Fixed Income Presentation 4Q19 and FY19 Results
Milan, 6 February 2020
4Q19 and FY19 Results Milan, 6 February 2020 Agenda UniCredit - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Fixed Income Presentation 4Q19 and FY19 Results Milan, 6 February 2020 Agenda UniCredit Group - Public Executive summary 1 UniCredit at a glance 2 Transform 2019 achievements 3 4Q19 and FY19 results 4 Asset quality 5 Capital 6
Milan, 6 February 2020
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(1) Including deduction of share buyback of 467m, subject to supervisory and AGM approval. Stated CET1 ratio at 13.22% and stated MDA buffer at 312bps. This does not include the SREP P2R reduction of 25bps, from 200bps to 175bps with effect from 1 January 2020. (2) Capital distribution defined as cash dividend and / or share buyback. Share buyback subject to supervisory and AGM approval. (3) Underlying net profit is the basis for capital distribution. Net impact of non-operating items of -2.3bn in 4Q19 and -1.3bn in FY19. (4) Excluding Non Core LLPs for updated rundown strategy (-1,049m in 4Q19). (5) Including deduction of share buyback of 467m, subject to supervisory and AGM approval. Stated FY19 TLAC ratio 22.48% (o/w 19.98% TLAC subordination ratio and 2.5% senior preferred exemption) and stated MDA buffer of 288bps. (6) Subject to AGM approval: 30% payout on underlying net profit as cash dividend. (7) Subject to supervisory and AGM approval: 10% payout on underlying net profit as share buyback. (8) Expected to keep Yapi stake at that level for the remainder of 2020. (9) Overall impact in 1Q20 of the transactions in Yapi, assuming regulatory deconsolidation.
Key Transform 2019 targets achieved, beating FY19 guidance
Strong balance sheet. Capital distribution of 1.9bn, up 3x FY/FY
Strong FY19 results
Executive summary 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
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Outlook FY20
(1) Not including quarterly, pro rata dividend contribution from Yapi. (2) Underlying net profit is the basis for capital distribution. (3) 10% payout on underlying net profit as share buyback (subject to supervisory and AGM approval). (4) Subject to AGM approval. Ex dividend date 20 April 2020, record date 21 April 2020 and payment date 22 April 2020. 30% payout on underlying net profit as cash dividend. (5) Subject to supervisory and AGM approval. (6) Once all the regulatory headwinds will be clear, including impact of Basel 4.
Capital distribution to shareholders
duration of Team 23, to be considered
Executive summary 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public Executive summary
Significant de-risking Strengthened corporate governance Material cost reduction Improved RoTE
(1) Figures for 2015 as per Capital Market Day 2016 perimeter, not recast. (2) Based on underlying net profit. (3) Pro forma FY19 CET1 ratio, including deduction of share buyback of 467m (subject to supervisory approval). (4) SREP P2R requirement reduced from 200bps to 175bps with effect from 1 January 2020. (5) 30% cash dividend and a proposal of 10% share buyback subject to supervisory approval and AGM authorisation.
Shareholder return 405 Strong capital position Regulatory requirement
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20151 77.8
16.0
12.2
60.0
4 10.4 25.3
5.0
9.9
52.7
9.22 13.13 Gross NPE, bn
Gross NPE ratio, %
Costs, bn
C/I ratio, %
RoTE, % CET1 ratio, % In line with best-in-class EU companies 250 1754 SREP Pillar 2 req., bps Capital distribution, % CMD16 Target Actual 20 44.3
8.4
10.6
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>9 >12.5 n.a. 2019
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UniCredit Group - Public UniCredit at a glance
34% 21% 11% 16% 19%
Commercial loans, bn Revenues, bn
A trusted partner for individuals, "go-to" bank for SMEs and corporates delivering a unique Western, Central and Eastern European network with a fully plugged in CIB >420 19
Western Europe CEE
Pan European footprint for loans to corporates in Europe #2 by total assets in CEE #1 clients, m 16
Germany Italy1 Austria
Commercial focus
Commercial Banks International branches and representative offices2
CIB 58% 21% 21%
Note: This presentation includes rounded figures. Figures restated assuming new Group perimeter. New Group perimeter assumes full deconsolidation of Turkey and disposal of Fineco, Mediobanca and Ocean Breeze. (1) Italy including Non Core and Group Corporate Centre. (2) Including UC Luxembourg and UC Ireland. Other International branches and representative offices In Asia and Oceania, North and South America, Middle East and Africa.
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the upper end of the target range of 50-100bps
Tier 2 and EUR2bn dual tranche Senior Non Preferred issued in January
12.9bn Y/Y and 3.5bn Q/Q
FY19 4.7% target
STRENGTHEN AND OPTIMISE CAPITAL FY19 CET1 ratio guidance exceeded TLAC guidance exceeded Strong investor demand for TLAC funding IMPROVE ASSET QUALITY Group gross NPE ratio at 5% FY19 Non Core gross NPEs below 9bn TRANSFORM OPERATING MODEL Transform 2019 branch and FTE targets achieved FY19 cost target beaten
(1) Including deduction of share buyback of 467m, subject to supervisory and AGM approval. Stated CET1 ratio at 13.22% and stated MDA buffer at 312bps. (2) Including deduction of share buyback of 467m, subject to supervisory and AGM approval. Stated 4Q19 TLAC ratio 22.48%, o/w 19.98% TLAC subordination ratio and 2.5% senior preferred exemption and stated MDA buffer of 288bps. (3) Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 2.9%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 3Q19). UniCredit's managerial definition of "NPE" ratio presented is more conservative than EBA. Comparable "NPL" ratio for UniCredit at 4Q19 is 3.0% for the Group excluding Non Core.
Transform 2019 achievements 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
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MAXIMISE COMMERCIAL BANK VALUE Leading European CIB franchise
EMEA Syndicated Loans in All Currencies in Italy, Austria and CEE, #2 in Germany(1)
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(1) Source: Dealogic, as of 7 January 2020. Period: 1 January – 31 December 2019; rankings by volume.
ADOPT LEAN BUT STEERING CENTRE Governance Multichannel offer / Customer experience
in Germany; Austria to follow in 2020
Support for the real economy and communities
investment strategy, satisfying customer demand for sustainable investment products
Group CC streamlining
Transform 2019 achievements 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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UniCredit Group - Public 11% 12% 19% 14% 13% n.m. n.m. n.m.
RoTE
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FY19 RoAC(2)
5,473
6,252 1,422 1,591
Grou Group p unde derl rlyin ing net et pr prof
it(1
(1), m
Underlying net profit(1) by division FY19, m
(1) Underlying net profit is the basis for capital distribution. (2) Stated FY19 RoAC. Normalised for non-recurring items FY19 RoACs are: CB Italy 10.8%, CB Germany 9.2%, CB Austria 14.1%, CEE 14.8% and CIB 13.9%.
3,006 4,675 840 1,101 1,416
3Q19 FY18 FY19 4Q18 4Q19 +55.5% +68.5% 28.7%
1,578 4,675 469 681 1,673 1,647
CB Italy CB Germany CB Austria CEE CIB Group CC
Non Core Group
8.0% 9.2% 7.1% 8.5% 10.8%
4Q19 and FY19 results 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
Main dri drivers
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(1) Underlying net profit is the basis for capital distribution. (2) Excluding -6m related to net interest.
commercial dynamics, partially offset by deposit rates
client activity
rundown strategy (-1.0bn(2) in 4Q19)
as per CMD19
delivering Transform 2019 target. Stated net profit of 3.4bn
Data in m Total revenues 18,965 18,839
4,692 4,703 4,850 +3.1% +3.4%
10,570 10,203
2,712 2,555 2,515
6,328 6,304
1,551 1,569 1,629 +3.8% +5.1%
1,279 1,538 +20.2% 204 378 464 +22.9% n.m. Operating costs
+3.2%
Gross operating profit 8,658 8,910 +2.9% 2,053 2,256 2,325 +3.1% +13.3% LLPs
+29.4%
n.m. +78.6% Net operating profit 6,044 5,527
1,132 1,694 681
Other charges & provisions
+68.9%
+6.5%
+37.4% Integration costs
n.m.
n.m. n.m. Profit (loss) from investments
n.m. 338 41
n.m. n.m. Profit before taxes 3,566 3,065
1,086 1,545
n.m. n.m. Income taxes 489
n.m. 906
119 n.m.
Net profit from discontinued operations 288 1,383 n.m. 65 11 n.m.
Net profit 4,107 3,373
1,992 1,180
n.m. n.m. Underlying net profit(1) 3,006 4,675 +55.5% 840 1,101 1,416 +28.7% +68.5% ∆ % vs. 4Q18 4Q18 3Q19 4Q19 ∆ % vs. 3Q19 FY18 FY19 ∆ % vs. FY18
4Q19 and FY19 results 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
Net Interest(1), m
Fees and commissions, m
lower contribution from loans rates, treasury and markets and time value
4Q19 and FY19 results
Net interest margin(2)
1.42% (-4bps FY/FY) Average FY19 Euribor 3M 1.30% 1.24% 14
2,712 2,555 2,515 10,570 10,203 3Q19 4Q18 FY18 4Q19 FY19
557 572 562 2,191 2,259 477 430 1,827 1,694 516 586 637 2,310 2,352 1,551 6,328
FY19 FY18 4Q19 4Q18
Investment
411
3Q19
Financing Transactional
1,569 1,629 6,304 +5.1% +3.8%
(1) Net contribution from hedging strategy of non-maturity deposits in 4Q19 at 361.5m, +8.4m Q/Q and -5.2m Y/Y. Net contribution from hedging strategy of non-maturity deposits in FY19 at 1,422.2m,
(2) Net interest margin calculated as interest income divided by interest earning assets minus interest expenses divided by interest bearing liabilities.
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Dividends(1), m
15 299 220 92 373 417 116 112 123
672 FY18
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FY19 4Q18 3Q19 4Q19
Yapi (at equity) 9 Other dividend
637 208 183 133
(1) Include dividends and equity investments. Yapi is valued by the equity method and contributes to the dividend line of the Group P&L based on managerial view. (2) Valuation adjustments (XVA) include: Debt/Credit Value Adjustment (DVA/CVA), Funding Valuation Adjustments (FuVA) and Hedging desk. XVA equals -28m in 4Q18, +5m in 3Q19 and +107m in 4Q19.
client activity and better market making conditions
equal to +112m in FY18 and -35m in FY19
confirmed
Trading income, m
235 212 1,172 1,303 312 407
FY19 204
107
FY18 4Q18
66
3Q19
58
4Q19
Client Driven Others
1,279 1,538 378 464
+20.2% +127.6% +22.9%
4Q19 and FY19 results 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
FTE FTEs (eop) p)
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Bra Branch ches(1) Mai ain dri drivers
reduction and Western Europe branch closures achieved
down 105 Y/Y
Q/Q due to seasonality
than 10.1bn guidance
10,307 9,929 2,640 2,447 2,525 4Q18 FY18 FY19 3Q19 4Q19
+3.2% C/I 61,447 60,345 60,016 24,214 24,308 24,229 4Q18 CEE W.E. 3Q19 4Q19 85,662 84,652 84,245
2,928 2,868 2,846 1,663 1,648 1,640 4Q19 4Q18 3Q19 CEE W.E. 4,591 4,516 4,486
Q/Q Q/Q
Co Costs, , m
54.3% 52.7% 56.3% 52.0% 52.1%
(1) Branch figures consistent with CMD 2016 perimeter.
4Q19 and FY19 results 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
Loan loss provisions, m
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Underlying cost of risk
gross NPE Gross NPE ratio
strategy (1.0bn in 4Q19). The underlying risk environment remains supportive
0bps of models and IFRS9 macro scenario impact. 9bps FY/FY reduction mainly thanks to focus on improved asset quality and disciplined new business
Coverage ratio at 65.2% up 4.3p.p. Y/Y thanks to Non Core LLPs for updated rundown strategy
Main drivers
models impact
models impact
2,614 2,333 1,049 FY18 FY19 3,382
(1) Stated figures, including 1,049m Non Core LLPs for updated rundown strategy. (2) Weighted average "NPL" ratio of EBA sample banks is 2.9%. Source: EBA risk dashboard (data as at 3Q19). UniCredit's managerial definition of "NPE" ratio presented is more conservative than
58bps 79bps 47bps 7.7% 5.7% 5.0%
models impact
models impact
models impact 71bps(1) 137bps(1)
49bps 49bps 921 563 596 1,049 4Q19 4Q18 1,645 3Q19
+5.8%
61.0% 61.0% 65.2%
Non Core LLPs for updated rundown strategy Underlying
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Non performing exposures(1), bn
24.2 20.2 Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Coverage ratio Net bad loans Net NPE ratio Net NPE
14.9 8.8 4Q18 11.2 3Q19 4Q19
38.2 28.8 25.3
Coverage ratio Net UTP 14.5
3Q19 5.8 4Q19 4Q18 4.0 3.0
21.1 12.5
4Q19 3Q19 8.5 4Q18 6.6 5.3
13.3 16.2 11.9
7.7% 5.7% 5.0% 3.2% 2.3% 1.8% 61.0% 61.0% 65.2% 72.6% 72.2% 76.3% 47.3% 50.7% 55.9%
Asset quality
(1) Gross NPEs including gross bad loans, gross unlikely to pay and gross past due.
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(1) Gross NPEs including gross bad loans, gross unlikely to pay and gross past due. Gross past due at 16m in 4Q19 (-29.1% Q/Q and -58.1% Y/Y).
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4Q19 6.6 3Q19 3.8 4Q18 1.9 18.5 11.2 8.6
Coverage ratio Gross NPE ratio Net NPEs 3.6 2.2 4Q18 4Q19 1.0 3Q19 6.8 4.8 3.6
Coverage ratio Net UTP Coverage ratio Net NPE ratio 2020 Target 3.0 4Q19 4Q18 1.7 3Q19 0.8 11.6 6.4 5.0
Net bad loans
Non performing exposures(1), bn
100% 64.3% 65.8% 78.1%
74.2% 74.1% 83.1% 47.7% 54.8% 71.2%
99.9% 100% 100% 2021 Target <4.3 100% 100% >75% 100% 100%
from 5.0 bn
Asset quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public
NPEs coverage, % Bad loans cov., % UTP coverage, % Net Loans, €bn Performing NPE 6.7 49.6
4Q19 3Q16 New 2020 Guidance 2021
<4.3 56.3 8.6
Gross Loans
Total FINO phase 2 closed in Jan 2018 Mostly corporate Mainly driven by corporate, small business Both single name and portfolios Cash recoveries on workout and UTP Active portfolios' management and cost optimisation Other movements (i.e. Debt to Equity) Sep16-Dec19 FINO "Back" to Core Repayments Disposals Recoveries Write-offs Other
Actions of Non Core rundown, bn Non Core evolution, bn
Full rundown
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29.5 1.9 53.5 78.1 >75 33.3 71.2 60.5 83.1
Asset quality 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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UniCredit Group - Public Capital
Fully loaded Common Equity Tier 1 ratio, %
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(1) Pro forma CET1 ratio and MDA buffer includes deduction of 12bps for FY19 share buyback (subject to supervisory and AGM approval). (2) Payment of coupons on AT1 instruments (174m pre tax in 4Q19, 393m in FY19) and CASHES (30m pre and post tax in 4Q19, 124m in FY19). Dividends accrued based on 30% of underlying net profit. (3) In 4Q19 CET1 ratio impact from FVOCI -1bp, o/w -2bps due to BTP. (4) BTP sensitivity: +10bps parallel shift of BTP asset swap spreads has a -2.1bps pre and -1.5bps post tax impact on the fully loaded CET1 ratio as at 31 December 2019. (5) TRY sensitivity: 10% depreciation of the TRY has around +1bp net impact (-3bps from capital, +3bps from RWA) on the fully loaded CET1 ratio. Managerial data as 31 December 2019. (6) DBO sensitivity: 10bps decrease in discount rate has a -4bps pre and -3bps post tax impact on the fully loaded CET1 ratio as at 31 December 2019. (7) Includes disposal of 9% of Yapi Kredi (-9bps), integration costs in Germany and Austria (-8bps), Non Core LLPs for updated rundown strategy (-27bps), and impairment of intangible and other (-12bps).
target range of 200-250bps due to FY20 capital distribution
FVOCI, FX, DBO reserves 3Q19 stated Underlying net profit Dividend, share buyback & AT1/CASHES coupons(2) RWA dynamics Revaluation
Other extraordinary effects(7)
+5bps
4Q19 pro forma (1)
12.60% +33bps +38bps +58bps
13.09%
FVOCI: -1bp FX: -1bp o/w TRY: -3bps DBO: +7bps Regulation, models and procyclicality: +5bps TRY: +3bps
252 300 (1) MDA Buffer, bps
(1) (3),(4) (5) (6)
Material non-operating items +1bp
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UniCredit Group - Public
CE CET1 full ully lo load aded
CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 11.71% AT1 0.94% CET1 13.94% AT1 1.38% T2 2.87%
12.60% 4Q19 3Q19 13.09%(1) +0.5 p.p. 13.09% 1.68% 3Q19 4Q19 14.23% 14.77%(1) +0.5 p.p. 1.68% 3Q19 2.79% 13.09% 4Q19 17.11% 17.56%(1) +0.4 p.p.
CET1 AT1 CET1 AT1 T2
Ti Tier 1 1 tran transitio itional al Tota Total l cap capital tal tran transitio ional
48.9bn
Absolute amount for CET1, Tier1 capital and total capital transitional. 10.09% MDA 4Q19 11.59% requirement 4Q19 13.59% requirement 4Q19
49.6bn(1) 55.2bn 55.9bn(1) 66.4bn 66.5bn(1)
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Capital 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
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MDA Buffer, bps(1)
318 397
(1) Pro-forma ratios, buffers and absolute amounts, including deduction of share buyback of 467m (subject to supervisory and AGM approval). Stated CET1 ratio at 13.22% and stated MDA buffer at 312bps. Stated Tier1 ratio at 14.90%, 330bps above requirement. Stated Total capital ratio at 17.69%, 409bps above requirement.
UniCredit Group - Public
(1) FL CET1 capital where available or calculated as FL CET1 ratio * RWA (FL where available). (2) Pro-forma including deduction of share buyback of 467m (subject to supervisory approval). (3) Transitional Total Capital for UniCredit. Fully loaded Total Capital where available or calculated as Total Capital ratio * RWA (FL where available). (4) FL leverage ratio where available. Peers: BBVA, BNP, CASA, CBK, DBK, HSBC, ISP, ING Group, Nordea, Santander, SocGen. FX exchange rate at 30 September 2019 for 3Q19 figures.
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Peer 3 Peer 5 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 2 44.1 Peer 1 Peer 4 Peer 6 UniCredit Peer 9 Peer 10 Peer 11 24.1 44.1 24.2 38.5 39.2 42.9 46.7 49.6(2) 70.5 81.1 113.6
Total assets Total capital(3)
4.00 4.17 4.30 4.40 4.70 5.00 5.10 5.25 5.40 6.00 6.70 Peer 1 Peer 8 Peer 4 Peer 10 Peer 2 Peer 5 Peer 3 Peer 6 Peer 7 UniCredit Peer 9 Peer 11 4.40 Peers Avg. 4.9% 31.2 65.3 30.0 56.5 148.8 51.5 54.4 56.3 60.7 66.5 90.9 104.1 849 2,503 1,781 586 1,298 699 513 1,411 922 856 1,523 2,510
4Q19 3Q19
Capital
Fully loaded CET1 capital(1), bn Fully loaded Basel 3 Leverage ratio(4), %
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(2)
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(1) Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia and Serbia.
CEE Banks (10 CEE countries(1)) Western Europe
UniCredit S.p.A. acts as the Group Holding as well as the Italian
Entry (SPE) Coordinated Group-wide funding and liquidity management to
Diversified by geography and funding sources All Group Legal Entities to become self-funded by progressively minimising intragroup exposures
Funding & Liquidity
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UniCredit Group - Public 38 64 118
100% of wholesale funding maturing in 1 year (Managerial figures)
Additional eligible assets available within 12 months(1) Cash and Deposits with Central Banks Unencumbered assets (immediately available)(1)
220 182
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4Q19 strong liquidity buffer, bn
Funding & Liquidity
4Q19 Compliant with key liquidity ratios, %
Group LCR(2) Group NSFR(3) >100% >100%
(1) Unencumbered assets are represented by all the assets immediately available to be used with Central Banks. Additional eligible assets (available within 12 months) consist of all the other assets eligible within 1 year time. Figures are net of ECB haircut. (2) Regulatory figure as of December 2019. (3) Managerial figure based on Basel III assumption as of December 2019.
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UniCredit Group - Public Funding & Liquidity
(1) After deduction of share buyback of 467m, subject to supervisory and AGM approval. Stated FY19 TLAC ratio 22.48% (o/w 19.98% TLAC subordination ratio and 2.5% senior preferred exemption) and stated MDA buffer of 288bps. Fully loaded requirement of 21.6% with 3.5% senior preferred exemption. (2) Non computable portion of subordinated instruments. (3) As of 31 January 2020.
CET1 ratio
Tier 2
TLAC FY19 Requirement >19.6%(1)
Senior Preferred exemption Senior Non Preferred & Other(2)
Subordination FY19 req. >17.1%
€/bn
AT1
Total 22.35% 19.85% 13.09% FY19 pro forma(1)
MREL FY23 Target 25.3%-25.8%
MREL eligible instruments TLAC buffer target at upper end of 50- 100bps range MREL buffer target at upper end of 50- 100bps range CET1 MDA Buffer target 200- 250bps
to be issued(3) 1.3 1.3 2.5
2020 1.3 2.6 2.5 2.0
4.7 4.7
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UniCredit SpA 2020 TLAC/MREL Funding Plan
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UniCredit Group - Public Funding & Liquidity
As of 31st December 2019 c. 97.1% (€31.2bn) of the Group Funding Plan was executed
Note: Managerial figures.
97.1% of Group Funding Plan was executed in FY19, in particular issued in 4Q19:
Romania During January 2020 the following Public Deals were issued:
(6NC5/10Y) from UniCredit SpA
2019 M/L Term Funding Plan by bank
3.0 11.3 13.0 UniCredit 3.3 9.2 4.5
2019 Planned
13.7 5.2
2019 Actual
UniCredit Bank UniCredit Bank Austria CEE UniCredit UniCredit Bank UniCredit Bank Austria CEE UniCredit SpA CEE UniCredit Bank AG Bank Austria
€31.2bn (97.1%)
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€32.1bn 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
UniCredit Group - Public Funding & Liquidity
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BBB/Negative/A2(1) Baa3/Stable/P3(1) BBB/Negative/F2(1) Senior Non Preferred T2 AT1 OBGI/OBGII (Ital CB)(6),(7) BBB/Stable/A2(1) (bbb)(2) Baa1/Stable/P2(1) (baa3)(2) BBB/Negative/F2(1) (bbb)(2) BBB- BB+ n.r. AA-/n.r. Baa2 Baa3 n.r. Aa3/Aa3 BBB(5) BBB-(5) B+(5) AA/n.r.
In July 19, UniCredit SpA’s was rated above the
Italian sovereign with an outlook changed to 'stable' from 'negative' based on the significantly enhanced ability to withstand a sovereign distress scenario
The rating reflects much stronger geographic
diversification outside Italy than peers and the material progress in reducing NPEs and strengthening capitalization
UniCredit SpA's stand-alone and Tier 2 rating
upgraded to investment grade in July 19
Positive
comment
new strategic Plan 'Team23': "aims to preserve the group's capital and profitability amid slowing economic growth in Europe, ultra low interest rates, and pressure on regulatory capital". The initiatives are seen as credit positive as they are "helping UniCredit to remain resilient to unexpected shocks".
UniCredit S.p.A.’s ratings reflect its improved
financial performance over the past three years, in line or above its stated objectives
In Sep 18 the bank’s outlook has been aligned with
Italian sovereign at ‘negative’. An upgrade would require an upgrade of Italy. Over the longer term, the ratings could benefit from material asset-quality improvements, maintaining asset quality under control and consistent internal capital generation BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) A2(3)/Stable/P1(1) (baa2)(2) BBB+/Negative/F2(1) (bbb+)(2) BBB+/Negative/A2(1) (bbb+)(2) Baa1(4)/Stable/P2(1) (baa2)(2) Not rated (1) Order: Long-term senior unsecured debt rating / Outlook or Watch-Review / Short-term rating. (2) Stand-alone rating. (3) Deposit and senior-senior rating shown, while junior-senior debt at 'Baa3'. (4) Long-term senior unsecured debt rating shown, while deposit rating at 'A3' with stable outlook. (5) Ratings subject to FitchRatings' "Exposure Draft: Bank Rating Criteria" published on 15 November 2019. (6) Soft bullet. (7) Conditional pass through.
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This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of UniCredit S.p.A. (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and
fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries. Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Stefano Porro, in his capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company’s financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the UniCredit Group’s documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any member of the UniCredit Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it.