1
STA STA 4Q 4Q19 19 & FY & FY19 19 An Analy lyst st - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
STA STA 4Q 4Q19 19 & FY & FY19 19 An Analy lyst st - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
STA STA 4Q 4Q19 19 & FY & FY19 19 An Analy lyst st Pre Presentat sentation ion 1 CO CONTENTS TENTS 1. . Financi ancial al Pe Perfor formanc mance 2. ST STA A Bus usiness iness Highlights hlights 3. Na Natural
CO CONTENTS TENTS
- 2. ST
STA A Bus usiness iness Highlights hlights 1. . Financi ancial al Pe Perfor formanc mance
- 3. Na
Natural ural Rub ubber ber Market rket Si Situation uation
2
3
FIN INANCIAL ANCIAL PER ERFORMAN FORMANCE
1
4
ABBREVIAT ATIONS TSR : Technically specified rubber, which includes STR and SIR
120 20 130 30 140 40 150 50 160 60 Jan-18
- 18
Fe Feb-18 b-18 Ma Mar-18 18 Apr-18 Apr-18 Ma May-18 y-18 Jun- un-18 Jul-18 ul-18 Aug Aug-18
- 18
Sep- p-18 18 Oct-18
- 18
Nov-1 Nov-18 De Dec-18 18 Jan-19
- 19
Fe Feb-19 b-19 Ma Mar-19 19 Apr-19 Apr-19 Ma May-19 y-19 Jun- un-19 Jul-19 ul-19 Aug Aug-19
- 19
Sep- p-19 19 Oct-19
- 19
Nov-1 Nov-19 De Dec-19 19 Jan-20
- 20
TSR20 20 Price Move vement t in SICOM
($cent/kg.)
Peak NR Output ut Winte nteri ring ng Season
- n
Be Bein ing g the e SURVIVOR
RVIVOR &
Ga Gaining ningCUSTO
TOMER MER CONFIDENCE FIDENCE
We hav ave e the he lowe
west t D/ D/E E ratio io in the
e “Rubber Processing Industry.”
140.6 .6 $cent/k /kg
136.5 $cent/ nt/kg. . (-3.0%
0%)
SICOM M Pric ice
(US cent : Kg.)
- Avg. = 146.5 (+1.9%)
SICOM COM – Oil il Pri rices ces
5
Crude Oil l Prices
(USD : Bbl. l.)
- Avg. = 140.0 (-4.4%)
- Avg. = 67.3 (+9.1%)
- Avg. = 75.0 (+11.5%)
ABBREVIAT ATIONS RSS : Ribbed smoked sheet LTX: Concentrated Latex TSR : Technically specified rubber, which includes STR and SIR
- Avg. = 132.9 (-5.7%)
- Avg. = 75.8 (+1.1%)
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
- Avg. = 126.7 (-4.6%)
- Avg. = 68.1 (-10.1%)
- Avg. = 139.4 (+10.0%)
- Avg. = 63.9 (-6.1%)
- Avg. = 151.3 (+8.6%)
- Avg. = 69.0 (+7.9%)
- Avg. = 134.7 (-11.0%)
- Avg. = 61.9 (-10.4%)
Peak NR Output ut Winte nteri ring ng Season
- n
- Avg. = 137.0 (+1.7%)
- Avg. = 63.0 (+1.9%)
- Avg. = 140.3
(+2.5%)
- Avg. = 59.75
(-5.2%)
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 Jan-18 Fe Feb- b-18 Ma Mar-18 Apr Apr-18 Ma May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Au Aug-18 Se Sep-18 Oct- t-18 Nov Nov-18 Dec Dec-18 Jan-19 Fe Feb- b-19 Ma Mar-19 Apr Apr-19 Ma May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Au Aug-19 Se Sep-19 Oct- t-19 No Nov-19 Dec Dec-19 Jan-20 Fe Feb- b-20 Ma Mar-20 RSS3 RSS3 TSR2 SR20 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 70 80 80 90 90 100 Jan-18 Fe Feb- b-18 Ma Mar-18 Apr Apr-18 Ma May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Au Aug- g-18 Se Sep-18 Oct Oct-18 Nov Nov-18 Dec Dec-18 Jan-19 Fe Feb- b-19 Ma Mar-19 Apr Apr-19 Ma May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Au Aug- g-19 Se Sep-19 Oct- t-19 Nov Nov-19 Dec Dec-19 Jan-20 Fe Feb- b-20 Ma Mar-20
La Latex ex – Butadiene diene – Acry rylonitri lonitrile le - Fore rex
6
Currency ncy
ABBREVIATIONS LTX: Concentrated Latex BD: Butadiene ACN: Acrylonitrile SEA: South East AsiaLTX & BD & A ACN
Price (US cent : Kg.)
- Avg. = 138.1 (+24.9%)
193.0 (+7.5%) 113.8 (-3.4%)
- Avg. = 162.2 (+17.5%)
212.8 (+18.5%) 102.3 (-13.3%)
- Avg. = 31.39 (-4.3%)
- Avg. = 31.72 (+1.1%) Avg. = 31.81 (+3.4%)
- Avg. = 32.64 (+2.6%)
- Avg. = 114.5 (-29.4%)
179.8 (-15.5%) 99.2 (-3.0%)
- Avg. = 31.44 (-3.7%)
- Avg. = 112.7 (-1.6%)
152.5 (-15.2%) 112.7 (+14.7%)
- Avg. = 110.5 (-10.1%)
179.5 (-0.6%) 117.7 (+6.1%)
- Avg. = 31.45 (+0.02%)
- Avg. = 104.6 (-7.2%)
214.0 (+40.3%) 128.4 (+14.0%)
- Avg. = 118.6 (+13.5%)
139.0 (-35.0%) 111.6 (-13.1%)
- Avg. = 30.60 (-2.7%)
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
- Avg. = 30.28 (-1.0%)
- Avg. = 101.0 (-14.9%)
146.3 (-9.3%) 105.0 (-5.9%)
- Avg. = 90.5 (-10.4%)
97.2 (-33.6%) 109.2 (+4.0%)
- Avg. = 30.89
(+2.0%)
40 40 80 80 120 120 160 160 200 200 240 240
Jan-18 Fe Feb- b-18 Ma Mar-18 Apr Apr-18 Ma May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Au Aug-18 Se Sep-18 Oct- t-18 Nov Nov-18 De Dec-18 Jan-19 Fe Feb- b-19 Ma Mar-19 Apr Apr-19 Ma May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Au Aug-19 Se Sep-19 Oct- t-19 Nov Nov-19 Dec Dec-19 Jan-20 Fe Feb- b-20 Ma Mar-20 BD BD-China AC ACN LT LTX 29 29 30 30 31 31 32 32 33 33 34 34 Jan-18 Feb-18 Ma Mar-18 Ap Apr-18 18 Ma May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Au Aug-18 Sep Sep-18 18 Oct- t-18 Nov Nov-18 Dec Dec-18 Jan-19 Fe Feb- b-19 Ma Mar-19 Ap Apr-19 19 Ma May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Au Aug-19 Sep Sep-19 19 Oct- t-19 Nov Nov-19 Dec Dec-19 Jan-20 Fe Feb- b-20 Ma Mar-20 USD/T USD/THB
7
Fin inancial ancial Hi High ghlight light
*Adjusting for (reversal) allowance of inventory and realized gains /(losses) from hedging activities
(Unit : THB million) FY19 FY18 [Restated] %YoY 4Q19 3Q19 %QoQ 4Q18 [Restated] %YoY Revenue
60,286 73,136
- 17.6%
14,881 15,384
- 3.3%
16,937
- 12.1%
Sales volume (tons)
1,103,934 1,330,849
- 17.1%
285,594 272,223 4.9% 314,176
- 9.1%
- Avg. selling price (Baht per ton)
43,520 45,979
- 5.3%
41,404 41,404 0.0% 46,772
- 11.5%
Gross profit
4,854 7,161
- 32.2%
1,379 970 42.2% 1,490
- 7.5%
- Adj. gross profit*
4,635 8,307
- 44.2%
1,307 1,402
- 6.7%
1,651
- 20.8%
SG&A
(4,571) (5,259)
- 19.3%
(1,205) (1,081) 11.4% (1,355)
- 11.1%
Gains (loss) on exchange rate, net
569 (252) N/A 186 107 74.5% 40 361.6%
Other gains, net
(478) 1,203 N/A (271) 308 N/A 156 N/A
Operating profit (loss)
656 3,088
- 78.8%
185 352
- 83.4%
297
- 37.6%
Share of profit (loss) from investments in JV
132 224
- 40.8%
37 22 66.9% 27 38.5%
EBITDA
3,274 5,716
- 42.7%
858 998
- 14.0%
1,053
- 18.5%
EBIT
788 3,312
- 76.2%
222 374
- 40.7%
240
- 7.4%
Finance costs, net
(856) (906)
- 5.5%
(188) (204)
- 7.7%
(223)
- 15.6%
Net profit
(149) 2,064 N/A 74 135
- 45.2%
139
- 46.8%
GP margin
8.1% 9.8%
- 173.97
9.3% 6.3%
296.15
8.8%
46.53
- Adj. GP margin*
7.7% 11.4%
- 366.99
8.8% 9.1%
- 32.58
9.7%
- 96.27
Operating profit margin
1.1% 4.2%
- 313.51
1.2% 2.3%
- 104.43
1.8%
- 50.73
EBITDA margin
1.1% 4.2%
- 313.51
1.2% 2.3%
- 104.43
1.8%
- 50.73
Net profit margin
- 0.2%
2.8%
- 306.90
0.5% 0.9%
- 38.08
0.8%
- 32.37
Sale les s Reve venue nue
8
Sales s Revenue ue by Geography hy Sales s Revenue by Prod
- duct (THB
HB million)
Gross ss Profi fit t – Adjuste sted d (THB
B million
- n)
Gross s Profit
- fit (THB
B million
- n)
)
Gr Gross ss Pro rofit fit
9
[Rest stated] d] [Rest stated] d] [Rest stated] d] [Rest stated] d]
10 10
EBIT (THB
HB million
- n)
EBIT (THB
HB million
- n)
EBIT IT
[Rest stated] d] EBIT [Rest stated] d]
11 11
Net Profit
- fit (THB
B million
- n)
)
Net Profit
- fit (THB
B million
- n)
Net Pro rofit fit
[Rest stated] d] [Rest stated] d]
STA TA Busin siness ess Highlights ghlights
2 2
12 12
46 46
procure urement nt centers rs
8% 8%
market share re of global
- bal natura
ural rubbe ubber r consump nsumption
- n in 2019
About ut STA TA: The World’s Leading Fully Integrated Natural Rubber Company
USA Indonesi donesia Sing ngapore pore China na Myanm nmar Thailand nd
45,000 000 rai
rai
(7,2 ,200 00 hectare res) s) of rubber r plant ntations ns
36 36
NR proc
- cessi
sing ng plant nts s in Thaila land nd, Indo donesi sia and Myanma nmar
13 13
Establish shed d in 1987 987
2. 2.9
million
- n ton
- ns in prod
- duction
tion capacity ty per year
27 27
billion pieces of gloves in production capacity per year
Rub ubber ber Plant ntatio ations Rub ubber ber Proc
- ces
essin sing Rub ubber ber Gloves
- ves
1. 1.1 million
- n ton
- ns sold
d in 2019
3
locations ns of glove ve factori
- ries in Tha
hailand nd
19 19.9 .9 billion pieces of gloves sold in 2019 7% 7%
market share re of global
- bal glove
ves consump nsumption
- n in 2019
STA’s Global Prese sence nce
> 3, 3,00 000
Rubber r farmers rs and dealers rs being ng members s of STA Friend
iend
mobile application
- n
Infra rastru structu cture re 13% 13%
Imma mature ure NR Area 65% 65%
Tapping ng Area 20% 20% Approx prox. 45,000 rai 7,200 HA
Upst stre ream am Opera ration tions s –Rubb bber r Pla lant ntation ations
Lampang Sukothai Pichit Phitsanulok
- k
Petchaboon Chiang Rai Chiang Mai Sakon
- nNakhor
- rn
Utaradit Sakaeo Phrae Kalasin Phayao Nan Songkhla Surat Thani Krabi Chumporn Bungkan
Provin inces esin Thailand
19 19
Area of Rubbe ber r Plantati ntations s (2020F 020F) Esti timate ted d Matu ture re Plantations ntations
50 500, 0,00 000 1, 1,00 000, 0,00 000 1, 1,50 500, 0,00 000 2, 2,00 000,00 0,000 2, 2,50 500, 0,00 000 2, 2,00 000 4, 4,00 000 6, 6,00 000 8, 8,00 000 10 10,00 000 12 12,00 000 14 14,00 000
2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F 2023F 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027F
Prod
- ducti
ction
- n (ton
tons) Tap apping ng, trees trees ( (RHS) HS)
14 14
Note: The green provinces are where our factories located in.
Note: Information as of 31 December 2019
Other Cr Crops ps 2%
Incre rease se number er of tapping area from 1,50 500 rai in 2018 018 to 4,400 ,400 rai in 2019 019 [+193 193%] %]
~1,400 Tons
15 15 Techn hnica icall lly y Spec ecified fied Rubber ber [TSR] Ribbe bed d Smoke ked d Sheet t [RSS]
Mid idst stre ream am Ope perati rations
- ns – NR Pro
rocessing essing
processi ssing ng facil iliti ties
36 36
Product
- duction
- n Ca
Capacity acity (mil. tons)
s)
0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 2007 2011 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F 2020F
Glob Global al NR NR Con Consu sumption
- n (
(RHS HS) En Engine neer ering ng cap capaci acity ty ( (LHS) LHS) Sales es vol volume ( (LHS HS)
24 24 proce
cess ssin ing facili iliti ties es
Capacit city*: y*: 2.1
.10mil. tons/
s/ann nnum TSR RSS LTX
5 5 proce
cess ssin ing facilit ilitie ies
Capacit acity*: *: 0.21
- 21mil. tons/
s/an annu num
7 7 proces
essi sing facilit ilities es
Capacit city*: y*: 0.5
.55mil. tons/
s/ann nnum Capacit city*: y*: 2.86
86mil
- mil. tons/
s/an annu num
Note: *Total engineering capacity
[Information as at 31 December 2019]
65% 65%
- f tota
tal sales revenue in 2019
10% 10%
- f tota
tal sales revenue in 2019
Concen centrate trated Late tex x [LTX] TX]
5%
- f tota
tal sales revenue in 2019
STA’s Ti Tire re Manuf nufact acturer urer Cu Cust stomers mers
16 16
Global Brands ds
Mo Mobile ile Ap Applic licati ation
- n ST
STA A FRIENDS IENDS
17 17 Objective: : To buy raw materials from rubber farmers and dealers in Thailand anywhere and anytime [launched Oct-19]
- No. of Members: > 3,000 rubber farmers & dealers in STA network
27 27
- bn. pcs.i
.ins nstalled capacity y per annum um
18 18
- Established Songkhla Plant
- Songkhla Plant started Natural
Rubber Powdered Gloves production
1999
- Started Nitrile Gloves production and distribution
2011
- Surat Thani Plant started commercial production
2017 2019
- Changed company’s name to
Sri Trang Glove ves s (Thailan iland) Compan any y Limited ted
- Sri Trang Glove
ves s (Thailan iland) Compan any y Public lic Limited tedwas established from the amalgamation between Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Company Limited and Thaikong Public Company Limited
1989
Do Down wnst stream ream Ope pera ration tions s – Fini inished shed Pro roduc ducts ts
Techn hnica icall lly y Spec ecified fied Rubber ber [TSR]
Targeting to achieve
50 bn. pcs. of gloves per annum by 2025
STGT
Exporti ting ng to
130+ 130+
Countr ntries es
19.9 19.9
- bn. pcs.
sold in 2019
7% 7%
Glob
- bal market share
re 3
locati ation
- ns of glove
- ve
factor tories es in Thailand nd
Our r Gl Glove ves s Pro roduc ducts ts
19 19
- Heavy 6.2 g
- Balance
ce4.8 g
- Comfort
- rt 3.5 g
- Comfort
- rt Plus 3.0 g
- Sense
e 2.5 g
Examin inat ation ion/ Non-Examin Examinat ation ion Gloves Latex ex
Powdere wdered Powder wder-Fr Free ee
Nitrile ile
Powder wder-Fr Free ee
- Comfort
fort 4.8 g
- Balance
ce 5.0 g
- Premi
mium m 5.8 g
- Comfort
fort 5.0 g
- Balance
ce Comfo fort rt 5.5 g
- Balanced
ced Plus 5.6 g
- Balance
ce5.8 g
- Premi
mium m 6.2 g
Informati tion
- n as at 31 Decembe
ber 2019
Product
- duct Range
Product duct Mix x by Volume lume
61% 61% 67% 67% 39% 39% 33% 33% FY18 18 FY19 19
Ni Nitri rile le Latex
85% 85% 89% 89% 15% 15% 11% 11% FY18 18 FY19 19
Own n Brand nds OEM EM
Our Brands nds
Asia 39% 39%
Americ rica 27% 27% Europ
- pe
24% 24% Others rs 10% 10%
Sale les s Vo Volu lume e Bre reakd akdown
- wn by
by Regio gion
20 20
Informati tion
- n as at 31 Decembe
ber 2019
Mainta ntain in our market rket share are in developed eloped markets rkets & Expres essively sively exp xpand nd to high growth wth countr ntries ies
Asia 41% 41%
Americ rica 28% 28% Europ
- pe
24% 24% Others rs 7% 7%
19 19.9 .9
- bn. pcs.
sold in 2019
2019
16 16.9 .9
- bn. pcs.
sold in 2018
2018
10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 4% 4% 1% 1%
+17.5% 5%
150 150 148 148 160 160 171 171 180 180 194 194 210 210 233 233 268 268 300 300 330 330
50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F
Gl Globa bal l Gl Glove ve Mark rket et Outlo look
- k
Avera rage ge growth h at 10-12% 12% per annum
Global bal Glove ve Deman mand
Source: MARG RGMA and Compa pany
21 21
Globa
- bal
l Market rket Share re in 2019 19
[bn. pcs.]
Deman mand Ke Keeps ps Growing wing & Hidden en Consumption sumption in Emerging rging Markets rkets
Malay laysia sia 67% 67% Thaila land nd 19% 19%
China na 11% 11%
Indon donesia 3% 3% Source: MARG RGMA
+10% 0%
300 300
- bn. pcs.
Incre reasing ng Usage of Hygienic ienic Produ ducts ts in Developin ping Countries tries
Ke Key y Dr Driv ivers rs in in Rubb bber r Gl Glove ve Co Cons nsumption mption
22 22 Growth th in Health lthcare re Indu dustry stry around nd the World ld
Key Drivers: (1) Increase in aging population (2) Supportive government policies and access to medical services (3) Increase in Non-communicable Diseases
150 150 100 100 10 10 6 4
20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 100 120 140 160
United edState ates Europe China India Africa
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit as of September 2019
Potential growth of rubber glove demand in developing countries is supported by accelera rated d econ
- nomic growt
- wth
h in such h count untri ries, s, incre rease in awareness ss in the import portance of hygi giene and d potential current low rate of rubber glove usage per capita in such countries
- Pcs. per Capita
Source: MARGMA Industry Brief 2019 on the Rubber Glove Industry
USD mm
%
Health lthcare re Spend nding ng in Each h Region n in 2018 and d 2023 Fore recaste ted d Rubbe ber r Glove Consumpti sumption per Capi pita ta in Develo lope ped d and d Develo lopin ping Countries tries in 2019
Develo eloped ed Countries es Develo eloping Countr trie ies
7.4 3.6 7.1 4.7 3.8 5.0 (8 (8.0 .0) (6 (6.0 .0) (4 (4.0 .0) (2 (2.0 .0) 0.0 .0 2.0 .0 4.0 .0 6.0 .0 8.0 .0 2,0 ,000 4,0 ,000 6,0 ,000 8,0 ,000 10,0 ,000
Midd Middle E le Eas ast an and A Afr frica ica La Lati tin Ame Americ rica Asia Asia a and Au Austra stralia We West E st Europe Nor North Ame th Americ rica Global 2018 (LHS (LHS) 2023F (LHS (LHS) CA CAGR 20 2018 -
- 2023 (R
(RHS HS)
15 15 23 23 27 27 33 33
50 50
5 10 10 15 15 20 20 25 25 30 30 35 35 40 40 45 45 50 50 End- nd-2017 2017 End- nd-2018 2018 End- nd-2019 2019 End- nd-2020 2020 End- nd-2021 2021 End- nd-2022 2022 End- nd-2023 2023 End- nd-2024 2024 End- nd-2025 2025
+54%
Ag Aggress ressive ively ly Expa pand nd to to Cap apture ture Ma Mark rket et Dema mand nd
23 23
[bn. pcs.]
Capacity acity Expan ansi sion
- n
+16%
Expand d ~4 4 bn.pc pcs. . each h year
+53%
Songkhla Surat Thani Trang 14.9 bn. pcs. per annum 5.7 bn. pcs. per annum 6.6 bn. pcs. per annum
1 3
3 3 Produ
duction tion Facili liti ties
2
Tota tal l Insta stalled led Capacity ty of
27.2 .2
bn
- bn. pcs. per year
+20%
Buildin ding Dippi ping ng Line ne Machi hine ne Insta tallation llation Test st Run 24 24
Ca Capa pacity city Exp xpansion ansion Pro rogress gress
STGT-Tr Trang ng Plant nt 2 STGT-So Songkhla ngkhla Plant ant 4
STGT’s IPO Plan
25 25
STA and RBL(1) STH(2)
- Dr. Viyavoo
vood Sinc ncha haroe roenkul nkul Family(3) Others rs
Remark: (1) RubberlandProducts Company Limited (2) Sri Trang Holdings Company Limited (3) Including 1) Mr. KitichaiSincharoenkul, 2)Mr. Lee Paul Sumade, 3) Ms. Voradi Sincharoenkul, 4) Mr. Somwang Sincharoenkul, and 5) Mr. VeerasithSinchareonkul
81.0 .08% 8% 5.39% 7.09% 1.93% 4.51%
Pre re-IPO IPO Post-IPO IPO
STA and RBL(1)
1)
STH(2)
2)
- Dr. Viyavo
vood
- d
Sinchar haroe
- enku
nkul Family(3)
3)
Other hers
55.9 .95% 5% 3.72% 4.89% 1.33% 3.11%
Publ blic
31.0 .00% 0%
Numb mber er of newly ly-iss ssued ed ordinar ary shares es not exceed
eding ng 31.00% 0% of total al paid-up capital tal of STGT
Expected Benefits s to STA TA Expected Benefits s to STGT
- 1. Lessening STA’s burden in providing financial support to STGT
- 2. Lowering STA’s overall financial costs in the long run
- 3. The business structure of STA will be clearly delineated.
- 4. The value of STGT’s shares will be fully reflected in STA’s share prices.
- 1. STGT will be able to independently raise funds for business expansion.
- 2. Being a listed company will help to lower STGT’s financial costs in the
long run
- 3. The IPO will enhance the public awareness of STGT.
- 4. STGT’s shares will have more liquidity and its share prices can be used
as a reference price in the future.
: Our production facilities are run by woodchip.
Our r Co Compe petiti titive ve Edg dges es
26 26
The US’s Tariff Sche hedul dule for r Glov
- ves
Product ct Countr ntry y of Origin Thailan and Malays aysia China na Latex x & Nitr trile Befor
- re
e 1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019
Medica cal Free Free Free 15% Non-Med Medica ical GSP 3% 3% 3% 3% + + 25%=2 =28%
Raw w Mate teria rial l / Late tex x Supply ly
Closed to the biggest source of latex which is the main raw material for “Latex Gloves”
No export
- rt tax charge
harged [No CESS expen pense] se]
This makes our r latex cost 1.2 2 Baht/Kg.
- Kg. cheaper
r than other players outside Thailand.
No conce ncern rn over er gas price ce No labor
- r issue
ue as most of our workers are local people & we complying with BSCI
I standard rd.
Tari riff ff benef nefits ts
Note: GSP, Generalized System of Preferences, is a tariff system that allows exemptions or more favorable customs duties for certain products and countries.
Lower cost t for capa pacity city expansi pansion
- n
Thai Government introduced
an intere rest st subsi bsidy dy progra ram
to anyone who consumes more rubber domestically. The Government will subsidy the interest rate not
t over r than n 3% for the expansion.
Rubb bber er Gl Glove ve Busi sines ness s Flo low
27 27
28 28
NATU TURA RAL L RUBB BBER ER MA MARK RKET ET SIT ITUATION TION
3 3
Deman and (LHS)
Gl Globa bal l NR Sit ituati uation
- n
10.8 11.0 11.0 11.4 12.2 .2 12.1 12.7 13.2 .2 13.8 13.8 14.0 14.4 14.8 15.1 15.4 15.7 16.0 16.4 16.7 17.0 10.4 11.2 11.7 12.3 .3 12.1 12.3 .3 12.6 .6 13.5 13.9 13.7 14.1 14.5 14.9 15.1 15.4 15.7 16.1 16.4 16.6 .6 16.8
(356) 205 612 840 (52) 122 (82) 331 331 123 (23) 39 37 37 93 77 77 82 64 34 18 18 (50) (193)
- 4
- 400
400 800
- 5
- 5
5 10 10 15 15 20 20
2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019F 2019F 2020F 2020F 2021F 2021F 2022F 2022F 2023F 2023F 2024F 2024F 2025F 2025F 2026F 2026F 2027F 2027F 2028F 2028F 2029F 2029F
(Unit : million tons) Supply ly (LHS) Supply ly Surp rplu lus s / (Defi eficit cit) (RHS)
Natural l Rubber Demand nd & S Supply ly
Glob
- bal NR demand
nd in 202 020 0 is expected d to be 14.0 .01 1 million
- n tons,
s, +1.9 .9% % YoY. Y. The average age growt wth in the next 3 years is expected d at +2.4 .4% % .
Demand nd
Glob
- bal NR supply
y in 202 020 0 is expected d to be 14.0 .05 5 million
- n tons,
s, +2. 2.3% 3% YoY. Y. The average ge grow
- wth
h in the next 3 years is expected d at +2.7 .7% % .
Supply ply
(Unit : ‘000 tons)
29 29
- Increased tapping frequency to maintain
the same levels of income
- Increased untapped mature trees
- Lack of good agro-management
- Skilled labour shortages [shifting from
rubber farming to other jobs]
Short-term term impact ct Long-term term impact act
- Discouragement of new planting
- Delay of replanting schedule
- Uprooting of rubber trees & replacing with
- ther crops
- 71%
71%of NR consumption mption comes s from m the tire indust stry, y, whose demand is expected to have no growth wth in 2020, in line with global tire production.
- 29%
29%of NR consumption mption comes s from m non-ti tire e consumers, mers, whose demand is expected to increase ease sharply y by 5.2% 2%in 2020, driven by increased consumption by gloves producers.
Source : IRSG, December 2019
0% 0% 20% 20% 40% 40% 60% 60% 80% 80% 100% 100% 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
Ame Americ rica Afr Africa ica Ot Other r AS ASIA AS ASEAN AN
NR Supp pply ly
Indo dones nesia ia 22%
Thail ilan and d 36% 36%
Vietnam nam9% 9% China na 6% 6% Cote d'Iv Ivori
- rie6%
6%
India5% 5% CAMAL AL 5% Malays ysia ia4% 4% Others rs6% 6%
14.0 4.05
- mil. ton
- ns
2020F 20F globa bal produ ducti tion n growth th = 2.3% 3%
2020F 0F Major Produc ducers rs
30 30
~80% 80% of NR output came from ASEA EAN
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
(Unit: ‘000 H.A.)
- Expect
ct to be less s than 50,000 ha each year r
- Drop larg
rgely ely in Thailan land and Indonesia sia 50 50 100 150 200 250 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
10, 0,000 00 10, 0,500 00 11, 1,000 00 11, 1,500 00 12, 2,000 00 12, 2,500 00 13, 3,000 00 13, 3,500 00
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028
New Plant nting ing Area Re Re-Pl Plant nting ing Area
(Unit: ‘000 H.A.)
- Durin
ring 2019-2020, the growt wth is expected ted from m Malay aysi sia a and Vietnam. am.
- The major
r risk k is the limit itatio ation of capital tal financin ing to small all farmers mers.
Total l Area
(Unit: ‘000 H.A.)
- Durin
ring 2010-2014, total al planti ting area in Asia-Pacifi cific c region jump mped ed sharp rply ly ~20%.
- In the next decade,
e, total al rubber er area a is expected cted to drop more e than 500,000 ha or ~4%. Source : IRSG, July 2019
Ch China na 39% 39%
EU EU 9% 9% Indi dia8% 8% USA7% 7% Thailand nd6% 6%
Japan5% 5% Indonesia sia5% 5% Malays ysia ia4% 4% Others rs17% 17%
2020F 0F Major NR Consume mers rs
2020F 20F globa bal growth wth in consumpti nsumption n = = 1.9%
14.01 .01
- mil. ton
- ns
NR Deman and
NR Consump mptio ion n Dive versi rsific ficatio ion
31 31
Source : IRSG, July 2019
(Unit: ‘000 tons)
NR Consump mptio ion n in Non-Tir Tire Indust stry ry
0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Ame Americ rica EU EU AS ASEAN AN Ot Other r As Asia ia Chin ina
NR Consump umptio ion n in Tire Industry ustry
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ame Americ rica EU EU AS ASEAN AN Ot Other r As Asia ia Chin China % G Gro rowth
(Unit: ‘000 tons) (%) (%)
- 4
- 4.0
- 2
- 2.0
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Ame Americ rica EU EU AS ASEAN AN Ot Other r As Asia ia Chin ina % G Gro rowth
Co Commodity modity Pri rice ce Movem
- vement
ent & S & SHF HFE Stock tocks s
32 32
Commodity
- dity Pric
ice Moveme ment nt
Source : IRSG, December 2019 and Bloomberg
Qingdao gdao & SHFE E Stocks, s, China [tons]
ns]
Note: There is no QD data announced since 20/10/18.
( (100,000) 1 100,000 3 300,000 5 500,000 7 700,000 Jan Jan-14 Mar ar-14 14 May- ay-14 Ju Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-
- v-14
Jan Jan-15 Mar ar-15 15 May- ay-15 Ju Jul-15 Se Sep-15 Nov-
- v-15
Jan Jan-16 Mar ar-16 16 May- ay-16 Ju Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-
- v-16
Jan Jan-17 Mar ar-17 17 May- ay-17 Ju Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-
- v-17
Jan Jan-18 Mar ar-18 18 May- ay-18 Ju Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-
- v-18
Jan Jan-19 Mar ar-19 May- ay-19 Ju Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-
- v-19
Jan Jan-20 SHFE FE QD QD QD & D & S SHF HFE
- 5%
5% 5% 15% 25% 35% Jan Jan-19 Feb Feb-19 Mar ar-19 Ap Apr-19 May- ay-19 Ju Jun-1 n-19 Ju Jul-19 Au Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct- ct-19 Nov-
- v-19
Dec Dec-19 Jan Jan-20 Feb eb-20 Mar ar-20 SICO COM M -
- TSR20
20 Bre rent nt Cr Crude ude Oil l Pri rice Bloo loombe mberg Commo Commodity Ind dity Index
~240 40,0 ,000 00T ~490 90,0 ,000 00T
- 50
50 10 100 15 150 20 200 25 250 30 300 35 350 40 400 45 450 50 500 55 550 60 600
Jan-04 Apr Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct- t-04 Jan-05 Apr Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct- t-05 Jan-06 Apr Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct- t-07 Jan-08 Apr Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct- t-09 Jan-10 Apr Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct- t-10 Jan-11 Apr Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct- t-11 Jan-12 Apr Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct- t-12 Jan-13 Apr Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct- t-13 Jan-14 Apr Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct- t-14 Jan-15 Apr Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct- t-16 Jan-17 Apr Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct- t-18 Jan-19 Apr Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct- t-19 Jan-20
575 cent/k t/kg.
33 33
TSR20 20 Hi Histo storica rical l Price ce Movemen
- vement [2004 – 2020]
102 cent/ t/kg.
Source : Bloomberg
228 cent/ t/kg.
TSR20 20 (US cent
nt : Kg.)
34 34
APPEN ENDIX DIX ES ESG Polic icy
Pro rofile file
35 35 Symbo bol
STA NC12 12
2017 17 CG Score re
Excellence
Anti-Corru Corrupti ption
Certified by Thai CAC
Closi sing ng Price 52 52-WeekHigh/ h/Low
Baht 11.80 per share [28/02/2020] Baht 16.90 per share Baht 9.45 per share
Outsta tandi nding ng Share res
1,535,999,998 shares @ 1 Baht per share
Marke rket t Capit italiz alizatio ation
Baht 18.12 billion [28/02/2020]
P/E [times]
N/A
% Free Float
55.06% [Total shareholders : 11,014 Shareholders as of
[28/02/2020]
Divide dend ndPolicy icy
Approximately 30% of net prof
- fit in a financial year but not
in excess of retained earnings (with additional conditions)
Shareholding holding Structure re
Top 10 10 Share reholders rs [as at 28/02/2020] %
1 Sri Trang Holding (“STH”) 22.38 2 Sincharoenkul family 18.70 3 Thai NVDR Co., Ltd 6.63 4
- Mrs. PromsukSinchareonkul
2.93 5 CITIBANK NOMS SPORE PTE LTD 2.63 6 Thai R.T.N. Holding Co., Ltd. 2.46 7 CITIGROUP GLOBAL MARKETS LIMITED-PB CLIENT-NRBS COLLATERAL 1.72 8 SOUTH EAST ASIA UK (TYPE C) NOMINEES LIMITED 1.62 9 UOB KAY HIAN PRIVATE LIMITED 1.47 10 BANK JULIUS BAER & CO. LTD, SINGAPORE 1.21
Sincha ncharo roenk nkul ul Fami mily 19% 19% STH 22% 22% Thai NVDR DR 6% 6% Thai Inst stitut utions
- ns
5% 5% Foreign gn Instit stitut utions ns 20% 20% Others rs 28% 28%
36 36 Conta tact t Inve vestor stor Relations tions Tel:(+66)2-207-4500 Ext. 1402 E-Ma Mail il:IR@sritranggroup.com