500,000 Affordable Homes Program
De Deli livery ry fram amework ework and poli licy interven rventio tions ns
November 2018
500,000 Affordable Homes Program De Deli livery ry fram amework - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
500,000 Affordable Homes Program De Deli livery ry fram amework ework and poli licy interven rventio tions ns November 2018 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION Big 4 Agenda Over the next five years and founded on social impact, the Government of
De Deli livery ry fram amework ework and poli licy interven rventio tions ns
November 2018
Big 4 Agenda
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 2 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION Over the next five years and founded on social impact, the Government of Kenya will implement the big four agenda targeting four priority initiatives
Jobs creation at scale Infrastructure investment Competitive utility costs Governance Security Technology innovation 500,000 affordable homes 15% of GDP from the manufacturing sector 100% Food and Nutrition Security 100% Universal Health Coverage (UHC)
Job creati ation at scale le Infrast rastructu ructure re inve vestme stment Comp mpeti titi tive ve util ilit ity y cost sts Gove vernan rnance ce Secu curi rity ty Tech chnolo logy y innovati vation
Why is housing a part of the Big 4 Agenda?
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 3 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
Housing ranks high after food as a fundamental human need.
Our Constitution in Article 43 (1)( b) recognizes the right to accessible and adequate housing, and to reasonable standards of sanitation.
Kenyans in urban area spend a considerable part of their income on rent, for instance, Nairobi residents spend more than 40% of their income on rent, well above the recommended 30%.
The cheapest home formally built by a developer in 2012 cost more than $15,000, which is more than 10 times the average annual income of $1,340.
Available lower income housing is not adequate and does not promote a quality of life that we want as evidenced by the fact that 6.4M Kenyans were living in slums representing about 56% of the country’s urban population.
Affordable housing and economic development
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 4 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
The e afford ffordable ble hous using ing progr rogram m can n have e an impa pact on the e broa
er economy
nd the e deliv livery ery of homes mes Impa pact on GDP GDP Forma rmaliza lization ion
e infor forma mal l sec ecto tor Job
reation ion
estate and construction to GDP will increase from the current 7% to 14% by 2022.
induced in the economy for every USD 1 invested
become an important source of revenue through processing of permits, approvals, and other related activity
that the Jua Kali sector are able to supply inputs to the affordable housing program
materials such as cement
intensive
value created by the spend on affordable housing
constructed, there are 3 – 5 new jobs created
Impa pact on GDP GDP Job
reation ion
The current housing deficit is 1.9M and growing
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 5 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION ▪ It is estimated that Kenya ya has an annual al housin sing deman mand of 250,0 ,000 annuall ally y with an estim imated ated supply ly of 50,0 ,000 p.a. (80% deficit) targeting the high-end market. ▪ In 2010 the deman mand for urban an housi sing was estim imated ated at around 80,0 ,000 units a year, with demand projected to incr crease ase to near arly ly 300 00,0 ,000 unit its s a year by 205 050. . By comparison, in 2013 only ly 15,0 ,000 housin sing constr structi ction permi rmits ts were re issued in Nairo robi, , where most demand exists and most of these were for high-income apartments. ▪ Only ly 2 percen rcent t of formal rmally ly constr structe cted house ses s are targeted ted to the lower inco come segme ments s of the market, which account for the largest share of demand. ▪ Fur urthermore more, , estim imat ates es of hou
sing g deman emand are for new ew hou
sing g only nly and d do
speak ak to the high igh quali alitat tative ive housin sing defi ficit cit in Kenya ya esti timate mated at 1.8 mn mn. . ▪ The high igh cost t of formal rmal housin sing mean ans s that t home me ownersh rship ip is out t of reach ach for most st urban an Kenyan yans s with vast majority of this population finding housing through rental markets (91% in Nairobi) ▪ Kenya has an estimated 25,000 mortgages
SOURCE: State Department for Housing and Urban Development, World Bank
Annual demand for housing 1.000 170.000 Annual supply for housing 80.000 49.000 Annual housing supply vs demand country wide Number High end Low end
We require solutions to enhance supply and facilitate demand
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 6 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
the number of units they can build because there are no guarantees on who will buy
and build only limited numbers
up units
because of lumpy cash flows
to high interest rates and short repayment periods
SUPP PPLY LY SIDE DE DEMAND AND SIDE DE
The affordable housing program incorporates supply, demand, and enabling environment interventions
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 7 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION Demand Enablers Supply
proven demand master plan and mega city approach
mixed use developments with provision of social infrastructure and amenities
affordable developer financing
Provision of land and bulk infrastructure
Infrastructure funding under K.U.S.P
Tax incentives
Tax breaks ( Zero rating of
Stamp duty for first time home owners
Standardised designs and/or processes
Tenant Purchase Schemes
(TPS)
KMRC (extending Mortgages tenures)
Housing Portal to assist in identifying the end buyer
The affordable housing program currently targets three income segments
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 8 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION Income Range: KES 50,000 – KES 99,999
▪
Share of Formally Employed: 22.62% Income Range: KES 15,000 – KES 49,999
▪
Share of Formally Employed: 71.82%% Income Range: KES 0 – KES 14,999
▪
Share of Formally Employed: 2.62% Social Low cost Mortgage Gap Middle to High Income Income Range: KES 100,000 +
▪
Share of Formally Employed: 2.85%
▪
Private Sector will meet this demand
Affordable housing program max. unit costs
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 9 INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
Social housing (Max. Selling Price) Affordable Housing (Max. Selling Price) 1 room KES 2 room KES Bedsitter KES 1 bedroom KES 2 bedroom KES 3 bedroom KES
To enhance range of affordability, we have the maximum cost for each unit to be delivered under the program
Key priority areas
INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
Enha hanc nce e affo ford rdability ility of homes mes by addres ddressing ing inter teres est t rate te and d tenu nure re Reduc duce e cos
t of cons
truction tion per r squa uare re meter ter Cost t of home me owners nership hip %/Years Cost t per r squa quare e meter ter KSh Hous usin ing g progr
mme Mark rket t rate te
31,328 44,754
0% 10 7 8 25
Saccos Hous usin ing g Fund nd Interest Tenure Hous usin ing g spre read for
he affor fforda dable ble homes mes pilla llar by land nd owners nership hip Hous usin ing g spre read Units Priv ivate te Nation tional Tota tal l units its Count unty
150,000 500,000 200,000 150,000 Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 10
Key priority areas
INTRODUC ODUCTIO ION
Close
e low-in income me hous using ing gap p by 60% 60% Crea eate e 350, 0,00 000 0 jobs bs in the e cons
ruction ion sec ecto tor Inc ncre rease e cons
ruction ion sec ecto tor r cont
ribut ution ion to GDP Jobs
eated ed Thousands Contr ntribut ibution ion to GDP KSh Billions
2018 350 000 2022 50 000 +600% 2018 905 452 2022 +100% 2018 170 000 2022
Low income
using ing gap Thousands
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 11
70 000
PROJECT PIPELINE
Project pipeline
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 13 AFFOR ORDA DABLE HOUSING SING PROGRA GRAM
YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5
▪
Park road (1,640)
▪
Makongeni (20,000)
▪
Shauri Moyo (5,300)
▪
Starehe (3,500)
▪
Mavoko (5,500)
▪
Social housing (15,000)
▪
Counties (48,000)
▪
Nairobi and Mombasa County (78,700)
▪
Legacy Project (TBD)
▪
Counties 2 (45,000)
▪
Nairobi Regeneration (20,000)
▪
Police 1 (10,000)
▪
NSSF Land Mavoko P1 (20,000)
▪
Cooperatives 1 (20,000)
▪
Private developers 1 (40,000)
▪
Counties 3 (45,000)
▪
Redevelopment of Nairobi Old Estates 1 (20,000)
▪
Police 2 (10,000)
▪
NSSF Land Mavoko P2 (20,000)
▪
Cooperatives 2 (10,000)
▪
Private Developers 2 (20,000)
▪
Counties 4 (45,000)
▪
Redevelopment of Nairobi Old Estates 2 (20,000)
▪
Police 3 (10,000)
▪
NSSF Land Mavoko P3 (10,000)
▪
Cooperatives 3 (10,000)
▪
Private Developers 3 (20,000)
▪
Counties 5 (45,000)
▪
Redevelopment of Nairobi Old Estates 3 (20,000)
▪
Police 4 (10,000)
▪
Cooperatives 4 (10,000)
▪
Private Developers 4 (20,000) Master planner to support with identification of locations for the funnel projects and development of implementation schedule Lot 1 Lot 2 Lot 3 Lot 4 Lot 5 FY 1 Total: 177,640 FY 2 Total: 155,000 FY 3 Total: 125,000 FY 4 Total: 115,000 FY 5 Total: 105,000
Project pipeline – Lot 1 projects
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 14 AFFOR ORDA DABLE HOUSING SING PROGRA GRAM
Lot 1 projects are further grouped into four categories representing a total development program of 177, 7,64 640 0 units its ▪ Park Road ▪ Starehe A & B ▪ Shauri Moyo A, B, C, D ▪ Makongeni ▪ Mavoko ▪ 47 Counties and Towns ▪ 18 signed counties ▪ Other counties in various stages of reviewing MoU ▪ Transitional housing ▪ Kibera B C, D ▪ Mariguini ▪ Kiambiu
Total al Unit its: s: 35,94 ,940 Total al Unit its: s: 15,0 ,000 Total al Unit its: s: 48,0 ,000 Total al Unit its: s: 67,8 ,800
▪ Bahati ▪ Maringo ▪ Ziwani ▪ Jericho ▪ Lumumba ▪ Gorofani ▪ Bondeni ▪ Shauri Moyo ▪ Hobley ▪ KPC/KPRL
Lot t 1A: : Flagship ip Proje jects Lot t 1B: Flagship ip Socia ial l Housin ing Proje jects Lot t 1C: Countie ies and Towns Lot t 1D: Nairo robi and Mombasa County ty Proje jects ts Lot t 1E: Legacy Proje jects ts
▪ Wote ▪ Voi ▪ Kisumu
Total al Unit its: s: TBD
Rural housing
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 15 AFFOR ORDA DABLE HOUSING SING PROGRA GRAM
One of the major challenges of housing in rural areas is the quality of building materials. We have constructed 92 appr prop
riate buildin ilding g technolo nology gy (ABT) T) cent ntre res acros ross the he count
ry to promote use of local materials in building construction. Resea earch and nd Trainin ining Region gion spec pecif ific ic solu lution tions Matof tofali li Machin hine ▪ Developed with Numerical Machining Complex ▪ Used for manufacture of stabilized soil blocks ▪ Improves walling construction ▪ Reduces construction cost by 30% ▪ Machines to be distributed to ABT centers Fund nding ing ▪ Funding for rural housing to continue from NHC ▪ Offering funding at competitive interest rates of 7% from Housing Fund ▪ Developed with Numerical Machining Complex ▪ Used for manufacture of stabilized soil blocks ▪ Improves walling construction ▪ Reduces construction cost by 30% ▪ Machines to be distributed to ABT centers ▪ Train youth, women, and children in use of building materials ▪ Conduct research on improving local materials for sustainable construction ▪ Modernizing construction practices while preserving cultural values ▪ Improving fire resistance
use of coral stones in coast region ▪ Modernizing roofing in Masai land for water harvesting while maintaining cultural design ▪ Discouraging use of burning bricks in western region which deplete our forests
Slum upgrading and social housing
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 16 AFFOR ORDA DABLE HOUSING SING PROGRA GRAM
Case Study: Slum Upgrading
▪ In every community, we work with settlement executive committees which represent community interests and ensure that those living in the community are beneficiaries ▪ Completed 822 houses in Kibera Soweto A ▪ Sold to those living in the slum and were registered in 2005 ▪ Enumeration was done to confirm and verify the right beneficiaries ▪ Homes were sold as rent-to-own with 25 years tenure and 3% interest rates ▪ One room sold at KES 600k – KES 2,500 per month ▪ Two rooms sold at KES 1M – KES 4,500 per month ▪ Three room sold at KES 1.35M – KES 6,500 per month ▪ Next projects include Kibera B, C, D followed by Mariguini and Kiambiu ▪ Enumeration for Kibera B is completed and verification is ongoing ▪ 498 slums in the country have been mapped and will work with County Governments to improve housing conditions ▪ The Housing Fund will be consolidating financing solutions to ensure social housing projects are delivered
Next Steps
DEVELOPMENT FRAMEWORK
Key design principles
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 18 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Open en Space Access & Movemen ement Safe fety ty & Securit rity Crea eating ing Commun munitie ities Build lding ing Tec echno hnolog logy Smart rt T echno nology logy
Design principle: open space
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 19 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Open en Space Playground Public Realm Networks Pocket Park Gathering Space Active Spaces Sports Facility
Design principle: access and movement
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 20 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Access & Movemen ement Green Verge Cycling Path Pedestrian Friendly Treelined Avenue
Design principles: safety and security
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 21 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Safe fety ty & Securit rity Security Management Access Control Perimeter
Design principle: community facilities
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 22 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Clinic Retail Centre Schools Community Centre Commun munity ity Facilities ilities
Design principles: building technology
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 23 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Build lding ing T echno nology logy Pre-cast Panel Frame & In-Fill InSitu Formwork
Design principles: smart technology
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 24 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Waste Management Gas Reticulation Renewable Energy Smart rt T echno nology logy Water Transportation Telecommunication Payment System
Typical land breakdown
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 25 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Residentia idential 50% 50% Comm mmunit unity Faciliti ilities es with h Reta tail il 10% 10% Open n Space 15% 15% Utilities lities, Roads, ds, and d Serv rvic ices es 25% 25%
Typical site master planning
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 26 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Modular design approach
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 27 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Modular and traditional construction
November 18 CONFIDENTIAL 28 DEVEL ELOPM PMEN ENT FRAMEWOR EWORK
Stru ructur ural l Frame me & In-fill ill
columns / beams;
in-fill with traditional stone
site construction methods
and contractors engagement Pre re-Cast Fra rame me
works trades on site;
conditions for increased quality;
through just in time principles;
reflected in design In In-Situ itu System em
current supply chain;
required;
than alternatives;
site logistics;
delivery
FINANCING FRAMEWORK OVERVIEW
The financing framework for affordable housing supports both the supply and demand side
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 30 FINANC NANCING ING FRAMEWOR EWORK
Homes
TPS BUYERS
SUPPLY HOUSING FUND DEMAND MORTGAGE REFINANCING
DEVELOPERS
Development Cost Payments
DEBT & BORROWINGS HOUSING FUND FINANCIERS
Construction Finance
KMRC
FINANCIERS MORTGAGE BUYERS CASH BUYERS BANK SYNDICATED FACILITY INVESTORS, BANKS & DFIs BANK
TPS Cash Management & Custody Wholesale Funding Homes Homes Homes
BANKS
Home Loans Mortgage Refinancing
CONTRIBUTIONS
Construction Finance Offtake Agreement
Targeted at households with monthly income between 50,000 – 99,999
The Housing Fund is the suitable mechanism for providing funding support for both developers and home owners
PROPOSE OSED D SOLUTI UTION ON Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 31
The Housing Fund will be the Bulk Purchaser of housing units from developers, thereby mitigating the offtake risk. The Housing Fund will be the Long Term Financier offering homeowners affordable and accessible funding to buy homes primarily through a National Tenant Purchase Scheme SUPPLY Y SIDE DEMAND D SIDE
Mandate and primary functions
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 32 HOUSING SING FUND ND
Princ inciple iple Descript iption ion Capita pital l mobiliza ilizatio tion n ▪ The e Hous using ing Fund nd will l mobilize ilize capita pital l from
ernment ment (thro throug ugh h 3% employer ployer/emplo employee e cont ntrib ribut ution, ion, Develo elopme pment t Fina nance Ins nstitut itution ions, Afford fordable able Hous usin ing g Home e Owners ners Savin ings gs Plans ns from
e Home e Owner ners and Local Banks to fulfil its mandate. Bulk lk Purc rchaser r (De-risking developers) ) ▪ Offe fer r cert rtainty ainty of sales les in the he form
take e under derta taking ing that will allow the developers access construction financing. ▪ Purcha rchase the e housing using units its for r cash h once constru
ction is compl mplete te to allow low the e develo elope pers rs to rec ecycle cle their eir capital pital and develop more units. Long ng-Ter erm m Fina nanc ncier ier (Enabling homeowners) ▪ Allow
dinary y Kenya nyans ns to save e for r an affo ford rdable le home me via a Savings ings Plan which they can use as a down payment towards their affordable house. ▪ Offer home buyers the ability to purchase their homes via an affor fforda dable ble 25-yea ear r Tena nant nt Purc rcha hase e Sche heme me. ▪ Target intere terest rate tes betw tween en 3% and d 7% ▪ Allow
nyans to purcha rchase affo fordab rdable le houses uses nation tionwide wide through the Housing Fund while paying a monthly rate nearly equal to their current rental expense The Housing Fund will mobilize capital, offer certainty of sales in the form of an off-take undertaking to developers, and provide accessible finance for home buyers through a National Tenant Purchase Scheme
Mandate and primary functions
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 33 HOUSING SING FUND ND
The Housing Fund will mobilize capital, offer certainty of sales in the form of an off-take undertaking to developers, and provide accessible finance for home buyers through a National Tenant Purchase Scheme Housing Fund
Funding & Support
Employer/Employee Contributions, Exchequer, DFIs, & Other Investors Developer 1 Developer 2 Developer 3
SUPPLY SIDE DEMAND SIDE
Home Owner 1 Home Owner 2 Home Owner 3
Offtake undertaking and cash Housing Units Principal & Interest Housing Units & Tenant Purchase Scheme
Affordable Housing Registered Members’ Savings (affordable housing HOSP)
Regular savings contributions towards a home
Home Owner 1 Home Owner 2 Home Owner 3
Funding sources
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 34 HOUSING SING FUND ND
The Housing Fund will have funding from various sources
issued in 3 classes:
Debt bt and d Borrow rrowings ings Othe her r GoK Fund nding ing Emplo loyer/ r/ Emplo loyee e Contr ntribut ibution ion
HOUSING PORTAL
Overview – Demand Consolidation
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 36 HOUSING SING PORTAL
system
Individual Registration Page
Admin Login Page
Registration Options
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 37 HOUSING SING PORTAL
stations that allow:
Welcome come to NYUMBANI REGISTR TRATI TION 1.
ster er 2.
Payments
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 38 HOUSING SING PORTAL
contributions to HOSP via:
enable family abroad to assist with contributions
Property Developers
Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL 39 HOUSING SING PORTAL
and/or walk-throughs
Property Development Summary page
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
Principles of legal framework
LEGAL GAL FRAMEWOR EWORK Nov-18 CONFIDENTIAL Escrow row Agree reeme ment This governs the use of the commitment fee which the successful developer, private investor or contractor shall provide, pending negotiations and signing of the Project Agreement. Proje ject ct Agree greeme ment This agreement governs the relationship between the GoK and the developer, private investor, or contractor, and sets
and delivery of each Project. Deve velo lopment t Frame amework rk Agree reement This agreement provides a guideline of the fundamental heads of
terms to be addressed and provided in the Project Agreement as project details emerge. It works as an “interim Agreement” for urgent works to commence pending final negotiations and execution of the Project Agreement. Commit mmitme ment t Agree reeme ment This agreement governs the provision requiring a commitment fee of up to 10% of the project cost of a particular development to be deposited by the developer into a designated escrow account as advised by SDHUD.
$
Offtake ake Agree reeme ment This agreement is issued by the GoK in favour of the developer, private investor, or contractor as an undertaking for the purchase on behalf of the GoK of the completed housing units within a specified period from the date of construction completion, this time period being determined on a project-by-project basis. Lette ter of Support rt This is a letter that may be issued by GoK through the National Treasury, in favour of the developer, private investor, or contractor and its financiers to provide that the GoK will ensure that the Housing Fund is not wound up so long as it has continuing outstanding obligations. The Letter
41
Disclaimer mer: The purpose of this Presentation is to provide recipients with information on proposed program approach for the 500,000 Affordable Homes Program. This presentation is subject to change as the development framework is challenged and subjected to stakeholder engagement and market sounding.