African Swine Fever (ASF) Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop Hosted - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

African Swine Fever (ASF) Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

Hosted by University of Minnesota and the Swine Health Information Center

July 10, 2019

Welcome!

Polly L. Sullivan, Facilitator, Ready Inc.

Agenda

• 9:00-10:30

– Session Kickoff – ASF Background and Threat Status: Dr. Paul Sundberg

• Break
• 10:45-Noon

– Canada’s Approach to ASF Control: Melissa Dumont, Animal Nutrition Association of Canada – U.S. Soy Supply Chain Overview: United Soybean Board/USSEC Representatives

• Lunch Served
• 12:30-2:45

– Breakout Group Discussion/Short Break/Group Reports

• 2:45-4:00

– Key Messages, Consensus, Next Steps

• Adjourn

Session Kickoff

• Dr. Jerry Shurson, Swine Nutrition, University of Minnesota

Why Are We Here?

• ASF is endemic in China, continues to spread to other countries, and is a

significant threat to U.S. agriculture

• ASF has caused major changes in global trade and supply and demand for

soybean meal and pork

• Feed ingredients, including soybean meal, have been identified as potential risk

factors for ASF transmission

• Many questions, perceptions, and misinformation exist about the risk of ASF

introduction from various feed ingredients

• If ASF enters the U.S., it will have devastating effects on:

– Economy – Soybean meal use, markets, and exports – Domestic pork supply and prices – Inability to export pork

What you told us about …

Your Motivation to Participate

• Learn

– Risk of ASF and FAD introduction through various feed ingredient supply chains – Risk of ASF in imported organic soy from China

• Strategies to prevent ASF introduction in North America are needed

– Must have alignment between U.S. and Canada – Develop strategic partnerships and procedures for U.S. soy response to ASF – Critical for maintaining U.S. soybean meal demand – Identify science-based, practical, and effective risk mitigation and biosecurity procedures that won’t be detrimental to commerce

What you told us about …

Expected Outcomes and Action Items

• Identify potential risk factors for ASF introduction from the soy supply chain
• Develop action plans for prevention, mitigation, and reducing ASF spread if introduced into

North America – Identify critical control points in feed production, distribution, and storage to minimize risk

• f transmission
• Develop a clear, concise, practical biosecurity plan for imported soy products

– Develop an action plan for prevention and mitigation

• Identify knowledge gaps

– Develop industry research collaborations to obtain needed information

• Identify action items needed for developing diagnostic assays capable of detecting virus in

large volumes of feed ingredients

• Develop educational materials and communicate a consistent message to the pork industry

and veterinarians

• Most had none
• Open and transparent communication and don’t violate anti-trust
• Is this issue too big to address?
• If new government regulatory requirements are desired, unintended and

negative consequences must be considered

What you told us about …

Your Reservations and Concerns

What Do We Want to Accomplish Today?

• Begin a conversation and gather information

– All aspects of the soy supply chain, with special interest on imported soy products

• Identify education and research needs focused on:

– Prevention – Mitigation – Product differentiation – Diagnostic assays for feed ingredients

• Develop an action plan, funding sources, and collaborative efforts

– Address education and research needs

Facilitation Briefing and Introductions

Polly L. Sullivan

Objectives

• Identify and discuss the various segments and potential risk

factors of the soy supply chain in North America

• Identify and discuss potential prevention, mitigation, and product

differentiation (country of origin) strategies for soy products used in the U.S. pork industry

• Identify research and education needs related to foreign animal

viruses and soy products

Tools for Productive Conversations

Listen en & No Note Parking Parking Lot Paus Pause e to Summarize mmarize “PAC”

What is PAC?

Playback Acknowledge Challenge

• Playback
• “What I hear you saying is …”
• “Let me restate to make sure I understand …”
• Acknowledge
• “I agree that …”
• “You’re right, it’s important to …”
• Challenge
• “What about …?”
• “Have you considered …”
• “How would we address …”

Source: The Secrets of Facilitation: The S.M.A.R.T. Guide to Getting Results with Groups by Michael Wilkinson

Introductions

• Your name, title and organization/company
• Your organization or company’s role in the soybean,

feed or pork supply chain

ASF Background and Threat Status

• Dr. Paul Sundberg, Swine Health Information Center

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

African Swine Fever (ASF) Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

Paul Sundberg, DVM, PhD, DACVPM Swine Health Information Center

psundberg@swinehealth.org

• Wild boar: Poland,

Ukraine, Romania

• Domestic: Ukraine,

Romania

• Rise of incidence

in domestic pigs

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

Keeping an eye on it . . .

Official Reports

• As of Feb. 27th, there

are 116 officially reported ASF cases in China.

• As of Jan. 27th, MARA

has lifted bans in 92 ASF epidemic areas.

• 900,000 pigs culled
• Five ‘zones’ for control,

cleanup and marketing

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

Keeping an eye on it . . .

July 2019 30% - 85% loss in breeding herds per province February 2019 China Swine Association

Zhengzhou City of He Nan Province

Message from the conference:

• There is an estimation of

loss 30%-35% of pigs in this country, means 200M-300M units of pigs

• It is estimated up to 60%

losses in some provinces like Shandong, Henan

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

ASF in Southeast Asia

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

Food and Ag Policy Research Institute – ASF in the US First year of outbreak in the United States revenue loss by commodity would be

• $8 billion for pork

–pork sector = $20B to US economy (USDA 2017)

• $3 billion for beef
• $4 billion for corn
• $1.5 billion for soybeans

Hayes D, Fabiosa J, Elobeid A, Carriquiry M. 2011. “Economy Wide Impacts of a Foreign Animal Disease in the United States.” Working Paper 11-WP 525

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

• Monitoring of disease threats and ongoing review of swine disease

control efforts to determine their effectiveness.

• Ongoing dialogue with Canadian and Mexican government, swine and

health organizations to collaborate and implement practices that would protect the North America Swine Herd from entry of a Foreign Animal Disease.

• Restrict imports of soy-based animal feed products from countries of

high risk to transmit FAD

• Adopt a responsible feed ingredient sourcing strategy for all imported

products to prevent the introduction of FADs into the US.

2019 Pork Industry Forum – NPPC - NPB

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

• Evaluate swine FAD virus viability in pig feed or feedstuffs and develop

feed holding time information as it relates to transport and storage to assist in disease prevention.

• Develop a science based plan to safely introduce essential feed and

feed ingredients, as well as other products, from countries of high risk

• Focus communication, education, funding and research activities by

all NPB staff, committees of the NPB, governmental agencies, other industry organizations, all vendors to the USA swine industry and all producers to keep the US national swine herd free of all FADs including and especially targeting ASF.

2019 Pork Industry Forum – NPPC - NPB

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

What about feed?

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

23 Ports of Entry since 2016

• 82% from 4 ports
• San Francisco
• Baltimore
• Seattle
• New Orleans

Source: NPPC ->

Soybean meal imports?

Feed or feed components??

Batch 1 (d 1 PI) Batch 2 (d 8 PI) Batch 3 (d 25 PI) Batch 4 (d 37 PI)

Mean daily temperature & % RH data utilized during the Trans-Pacific model

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 China Pacific USA

Dec 23-30, 2012 Dec 31, 2012- Jan 15, 2013 Jan 16-28, 2013

C0 % RH

ASFV: Relationship of Trans-Atlantic route and sampling points

Batch 1 (d 1 PI) Batch 2 (d 9 PI) Batch 3 (d 19 PI) Batch 4 (d 30 PI)

Mean daily temperature & % RH

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 5-Apr 6-Apr 7-Apr 8-Apr 9-Apr 10-Apr 11-Apr 12-Apr 13-Apr 14-Apr 15-Apr 16-Apr 17-Apr 18-Apr 19-Apr 20-Apr 21-Apr 22-Apr 23-Apr 24-Apr 25-Apr 26-Apr 27-Apr 28-Apr 29-Apr 30-Apr 1-May 2-May 3-May 4-May

Atlantic Ocean New York City CLE: CHI: DSM

European segment Oceanic segment

Warsaw-Hannover-Le Harve

% RH C 0 Study Period

Results: Summary of virus survival across both models (37 DPI or 30 DPI)

Ingredient

SVA (FMDV) ASFV PSV (SVDV) PEDV FCV (VESV) PCV2 BHV-1 (PRV) PRRSV 174 BVDV (CSFV) VSV CDV (NiV) IAV-S

Soybean meal- Conventional (+) (+) (+) (+) (+) (-) (+) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) Soybean meal-Organic (-) (+) (+) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Soy oil cake (+) (+) (+) NT (-) (-) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) DDGS (+) (-) (-) NT (-) (-) (-) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) Lysine (+) (-) (+) (+) (+) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Choline (+) (+) (-) (+) (-) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) VitaminD (+) (-) (+) (+) (-) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Moist cat food (+) (+) (+) NT (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Moist dog food (+) (+) (+) NT (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Dry dog food (+) (+) (+) NT (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Pork sausagecasings (+) (+) (+) NT (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Complete feed (+ control) (+) (+) (+) NT (+) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Complete feed (- control) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) Stock virus control (-) (+) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-) (-)

Niederwerder et al., 2019. Emerging Infectious Diseases.

ASF in feed and water – one exposure

Niederwerder et al., 2019. Emerging Infectious Diseases.

ASF in feed and water – ten exposures

Niederwerder et al., 2019. Emerging Infectious Diseases.

ASF in feed and water – twenty exposures

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

Task Force Objective: There is agreement that there is risk of introduction of pathogens into and within the U.S. via imported feed products. The Task Force will evaluate the risk and help decide what actions need to be taken to protect the U.S. pork industry from that risk. Actions should be achievable, based on science and minimize trade disruptions.

• Pork producers, associations, feed-related researchers
• 14 people from USG: FDA and APHIS VS, PPQ, PPD; ARS FADDL
• AFIA, NGFA, US poultry, NMPF, NCBA

Feed Risk Task Force – June 11

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

The identification of gaps in knowledge and subsequent research needs included:

• development of diagnostic testing capability for feed/ingredients,
• development of a response plan that will support feed/ingredient monitoring for FAD

contamination

• performing a risk assessment for potential spread of a disease once identified within

the US,

• development of a plan to assess and mitigate contamination within the feed system
• nce the virus is identified within the US
• evaluation of the regulatory needs and feasibility of potential regulatory actions for

feed importation, and

• development and evaluation of efficacy of mitigations for feed contamination.

Feed Risk Task Force – June 11

global disease monitoring, targeted research investments and analysis of swine health data

www.swinehealth.org

BREAK

ASF-Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

Pathogen Detection & Surveillance

Dr Declan Schroeder, Molecular Virology, Department of Veterinary Medicine

June 24th 2019

Baltimore Classification

Poxviridae Iridoviridae

Figure 2. Phylogeny showing EhV (arrow head) and ASFV (arrow) embedded within a megavirus clade, outside the families Poxviridae & Iridoviridae. Adapted from Sharma et al (2014)1, Inserts: Electron micrograph images of a) EhV, bar=170nm and b) ASFV, bar=50nm. Mackinder et al (2009)10 and Andres et al (1998)28, respectively. b a

Eukaryotes

Worden et al. Science 2015

Figure 2. Phylogenetic tree of the RNA polymerase II beta subunit.

Boyer M, Madoui MA, Gimenez G, La Scola B, Raoult D (2010) Phylogenetic and Phyletic Studies of Informational Genes in Genomes Highlight Existence of a 4th Domain of Life Including Giant Viruses. PLOS ONE 5(12): e15530. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0015530 https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0015530

Giant viruses (NCLDVs)

Batch Lysis Virus Concentration Spike complete feed

B) A)

Kill curves

D)

Spike Pilot Scale

C)

Mechanistic analysis Kill data (growth inhibition)

+ + +

Kill curves Kill data (growth inhibition)

+ +

Figure 5. Experimental flow chart illustrating the four-step process required for the development of the RISNA assay

WELCOME BACK – Let’s Recap

ASF-Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

Canada’s Approach to ASF Control in the Feed Ingredient Supply Chain

Melissa Dumont, Animal Nutrition Association of Canada

Current U.S. Soybean Meal Imports

Philip Lobo Minneapolis, MN July 10, 2019

Objectives

• Background
• U.S. Soybean Meal and Cake Imports
• What We Have Learned

USB Background

• 73 USB Directors
• About 570,000 Soybean Farmers
• Averaged $81.7 Million in National Checkoff Collections over Past Five

Years*

• Used for education, outreach and promotion

*USB Diligent Board Books 7/18, 7/17, 7/16, 7/15, 7/14

Swine 6.9 24%

Dairy 2.6 9%

Beef 0.24 1%

Other 0.5 2.1% Poultry 18.1 64%

2017 Domestic SBM Feed Utilization (million metric tons, excluding hulls)

Source: Soybean Meal Demand Analysis, Decision Innovation Solutions, Sept. 2018

Total of 28.3 million metric tons High volume but relatively lower risk due to heat and solvent treatment

Swine 0.1 3% Dairy 1.3 57% Beef 0.9 41%

2017 Domestic Hull Feed Utilization (million metric tons)

Source: Soybean Meal Demand Analysis, Decision Innovation Solutions, Sept. 2018

Total of 2.3 million metric tons Low volume but higher risk due to minimal heat and no solvent exposure

Soy Checkoff Actions

• Supported Scott Dee’s work on mitigants for FADs
• Protocol for USSEC-funded travel outside the U.S.
• Protocol for travel to USSEC organized events inside and
• utside the United States
• Moratorium on all swine related activities in which teams would

be organized from an ASF positive country

Source: Soybean Meal Demand Analysis, Decision Innovation Solutions, Sept. 2018

Long Beach Houston Oakland Vancouver Tacoma Los Angeles

U.S. Soy Value Chain

Soybean Farmer Elevator Soybean Processor Feed Miller Truck Truck/ Train Truck/ Train Livestock Farmer Truck Manure Truck

Risk Factors

• Hulls
• Transportation
• Manure

Overview of Commercial Soy Extraction

• Cleaning
• Dehulling

– Reduces meal fiber, increases protein

• Conditioning—150 degrees F for 15-30 minutes
• Flaking—Additional pressure and heat
• Extracting—Soak in solvent at 145-150 degrees F for 30-40

minutes

• Desolventizer/Toaster/Dryer/Cooler (DTDC)

– 150-165 degrees F for 10-15 minutes – 220 degrees F for 45-60 minutes

Source: Richard Clough, Ph.D. Texas A&M University

Overview of Commercial Soy Extrusion

• Cleaning

– Removing foreign material and stones

• Dehulling (Optional)

– Reduces meal fiber, increases protein

• Grinding

– Coarse/Fine, depending upon the type of extruder used

• Extrusion—130 degrees C to 150 degrees C

– Depending upon the extruder (Dry/Wet)

• Drying/Cooling

– Depending upon the types of extruder used to process soybeans

Source: Mian Riaz, Ph.D. Texas A&M University

U.S. Soybean Meal Imports

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Provided by Mark Ash, USDA, ERS 6/7/2019

World Total

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19

U.S. Soybean Meal and Cake Imports by month January 2017-April 2019

World Total India Canada Turkey China Norway(*)

China Canada India Turkey Metric Tons Norway*

(*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Provided by Mark Ash, USDA, ERS 6/7/2019

China Metric Tons

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000

1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17 1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18 1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19

U.S. Soybean Meal and Cake Imports from China by month January 2017-April 2019

ASF Outbreak Reported 8/18

Source: PIERS data Provided by IHS Markit, 6/18/2019

Metric Tons

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 HOUSTON LONG BEACH LOS ANGELES OAKLAND TACOMA VANCOUVER BC

2019 SBM Imports from China by Port of Entry

Harmonized Codes 120810-Flours and meals of soybeans 120100-Organic soybeans whether or not unbroken 210690-Meal organic soybean 150790-Soybean oil, refined and fractions, not modified

What We Have Learned

What We Have Learned

• Volume imported from China is decreasing
• The vast majority is coming in through one port

– Need to determine:

• How to reach these companies/ Make them aware
• Help ensure the biosecurity of future shipments
• How to help organic pork producers
• Ramifications of an outbreak are enormous

– Can ruin a huge portion of the domestic pork and feed industries

While the U.S. Soybean Export Council (USSEC) does not guarantee the forecasts or statements of USSEC Staff or Contractors, we have taken care in selecting them to represent our organization. We believe they are knowledgeable and their presentations and opinions will provide listeners with detailed information and valuable insights into the U.S. Soy and U.S. Ag Industry. We welcome further questions and always encourage listeners to seek a wide array of opinions before making any financial decisions based on the information presented. Accordingly, USSEC will not accept any liability stemming from the information contained in this presentation.

Thank You

What are the greatest risk factors for ASF introduction into the soy supply chain?

Discussion

Lunch is Served Please Return at 12:30 PM

ASF-Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

WELCOME BACK – Let’s Recap

ASF-Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

Breakout Assignments

Group 1 Jennifer van de Ligt

• Lisa Becton
• Stephanie Burgess
• Paul Burke
• Paul Davis
• Ben Warren

Group 2 Paul Sundberg

• Melissa Dumont
• Keenan McRoberts
• Amanda Palowski
• Mike Spangler
• Liz Wagstrom

Group 3 Polly Sullivan

• Brian Balukoff
• David Fairfield
• Dawn Hunter
• Conley Nelson
• Mickie Trudeau

Group 4 Pedro Urriola

• David Holzgraefe
• AJ Mercado
• Declan Schroeder
• Brigette Shelley
• Gordon Spronk

Group 5 Jerry Shurson

• Mike Bohmbach
• Clayton Johnson
• Dan Jones
• Philip Lobo
• Harry Snelson

Group Reports and Feedback

ASF-Soybean Meal Supply Chain Workshop

What do pork producers and soybean growers need to know?

Discussion

Summary and Consensus

• Objectives and Outcomes

– Potential risk factors – Prevention, mitigation, product differentiation strategies – Communication and research needs

• Key Messages
• Parking Lot
• Next Steps

Closing Discussion

• What’s your primary takeaway from today’s session?
• What next steps will you take within your
• rganization?
• What actions do you expect researchers and industry

associations to take?