9 May 2013 Dean Dransfield Owner & Director John Stawyskyj - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

9 may 2013 dean dransfield owner director john stawyskyj
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9 May 2013 Dean Dransfield Owner & Director John Stawyskyj - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Australian Hotel Development 9 May 2013 Dean Dransfield Owner & Director John Stawyskyj Practice Head Hotels, Gaming & Leisure Michael Moret-Lalli Director of Acquisitions Lindsay Leeser Director Development Pacific Nonda


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Dean Dransfield Owner & Director John Stawyskyj Practice Head – Hotels, Gaming & Leisure Michael Moret-Lalli Director of Acquisitions Lindsay Leeser Director Development Pacific Nonda Katsalidis Founding Partner

Australian Hotel Development 9 May 2013

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Australian Hotel Development The next cycle

2013

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Dransfield Hotels & Resorts

Hotel, Tourism & Leisure industry specialists

  • 55,000 rooms, 500 projects, over 20 years experience
  • Principals & advisors over a wide range of hotel & resort assets
  • Complimentary service streams
  • Development,
  • Advice and Management,
  • Strata title
  • Transactions,
  • Buy & Sell,
  • Debt & Equity Raising
  • Operator selection
  • Independent Experts
  • Core clients
  • Owners – corporates, funds, private equity, owner operators
  • Developers – small - large
  • Financiers – mortgage funds, banks
  • Operators
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Dransfield Current Development Projects

  • Australia 108, Melbourne, 300 room 6 star new

build, mixed use

  • Zoo, Eco Lodge <150 rooms
  • University, 4 star Hotel 200 rooms
  • Sydney fringe 3 star 120 rooms
  • Sydney Central, 120 room boutique 4 star with

iconic bar

  • Brisbane Fringe 200 room 4 star
  • Various Regional In several states
  • The Watson, Adelaide mixed use 200 apartments
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Market Overview

2011

  • RevPAR growth of 4.6% slightly below our 5.3% forecast
  • Perth (15.1%), Brisbane (7.6%) and Sydney (7.1%) strongest performing markets
  • Gold Coast (-2.7%) and Adelaide (-2.2%) only markets to experience a decline
  • Market defined by limited supply and demand growth with rate growth

the key to overall performance

  • High midweek occupancies in major cities continued to constrain demand

and promote rate growth

2012

  • RevPAR growth of 4.1%YTD above our full year 3.8% forecast
  • Darwin (16.5%) and Perth (10.5%) leading all markets
  • Sydney and Melbourne displaying flatter growth with 2.0% and 1.5% growth respectively
  • Domestic departures experienced a 5.4% increase on prior year (averaged

9.6% previous 5 years)

  • International arrivals grew by 4.6% on the prior year (Averaged 1.2%

previous 5 years)

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Hotel Room Supply

Supply growth constrained last 10 yrs, meaningful new supply 3-5 yrs away

  • In 2011 Australian major city hotel supply increased by only 1.2% slightly higher than 0.7% increase

in 2010

  • This represents the 10th consecutive year of annual supply growth of <3%
  • A net total increase of only 10,319 (13.4%) rooms have been added since 2000
  • Sydney, Perth & Brisbane will find it difficult to generate demand growth as they are full midweek

Rooms 2011 # % 2000 2011 Melbourne 17,114 6,147 56.1% 73.6% 78.9% Darwin 3,672 1,073 41.3% 67.2% 70.6% Adelaide 4,598 1,075 30.5% 68.1% 74.5% Brisbane 8,238 1,683 25.7% 64.4% 80.0% Hobart 2,597 506 24.2% 62.6% 72.9% Perth 5,820 651 12.6% 69.1% 84.1% Cairns 7,396 480 6.9% 64.8% 62.4% Gold Coast 13,114

  • 136
  • 1.0%

61.8% 65.3% Sydney 19,770

  • 899
  • 4.4%

71.2% 85.8% Canberra 4,761

  • 261
  • 5.2%

60.1% 73.2% Australia 87,079 10,319 13.4% 67.4% 76.4% Source: ABS Growth Occupancy City Supply Movement Since 2000

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Market Overview – Supply Forecasts

  • Our supply forecasts over short, medium & long term are a downgrade on prior expectations
  • Hotel Development over the next 5 years in Australia is forecast to be more than triple that

experienced over the past 5 years

  • Of the 25,000 rooms forecast to be added to 2020, only 25% can be attributed to specific projects
  • Hotels wanting to open by 2016 need to be commencing in 2013

Development Cycle on its way

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Melbourne v. Sydney

A very different supply story

Melbourne Sydney

  • Melbourne has increased supply by 56%

since 2000 v. Sydney’s reduction of 4.4%

  • Demand has absorbed much of the new

supply in Melbourne

 Melbourne the only major market to add significant supply over the past 5 years adding 2,300 rooms or 16% since 2007  2011 occupancy of 78.9% was above the

  • ccupancy prior to the most recent

development cycle

  • A combination of factors has constrained

new development in Sydney:

 Hotel development has not generally been feasible over last 10 yrs or not been best use  Lack of available quality sites  Assets selling at a significant discount to development cost

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Common Development Mistakes

  • Limited Australian hotel development experience
  • Misunderstanding on who bears forecast risk, particularly start-up
  • Brand presence and position vs. operator capability and suitability
  • Weighting of determining factors – i.e. best forecast not necessarily best
  • perator
  • Blind obedience to truisms
  • Inability to match management structures with effects on end value
  • Design focus as opposed to financial outcome driven, VM failure
  • Missing project costs (underestimate equity requirements)
  • Demand study vs. feasibility
  • Process often driven from wrong person and core assumption (I should have a

hotel rather than should I have a hotel) Hotel development is poorly understood in Australia

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New Build Characteristics and Trends

  • Product type is typically smaller and investment friendly and includes:-

 150-220 room 4-4.5 star  Smaller rooms, smarter design  Recent focus on medium/long term stay product, supported by kitchenette facilities  Very limited resort stock  Some regional stock – typically special purpose (mining/infrastructure/university)

  • Sources of new hotel development

 1st time/inexperienced developer  Offshore – China and South East Asia  Traditional major developers and market participants, usually limited hotel experience

  • Mixed use/place making is a common driver and can change the financial rules
  • Institutional and new investors are open to hotels including some new
  • Reduced over built product
  • Oversupply of capital, undersupply of experienced developers
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Development Feasibility Process

Size Access/Infrastructure

Stage 1

Location Existing attractions Approvals

Site Assessment

Stage 2

Preliminary Feasibility

Supply / Demand Equation Key Product Assumptions

Stage 3 Stage 4

Structure & Detail Execution

Work up alternative schemes Financing Plan - debt/equity Sell down/exit strategy Sensitivity analysis Operator selection & input Further DA approval Market testing Marketing end product Finance Construction Business Plan Pre-opening Operator Agreement Opening Pre-sales Key Risks Initial Buildability Financial Focus Update Feasibility Update Feasibility

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Hotel Development Stakeholders

Developer Operator Financier

The Exit Developer

  • Often limited hotel experience
  • Rely on Hotel operator to solve
  • Don’t understand management options
  • Confuse retail brand with development

needs

  • Don’t understand MLR vs.

single title

  • Wants to lay off operating

risks

  • Trust architect
  • Difficult exit

Financier

  • Limited engagement
  • Variable rules
  • Final veto power
  • Vacant possession highly desirable

Operator

  • Generally passive approach to

development

  • Many anti development rules
  • Resist operating risk
  • Limited/no capital
  • “Technical Services” focus on brand

and operations

Feasible development relies on a relatively small overlap between stakeholders that needs to be skillfully managed, this is an operator opportunity

  • One line
  • Retail if strata/MLR
  • Pre or post commencement
  • Is it after construction and maturity?
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The role of Capital and other Discipline

  • A key issue that frustrates feasibility is the inability to manage capital

costs

  • The Focus on the design goal needs to be reversed to a focus on a

capital cost goal which is designed towards.

  • There is significant variance in market commentary on the cost per

room for similar standard built form

  • Strong developers with good teams and building credentials send the

able to bring in projects at appreciably lower cost than jigsaw teams

  • There often seems to be no hotel developer in the project team and

sometimes no true developer

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Brisbane Case Study

  • 4.5 Star, approx. 180 room hotel with mixed use components
  • Proven short term accommodation location
  • D&C contract in place
  • In principle approval with council
  • Full turn key solution including development management
  • New build delivery 2015
  • Good return on equity
  • 50% of cost financed

Hotels in the right location with strong project credentials can now work

Project KPIs Development Cost Per Room $245k Approx Total Equity Contribution 23,798,747 Development Margin 28.97% Project IRR 29.16% Equity IRR 33.03% Forecast Performance Yr3 (2017) NOP 5,729,109 Mgmt Fees (excluding Marketing and IT) 863,253 Yield on value on completion @$310k per room 10.0% Yield on Hotel Construct Costs @ $245k per room 12.7%

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Action Timing Investment + Cost

Sell As Is 3-6 Months Land + 50k Rezoning 3-6 Months $100-$150k Approval Preliminary/Stage 1 DA 6-9 Months $250-$500k Full DA 9-15 Months $1-$2m Construction 18-24 Months $150-500k per room

Options for Sitting Land Owners – Extracting Value

Increase Cost, Risk & End Value

  • Actions that Can Assist with Process

 Advanced operator discussions on investment favourable management structure & terms  Fixed price construction contracts  Securing an end take out (Strata Presales/Mixed Use)

  • All about the removal of construction/development risk

 Will vastly increase the number of potential parties  Financing on more agreeable terms

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Funding – Pre GFC vs. Post GFC

  • Sources of equity funding
  • The increasing participation of sovereign wealth funds
  • Hotels on radars of institutional investors and large PE as direct

investment and clubs

  • Funding requirements
  • LVR’s have significantly reduced, we use 50% of cost for good projects
  • Pre sales volumes for strata developments have increased
  • Portfolio Rebalancing
  • Banks limiting exposure in non CBD locations
  • Multiple sources required for Strata Title (Purchaser funding)
  • Mezzanine Funding Replaced with Preferred equity at lower LVR’s
  • Primary financiers available but takes time
  • Require strong fundamentals that are not always being well presented

The fundamentals of lending have changed post GFC

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AUSTRALIA BELGIUM CHINA FRANCE GERMANY HONG KONG SAR INDONESIA (ASSOCIATED OFFICE) ITALY JAPAN PAPUA NEW GUINEA SINGAPORE SPAIN SWEDEN UNITED ARAB EMIRATES UNITED KINGDOM UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Legal Issues for Hotel Development Projects

John Stawyskyj Partner

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Ashurst Hotels & Leisure Practice

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Global Coverage

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Hotels & Leisure Practice

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Areas of Expertise

  • Sale and purchase of hotel assets and hotel groups

(including due diligence)

  • Property development

(including major refurbishment and redevelopment projects)

  • Hotel financing including non-disturbance agreements and

tripartite arrangements with hotel operators

  • Management agreements, franchise agreements and associated

agreements

  • Branded residences, timeshare and fractional ownership
  • Operational issues
  • Intellectual property
  • Dispute handling and litigation

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  • Demonstrable track record, working on many of the largest and most significant

hotel acquisitions and disposals in Australia, Asia and the Middle East. For more than 15 years, our fully integrated hotels & leisure team has been supporting clients in the hotels & leisure sector, giving us a specialist understanding of their unique needs.

  • A full service offering (at a local and cross-border level) covering all legal areas

relevant to the hotels & leisure sector including transactional, due diligence, financing and development, management and operating agreements, joint ventures, planning, tax, intellectual property, employment and general

  • perational advice.
  • A client and sector tailored approach - we make it our business to become

familiar with clients' strategies, issues and challenges along with the way they like to operate, so that we can deliver relevant services efficiently, proactively solve problems and help to achieve commercial aims.

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Why Ashurst Hotels & Leisure?

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Expertise recognised: we are the winner of the following awards: “Number one firm in Hospitality & Tourism Law in Australia” Best Lawyers Australia, 2012 “Australian Real Estate Law Firm

  • f the Year”

Corporate INTL Legal Awards 2011 “Best Large Law Firm” BRW Client Choice Awards, 2011.

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Why Ashurst Hotels & Leisure?

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  • Role of Hotel Investor

– Joint Venture Partner – Hotel Take Out Party

  • Role of Hotel Operator
  • Mixed Use Projects

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Agenda – Legal Issues to Consider

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  • Development Joint Ventures
  • Hotel "Take-Outs"

– Mixed Use Development where site has been apportioned between uses – Either:

  • Purchaser takes development and construction risk
  • Purchaser acquires completed Hotel on completion

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Hotel Development Projects

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  • Choosing the right structure

– Tax effective structures – What is the preferred method of income distribution to partners – Managing insolvency risk with effective security arrangements – Saleability of JV interest – ease of exit if necessary

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Development Joint Ventures

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Development Joint Ventures

Funding and 'Bankability'

Effective security for financiers Pre-sale requirements to

  • btain financing

(eg 50%?) Debt v equity (thin capitalisation issues) Managing capital calls and ongoing funding Tripartite arrangements (eg contractor, JV partners, banks)

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  • Knowing the development and underlying risks

– Due Diligence – property, planning approvals, feasibility – Environmental and Contamination risk – IP ownership and use rights – Third party consent requirements and roadblocks – Dealing with risks in pre-sales contracts where necessary – eg sunset dates – Dealing with termination of related party contracts and cross default provisions

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Development Joint Ventures

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  • Managing the development

– Appointment of independent certifier – PCG meetings and reports – Deadlock structures to deal with JV partner issues

  • Expert determination?
  • Arbitration?
  • Buy out?

– Development Management Fees

  • Retention amounts
  • Consider best structure for fees – eg match with project budget and outputs

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Development Joint Ventures

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"Take Out" structures – some issues

Take on development / construction risk Buy completed Hotel

  • Due Diligence
  • Condition of site and handover
  • Contamination risk
  • When do you take on land
  • wnership costs?
  • Interaction with other parts of

site and development – eg access, damage etc

  • Due diligence – eg on developer, property
  • Ensure sufficiently certain project brief
  • Consider need for any approval rights

during development

  • Query involvement (if any) in

development

  • Reporting obligations on developer
  • Purchaser issue – security for any pre-

payments

  • Developer issue – security for end

payment

  • Fit out contract and interface with

construction contract and staged delivery

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Hotel Operator's Role

  • Practical issues when looking at hotel projects and the

interaction with the hotel operator's requirements including

– brand standards – operator approvals - professional team and plans – interacting with the operator's technical services team – finishing construction whilst the operator wants to start pre-

  • pening activities

– performing works at a hotel after it has commenced operation

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Brand Selection

  • Style of Hotel
  • Market
  • Strength of brand reputation
  • Distribution system of operator
  • ROI requirements
  • Other issues to consider

– construction costs – operating costs – fees – commercial terms – impact of brand on broader development

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Issues Between Owner and Operator

  • Construction program
  • Impact of brand standards
  • Costs of works
  • Timing of opening
  • ROI

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Owner's Responsibilities

  • To construct and fit out the Hotel

– in accordance with

  • plans approved by operator
  • operator's brand standards

– by contractors approved by

  • perator
  • To purchase initial operating

supplies

  • To fund

– initial pre-opening budget – initial working capital requirements – on-going working capital requirements – capital repairs

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Brand Standards

  • The core of any international hotel operator is their brand

and the related “brand standards”

  • What are brand standards
  • Brand standards include

– room sizes and configurations – room fit out – spatial requirements

  • Changes to brand standards

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Operator Approvals

  • Operator approval

– plans and designs – Consultants

  • Changes to plans
  • Completion of works
  • Installation of fit out
  • Warranties
  • Defect rectification

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Operator’s Technical Services Team

  • Technical Services Team
  • Regular meetings
  • Site inspections
  • Costs of site visits
  • Timing of approvals
  • Impact on development and development timing

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Pre-Opening Activities

  • 6 – 12 months prior to Opening Date
  • Staff on site
  • Hiring program
  • Construction program
  • OH&S issues
  • Testing
  • Pre-opening marketing
  • Soft opening

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Works Post Opening Date

  • Operator control of Hotel
  • Operator approval rights

– plans – consultants – construction program

  • Impact on Hotel operation

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Practical issues, from a legal perspective, in relation to mixed use projects and how the different pieces work together

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  • Strata and stratum subdivisions

– Body corporate control – Body corporate rules - eg

  • Ensuring prohibitions on short term letting for residential portions
  • Access to hotel facilities by residential / retail lots
  • Standard of development of residential / retail / commercial commensurate

with hotel standard

– Shared costs and apportionment between lots – Building Management Statements

  • Easements for access, use and light
  • Interaction and discussions with third parties
  • Signage rights – internal and external
  • Branding rights (eg licence to apply hotel brand to residential lots)

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Mixed Use Developments

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Components of Project

  • Who owns what
  • Who controls what
  • Who pays for what
  • Can, and to what extent will, the operator manage the

additional facilities as well as the Hotel

  • How do all the component parts of the scheme compliment

each other

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Consistent Standard

  • Brand standards
  • Who operates what portion of the development
  • Potential impact on the Hotel/guests, e.g.

– shared access/noise/disturbance/competing facilities with those

  • f the Hotel/impact on revenue, e.g. car park and its impact on

feasibility and projected income

  • Control over the operators of the additional facilities, in

particular, in relation to casinos and health clubs

  • Requirement to ensure the other component parts of the

scheme are constructed and maintained to a standard at least equivalent to that of the Hotel

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Components

  • What are the shared facilities and services
  • Is the scheme consistent with what guests

would expect from staying in a particular Brand hotel

  • Are all components parts of a similar standard and

consistent with Brand Standards

  • Essential facilities of the Hotel which should

remain part of the Hotel and operated by the operator, e.g. restaurant/car parking/health club (Brand Standards)

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Users of the Components

  • Any shared facilities – ensure these do not impact on guest

experience

  • Potential disturbance to the guests and operations from

these facilities, e.g. music, noise, late night opening hours, access to these facilities

  • Timing of construction of additional facilities – operating

the hotel in the middle of a building site

  • Competing facilities, e.g. food and beverage facilities, retail
  • Restrict use of any other component as a hotel or other

lodging facility

  • Potential financial implications, both positive and negative

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Sharing of Services and Facilities

  • Need to understand who is responsible for

maintenance/repair/upkeep and the associated costs

  • Equitable apportionment of those costs to the operation of

the Hotel or if operator is managing, apportion costs to

  • ther facilities
  • Estate Charge e.g. for maintenance, security, communal

lighting – how will that be apportioned to the Hotel

  • Ability of Hotel to have some form of control over costs if

charged back to the Hotel operation

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Car Parking

  • Often overlooked, but key component of any scheme
  • Adequacy of spaces set aside for Hotel and its guests,

visitors and employees

  • Are there designated spaces/area for use by Hotel guests,

visitors and employees

  • Obligations regarding signage, maintenance, plant

machinery, e.g. lift that goes from the car park to the Hotel

  • If operated by a third party and therefore revenue and costs

are outside of Hotel P&L, right to have some control mechanism on pricing

  • perator to have the ability to charge users of the Hotel

spaces different amounts, compared to the published prices

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  • FIRB approvals for foreign investors

– Standard conditions regarding commencement of development and minimum development spend

  • Green star and NABERS rating requirements

– Consider cost and requirement by end-users – Impact on design and delivery

  • Form of construction contract

– Design and Construct – Novated Design and Construct – Construct Only

  • Development Management Agreements

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Other points

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Hotel Development

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Development Support

Development Team

  • 4 member team based in Sydney

Technical Services Team

  • 7 member team based in Sydney
  • Regional teams based in Western Sydney

Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth & Auckland Procurement Team

  • 9 member team based in Sydney

Experience

  • Over $300 million in new hotel development in

Australia & New Zealand since 2008

  • Refurbishment of more than 50 hotels in the

region since 2008

Novotel Auckland Airport

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Recent Developments

Pullman Sydney Olympic Park

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Recent Developments

Novotel Auckland Airport Novotel Christchurch

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Recent Developments

Mercure Sydney Liverpool Mercure Gladstone

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Recent Developments

Ibis Adelaide Ibis Sydney King Street Wharf

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Recent Developments

Ibis Budget Auckland Airport Ibis Budget Sydney Olympic Park

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Growth via M&A

Mirvac Acquisition

  • Hotel management company
  • Property assets: Sebel Newcastle & Sebel Mandurah
  • 49.2% investment in Mirvac Wholesale Hotel Fund

The Sebel Mandurah Novotel Newcastle Beach (Previously The Sebel)

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Investor Profiles

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 79% 21% Domestic International 24% 49% 22% 5% Owned/Leased Managed Franchised Strata

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Growth Opportunities

Acquisition of Management Letting Rights Upscale Mixed Use Development New Build Economy Hotels Regional Franchise

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Pictured: Mantra Circle of Cavill, Queensland (two tall towers in centre of image)

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Pictured: Peppers Dunmore, Brisbane, Queensland

 Second largest accommodation provider in Australasia – 112 properties  Three well known consumer brands – Peppers, Mantra and BreakFree (Corporate and Leisure)  $7 billion of hotel assets under management  4,000 employees  2+ million guests per annum  $500 million turnover per annum

Mantra Group at a glance

29 properties / 2,577 rooms(1) Positioning: 5 star 55 properties / 9,008 rooms(1) Positioning: 4–4.5 star 28 properties / 3,258 rooms(1) Positioning: 3 star

Mantra Group brands

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 Consolidation of Mantra Group

Exposure to Leases and MLRs/Serviced Apartments Ownership of business on Balance Sheet

 Strategies and structures that maximise Profit / ROI

Unique Structure

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  • A. Three Brand Strategy

 Business Ownership - control of marketing dollars ($25+ million per annum)  Outcome: best revenue outcomes by developing 3 brands vs. multiple brands

  • B. Truly Centralised Group Services Platform

 Corporate and regional grouping of all back-of-house support departments  Outcomes; i)

Relieve management to focus on service delivery (our guests)

ii)

Ability to attract highly specialised and best in market team

iii) Realise significant overhead savings - deliver average GOP’s at 55%+

  • C. Dedicated Asset Management Division

 Originated out of our exposure to strata-titled properties  Dedicated team providing “only-in-class” complete development solution for Strata Hotels or mixed-use

developments

 Outcome: end-to-end solution

Unique Structure continued

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 Mantra Group offer a range of flexible and tailored development friendly solutions to the market

Flexible and Tailored Development Solutions

Mantra Group Development Solutions

Lease Management Letting Rights Serviced Apartments Mixed Use Ownership Franchise Hotel Management Agreement

Long Term Covenants

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Gold Coast – Peppers Broadbeach MLR Purchase

Pictured: Peppers Broadbeach, Queensland (two tall towers in foreground)

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Pictured: Peppers Cradle Mountain Lodge, Cradle Mountain, Tasmania

Tasmania – Peppers Cradle Mountain Lodge Guaranteed Management Agreement

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Pictured: Peppers Dunmore, Brisbane, Queensland

Brisbane – Peppers Dunmore MLR and Apartment Stock Purchase

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Pictured: Mantra Townsville, Queensland

Townsville – Mantra Townsville Guaranteed Management Agreement

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Pictured: Mantra Nusa Dua, Bali

Bali – Mantra Nusa Dua Franchise

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Pictured: BreakFree Sing Ken Ken, Bali

Bali – BreakFree Sing Ken Ken Management Agreement

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Dean Dransfield Owner & Director John Stawyskyj Practice Head – Hotels, Gaming & Leisure Michael Moret-Lalli Director of Acquisitions Lindsay Leeser Director Development Pacific

Interview and Questions