2045 Regional Transportation Plan Adam Beckom, AICP May 24, 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Adam Beckom, AICP

May 24, 2019

2045 Regional Transportation Plan

2045 RTP Overview

• Update to current 2040 RTP
• 2045 RTP Public Outreach
• Recommendations/Projects List
• Regional Safety Plan
• Active Transportation Plan
• High Capacity Transit

Public Involvement Summary

• 19 Public Meetings
• 430 Attendees
• 100 Livestream Participants
• 100+ media mentions
• 24,816 website hits
• 3 Million impressions and views via digital and

social media advertising

• 1200+ total comments

2045RTP .com

Public Comments – What we learned…

• More Active Transportation
• Multi-modal network that includes more transit
• Less roadway expansion, and more manage or

maintain

• Transportation resiliency
• Environmental Justice
• Project specific comments
• Available in Appendix O of the 2045 RTP document

Household Population

(3X3 mile grid)

2015 (6.54 Million) 2045 (10.76 Million) +4.2 Million

Employment

(3X3 mile grid)

2015 (3.2 Million) 2045 (4.8 Million) +1.6 Million

2020 Congestion

Travel Trends

Travel Trends

2045 Congestion - Build

VMT 295 Million Miles VHT 8.5 Million Hours

Travel Trends

2045 Congestion – No Build

VMT 304 Million Miles VHT 11.8 Million Hours

New Construction & Widenings

Regional Safety Plan Focus Areas

• Impaired Driving
• Speeding
• Distracted Driving
• Bicycle & Pedestrian Safety
• Intersections

Environmental Justice Recommendations

• Increase environmental justice awareness within the

transportation management area.

• Enhance sensitivity to Title VI and environmental

justice in transportation investment decisions.

• Support local efforts to improve transportation service

in the underserved communities.

• Improve safety in the environmental justice

communities.

• Increase public involvement by the underserved

population.

Roadway Recommendations

• Inclusion of projects in the 2018 Call for

Projects

• Project specific comments were sent to

project sponsors

• Project changes affecting conformity will be

addressed through the next conformity process

2045 RTP Projects

Funded Projects (TIP/10yr) Planned Projects Let Projects (Under Construction)

TxDOT 2045 Projects

Funded Projects (TIP/10yr) Planned Projects Let Projects (Under Construction)

Freight Recommendation

• Work with Partners to mitigate short-term deficiencies on

the freight –significant network

• Develop a concept of operations for a freight ITS

program

• Improve flow of containers through a virtual container

yard to reduce truck trips

• Provide access to growing economic centers outside the

urban core

2045 Active Transportation Plan

• Existing Conditions
• Pedestrian & Bicycle Focus Areas
• A Vision for 2045
• Strategies & Measures
• http://www.2045rtp.com/documen

ts/2045-ATP-DRAFT-20190123.pdf

2045 Active Transportation Plan

• Short Term Strategies
• To continue to collect community feedback related to active transportation, particularly in
• ur rural counties
• To build a toolbox for policy, design and funding that complements the Active

Transportation Plan (included in the draft UPWP)

• To update and standardize the regional bikeway map across communities (included in the

draft UPWP)

• Long Term/Ongoing Strategies
• To build walkways and bikeways in areas of high need and where supported by

community plans

• To complete the sidewalk networks within one-half mile of all transit stops
• To build bikeways that connect local residents to tourism destinations
• To provide workshops and other education opportunities related to best practices in active

transportation

Priority Network Elements

• HCT services on high-demand corridors
• North-South (Gessner, Lockwood) and East-West:

(Westpark/Richmond, Inner Katy “Gap”)

• Multimodal connectivity (airports, Texas Central HSR)
• Expansions of Commuter Services
• Conversion of existing HOV facilities to two-way, all-

day service

• New facilities/commuter corridors to Galveston, Mont

Belvieu, Tomball, Crosby/Dayton, Pearland, Fulshear

• “Suburb-to-Suburb” services

Priority Network Elements

• Bus priority treatments along multiple

major thoroughfares (Signature service)

• New Local and Regional services
• Connect outlying communities to each other

and core

• New local routes where need exists
• Flex zones for areas hard to serve with

traditional transit

• Allowances for Universal Accessibility and

State of Good Repair

General Principles/Supporting Concepts

• Regional Fare & Marketing
• Universal Accessibility
• “People can’t use transit if they can’t get to it”
• No new services without access
• First Mile/Last Mile
• Transit-friendly design and parking
• Preparing for automation

Priority Network: Preliminary Figures

• Capital cost: $21.7 Billion
• Annual O&M cost: $1.14 Billion
• Ridership estimate: 277 Million

boardings/year (all services)

• Estimated user benefit: $520 Billion

Priority Network Economic Impact

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045

Transit Priority Induced Job Growth (Thousands)

Transit Priority Network Induced Employment Growth

Jobs Created‐Transit Priority

• Avg. Annual Jobs Created

Priority Network Economic Impact

10 20 30 40 50 60 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045

GDP Output Personal Income Changes (Billions of 2018 Dollars)

Transit Priority Network Economic Impact Analysis

GDP Growth Output Growth Personal Income Increase

2045 Transit Recommendations

Within the METRO Service Area

2045 Transit Recommendations

Outside METRO Service Area

RTP Total Expenditures by Mode

Mode 2040 ($ in Billions) 2045 ($ in Billions) Roadway $43.05 $62.86 Freight $0.43 $0.46 Bike/Ped $0.29 $1.81 Transit $30.89 $67.09 Total $74.66 $132.22

2018 CFP Total Expenditures by Mode

Mode Federal Funding Total Cost

Roadway/Freight $542.10 $788.85 Bike/Ped $45.99 $50.04 Transit $221.36 $368.29 Total $809.45 $1,207.18

Fiscal Constraint

36% 37% 27%

Expenditures by Strategy Total: $132 Billion

Expand Maintain Manage

18% 13% 19% 16% 10% 24% 2045 RTP Revenue by Source Total: $147 Billion

Federal Revenues State Highway Revenues Local Revenues METRO Sales Tax METRO Farebox Toll Roads

Air Quality Budgets

• Houston region in non-attainment for

2008 8-hr Ozone Standard & 2015 8-hr Ozone Standard

• Latest emission budgets from Air Quality State

Implementation Plan

RFP Demonstration Budgets (t/d) Year NOx VOC 2017 121.81 68.04

DRAFT Conformity Results

Year NOx Emissions

(tons/day)

NOx Budget

(tons/day)

VOC Emissions

(tons/day)

VOC Budgets

(tons/day)

VMT 2020 79.62 121.81 45.92 68.04 186,102,566 2030 47.47 121.81 30.37 68.04 227,527,778 2040 43.09 121.81 22.87 68.04 261,487,989 2045 47.43 121.81 23.89 68.04 284,677,064

May

2045 RTP Schedule

Nov Dec Jan Feb March April 2045 Update Develop 2045 recommendations and planning analysis 2045 Update 30 Day Public Comment Draft recommendations/assumptions 2045 RTP Workshop Draft RTP for Preview 30 Day Public Comment Final Draft RTP for Action

TIP TIP/RTP Subc P Subcommitte ttee Meet e Meeting Transpor ansportation tation Advi visor sory C Comm mmittee M ittee Meeting ing Transportati tion P Poli licy Co Coun uncil Meeti Meeting

2019 2018

Action

2045RTP .com

Approval of the Resolution 2019-14 adopting the 2045 RTP and the Finding of Air Quality Conformity Next Steps:

• Conformity documentation submitted to review partners
• Anticipate conformity determination by August 3rd
• H-GAC Staff to continue project coordination with

project sponsors and other regional partners

Brazoria County

Chambers County

Fort Bend County

Galveston County

Harris County

Harris County NE Quadrant

Harris County NW Quadrant

Harris County SE Quadrant

Harris County SW Quadrant

Liberty County

Montgomery County

Waller County

Traffic Safety Strategies

(e.g., Distracted Driving)

Transit Draft Recommendations

• High Capacity Transit Taskforce
• METRONext Vision Plan
• High Speed Rail
• Region to Region Connectivity
• Local Connectivity and Integration

High Capacity Transit Vision

Priority Network

Included in Vision Network

• Expanded local services
• Especially areas indicating high transit need that do not currently have

service

• Regional services
• connect outlying communities to each other and urban core
• Flex Zones (Community Connectors)
• “Non-traditional” Express Bus Services
• Reverse Commute
• Suburb-to-suburb

General Principles/Supporting Concepts

• Regional Fare & Marketing
• Universal Accessibility
• No new service without access
• First Mile/Last Mile
• Transit-friendly design/parking
• Automated Vehicles
• Opportunities and Challenges

ITS/Operations Recommendations

• Travel Demand Management Strategies/Programs
• CarPool/VanPool
• Freeway Incident Management
• Access Management
• Intersection Improvements
• Intelligent Transportation Systems

Planning Factors

• Resiliency
• Intercity Buses
• Enhance Travel & Tourism
• Automated & Connected Vehicles
• Natural Hazard Mitigation

Fiscal Constraint

36% 37% 28%

Expenditures by Strategy Total: $132 Billion

Expand Maintain Manage

18% 13% 19% 16% 10% 24% 2045 RTP Revenue by Source Total: $147 Billion

Federal Revenues State Highway Revenues Local Revenues METRO Sales Tax METRO Farebox Toll Roads

Draft Conformity Results

Ye Year NOx NOx Emissions Emissions (tons/day) NOx Budget NOx Budget (tons/day) VO VOC Emissions Emissions (tons/day) VO VOC Budgets Budgets (tons/day) VMT VMT

2020 79.62 121.81 45.92 68.04 186,102,566 2030 47.47 121.81 30.37 68.04 227,527,778 2040 43.09 121.81 22.87 68.04 261,487,989 2045 47.43 121.81 23.89 68.04 284,677,064

2045 RTP Schedule

Nov Dec Jan Feb March April 2045 Update Develop 2045 recommendations and planning analysis 2045 Update 30 Day Public Comment Draft recommendations/assumptions 2045 RTP Workshop Draft RTP for Preview 30 Day Public Comment Final Draft RTP for Action

TIP TIP/RTP Subc P Subcommitte ttee Meet e Meeting Transpor ansportation tation Advi visor sory C Comm mmittee M ittee Meeting ing Transportati tion P Poli licy Co Coun uncil Meeti Meeting

2019 2018

Public Involvement

Questions?

2045RTP .com

Operational/Congestion

• Travel Demand Management Strategies/Programs
• CarPool/VanPool
• Freeway Incident Management
• Access Management
• Intersection Improvements
• Intelligent Transportation Systems

What is Conformity?

• Process that links the air quality State

Implementation Plan with the regional roadway planning (RTP/TIP)

• Ensures that transportation plans do not delay

attainment of NAAQS

Motor Vehicle Emission Budgets

• HGB region designated non-attainment for the 2015 8-hr

Ozone Standard, “Marginal”

• Attainment year 2020
• Re-classified as “Moderate” for 2008 8-hr Ozone Standard
• Attainment year 2017
• Reasonable Further Progress budget for mobile sources found

adequate by EPA June 6, 2017

RFP Demonstration Budgets (t/d) Year NOx VOC 2017 121.81 68.04