2030 T ar ge t Sc oping Plan Oc to be r 1, 2015 1
Wo rksho p Outline I ntro duc tio n a nd We lc o me 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n Ove rvie w Gre e nho use Ga s E missio ns Re duc tio n F o c us Are a s Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nts E ne rg y E ffic ie nc y Na tura l a nd Wo rking L a nds E le c tric ity T ra nspo rta tio n a nd L a nd Use E c o no mic Ana lysis Ne xt Ste ps 2
CALIFORNIA CLIMATE STRATEGY
CALIFORNIA CLIMATE STRATEGY
2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n Ove rvie w CAL I F ORNI A AI R RE SOURCE S BOARD 6
vie w Ove r AB 32 Ob je c tive s De ve lo p a b a la nc e d a ppro a c h to a ddre ss c lima te c ha ng e I mpro ve a ir q ua lity a nd pub lic he a lth Pro vide a c o nsiste nt po lic y a ppro a c h to drive inve stme nt in c le a n te c hno lo g y Pro vide a mo de l fo r future na tio na l a nd inte rna tio na l c lima te c ha ng e e ffo rts Ac hie ve 1990 e missio ns b y 2020; ma inta in a nd c o ntinue re duc tio ns pa st 2020 to a c hie ve 2030 a nd 2050 g o a ls Co o rdina te e ffo rts a c ro ss g o ve rnme nt a g e nc ie s 7
vie w Ove r Prio r Sc o ping Pla ns E sta b lishe d ne w pa ra dig m fo r c lima te mitig a tio n F irst e c o no my-wide c lima te c ha ng e pla n Pio ne e re d the c o nc e pt o f a ma rke t-b a se d pro g ra m supple me nte d with c o mple me nta ry me a sure s Se c to r-b y-se c to r a ppro a c h Pub lic o utre a c h a nd e duc a tio n Must b e upda te d a t le a st e ve ry 5 ye a rs 8
vie w Ove r 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n Re q uire me nts E ● ng a g e me nt with Sta te Pub lic He a lth Ana lysis Ag e nc ie s ● E nviro nme nta l Ana lysis E ng a g e me nt with L e g isla ture (CE QA) Co o rdina tio n with o the r pla ns ● Pub lic Pro c e ss: Wo rksho ps (i.e . 111(d), Ca p & T ra de , SI P, (Sa c ra me nto a nd re g io na l) F re ig ht Stra te g y, e tc .) ● Dra ft Re po rt / F ina l Re po rt E c o no mic a nd T e c hno lo g y (ta rg e te d me a sure s a nd Adva nc e me nt Adviso ry e stima te d e missio n Co mmitte e E ng a g e me nt re duc tio ns) E nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e E ng a g e me nt 9
vie w Ove r Pa th to 2050 Gre e nho use Ga s T a rg e t Pre-2020 and Post-2020 emissions trajectories 500 -4.7 MMT CO 2 e per year -1.0 percent per year California annual GHG emissions (MMT CO 2 e) 400 -11.4 MMT CO 2 e per year 300 -5.2 percent per year ~ 260 MMT CO 2 e 200 Constant percentage reduction 100 Constant MMT reduction 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 10
vie w Ove r Guiding Princ iple s Re duc e Gre e nho use Ga s E missio ns to 40% Be lo w 1990 L e ve ls b y 2030 (E xe c utive Orde r B-30-15) Cre a te jo b s a nd suppo rt a ro b ust wo rkfo rc e Sa ve wa te r Suppo rt Disa dva nta g e d Co mmunitie s Ma ke Ca lifo rnia mo re re silie nt T ra nsfo rm to a c le a n e ne rg y e c o no my Give c o nsume rs c le a n e ne rg y c ho ic e s 11
vie w Ove r Ac hie ving the 2030 T a rg e t Co ntinua tio n o f pro g ra ms e sta b lishe d to re a c h the 2020 GHG e missio ns re duc tio n ta rg e t Ca p-a nd-T ra de Pro g ra m L o w Ca rb o n F ue l Sta nda rd Re ne wa b le Po rtfo lio Sta nda rd Adva nc e d Cle a n Ca rs Pro g ra m ZE V Pro g ra m Susta ina b le F re ig ht Stra te g y Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nt Stra te g y SB 375 Susta ina b le Co mmunitie s Stra te g y 12
vie w Ove r Me a sure De ve lo pme nt Pla n Go ve rno r’ s Offic e pilla rs fra me wo rk Re d uc e pe tro le um use Inc re a se re ne wa b le e le c tric ity Inc re a se b uild ing e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y Re d uc e sho rt-live d c lima te po lluta nts E nsure na tura l/ wo rking la nd s a re c a rb o n sink Se c to r o rie nte d me a sure s Ma ximize GHG re duc tio ns a c ro ss a ll a re a s Re a lize c o b e ne fits a t la rg e ind ustria l so urc e s Multi-a g e nc y c o lla b o ra tive pro c e ss Sta ke ho lde r input Pub lic wo rksho ps with fo rma l a nd info rma l c o mme nt pe rio d s 13
vie w Ove r E le me nts o f 2030 Stra te g y ● F o c us a re a s within pilla rs fra me wo rk E ne rg y – Gre e n b uilding s – T ra nspo rta tio n – Wa te r – Na tura l a nd wo rking la nds – Ag ric ulture – Wa ste ma na g e me nt – Sho rt-live d c lima te po lluta nts – ● Ma ximize syne rg ie s a mo ng se c to rs 14
vie w Ove r Adviso ry Gro ups E c o no mic a nd T e c hno lo g y Adva nc e me nt Adviso ry Co mmitte e Pro vide input o n to o ls a nd mo de ling a ssumptio ns to e va lua te e c o no mic impa c t o f Sc o ping Pla n E nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e Se pte mb e r 25, 2015: Bo a rd re -c o nve ne d E JAC fo r 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n a nd a ppro ve d ne w me mb e rs 15
E nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e AB 32 c a lls fo r a n E nviro nme nta l Justic e Adviso ry Co mmitte e (E JAC) to a dvise the Bo a rd in de ve lo ping the Sc o ping Pla n a nd a ny o the r pe rtine nt ma tte r in imple me nting the Ac t F ro m c o mmunitie s in Sta te with the mo st sig nific a nt e xpo sure to a ir po llutio n (i.e ., c o mmunitie s with mino rity po pula tio ns o r lo w-inc o me po pula tio ns o r b o th) Nine e xisting me mb e rs a ppo inte d b y Bo a rd in 2013, fo ur ne w me mb e rs a ppo inte d Se pte mb e r 2015 Co mmitte e me e ting s a re o pe n to the pub lic a nd inc lude a pub lic c o mme nt pe rio d http:/ / www.a rb .c a .g o v/ c c / e ja c / e ja c .htm 16
Ag e nc y Pe rspe c tive s GHG Re duc tio n F o c us Are a s Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nts E ne rg y E ffic ie nc y Na tura l a nd Wo rking L a nds E le c tric ity T ra nspo rta tio n a nd L a nd Use 17
GHG Re duc tio n F o c us Are a s Short- L ive d Clima te Polluta nts 18
Shor t- L ive d Climate Pollutants Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nts ARB de ve lo ping Sho rt-L ive d Clima te Po lluta nt Re duc tio n Stra te g y Re c o mme nde d a c tio n in the 2014 Sc o ping Pla n Upda te Re q uire d b y Se na te Bill 605 One o f Go ve rno r’ s five pilla rs to me e t 2030 GHG g o a l Co nc e pt Pa pe r re le a se d fo r pub lic c o mme nt in Ma y 2015 Dra ft Stra te g y just re le a se d fo r pub lic c o mme nt a nd to b e disc usse d a t wo rksho ps o n Oc to b e r 13 (Sa c ra me nto ), Oc to b e r 14 (So uth Co a st), a nd Oc to b e r 19 (Sa n Jo a q uin Va lle y) 19
GHG Re duc tio n F o c us Are a s E ne r gy E ffic ie nc y 20
ffic ie nc y E ne r gy E Sc o pe Ve ry la rg e , c ro ss se c to r po te ntia l GHG re duc tio ns E ne rg y use d b y b uilding s ~25% o f GHG e missio ns Building s use ~68% o f e le c tric ity & ~55% o f na tura l g a s E E a lmo st a lwa ys the mo st c o st e ffe c tive a ppro a c h L e ss c o stly to a vo id c o nsumptio n c o mpa re d to g e ne ra tio n I mpro ving e xisting b uilding s is c ritic a l to 2030 g o a ls Curre nt ho me s will b e ~87% o f ho using in 2030 Curre nt b usine sse s will b e ~80% o f c o mme rc ia l sq ft in 2030 2030 g o a l re q uire s full o ffse t o f de mo g ra phic a nd e c o no mic drive n lo a d g ro wth plus b e g in to re duc e to ta l e ne rg y c o nsumptio n 21
ffic ie nc y E ne r gy E 2020 Sta tus Upda te Applia nc e sta nda rds – sta te & fe de ra l T Vs, b a tte ry c ha rg e rs, wa te r, L E Ds, c o mpute r/ displa ys, HVAC Utility e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y pro g ra ms CPUC a ppro ve s b udg e t a nd o ve rse e s I OU E E pro g ra ms POUs re po rt pro g re ss to CE C Building sta nda rds Upda te e ffe c tive 7/ 1/ 2014; ne xt upda te e xpe c te d 1/ 1/ 2017 E ne rg y Se rvic e s Assista nc e Pro g ra m & We a the riza tio n Assista nc e Pro g ra m e nsure se rvic e s fo r disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s Cle a n E ne rg y Jo b s Ac t (Pro p. 39) fo r K -14 pub lic sc ho o ls 22
ffic ie nc y E ne r gy E L e g isla tive Upda te SB 350 E sta b lish a nnua l ta rg e ts fo r sta te wide E E sa ving s a nd de ma nd re duc tio n to a c hie ve do ub ling o f sa ving s b y 2030 “Me a sure ” E E sa ving s using no rma lize d me te re d c o nsumptio n whe re fe a sib le a nd c o st-e ffe c tive AB 802 I nc e ntive s fo r e xisting b uilding s c o ming up to c urre nt c o de E ne rg y pe rfo rma nc e b e nc hma rking fo r la rg e b uilding s I nc re a se d e ne rg y usa g e da ta a c c e ss fo r CE C to impro ve fo re c a sting c a pa b ilitie s 23
ffic ie nc y E ne r gy E Visio n Bro a d ma rke t b a se d de ma nd fo r e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y se rvic e s I nno va tive b usine ss so lutio ns de live r sa ving s E ffic ie nc y va lue d a s a re a l e sta te a ttrib ute Affo rda b le fina nc ing a va ila b le fo r a ll Ca lifo rnia ns E ffic ie nc y pro c ure d a s a c le a n distrib ute d e ne rg y re so urc e , a na lo g o us to g e ne ra tio n 24
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