24 March 2005 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
24 March 2005 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
24 March 2005 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Presentation Introduction Charles Jamieson Finance and Operational Highlights John van der Welle Business Review Robin Allan Strategy and Outlook Simon Lockett Page 2 | 2004 Preliminary
Page 2 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Presentation
Introduction Charles Jamieson Finance and Operational Highlights John van der Welle Business Review Robin Allan Strategy and Outlook Simon Lockett
Page 3 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Finance and operational highlights
Page 4 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Finance highlights
- Total operating profit
- Net profit after tax up
57%
- Healthy cashflow
- Strong balance sheet
- Share buy back initiated
$93.0m (2003: $94.5m*) $43.8m (2003: $27.9m*) Net inflow $4.9m Net cash $19.6m £10 million programme Lower turnover offset by lower costs Lower interest charges Cashflow sufficient to cover all operating and capital expenditure Maintained financial flexibility Future purchases in appropriate market conditions
* comparatives for 2003 are with ongoing operations i.e. assets retained post restructuring
Page 5 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Operational highlights
- Production ahead of
budget
- Developments on track
- Further gas sales
progressed
- Successful exploration
and appraisal
- World class HSE
performance
- Increasing resource base
Strong gas demand in Pakistan, Indonesia offsets UK decline West Natuna (West Lobe) Chinguetti Bhit phase 2, Zamzama phase 2 and West Natuna 6 successes from 11 wells 3 years continuous operation without LTI in Indonesia Independent review confirms booked reserves
Page 6 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Profit and loss
Production (mboepd) Realised oil price ($/bbl) Realised gas price ($/mcf) Turnover less: share of JV turnover Group turnover Operating costs Amortisation Exploration expenditure written off Gross profit Administration costs Operating profit Operating profit in JV Total operating profit Net interest Exchange losses Profit before tax Taxation Profit after tax Earnings per share - diluted (cents) Year to 31 December 2003 (Ongoing)
Entitlement interest production Gas price flat due to mix change and Indonesia linkage to HSFO Turnover down – more gas production, hedging impact ($23m) Unit opex (incl JV) $5.8/boe - up 5% mainly due to fixed sterling costs and reduced production in UK fields Unit DDA (incl JV) $4.9/boe – no change on 2003 JV represents Pakistan only Interest charge comprises abandonment provision and loan issue costs Effective tax rate broadly flat EPS up 8% versus reported amount for 2003
33.2 27.2 3.28 $m 270 (41) 229 (60) (61) (20) 88 (19) 69 26 95 (20) (2) 73 (45) 28 N/A 31.5 29.9 3.24 $m 252 (56) 196 (51) (57) (14) 74 (16) 58 35 93 (3) (3) 87 (43) 44 52 Year to 31 December 2004
Page 7 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Cashflow
2004 2003 Excl JV JV Total Total $m $m $m $m Exploration 53 5 58 48 Fields 30 4 34 16 Other 13
- 13
1 JV funding * (33) 33
- 63
42 105 65 * Net payment to Premier by Pakistan JV in 2004
Net cash flow from operations Net interest Taxation Operating cash flow (after interest and tax) Capital expenditure Investment/disposals Net cashflow Exchange/other Movement in net debt Opening net cash Closing net cash 124
- (54)
70 (63)
- 7
2 9 8 17
Lower turnover and
- perating cashflow, partly
- ffset by reduction in
interest Capital expenditure – increased spend on exploration and Chinguetti field development capex
Year to 31 Dec 2004 (As reported) $m Year to 31 Dec 2003 (Ongoing, Incl JV) $m
165
- (55)
110 (105)
- 5
2 7 12 19
Year to 31 Dec 2004 (Incl JV) $m
- Operating cash flow covers exploration 1.9x
203 (29) (38) 136 (65) 19 90 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Page 8 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Reserve movements
170 190
Reserves/Resources (mmboe)
Opening reserves Production Revisions Discoveries Closing reserves
160 150 Unbooked resources movement Movement Unbooked resources Booked reserves 180 210 200 220
- Increased total booked reserves & unbooked resources
- Booked reserves reviewed by D&M
- Strong foundation for future Cashflows
Acquisition
Page 9 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Business review
Page 10 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Production – UK
- Wytch Farm continuing to perform well
- Kyle extended by a new commercial deal with Banff
- Fife field life extension under negotiation
- Current production ~12,000 boepd, reserves 24 mmboe
Page 11 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Africa
Page 12 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
NW Gemsa Block, Gulf of Suez Basin Premier equity: 37.5%
- Al Amir-1 currently drilling
- Relatively high risk prospect due to seismic
imaging challenges
- 3D seismic programme acquired
- Onshore flat desert terrain, low well cost,
low development cost if successful
- Operator: Vegas (Kriti)
Egypt: NW Gemsa Block
Page 13 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Egypt: NW Gemsa Block
GAS PIPELINE OIL PIPELINE
Al Amir-1
Page 14 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Egypt: NW Gemsa Block
Proposed Al Amir-1 Zeit Bay-1
Top S Gharib Top Belayim Top Kareem Top Rudeis Top Lwr. Rudeis Top Pre-rift
Page 15 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Africa – Mauritania
Page 16 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
- Development approved May 2004
- Reserves of 120 mmbbls (Premier share 9.7 mmbbls)
- Development cost $630 million (Premier share $51 million)
- First oil Q1 2006 building to 75,000 bopd (Premier share 6,000 bopd)
Africa – Mauritania: Chinguetti Development
Page 17 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Africa – Mauritania: Tevét
Tevét, drilled October 2004, was successful and found target reservoirs of oil and gas on
- prognosis. Likely to be developed
through Chinguetti field.
Banda Chinguetti
3D visulisation of Miocene sands draped over structure
Tevét
Page 18 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania: 2004 Exploration - Capitaine & Merou wells
The Capitaine and Merou prospects are in the outboard trend of salt diapirs
Regional view of Base Miocene surface from west
Tiof channel Merou-1 Capitaine-1 Chinguetti – Banda channel
Page 19 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Regional base reservoir TWT map showing deepening to west
Mauritania: 2004 exploration – Capitaine-1
Page 20 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania: 2004 exploration – Merou-1
Merou Tiof
Page 21 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Mauritania: 2005 drilling candidates
New Kiffa 3D Kiffa fast-track volume
- ver Fantar prospect
New Tenit 3D Older 3D being reprocessed merged Baudroie Tapandar Espadon Assetat Tenit fast-track 3D Sotto Fantar SW Fantar SW Kibaro
Page 22 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Blocks 2, 4A, 5A Premier equity – 38.5% to 42% Operator – Premier
- Prospect sizes 50m to 300m bbls
- 2004 Sinapa-2 oil discovery
Blocks 7B, 7C Premier equity – 25% Operator – Premier
- 2D seismic acquisition work commitment
- Potential for large prospects in ultra-deep
water
Guinea Bissau
Page 23 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Top Turonian Top Cenomanian Top Albian Top Aptian
Sinapa-1 Sinapa-2 SW NE Top of salt penetrated in Sinapa-1 and Sinapa-2z Sinapa-2z
Guinea Bissau: Sinapa & Esperanca
Page 24 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Ervas El Linguada Espadarte Espinafre Espargos Encharcada Espetada Empada Sardinha Eirozes Sabayon Solha Sinapa-1 Sinapa-2,2z
The results of the Sinapa-2,2z well have significantly reduced the risks
- f the salt diapir flank play in
Guinea Bissau. 2005 programme will include new 3D seismic acquisition followed by exploration and appraisal drilling.
Africa – Guinea Bissau: 2005
Page 25 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Premier PGB04-25 Clearer fault plane Higher frequencies and better amplitudes Veritas VFGB00-16
Egomor and Peixe Boy Permits
Page 26 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Dussafu Licence Premier equity – 25% Operator – Sasol Iris & Themis Marin Premier equity – 18% Operator – Fusion/Sterling Pre-Salt Plays
- Premier focusing on Pre-salt Gamba
Sandstone play
- Unlocking the potential of this area by
application of newly proven 3D imaging technology
Gabon
Page 27 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation Dussafu-1 Well Location Mytilus-1 Projected
Gabon: Dussafu
Dussafu Prospect
Page 28 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Gabon: Iris Marin & Themis Marin
Page 29 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
N
NGTSM-1 PLM-1 DKM-1
Gabon: Iris Marin – 3D Perspective
Page 30 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
FABM-1 ARM-1 NEM-1A
N
Gabon: Themis Marin – 3D Perspective
Page 31 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Asia
Page 32 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Production – Pakistan
- Growing onshore gas production
- Onshore and offshore exploration planned
- Bhit and Zamzama Phase 2 scheduled for 2006/7
- Long-term gas contracts, in dollars
- Kadanwari step-out now onstream
- Current Pakistan production ~12,000 boepd,
reserves 64 mmboe
12,000 2001
Pakistan Gas production
8,000 4,000 2002 2003 2004 BOEPD
Page 33 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
2005 – Pakistan
Jhangara Licence Premier equity – 50% Operator – Premier
- Concession to be signed 27th April 2005
- Maliri-1 well to drill in Q3 2005
Offshore Indus Premier equity – 12.5% Operator – Premier
- 2005/6 well on the Anne Prospect – timing
subject to rig availability
Page 34 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan: Jhangara – Maliri
Maliri Prospect
Page 35 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan: Indus offshore
The Indus fan is the world’s second largest submarine fan. This deepwater block is untested frontier territory with potential provided by anticlines related to the adjacent Murray Ridge and shale diapirs.
Page 36 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Pakistan: 3D visualisation of a shallow channel
High sinuosity backfill channel
Page 37 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Asia – India
Page 38 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation 20 Kilometres
Duliajan
Naga Thrust Front K u m s a i T h r u s t F r
- n
t Margherita Thrust Front D i s a n g T h r u s t F r
- n
t
Oil Seeps
Digboi Field
Kharsang Field Nahorkatiya Field
Kusijan Field Jorajan Field
Margherita Deomali
2005 – India: Jaipur Block AAP-ON-94/1 location
Digboi
Page 39 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Line PO-02-03
Jorajan-10 (proj.) Proposed Lakkhi-1
Lakkhi Prospect
2005 – India: Lakkhi prospect
Page 40 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation BANGLADESH
Masimpur Prospect
India: Cachar Block playmaker potential
Page 41 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
India: Masimpur anticline (1930s BOC Map)
Page 42 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Philippines
Ragay Gulf – 37.5%: Operator – Premier
- Signed 14th January 2004
- 2D seismic underway - chasing reef play
- Drilling in 2006
Page 43 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Philippines: Ragay Gulf
SC Area (10,865 km²)
Page 44 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Asia – Philippines: Ragay Gulf Block
2D Shallow water Seismic Programme 2Q 2005
Page 45 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Production operations – Indonesia
- West Natuna Gas (WNG) project – Premier operated
- 650km pipeline network to Singapore
- Production commenced 2001 – 27 year gas contract
- Indonesia production ~11,000 boepd, reserves 79 mmboe
15,000 2001
Indonesia Gas production Daily Contract Quantity
10,000 5,000 2002 2003 2004 BOEPD
Page 46 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Indonesia: Natuna Sea Block A PSC location map
Gajah Puteri appraisal Macan Tutul-1 Lembu Peteng-1
Page 47 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Indonesia: Macan Tutul – 2005 exploration well
Macan Tutul Anoa Field
High amplitude Arang reservoir targets
S N
Page 48 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Indonesia: Gajah Puteri appraisal – 2005 candidate
Interpretation of reprocessed 3D seismic indicates that the Gajah Puteri gas and condensate discovery may connect to the undrilled Ganesha area to the east
Ganesha lead appraisal target
Gajah Puteri-1 Gajah Puteri-2
Page 49 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Indonesia: Lembu Peteng location to KH facilities
Lembu Peteng-1
Page 50 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Blocks 12E & W Premier equity - 75% Operator – Premier Blocks 7,8/97 Premier equity – 45% to 67.5% Operator – Premier
Asia – Vietnam
Page 51 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
18 month plan
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
AFRICA
Guinea Bissau : 3D : Eroizes-1 : Espinafre-1 Mauritania : Tiof Appraisal : Tevet Appraisal : Exploration Wells Gabon : Iris-1 : Themis-1 : Dussafu-2 Egypt : Al Amir-1 Pakistan : Maliri-1 : Indus Offshore India : Jaipur-1 : Cachar Philippines : 2D Indonesia : Macan Tutul-1 : Bepak Lembu Vietnam : Dua 3D : 12E & 12W Exp. Well : 12E Dua App. Well : 7,8/97 Exp. Well
ASIA
2005 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2006 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN 2006 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN Contingent wells Firm wells Seismic acquisition
Page 52 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Business development strategy
Exploration led, commercially driven
- $50m p.a. exploration expenditure
- 12 to 18 well programme p.a.
- 1/3 of wells offer step change growth opportunity
- Focus on Africa and Asia
Page 53 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Strategy and outlook
Page 54 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Areas of operation and strategy
- High impact explorer and
commercial dealmaker
- Continuing to build the base
business
- High grade the portfolio
through farm down/cycle out when maximum growth potential has been achieved
- Realise value
for shareholders
Page 55 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Reserves and production
UK Indonesia Pakistan Mauritania Unbooked (2)
Total 2P resources ~210 mmboe (1)
- Booked reserves 177 mmboe:
80% gas; 20% oil 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Working interest production (barrels of oil equivalent per day)
(1) Total resources defined as booked and unbooked 2P WI
reserves including fields awaiting commercialisation
(2) Unbooked resources relate to Indonesia and Mauritania
50,000 2009
Tevet (contingent) Tiof (contingent) Chinguetti Indonesia Pakistan UK
Page 56 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Summary and outlook
- Good business performance in 2004
– Profits up 57% – 6 successful E&A wells from 11 in 2004 – Strong demand growth in overseas gas assets – Resources secure (finance, skills, management)
- Strategy
– Continuous exposure to significant exploration upside – Enhanced focus on capturing commercial deals – Unlock further value in Premier business
Page 57 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Appendix
Page 58 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Future field capex programme
20 30 50
Development CAPEX (committed only) ($ million)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 10 Chinguetti Indonesia Pakistan UK 40 70 60 80
Page 59 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
International Financial Reporting Standards
- Effective from 1.1.05 (2004 comparatives restated)
- Premier project team working with OIAC
- Subject to further work by IASB and endorsement by EU
- Areas affected:
– accounting for fixed assets – deferred tax – joint ventures – employee costs (including pension benefits) – oil and gas hedges
- Revised 2004 comparatives to be published before interims
(September 2005)
Page 60 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Worldwide licence interests
WORLDWIDE LICENCE INTERESTS AT 22 MARCH 2005
23.75 Shell Indus E 2365-1 Exploration Licences Zarghun South 3.75 MGCL* Bolan 42.50 Premier Ragay Gulf Philippines Bhit 6.00 ENI* Kirthar Zamzama 9.38 BHP* Dadu Qadirpur 4.75 OGDCL* Qadirpur Kadanwari 15.79 ENI* Tajjal Production Leases Pakistan 8.12 Chinguetti PSC B 9.23 Woodside Block 4 & 5 PSC B 4.62 Woodside Block 3, 4 & 5 PSC A Mauritania Anoa 28.67 Premier Natuna Sea Block A Kakap 18.75 Star Energy Kakap Indonesia 49.00 Premier Block CR-ON-90/1 Cachar 38.00 Premier Block AAP-ON-94/1 Jaipur India 23.75 Premier Block 7c Peixe Boy 23.75 Premier Block 7b Egomor 42.00 Premier Blocks 4a & 5a Esperanca 38.50 Premier Block 2 Sinapa Guinea Bissau 18.00 Fusion Themis 18.00 Fusion Iris 25.00 Sasol Dussafu Gabon 37.50 Vegas Oil & Gas NW Gemsa Egypt Field Equity % Operator Block Licence continued over…
Page 61 | 2004 Preliminary Results Presentation
Worldwide licence interests
The group holds a 29.9 per cent interest in Fusion Mauritania A Ltd and FP Mauritania A BV (Mauritania A) with the balance being owned by Sterling Energy plc. Mauritania A will become a wholly owned subsidiary on completion of the acquisition which will occur once the Mauritanian Government approves a field development plan for a field in PSC A, or earlier with partners' approval. Premier Oil Mauritania B Ltd and FP Mauritania B BV (Mauritania B) hold a 9.23 per cent interest in PSC B (Operator: Woodside). The Mauritanian Government exercised its right to participate in the Chinguetti oil development effective 9 November 2004. Therefore Mauritanian B will reduce its interest to 8.12 per cent on the effective assignment of part of its interest to Group Project Chinguetti., the entity representing the interests of the Mauritanian Government. * Licences held through a joint venture ** Unitised share of 12.38 per cent *** Unitised share of 0.82 per cent
† Unitised share of 1.79 per cent †† Unitised share of 3.00 per cent
75.00 Premier Offshore 12E Vietnam 75.00 Premier Offshore 12W 25.00 Tullow Oil 43/22b, 23, 43/27b, 28, 43/29 P1235 25.00 Tullow Oil 44/21c & 44/26b P1184 30.00 Tullow Oil 39/2b & 39/7 P1152 Mordred †† 10.00 Superior Oil 48/12a P142 Galahad 10.00 Superior Oil 48/12a, 13b P142 50.00 Premier 42/10 & 42/15 P1229 87.50 Premier 23/22b P1181 87.50 Premier 21/7b P1177 50.00 Premier 20/10b, 20/15a, 21/6a & 21/11b P1048 Non-Chestnut Field Area 30.00 Premier 22/2a P354 Scott † 3.75 Nexen 15/21a P218 Telford *** 3.75 Nexen 15/21a P218 Kyle 40.00 CNR 29/2c P748 Wytch Farm (Offshore) ** 12.50 BP 98/6a, 98/7a P534 Wytch Farm/Wareham ** 12.50 BP L97/10 PL089 12.38 BP 98/11 P1022 Fergus 35.00 Amerada Hess 39/1c, 39/2a, 39/2c P802 Fife 15.00 Amerada Hess 39/1a P802 35.00 Amerada Hess 31/26c P758 16.00 Amerada Hess 176/20, 204/16 P1029 Angus, Fife, Flora 15.00 Amerada Hess 31/21a, 31/26a, 31/26f, 31/26g, 31/27a P288 1.25 Amerada Hess 14/25a P257 United Kingdom
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