SLIDE 1
Damon Ellender, PhD Candidate, UNSW School of Electrical Engineering, ACSER
Market Analysis
- What is the product?
- Where is it needed?
- Who is the customer?
- What is the value of the product where the customer
A market analysis for commercial ISRU production Market Analysis - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A market analysis for commercial ISRU production Market Analysis - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Damon Ellender, PhD Candidate, UNSW School of Electrical Engineering, ACSER A market analysis for commercial ISRU production Market Analysis What is the product? Where is it needed? Who is the customer? What is the value of the
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
Why choose propellant for ISRU?
Largest Proportion of launch payload from Earth >90%
- For every kg delivered
- to the moon, need 53 kg fuel..
- r a total of 424kg fuel for every 1kg returned to LEO
- To Mars, need 75 kg fuel
- Or a total of 675kg for every 1kg returned to LEO.
Relatively Simple, Easy to Automate, Generation Processes
- Electrolysis ,Sabatier, Reverse Water Gas Shift
- For every kg of total ISRU system mass delivered to Mars*
- A Lox/LCH4 ISRU system can produce 20 kg of propellant
- A Lox-only ISRU system can produce 3 kg of propellant
* Abbud-Madrid et al, 2016, Report of the Mars Water In-Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU) Planning (M-WIP) Study; 90 p, posted April, 2016 at http://mepag.nasa.gov/reports/Mars_Water_ISRU_Study.pptx
2
Earth Moon Mars Earth
- 53
75
- 10
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Propellant required per kg
SLIDE 4
Potential Demand(Mars)
- 5
10 15 20 25 30 LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) NASA DRM 25 7 17
Tonnes
- 500
1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) SpaceX 1,953 547 280
Tonnes
SLIDE 5
Potential Revenue , k$
4
- 5,000
10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) SpaceX 23,438 6,562 3,358
- 50
100 150 200 250 300 350 LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) LO2 LCH4 H2O(ECLS) NASA DRM 300 84 204
- Based on US$160/kg O2 cost
- Does not include cost of saved launches.
SLIDE 6
Next Steps for Commercial Development
- Identify and Prove Resources
- Identify, Develop and Prove ISRU Technologies
- Evaluate Ideal Storage Locations
- Establish Funding
5
SLIDE 7
Other Commercial ISRU Potential
- Other Resources
- Moon
- Asteroids
- Earth LEO
- Other Products
- Solar Panels
- 3D Printing
feedstock
- Batteries
- Other Locations
- Arctic and Antarctic
Science Stations
- Remote Mine Sites
- Remote
Communities
SLIDE 8
Conclusion
- There is potentially significant market for ISRU consumables
- Resource Exploration and Technology needs to invested in.