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Impacts of Performance-Based Research Funding Systems: A review of the concerns and the evidence OECD-Norway Workshop on Performance-Based Funding for Public Research in Tertiary Education Institutions Paris, 21 June 2010 Linda Butler REPP,


  1. Impacts of Performance-Based Research Funding Systems: A review of the concerns and the evidence OECD-Norway Workshop on Performance-Based Funding for Public Research in Tertiary Education Institutions Paris, 21 June 2010 Linda Butler REPP, Australian National University TAISIW, University of Newcastle

  2. Structure of today‟s presentation  Brief discussion of the issues to be faced  Range of intended and unintended outcomes  Review of the evidence  Policy implications of findings  Initial suggestions for further research 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 2

  3. Assessing impact – a tricky exercise  Distinguishing between intended and unintended consequences  Demonstrating causality  Distinguishing between reality and perception  Determining whether or not outcomes are desirable  Evidence-based rather than anecdotal 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 3

  4. Limited evidence  UK Research Assessment Exercise HEFCE commissioned studies (e.g. McNay, Evaluation • Associates) – surveys and interviews Research Information Network - survey • Roberts Review – surveys, workshops, consultation •  New Zealand PBRF Ministry of Education – quantitative analyses •  Australia, Norway, Spain bibliometric analysis • 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 4

  5. Intended outcomes All countries:  Distribute funding Most countries:  Improve the quality of research  Increase accountability for government funding Country-specific  Improve international competitiveness (Hong Kong)  Stock-take of current strengths and weaknesses (Australia)  Increase international visibility (Spain)  Increase proportion of staff with doctorates (Sweden) 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 5

  6. Unintended outcomes  Increased publication output  Changes in publication practices  Pressures on staff morale  Transfer market for academic „stars‟  Downplay teaching role  Pressures on discipline mix  Hindering interdisciplinary, “blue sky”, collaborative research  Biased against local/national and applied research  Improved information management systems 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 6

  7. Impact on funding  PBRFs achieve their primary goal as a funding mechanism  NZ government has undertaken the most detailed analysis of impact at the institutional level  Analysis of UK RAE outcomes often carried out in the press (THES, Guardian) • led to increased concentration of funding – until the 2008 exercise Given the ready availability of data, it is surprising more governments have not undertaken a NZ-style analysis 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 7

  8. Impact on quality  A belief that PRFSs have led to an improvement in the quality of research in a number of countries (e.g. UK)  A concentration on productivity has led to a decline in relative performance by Australia Bibliometric analyses can shed light on changes in performance in the sciences … but must be restricted to university data, and must investigate alternative explanations 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 8

  9. Improved quality - UK Source: Adams & Gurney 2010 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 9

  10. Impact on productivity  Many countries claim an increased publication output as a result of PRFSs A number of bibliometric studies of publication trends have been undertaken e.g. for the UK, Australia, Spain and Norway 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 10

  11. Increased productivity - Australia 3.0 Australian universities' share of world publications 2003: Proposed 1993: introduction of 1999: 1st review introduction of metrics publications collection of HE funding 2.5 2.0 Q1 journals Q2 journals 1.5 Q3 journals Q4 journals 1.0 0.5 0.0 1981-85 1983-87 1985-89 1987-91 1989-93 1991-95 1993-97 1995-99 1997-01 1999-03 2001-05 2003-07 6 November 2009 11 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle

  12. Impact on choice of publication outlet  Concern that publication practices are altered to suit the „best strategy‟ for assessment  Most commonly raised concern is a move to journal publications in disciplines where other outlets have traditionally been more important A number of surveys and data-based studies have been undertaken with a focus on the RAE 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 12

  13. Change in publication outlets from 2002 to 2008 - UK Source: Fry et al. 2009b 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 13

  14. Impact on staff morale  Some PRFSs require the identification of „research active‟ staff • UK, New Zealand, Hong Kong  Even when handled sensitively, the need to be selective becomes divisive Evidence is largely anecdotal and/or survey based. Academic unions are the lobby group most active on this issue 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 14

  15. Impact on teaching  Considerable concerns that role of teaching is being down-graded  Difficulty in assessing teaching quality means it is hard to verify any claimed changes  Most „evidence‟ is anecdotal An analysis of teaching contracts over time may provide some insight; particularly if combined with detailed surveys of both academics and HR administrators 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 15

  16. Impact on discipline mix  Different PRFSs lead to concerns about (dis)advantages flowing to particular discipline groups • In quantitative studies, HASS disciplines believed to be at a disadvantage • In qualitative studies, a concern that disciplines with a newly emerging research culture are disadvantaged • In NZ there are concerns that the PBRF discipline weightings were too influential on funding outcomes Evidence is largely anecdotal, though time-series bibliometric analyses could provide insight 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 16

  17. Impact on type of research  Concern that certain types of research are disadvantaged: • Interdisciplinary research • “Blue skies” research • Research of local or regional significance • Applied research  Evidence Ltd undertook an analysis of UK RAE outcomes for HEFCE and found no sign of bias against interdisciplinary research Evidence largely anecdotal, with some surveys undertaken in relation to the RAE 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 17

  18. Impact on collaboration  Concerns have been raised that PBRFs will lead to a reduction in collaboration  To allay concerns: • RAE allows all contributing authors to submit a publication for assessment • Australian ERA chose not to fractionate publication and citation counts between authors/institutions Evidence largely anecdotal, with some surveys undertaken in relation to RAE. Time series bibliometric analysis could provide some insight into trends 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 18

  19. Impact on institutional management practices PRFSs are credited with a number of management responses:  Contributing to a significant improvement in information management systems  Moves to introduce metrics-based systems led to establishment of institutional repositories  Concerns about loss of researcher autonomy  Departmental restructuring after results appear  Strategic recruitment Reports of management responses often appear in the popular media; some surveys of UK universities 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 19

  20. Overt game-playing  Universities will always seek to maximise their returns from a PRFS  Some of the most commonly criticised practises are: • Strategic recruitment just prior to PRFS • „Salami - slicing‟ publications • Forming citation clubs Evidence is largely anecdotal. Staff data and bibliometric analysis may provide insights into some of these issues. 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 20

  21. Policy challenges  Being confident of causality  Conflicting signals  Inconsistent outcomes  Is impact due to a specific system, or simply the existence of an assessment regime?  Are the behavioural responses negative or positive?  The mediating influences of parallel reward systems. Other government schemes • Reputational ranking exercises •  Institutional versus individual responses/assessment 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 21

  22. More evidence needed  Are there any relevant unpublished analyses (e.g. internal government documents)?  Are there any relevant analyses published in languages other than English?  Setting up multi-national, multi-dimensional studies Bibliometrics + surveys + in-depth sociological studies •  Applying successful analyses to additional systems e.g. bibliometric analyses of trends in co-citation and co- authorship patterns; compare sectors/countries subject to PRFSs to those outside their influence 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 22

  23. We know what needs to be studied … the challenge is to facilitate this happening 6 November 2009 Linda Butler: ANU / Univ Newcastle 23

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