2030 T ar ge t Sc oping Plan Oc to be r 1, 2015 1 Wo rksho p - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2030 T ar ge t Sc oping Plan Oc to be r 1, 2015 1 Wo rksho p Outline I ntro duc tio n a nd We lc o me 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n Ove rvie w Gre e nho use Ga s E missio ns Re duc tio n F o c us Are a s Sho rt-L ive
1
Oc to be r 1, 2015
ntro duc tio n a nd We lc o me
a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n Ove rvie w
missio ns Re duc tio n F
Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nts
E ne rg y E ffic ie nc y
Na tura l a nd Wo rking L a nds
E le c tric ity
T ra nspo rta tio n a nd L a nd Use
c o no mic Ana lysis
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De ve lo p a b a la nc e d a ppro a c h to a ddre ss c lima te
c ha ng e
I
mpro ve a ir q ua lity a nd pub lic he a lth
Pro vide a c o nsiste nt po lic y a ppro a c h to drive inve stme nt
in c le a n te c hno lo g y
Pro vide a mo de l fo r future na tio na l a nd inte rna tio na l
c lima te c ha ng e e ffo rts
Ac hie ve 1990 e missio ns b y 2020; ma inta in a nd c o ntinue
re duc tio ns pa st 2020 to a c hie ve 2030 a nd 2050 g o a ls
Co o rdina te e ffo rts a c ro ss g o ve rnme nt a g e nc ie s
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Ove r vie w
sta b lishe d ne w pa ra dig m fo r c lima te mitig a tio n
irst e c o no my-wide c lima te c ha ng e pla n
supple me nte d with c o mple me nta ry me a sure s
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Ove r vie w
E
ng a g e me nt with Sta te Ag e nc ie s
E
ng a g e me nt with L e g isla ture
Co o rdina tio n with o the r pla ns
(i.e . 111(d), Ca p & T ra de , SI P, F re ig ht Stra te g y, e tc .)
E
c o no mic a nd T e c hno lo g y Adva nc e me nt Adviso ry Co mmitte e E ng a g e me nt
E
nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e E ng a g e me nt
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Ove r vie w
nviro nme nta l Ana lysis (CE QA)
(Sa c ra me nto a nd re g io na l)
ina l Re po rt (ta rg e te d me a sure s a nd e stima te d e missio n re duc tio ns)
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Ove r vie w
100 200 300 400 500 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 California annual GHG emissions (MMT CO2e)
Pre-2020 and Post-2020 emissions trajectories
Constant percentage reduction Constant MMT reduction
~ 260 MMT CO 2e
Re duc e Gre e nho use Ga s E
missio ns to 40% Be lo w 1990 L e ve ls b y 2030 (E xe c utive Orde r B-30-15)
Cre a te jo b s a nd suppo rt a ro b ust wo rkfo rc e Sa ve wa te r Suppo rt Disa dva nta g e d Co mmunitie s Ma ke Ca lifo rnia mo re re silie nt T
ra nsfo rm to a c le a n e ne rg y e c o no my
Give c o nsume rs c le a n e ne rg y c ho ic e s
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Ove r vie w
Co ntinua tio n o f pro g ra ms e sta b lishe d to re a c h the 2020
GHG e missio ns re duc tio n ta rg e t
Ca p-a nd-T
ra de Pro g ra m
L
ue l Sta nda rd
Re ne wa b le Po rtfo lio Sta nda rd Adva nc e d Cle a n Ca rs Pro g ra m ZE
V Pro g ra m
Susta ina b le F
re ig ht Stra te g y
Sho rt-L
ive d Clima te Po lluta nt Stra te g y
SB 375 Susta ina b le Co mmunitie s Stra te g y
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Ove r vie w
Go ve rno r’ s Offic e pilla rs fra me wo rk
Re d uc e pe tro le um use
Inc re a se re ne wa b le e le c tric ity
Inc re a se b uild ing e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y
Re d uc e sho rt-live d c lima te po lluta nts
E nsure na tura l/ wo rking la nd s a re c a rb o n sink
Se c to r o rie nte d me a sure s Ma ximize GHG re duc tio ns a c ro ss a ll a re a s
Re a lize c o b e ne fits a t la rg e ind ustria l so urc e s
Multi-a g e nc y c o lla b o ra tive pro c e ss Sta ke ho lde r input
Pub lic wo rksho ps with fo rma l a nd info rma l c o mme nt pe rio d s
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Ove r vie w
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Ove r vie w
–
E ne rg y
–
Gre e n b uilding s
–
T ra nspo rta tio n
–
Wa te r
–
Na tura l a nd wo rking la nds
–
Ag ric ulture
–
Wa ste ma na g e me nt
–
Sho rt-live d c lima te po lluta nts
Pro vide input o n to o ls a nd mo de ling a ssumptio ns to
e va lua te e c o no mic impa c t o f Sc o ping Pla n
Se pte mb e r 25, 2015: Bo a rd re -c o nve ne d E
JAC fo r 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n a nd a ppro ve d ne w me mb e rs
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Ove r vie w
nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e (E JAC) to a dvise the Bo a rd in de ve lo ping the Sc o ping Pla n a nd a ny o the r pe rtine nt ma tte r in imple me nting the Ac t
F
ro m c o mmunitie s in Sta te with the mo st sig nific a nt e xpo sure to a ir po llutio n (i.e ., c o mmunitie s with mino rity po pula tio ns o r lo w-inc o me po pula tio ns o r b o th)
fo ur ne w me mb e rs a ppo inte d Se pte mb e r 2015
inc lude a pub lic c o mme nt pe rio d
http:/ / www.a rb .c a .g o v/ c c / e ja c / e ja c .htm
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Sho rt-L
ive d Clima te Po lluta nts
E
ne rg y E ffic ie nc y
Na tura l a nd Wo rking L
a nds
E
le c tric ity
T
ra nspo rta tio n a nd L a nd Use
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ARB de ve lo ping Sho rt-L
ive d Clima te Po lluta nt Re duc tio n Stra te g y
Re c o mme nde d a c tio n in the 2014 Sc o ping Pla n Upda te Re q uire d b y Se na te Bill 605 One o f Go ve rno r’ s five pilla rs to me e t 2030 GHG g o a l Co nc e pt Pa pe r re le a se d fo r pub lic c o mme nt in Ma y 2015 Dra ft Stra te g y just re le a se d fo r pub lic c o mme nt a nd to b e
disc usse d a t wo rksho ps o n Oc to b e r 13 (Sa c ra me nto ), Oc to b e r 14 (So uth Co a st), a nd Oc to b e r 19 (Sa n Jo a q uin Va lle y)
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Shor t- L ive d Climate Pollutants
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Ve ry la rg e , c ro ss se c to r po te ntia l GHG re duc tio ns
E
ne rg y use d b y b uilding s ~25% o f GHG e missio ns
Building s use ~68% o f e le c tric ity & ~55% o f na tura l g a s
E
E a lmo st a lwa ys the mo st c o st e ffe c tive a ppro a c h
L
e ss c o stly to a vo id c o nsumptio n c o mpa re d to g e ne ra tio n
I
mpro ving e xisting b uilding s is c ritic a l to 2030 g o a ls
Curre nt ho me s will b e ~87% o f ho using in 2030 Curre nt b usine sse s will b e ~80% o f c o mme rc ia l sq ft in 2030
2030 g o a l re q uire s full o ffse t o f de mo g ra phic a nd
e c o no mic drive n lo a d g ro wth plus b e g in to re duc e to ta l e ne rg y c o nsumptio n
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
Applia nc e sta nda rds – sta te & fe de ra l T
Vs, b a tte ry c ha rg e rs, wa te r, L E Ds, c o mpute r/ displa ys, HVAC
Utility e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y pro g ra ms CPUC a ppro ve s b udg e t a nd o ve rse e s I
OU E E pro g ra ms
POUs re po rt pro g re ss to CE
C
Building sta nda rds Upda te e ffe c tive 7/ 1/ 2014; ne xt upda te e xpe c te d 1/ 1/ 2017 E
ne rg y Se rvic e s Assista nc e Pro g ra m & We a the riza tio n Assista nc e Pro g ra m e nsure se rvic e s fo r disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s
Cle a n E
ne rg y Jo b s Ac t (Pro p. 39) fo r K
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
SB 350
E
sta b lish a nnua l ta rg e ts fo r sta te wide E E sa ving s a nd de ma nd re duc tio n to a c hie ve do ub ling o f sa ving s b y 2030
“Me a sure ” E
E sa ving s using no rma lize d me te re d c o nsumptio n whe re fe a sib le a nd c o st-e ffe c tive
AB 802
I
nc e ntive s fo r e xisting b uilding s c o ming up to c urre nt c o de
E
ne rg y pe rfo rma nc e b e nc hma rking fo r la rg e b uilding s
I
nc re a se d e ne rg y usa g e da ta a c c e ss fo r CE C to impro ve fo re c a sting c a pa b ilitie s
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
Bro a d ma rke t b a se d de ma nd fo r e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y
se rvic e s
I
nno va tive b usine ss so lutio ns de live r sa ving s
E
ffic ie nc y va lue d a s a re a l e sta te a ttrib ute
Affo rda b le fina nc ing a va ila b le fo r a ll Ca lifo rnia ns E
ffic ie nc y pro c ure d a s a c le a n distrib ute d e ne rg y re so urc e , a na lo g o us to g e ne ra tio n
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
Co ntinue d de live ry o f va lida te d sa ving s fro m c o st-
e ffe c tive utility E E pro g ra ms a nd c o de s & sta nda rds
Applia nc e sta nda rds to a ddre ss ra pidly g ro wing plug lo a ds
Ze ro ne t e ne rg y ne w c o nstruc tio n po lic y
Co mple me nta ry utility pro g ra ms a nd c o de s a nd sta nda rds to ste a dily impro ve e xisting b uilding s
E xisting Building s E ne rg y E ffic ie nc y Ac tio n Pla n
E
me rg ing te c hno lo g ie s a nd R &D
L E Ds
Hig hly e ffic ie nt he a t pumps
Ma rke t b a se d a ppro a c he s tha t a ttra c t priva te c a pita l
a nd e na b le inno va tive b usine ss mo de ls a nd fina nc ing
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
E
le c tric ity se c to r is prima ry o ve rla p
I
nc re a sing E E re duc e s e le c tric ity infra struc ture ne e ds
I
nc re a sing E E lo we rs re ne wa b le e ne rg y pro c ure me nt re q uire me nts
Po te ntia l fo r e le c trific a tio n o f e nd use s tha t a re prima rily
na tura l g a s to da y (wa te r he a ting , spa c e he a ting )
T
ra nspo rta tio n se c to r is se c o nda ry o ve rla p
I
nc re a sing E E c re a te s he a dro o m le sse ning infra struc ture b uild o ut fo r e le c trifie d tra nspo rta tio n
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y
E
le c tric ity se c to r is prima ry o ve rla p
I
nc re a sing E E re duc e s e le c tric ity infra struc ture ne e ds
I
nc re a sing E E lo we rs re ne wa b le e ne rg y pro c ure me nt re q uire me nts
T
ra nspo rta tio n se c to r is se c o nda ry o ve rla p
I
nc re a sing E E c re a te s ‘ spa c e ’ tha t le sse ns
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E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y So urc e : We i e t a l., 2013
E
ne rg y E ffic ie nt AND
Co nse rve Wa te r Re c yc le a nd Pre ve nt Wa ste Re duc e T
ra nspo rta tio n I mpa c ts
Co ntrib ute to Co o l
Co mmunitie s
Co mpre he nsive a ppro a c h to
suppo rt c lima te g o a ls
Stra te g y fo c use d o n ne w a nd
e xisting b uilding s
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Gr e e n Buildings
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Gr e e n Buildings Me asur e Update
Sta te L e a ding b y E xa mple On tra c k to me e t o r e xc e e d g o a ls Gre e n Building Sta nda rds Co de Ma nda to ry re q uire me nts a nd vo lunta ry “re a c h” sta nda rds Be yo nd Co de L
inno va tive pro g ra ms E xisting Building Re tro fits Ro a dma p to a c tio n
Stre ng the n the CAL
Gre e n Co de
E
xpa nd vo lunta ry e ffo rts
Adva nc e g re e n b uilding ra ting syste ms E
xpa nd e mpha sis o f e xisting b uilding s
Aug me nt e xisting inc e ntive pro g ra ms Co ntinue re se a rc h a c tivitie s
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Gr e e n Buildings
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Gr e e n Buildings
e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y me a sure
g re e n b uilding s
b uilding s
sa ving s
Visio n fo r 2030
Build upo n ZNE
a nd g re e n b uilding pro g ra ms
E
sta b lish g o a ls a nd a pa th to wa rds ze ro c a rb o n b uilding s
Visio n fo r 2050
Building s g e ne ra te ze ro
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Gr e e n Buildings
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34
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
Pho to Cre dits: USDA NRCS, USDA fo re st Se rvic e
F
Ra ng e la nd We tla nds F a rmla nd
Private Lands 47% Federal Lands 48%
Other Public Lands (State, county, muni, etc.) 5%
Land by Major Ownership
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
Ca lifornia ’s la nd ba se store s c a rbon b e lo w g ro und, in so il a nd ro o t
syste ms, a nd a b o ve g ro und, in tre e s, shrub s, g ra sse s a nd o the r pla nt b io ma ss
He a lthy a nd re silie nt na tura l a nd working la nds provide susta ina ble public be ne fits in a ddition to c a rbon se que stra tion, suc h a s wa te r
filtra tio n, impro ve d a ir q ua lity, wildlife ha b ita t, te mpe ra ture mo de ra tio n thro ug h sha ding , a nd so il fe rtility tha t suppo rts fo o d pro duc tio n
Conse rva tion of na tura l a nd working la nds supports susta ina ble c ommunitie s
Na tura l a nd working la nds provide jobs, support re g iona l e c onomie s a nd improve qua lity of life for a ll Ca lifornia re side nts.
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
Ma na g e me nt fo r F
Re fo re sta tio n, I
nse c t a nd Dise a se I nfe sta tio ns, Hig h F ire Risk Are a s
We tla nd Re sto ra tio n He a lthy So ils I
nitia tive
Building so il o rg a nic ma tte r to se q ue ste r c a rb o n, inc re a se
wa te r re te ntio n, impro ve a ir a nd wa te r q ua lity, re duc e se dime nt e ro sio n a nd dust, impro ve b io lo g ic a l dive rsity a nd impro ve pla nt he a lth a nd yie lds.
CDF
A F e rtilize r Re se a rc h a nd E duc a tio n Pro g ra m
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
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Natur al and Wor king L ands
46
F
Ma na g e me nt & Bio e ne rg y L a nd Pro te c tio n & Avo ide d VMT ; Urb a n Gre e ning Bio ma ss Dive rsio n & SL CP Re duc tio ns Ag & F
Dive rsio n to Bio fue ls
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48
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E le c tr ic ity T
ation (GWh)
Bio ma ss Ge o the rma l Sma ll Hydro So la r Wind
59,750 GWh T
nia Ge ne r ation (GWh)
Co a l L a rg e Hyd ro Re ne wa b le s Nuc le a r Na tura l Ga s Unspe c ifie d So urc e s o f Po we r
296,800 GWh
Instate : 198,900 GWh Impor ts: 97,900 GWh Instate 44,850 GWh Impor ts: 14,900 GWh
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E le c tr ic ity GHG E missions State wide
20% fro m e le c tric ity
se c to r
Ab o ut ½ fro m o ut-o f-
sta te e le c tric ity
37% fro m
tra nspo rta tio n
E xe c utive Or de r B- 30- 15 se ts state wide goal to r e duc e GHG e missions 40% be low 1990 le ve ls by 2030
E
le c tric ity se c to r is a b o ut 20% b e lo w 1990 GHG e missio n le ve ls
F
ro m 2008 to 2013:
Re ne wa b le g e ne ra tio n a lmo st do ub le d Co a l g e ne ra tio n re duc e d b y mo re tha n ha lf GHG e missio ns re duc e d b y a q ua rte r
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E le c tr ic ity
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E le c tr ic ity
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Coal and Petcoke: Energy (Gigawatt-Hours) Coal and Petcoke: Share of Energy Used to Serve California Loads Share Energy Mojave Closure (EIA Summer Capacity 1,580 MW) Temporary loss of Intermountain Unit 1 (EIA Summer Capacity 900 MW) Intermountain Repowers to Natural Gas. (From EIA Summer Capacity of 1,800 MW to 1,200 MW Combined Cycle)
Actual Expected
2014
So urc e : CE C T ra c king Pro g re ss We b Pa g e
E le c tr ic ity
E
le c tric ity se c to r is a b o ut 20% b e lo w 1990 GHG e missio n le ve ls
E
ne rg y/ Wa te r Ne xus
GHG re duc tio n/ c lima te pro g ra ms
Re ne wa b le s Po rtfo lio Sta nda rd Custo me r-side distrib ute d g e ne ra tio n pro g ra ms Ca p-a nd-T
ra de
Co mb ine d He a t a nd Po we r Pro g ra ms E
ne rg y E ffic ie nc y
E
le c tric Ve hic le Pro g ra ms
Inte g ra ting va ria b le re so urc e s
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E le c tr ic ity
I
nc re a se s the 33% RPS to 50% RPS
Pa ve s the wa y fo r tra nsfo rma tio n o f the Ca lifo rnia I
SO into a re g io na l o rg a niza tio n
Re q uire s inte g ra te d re so urc e pla ns Re q uire s studie s o n lo w-inc o me c usto me rs’ a c c e ss a nd
b a rrie rs to c le a n te c hno lo g ie s
E
nsure lo w-inc o me re side nts b e ne fit fro m c le a n e ne rg y po lic ie s
55
E le c tr ic ity
I
nc re a sing re ne wa b le s b e yo nd 33% c re a te s inte g ra tio n c ha lle ng e s
Ove rg e ne ra tio n e xpe c te d a t
so me time s-o f-da y
F
le xib le supply a nd de ma nd ne e de d
Re g io na l ma rke tpla c e suppo rts
re ne wa b le inte g ra tio n
56
E le c tr ic ity
57
E le c tr ic ity
Ma rke t- Ba se d Me c ha nisms
ra de
Pla nning Initia tive s
T I 2.0
58
E le c tr ic ity
Re se a rc h a nd De ve lopme nt
mpro ve d fo re c a sting a nd g rid mo de ling
ne rg y sto ra g e
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E le c tr ic ity
60
61
L and Use Infr astr uc tur e
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T r anspor tation and L and Use
Ve hic le T e c hnology F ue l Use
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Ve hic le T e c h
Ae ro dyna mic s, We ig ht, tire s
Co nve ntio na l po we rtra in impro ve me nts
Hyb rids
Ba tte ry E Vs
F ue l Ce ll E Vs
F ue l Use
L iq uid fue ls (fo ssil a nd re ne wa b le so urc e s)
E le c tric ity
Ga se o us fue ls (hydro g e n, na tura l g a s)
L and Use
I nfill, mixe d use
T ra nsit
de ve lo pme nt
Infr astr uc tur e
Hig h-Spe e d Ra il
I nte g ra te d ma ss tra nsit syste ms
Bike a nd pe de stria n fa c ilitie s
F re ig ht fa c ilitie s
T r anspor tation and L and Use
64
Ve hic le T e c hno lo g y: L
DV: Adva nc e d Cle a n Ca rs (L E V GHG, ZE V)
HDV: Pha se 1 ve hic le GHG sta nda rds HDV: Adva nc e d Cle a n T
ra nsit rule
HDV: Ze ro e missio n a irpo rt shuttle s, la st mile de live ry
L
DV & HDV I nc e ntive pro g ra ms, de mo nstra tio ns, e tc
Ma rine : E
le c tric sho re po we r a t do c k
Ra il: Co mmute r ra il e nha nc e me nts (e .g . e le c tric Ca ltra in) Nume ro us o the r po lic y ac tio ns e nac te d to addre ss re g io nal
T r anspor tation and L and Use
65
ue l Sta nda rd (L CF S)
ra de
re q uire me nts
le c tric utility E V ra te se tting
le c tric utility E V infra struc ture inve stme nts
T r anspor tation and L and Use
66
QA stre a mlining e nc o ura g e s mo re infill a nd T OD
me tric
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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xpa nsio n a nd inte g ra tio n o f ra il a nd tra nsit syste ms a c ro ss the sta te
fre ig ht pla n pursua nt to E O 32-15
ra nspo rta tio n Pro g ra m
T r anspor tation and L and Use
Co ntinue d e ffic ie nc y g a ins E
le c tric drive tra ins (L DVs, HDVs)
Ra il e ffic ie nc y a nd e le c trific a tio n, e xpa nsio n a t po rts Hig h-Spe e d Ra il with e le c trifie d lo c o mo tive s Avia tio n a irc ra ft e ffic ie nc y a nd sma rt ro uting Ve hic le a uto ma tio n (L
DVs, HDVs)
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T r anspor tation and L and Use
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T r anspor tation and L and Use
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a c tivity b y 2035 a nd b e yo nd
nc e ntivize a nd c a ta lyze c o mpa c t de ve lo pme nt
nc o ura g e lo c a l g o ve rnme nt imple me nta tio n o f re g io na l SCSs
pra c tic e s – Ge ne ra l Pla n Guide line s upda te
T r anspor tation and L and Use
71
I nfra struc ture :
Hig h-Spe e d Ra il pha se I
in se rvic e b y 2030, with mo de shift fro m c a rs a nd a irc ra ft
I
nfra struc ture suppo rtive o f fre ig ht e ffic ie nc y
I
nte g ra te d a nd ro b ust lo c a l/ re g io na l tra nsit ne two rks – tra nsit linke d with a n inte g ra te d sc he dule a nd a sing le tic ke t
I
mpro ve d b ike a nd pe de stria n fa c ilitie s fo r sa fe ty a nd inc re a se d mo de sha re
Ro a d surfa c e inno va tio ns to re duc e fue l c o nsumptio n
a nd impro ve e c o syste m re silie nc e
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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Ima g e Cre dits- Urb a n Adva nta g e , Ro ma De sig n Gro up, City o f Da na Po int
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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Ima g e Cre dits- Urb a n Adva nta g e , Ro ma De sig n Gro up, City o f Da na Po int
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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Ima g e Cre dits- Urb a n Adva nta g e , Ro ma De sig n Gro up, City o f Da na Po int
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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DV: Adva nc e d Cle a n Ca rs 2 (po st 2025)
Pha se 3
DV & HDV: E xpa nde d inc e ntive s & de mo nstra tio ns
F e de ra l $
T r anspor tation and L and Use
76
L
ue l Sta nda rd
Ca p-a nd-T
ra de
SO a nd PUC po lic ie s to fo ste r “ve hic le to g rid” se rvic e s
T r anspor tation and L and Use
77
T r anspor tation and L and Use
78
T r anspor tation and L and Use
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Re fine rie s, Oil/ Ga s we lls, b io fue l pro duc tio n, e le c tric ity
“VGI
” – Ve hic le Grid I nte ra c tio n (e le c tric ity)
Ve hic le lo a d de ma nd re spo nse Ve hic le to g rid sto ra g e a nd g rid se rvic e s
Bio fue l fe e dsto c k fro m Ag ric ulture & Wa ste se c to rs
F
a rme d c ro ps, WWT P g a s, la ndfill g a s, fo re st thining s
E
ne rg y – Wa te r Ne xus
Wa te r re q uire me nts to pro duc e fue ls
T r anspor tation and L and Use
80
Multiple Be ne fits o f Susta ina b le De ve lo pme nt
Wa te r a nd Re so urc e Co nse rva tio n E
c o no mic He a lth
Pub lic He a lth E
q uity
E
ne rg y Use in Building s
Munic ipa l F
isc a l Susta ina b ility
Ho use ho ld a nd T
ra nspo rta tio n Co sts
Ava ila b ility o f Wo rkfo rc e Ho using fo r E
c o no mic Gro wth
T r anspor tation and L and Use
81
82
E
va lua te the e c o no mic impa c t o f o ptio ns fo r a c hie ving the 2030 GHG ta rg e t
E
stima te the e c o no mic impa c t o f va rio us te c hno lo g y pa thwa ys a nd c a rb o n pric ing
I
nfo rm me a sure de ve lo pme nt
Asse ss the e c o no mic impa c t o f o ptio ns fo r a c hie ving the
2030 GHG e missio n ta rg e t o n the Ca lifo rnia e c o no my, Ca lifo rnia b usine sse s, a nd individua ls
83
E c onomic Analysis
Po te ntia l pa thwa ys
Co mb ina tio ns o f c a ndida te me a sure s E
va lua te :
Ado ptio n ra te s: sto c k ro llo ve r E
missio ns
Co sts a nd sa ving s Cro ss-se c to r inte ra c tio ns
K
e y Drive rs:
Re fe re nc e sc e na rio c o nditio ns T
e c hno lo g y a ttrib ute s: a va ila b ility; c o st; pe rfo rma nc e
84
E c onomic Analysis
De fine c a rb o n pric ing in the ma c ro e c o no mic a na lysis
Cha ng e s re la tive pric e s in the e c o no my Mo ve s mo ne y in the e c o no my
E
va lua te :
Struc tura l re spo nse s Ma c ro e c o no mic indic a to rs E
missio ns fe e db a c k
85
E c onomic Analysis
E
ne rg y a nd E nviro nme nta l E c o no mic s Pa thwa ys Mo de l
E
c o no my-wide sto c k ro llo ve r mo de l
De fine te c hno lo g y pa thwa ys fo r a c hie ving e missio n
ta rg e ts
E
stima te the c o sts a nd sa ving s o f the pa thwa ys
Re g io na l E
c o no mic Mo de ls, I nc . (RE MI )
I
nput-Output b a se d dyna mic g e ne ra l e q uilib rium mo de l
E
stima te ma c ro e c o no mic impa c t o f te c hno lo g y c o sts a nd sa ving s
E
stima te the ma c ro e c o no mic impa c t a nd ma c ro e c o no mic a djustme nts due to c a rb o n pric ing
86
E c onomic Analysis
87
E
xpe rts in e c o no mic s a nd mo de ling
Se rve in a n a dviso ry c a pa c ity in the a sse ssme nt o f the
e c o no mic impa c ts o f the 2030 Sc o ping Pla n
Co o rdina te with Ca lifo rnia a g e nc ie s a nd e xte rna l
re se a rc he rs
Co nduc t the ir a c tivitie s in pub lic me e ting s
E c onomic Analysis
Pro vide fe e db a c k o n the pro po se d a na lytic a l me tho ds Re vie w the e c o no mic a nd te c hnic a l a ssumptio ns a nd
me tho ds in the te c hno lo g y pa thwa ys a na lyse s
Re vie w the a ssumptio ns a nd me tho ds in the
ma c ro e c o no mic a na lyse s
Re vie w a nd c o mme nt o n the o ve ra ll a na lyse s
88
E c onomic Analysis
89
90
Ba y Are a , L
E
c o no mic / e nviro nme nta l a na lyse s
91
Ne xt Ste ps
he re will b e a dditio na l o ppo rtunitie s to c o mme nt a t the se wo rksho ps
92
Ne xt Ste ps
93
Ne xt Ste ps Ja kub Zie lkie wic z ja kub .zie lkie wic z@ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 445-6018
le c tric ity
ra nspo rta tio n a nd L a nd Use Sa ra Nic ho ls sa ra .nic ho ls@ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 445-1952
a nds
Ste pha nie K a to ste pha nie .ka to @ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 324-1840
ne rg y E ffic ie nc y
T rish Jo hnso n trish.jo hnso n@ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 445-3365
nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e E mily Wimb e rg e r E mily.wimb e rg e r@ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 327-5932 E c o no mic Ana lysis Mic ha e l Gib b s mic ha e l.g ib b s@ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 445-4299 Ra jinde r Sa ho ta ra jinde r.sa ho ta @ a rb .c a .g o v (916) 323-8503