2040 Transportation Plan Board Workshop Mark Krebsbach, P.E. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2040 Transportation Plan Board Workshop Mark Krebsbach, P.E. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Efficient, Effective, Responsive Dakota County 2040 Transportation Plan Board Workshop Mark Krebsbach, P.E. Transportation Director/County Engineer Dakota County Board of Commissioners Workshop July, 9, 2019 Presentation Outline Efficient,

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Dakota County 2040 Transportation Plan Board Workshop

Dakota County Board of Commissioners Workshop July, 9, 2019

Mark Krebsbach, P.E. Transportation Director/County Engineer

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  • Workshop Purpose and Background Information
  • Plan Principles
  • Review and Discussion of Individual Plan Goals
  • Key Takeaways and Summary
  • Public and Agency Engagement
  • Schedule
  • Questions/Discussion

Presentation Outline

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  • Common starting point

– Prior to agency and public engagement

  • Review each Plan Goal

– Overview of significant activities, considerations, trends – Suggestions for substantive changes – Discussion

  • Future Workshop

– Proposed Needs, Investment, Strategy, Policy recommendations

Workshop Purpose

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Purpose of Transportation Plan

Used by Dakota County and our partners as a guide to:

  • Implement County Comprehensive Plan
  • Support existing and planned land use
  • Document transportation policies and strategies
  • Identify long-term investment needs, revenues, and

priorities

Workshop Background

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Reasons for Update

  • City, County, Regional, and State Plan updates
  • 2040 traffic forecasts
  • Incorporate studies, trends, new information
  • Update:

– System vision and needs – Revenues – Investment plan – Policies and strategies

Workshop Background

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Key Trends

  • County Transportation system is in good condition
  • County population is growing and more diverse
  • Less traffic growth than forecast
  • Increased County transportation funding
  • Growing interest in multimodal transportation
  • Transportation technology a growing consideration
  • Many needs beyond County highway system

Workshop Background

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Residential Survey Findings

  • High Ratings for:

− Condition of County roads − Availability of bike and pedestrian options − Quality of snow and ice services

  • Concerns with congestion have diminished
  • Public transportation not identified as a top concern
  • Website used for highway construction projects

Workshop Background

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Principles apply to all Plan goals, transportation system development and operations:

Transportation Plan Principles

2040 Comprehensive Plan Guiding Principles

  • Sustainability
  • Connectedness
  • Collaboration
  • Economic Vitality
  • Growing and Nurturing People

2030 Transportation Specific Principles

  • Transportation Safety and Standards
  • Transportation Planning
  • Social, Economic and Environmental

Impacts (SEE)

  • Public and Agency Involvement
  • Context-Sensitive Design and

Complete Streets

  • Proposed - Transportation

Technology

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Transportation Technology

Suggest as New Principle

Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAV)

  • County CAV Study 2017
  • Cross Department Working Group

− Fall Board update

  • Minnesota County Engineers

Committee

  • Local Road Research Board Study

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  • 1. Limited Resources are Directed to the Highest Priority

Needs of the Transportation System

  • 2. Transit and Integration of Transportation Modes
  • 3. Preservation of the Existing System
  • 4. Management to Increase Transportation System

Efficiency, Improve Safety and Maximize Existing Highway Capacity

  • 5. Replace Deficient Elements of the System
  • 6. Improvement and Expansion of Transportation

Corridors

Current Transportation Plan Goals

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Goal 1: Resources Limited Resources are Directed to the Highest Priority Needs of the Transportation System

Activities

  • Investment needs and priorities
  • Transportation funding
  • Capital Improvement Program
  • Staff resources

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Goal 1: Resources

Needs Resources Preservation Management Replacement Expansion Anticipated Revenue

(including starting fund balance of $60.5M)

Revenue

$1,242 M $746 M Approximate Gap of $500 M Dakota County Highway Needs and Revenues Identified in Current Plan 2016-2030 12

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Goal 1: Resources

County Revenue Estimate Compared to Actual

10 20 30 40 50 60 Millions $

2030 Plan Estimate Actual Sales & Use Tax CTIB Final Combined Municipal State Aid Revenue (Construction)

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  • 2018 Fund Balances: Transportation $75.7M, Sales and Use Tax $12.6M
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Goal 1: Resources

Average Annual Funding Sources

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  • Increased revenue over 15 years approximately

equal to 2030 Plan gap.

Anticipated General Revenues Plan Estimate 2019-2023 CIP's County Levy $5.2 million $4.6 million County Program Aid $4.9 million

  • Wheelage Tax Funds

$1.7 million $4.1 million Gravel Tax Funds $0.2 million $0.2 million County State Aid Highway (CSAH)* $10.0 million $29.2 million City Cost Share Participation $7.0 million $9.0 million Regional Railroad Levy $1.6 million

  • Sales and Use Tax
  • $17.5 million

SUB TOTAL $30.6 million $64.5 million * Includes Flexible Highway Account and Leased Motor Vehicle Sales Tax Revenue

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Key Factors and Trends

  • Significant increase in County transportation revenue

− Motor Vehicle Lease Sales Tax − CSAH Mileage Request − Sales and Use Tax and Wheelage Tax

  • Limited growth in city and state transportation revenue

− Partner cost participation a growing barrier

  • Current Plan estimated revenue at 60% of needs

− 74% 2011-2015 Actual − 81% 2016-2018 Actual

Goal 1: Resources

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Goal 1: Resources

Update Discussion Topics

  • Similar County highway need vs revenue approach

− CSAH and County Road funding − Preservation first, expansion last

  • Suggest revisiting City cost participation

− Highway construction − Trail maintenance − Intersection lighting

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Update Discussion Topics

  • Explore Trunk Highway and Transit Investments

– Develop cost share policies/strategies

  • Various revenue options

– Role of County levy? – Changes to Sales and Use Tax program? – Sales and Use Tax and Wheelage Tax capacity

Goal 1: Resources

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Update Discussion Topics

  • Transit and Trunk Highway policy challenges

– Variety in project scope and funding

  • County share of recent interchanges 2% to 66%

– Limited state and regional funds – MnDOT has cost share policy – No transit funding model

Other discussion topics?

Goal 1: Resources

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Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes Transit and Integration of Transportation Modes

Activities

  • Integrated into the 2030 Transportation Plan
  • Transitway planning
  • Collaboration with transit partners for service

enhancement

  • Meeting the needs of transit dependent population
  • Bicycle and pedestrian facilities

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Investments Since 2030 Plan

  • $62 million vs $140 million

Plan needs

  • Cedar Red Line Bus Rapid

Transit (BRT)

  • I-35W Orange Line BRT
  • Extended service to Dakota

County Technical College

Studies Since 2030 Plan

  • Robert Street Study
  • East-West Transit Study
  • Bicycle and Pedestrian Study
  • American with Disabilities Act

(ADA) Transition Plan

  • Orange Line Extension
  • Eastern Transit Study

Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Key Factors and Trends

  • Bus ridership trending down
  • Business transit service desire
  • Shared mobility and technology
  • Emphasis on multimodal transportation

Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Topics from 2018 Transit Workshop:

  • Enhanced focus on transportation technology
  • Caution in future transitway development
  • Develop better understanding of transit funding for

cost share policy development

  • Continue transportation service coordination efforts
  • Identify County vision for transit

Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Spectrum of Services

Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Update Discussion Topics

  • County transit vision

─ Providers: Explore fixed route service enhancements

  • Focus on implementation
  • Explore Robert Street transitway

− GoDakota: Explore specialty and service coordination − Explore suburban transit model options

  • On demand, shared mobility, loops, technology, etc.
  • Integrate this Goal into other plan Goals

− Transit service enhancements - Expansion − Highway bike and pedestrian system - Management

Other Discussion Topics?

Goal 2: Transit and Transportation Modes

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Goal 3: Preservation Preservation of the Existing System

Activities

  • Highway surface evaluation and pavement management
  • Gravel surface maintenance
  • Bridge rehabilitation
  • Pavement markings, signs, and traffic signals
  • Bicycle trail maintenance

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Investments Since Last Plan

  • $64 million vs $36 million Plan needs
  • 276 lane miles of bituminous resurfacing
  • 11.6 lane miles of gravel resurfacing

Goal 3: Preservation

Key Factors and Trends

  • Pavement investment per performance measures
  • Expanded preservation toolbox
  • Periodic external review
  • Federal funds available for principal arterials

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Performance Measure – Keep a Pavement Quality Index (PQI of Fair or better on 95 percent of the highway system and Good or better of 75 percent of the highway system

Pavement Condition

Goal 3: Preservation

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Update Discussion Topics

  • Maximize investment to defer replacement
  • Discuss highway trail maintenance cost sharing
  • Uniform comprehensive city maintenance agreements

Other discussion topics?

Goal 3: Preservation

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Goal 4: Management Management to Increase Transportation System Efficiency, Improve Safety and Maximize Existing Highway Capacity

Activities

  • Traffic control and safety improvements
  • Access management
  • 10-ton highways
  • Jurisdictional and functional classification
  • Contiguous Plat Ordinance
  • Right of Way permitting

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Investments Since Last Plan

  • $49 million vs $62 million Plan

needs

  • 7.5 miles to locals
  • 1.5 miles from locals
  • 96 of 170 miles designated as

10-ton routes

  • Advance Traffic Management

Systems

Goal 4: Management

Key Factors and Trends

  • Fatal crashes per capita

trending down

  • Connected and Autonomous

Vehicles

  • Multi-modal emphasis

Studies Since 2030 Plan

  • Principal Arterial
  • ADA Transition Plan
  • Bike and Pedestrian
  • Rural Intersection

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CSAH and County Road Mileage Changes

Centerlane Lane Centerlane Lane Centerlane Lane Route System Miles Miles Miles Miles Miles Miles County State Aid Highway 320.8 802.3 335.5 875.1 14.7 72.8 County Road 95.6 194.1 77.7 155.4

  • 17.9
  • 38.7

TOTAL of County System 416.4 996.4 413.2 1030.5

  • 3.2

34.1 2012 2018 Difference

  • Result of:

– Jurisdictional transfers – Expansion projects – New alignments – 39.6 CSAH miles added with 2012 request

Goal 4: Management

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Update Discussion Topics

  • Maximize investment to maximize safety and defer

expansion

  • Identify highway trail and sidewalk gap and crossing

investment needs

─ County highway and greenway crossings

  • Update turnback segments and priority

− Future jurisdiction of frontage roads

  • Update and integration of Plat Needs Map

Other discussion topics?

Goal 4: Management

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Goal 5: Replace Replace Deficient Elements of the System

Activities

  • Highway replacement and reconstruction
  • Bridge replacement
  • Gravel road paving
  • Traffic signal replacement

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Investments Since Last Plan

  • $67 million vs $81

million Plan needs

  • 23.1 miles of highway

replaced

  • 9 miles of gravel roads

paved

Key Factors and Trends

  • Increased emphasis

since 2015

  • Rural roads emphasis in

recent and current CIP’s

  • 112 miles over 50 years
  • f age

Goal 5: Replace

2012 2020 Length Length Difference Gravel County Road 35.1 29.3

  • 5.8

Gravel to Turnback 30 26.5

  • 3.5

TOTAL 65.1 55.8

  • 9.3

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Goal 5: Replace

Consider replacement for highways 60 to 80 years in age 36

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Miles of Highway Replaced

Goal 5: Replace

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  • Estimate need for 6 to 8 miles of highway per year
  • Upgrades to meet current design and safety standards
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Bridge Condition/Rating

Performance Measure: ‒ Recommend replacement if sufficiency rating is less than 80 ‒ Two Structurally Deficient Bridges

  • Bridge L3166 – CSAH 78 Project, 2020
  • Bridge 19J13 – Future CSAH 80 Project

Goal 5: Replace

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Goal 5: Replace

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Traffic Signal Replacement

  • Typically replace around 30 years of age
  • About 70% (95 of 135) of County signals
  • $300,000 to $500,000 per intersection
  • Typically make operational improvements

− Turn lanes − Flashing yellow arrows − Pedestrian updates

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Goal 5: Replace

Update Discussion Topics

  • 6 to 8 miles of highway replacement per

− Increasing need in cities − 25% current city cap likely to be a barrier

  • Traffic signal replacement increasing
  • Increased trail replacement
  • Limited bridge replacement needs

Other discussion topics?

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Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion Improvement and Expansion

  • f Transportation Corridors

Activities

  • Work with other agencies to minimize or mitigate

expansion needs

  • Coordinate improvements with development
  • Conduct transportations studies to determine needs

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Investments Since Last Plan

  • $134 million vs $139

million Plan needs

  • 34 lane miles of highway
  • Major expansion projects:

− CSAH 23, Apple Valley, Lakeville − CSAH 50, Lakeville − CSAH 28/TH 55, Inver Grove Heights − CSAH 9, Lakeville

Studies Since 2030 Plan

  • Arterial Connector
  • Principal Arterial
  • I-494/Argenta Planning

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Key Factors and Trends

  • Vehicle miles travelled growth less predicted in 2010
  • Expansion demand trending down
  • 5 of 8 Trunk Highway/County interchanges improved or

constructed

  • 0 of 11 County/County interchanges

− Right of way set aside for one

  • Residential Survey identified congestion concerns on

CSAH 42 and Trunk Highways

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Traffic Trends

  • Region and County Vehicle Miles Travelled
  • 500,000,000

1,000,000,000 1,500,000,000 2,000,000,000 2,500,000,000 3,000,000,000 3,500,000,000 4,000,000,000 4,500,000,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 2017 Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)

Annual Vehicle Miles Traveled - All Roads Within County

State CSAH County Municipal Township State Park

  • 200,000,000

400,000,000 600,000,000 800,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,200,000,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 2017 Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)

Annual Vehicle Miles Traveled - County Only

CSAH County

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

Indicates 2% projected growth from 2010 Indicates 2% projected growth from 2010

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Preliminary Travel Demand Model Findings

  • 2040 volumes are anticipated to be similar to 2030
  • 2017 volumes are similar to 2007
  • Some areas developing at lower densities than

predicted (UMore, NW Inver Grove Heights)

  • Remaining model activities

− Apply city land use plans − Validate technical aspects − 2040 volumes completed by October

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Residential Survey

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Trunk Highway Investments

  • Actual 2008-2017 Metro District share 44.2% (of

$9.83B)

– Suburban counties: 15.6% – Dakota County: 3.3%

  • Estimated 2019-2028 Metro District share 37.92%

(of $10.1B)

– Metro expansion only $612 million (Corridors of Commerce)

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Update Discussion Topics

  • Travel demand model update will identify

− Anticipated highway capacity needs − Interchange needs − Expect 2040 similar to 2030 Plan

  • Add transit expansion/enhancements to Goal
  • Consider capacity for transit and Trunk Highway

investments Other discussion topics?

Goal 6: Improvement and Expansion

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Key Takeaways

  • 2030 Plan has provided a solid basis for investment
  • The County transportation system is in good condition
  • Transportation technology a growing consideration
  • County transportation revenues have increased

substantially, other agencies have not kept pace

  • Traffic growth less than anticipated in 2030 Plan
  • Expansion demand from cities trending down
  • Trunk Highways remain a concern

Key Takeaways & Summary

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Suggested Plan Revisions/Focus Areas

  • Transportation technology as a new Principle
  • Revisit city cost share policies
  • Increased focus on suburban scale transit opportunities
  • Explore interest in Robert Street
  • Integrate Transit and Modes into other Plan goals
  • Identify highway trail and sidewalk gaps and barrier

investment needs

  • Update jurisdictional turnbacks
  • Replacement needs growing, city focus
  • Explore transit and Trunk Highway investment and potential

cost share policies

  • Review all policies and strategies in context of Plan update

information Discussion or other takeaways?

Key Takeaways & Summary

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Public & Agency Engagement Proposed Approach

  • Cross department steering group
  • Engage Planning Commission
  • Public Engagement Consultant:

– Approach for meaningful engagement, staff resources, material production – Social media, web page(s), events

  • Three agency staff working groups:

– County Highways – Transit – Trunk Highways

Next Steps

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Next Steps

Activity Future Retain Consultant Q3 2019 Staff steering & workgroups 3 Groups/Q3 - ongoing County newsletter Fall/Winter CONDAC/City Managers 2 or 3 meetings PDC update Q4 2019 Planning Commission 3 +/- meetings Public open house To be determined Next Board workshop Q1 2020 Public comment period Q1/Q2 2020 Adopt 2040 Plan Q2 2020

Public & Agency Engagement Proposed Schedule

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Schedule

Assessment and Data Collection

  • County Board update

January PDC

  • Hire consultant(s)

March & Q3 2019

  • Model update, Plan review, revenue analysis

Q2 2019

  • County Board Workshop

July 9, 2019 – Activities, considerations, trends, revenue and focus areas

Analysis and Engagement

  • Form staff working groups

Q3 2019

  • Public and Agency involvement

Q3 start, ongoing

  • Develop draft content/document

Q4 2019/Q1 2020

  • County Board Workshop(s)

Q1 2020 – Discuss needs, recommendations , policies, and finance options

Next Steps

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Schedule

Plan Adoption

  • Authorization to release draft

Q1/Q2 2020

  • Public comment period

Q2 2020

  • County Board adopt final plan

Q2 2020

Next Steps

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Questions / Discussion

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