West Midlands Derbyshire Thames Valley West Mercia Leicestershire Staffordshire Hertfordshire Sussex Hampshire MPS Norfolk Kent North Yorkshire Cumbria Lincolnshire
Main recommendations (draft) • develop new air support strategy • keep NPCC and NPAS lead roles separate • update all relevant APP • assess demand comprehensively • stagger NPAS shift change-over times between bases • review aircraft deployment model • clarify plans for the four new fixed-wing aircraft • further develop performance reporting
Main recommendations (cont.) • involve Specialist Capabilities Programme to develop force requirements for air support • ensure all forces/local policing bodies consulted on imminent fleet replacement bid • treat CT network as a force (for charging purposes) • evaluate drone effectiveness • assess the benefits and risks of wider collaboration with other public bodies • and finally, what to do with the existing NPAS collaboration agreement …
Next steps • consult on recommendations and refine the draft • publication by end 2017
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