2017 Climate Change Sc oping Plan Update F e br uar y 9, 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2017 climate change sc oping plan update
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2017 Climate Change Sc oping Plan Update F e br uar y 9, 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2017 Climate Change Sc oping Plan Update F e br uar y 9, 2017 Outline Ba c kg ro und Ove rvie w o f Pro po se d Pla n Additio na l De ta il o n Alte rna tive s Re fine me nts to the E c o no mic Ana lysis E stima ting


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SLIDE 1

2017 Climate Change Sc oping Plan Update

F e br uar y 9, 2017

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SLIDE 2

Outline

 Ba c kg ro und  Ove rvie w o f Pro po se d Pla n  Additio na l De ta il o n Alte rna tive s  Re fine me nts to the E

c o no mic Ana lysis

 E

stima ting He a lth I mpa c ts

 Sc he dule  Disc ussio n

2

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SLIDE 3

Ba c kg ro und

3

 Mo st a g g re ssive c lima te ta rg e t in No rth Ame ric a :

40% re duc tio n in GHGs b y 2030 c o mpa re d to 1990 le ve ls

 Builds o n Ca lifo rnia ’ s suc c e ss re duc ing GHGs  Alig ns Ca lifo rnia with the re st o f the wo rld in c lima te c ha ng e fig ht

 Pro po se d Pla n dra ws o n the suc c e sse s a nd the le sso ns le a rne d

fro m the pre vio us pla ns

 Pro po se s c o ntinuing ma jo r suc c e ssful pro g ra ms tha t ha ve se rve d

a s a mo de l fo r o the r sta te s a nd jurisdic tio ns a ro und the wo rld

 Pro po se d Pla n a c hie ve s GHG re duc tio n ta rg e t a nd c o ntinue s to

ma ke o ur c o mmunitie s a nd e c o no my mo re re silie nt a nd e q uita b le a t the sa me time

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SLIDE 4

Ne w Dire c tive s a nd L e g isla tio n

4

 E

xe c utive Orde r B-30-15

 Re duc e GHG e missio ns 40% b e lo w 1990 le ve ls b y 2030  Upda te Sc o ping Pla n to inc o rpo ra te 2030 GHG ta rg e t

 Se na te Bill 32 (SB 32) c o difie s 2030 GHG ta rg e t  AB 197

 Co nside r the so c ia l c o sts o f GHG re duc tio ns  Prio ritize me a sure s re sulting in dire c t e missio n re duc tio ns  F

  • llo w e xisting AB 32 re q uire me nts—inc luding c o nside ring c o st-

e ffe c tive ne ss a nd minimizing le a ka g e

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SLIDE 5

Ob je c tive s fo r Sc o ping Pla n

 Ac hie ve 2030 ta rg e t  Pro vide dire c t GHG e missio ns re duc tio ns  Pro vide a ir q ua lity c o -b e ne fits  Minimize e missio ns le a ka g e  Suppo rt c lima te inve stme nt in disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s  Pro te c t pub lic he a lth  F

a c ilita te sub -na tio na l a nd na tio na l c o lla b o ra tio n

 Suppo rt c o st-e ffe c tive a nd fle xib le c o mplia nc e  Suppo rt Cle a n Po we r Pla n a nd o the r fe de ra l a c tio n

5

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SLIDE 6

Building o n a n E xisting F

  • unda tio n

6

 E

xisting pro g ra ms a re de live ring the e missio ns re duc tio ns ne e de d to a c hie ve the 2020 ta rg e t

 Pro g ra m infra struc ture e xists to suppo rt c o ntinua tio n o f e xisting

pro g ra ms

 Hig h c o mplia nc e ra te s de mo nstra te re g ula te d e ntitie s a re a b le

to suc c e ssfully c o mply with e xisting pro g ra ms

 Gro ss do me stic pro duc t (GDP) ha s c o ntinue d to g ro w

 Ca lifo rnia is ra nke d a s wo rld’ s fifth la rg e st e c o no my  Pe r c a pita a nd pe r do lla r o f GDP GHG e missio ns ha ve

de c line d

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SLIDE 7

F

  • unda tio na l Pla ns fo r 2030

7

2030 Target Scoping Plan

SB 375 Sustainable Communities Strategies

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Pro po se d Sc o ping Pla n Sc e na rio

 *SB 350 – inc re a se re ne wa b le e ne rg y a nd e ne rg y e ffic ie nc y  *SB 1383 – Sho rt-L

ive d Clima te Po lluta nt Re duc tio n Pla n

 *SB 375 – suppo rt susta ina b le c o mmunity de ve lo pme nt  *Mo b ile So urc e Stra te g y – he lp Sta te a c hie ve its fe de ra l

a nd sta te a ir q ua lity sta nda rds

 *L

  • w Ca rb o n F

ue l Sta nda rd

 *Susta ina b le F

re ig ht Ac tio n Pla n

 Ne w Re fine ry E

ffic ie nc y Me a sure – 20 pe rc e nt b y 2030

 F

e we r GHG e missio ns pe r b a rre l o f a re fine d pro duc t

 Po st-2020 Ca p-a nd-T

ra de Pro g ra m

 T

ra ding a nd o ffse t usa g e limit o f 8 pe rc e nt

*E

xisting c o mmitme nts inc lude d in a ny Sc o ping Pla n Upda te

8

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SLIDE 9

9

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Na tura l a nd Wo rking L a nds

 Go a l: Ma na g e Ca lifo rnia ’ s Na tura l a nd Wo rking L

a nds, inc luding g re e n spa c e in urb a n a re a s, to b e a re silie nt ne t sink o f c a rb o n in 2030, 2050 a nd b e yo nd

 Co ntinue d e ffo rts to mo de l a re fe re nc e c a se a nd

ma na g e me nt pra c tic e s to info rm pe rfo rma nc e ta rg e ts

 By 2018, de ve lo p a n I

nte g ra te d a nd Wo rking L a nds Ac tio n Pla n to de ta il ho w this se c to r b e c o me s a ne t c a rb o n sink

 SB 1383 g o a l to re duc e me tha ne e missio ns fro m live sto c k

ma nure a nd da iry ma nure ma na g e me nt o pe ra tio ns

10

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Pro po se d Pla n Me e ts All Ob je c tive s (1 o f 2)

 Hig h pro b a b ility o f me e ting 2030 ta rg e t with ha rd c a p  Pro vide s dire c t GHG e missio ns re duc tio ns fro m a ll se c to rs  Pro vide s a ir q ua lity c o -b e ne fits thro ug h b o th c o mma nd

a nd c o ntro l re g ula tio ns a nd the Ca p-a nd-T ra de Pro g ra m

 Pro te c ts pub lic he a lth thro ug h c lima te le a de rship, c o -

b e ne fits, a nd inve stme nt in disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s

 Minimize s e missio ns le a ka g e thro ug h fre e a llo c a tio n

11

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Pro po se d Pla n Me e ts All Ob je c tive s (2 o f 2)

 Suppo rts c lima te inve stme nt in disa dva nta g e d

c o mmunitie s b y c o ntinuing to pro vide pro c e e ds fo r GGRF

 F

a c ilita te s sub -na tio na l a nd na tio na l c o lla b o ra tio n thro ug h linka g e o f Ca p-a nd-T ra de pro g ra ms

 Suppo rts c o st-e ffe c tive a nd fle xib le c o mplia nc e b y

a llo wing tra ding

 Suppo rts Cle a n Po we r Pla n a nd o the r fe de ra l a c tio n

b e c a use the Ca p- a nd-T ra de pro g ra m c a n b e use d to c o mply with CPP

12

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Alte rna tive s E va lua te d

 No Cap-and-T

r ade – re ly o n dire c t me a sure s fo r a ll re duc tio ns

 Car

bon T ax – re pla c e Ca p-a nd-T

ra de with a c a rb o n ta x

 *All Cap-and-T

r ade – no re fine ry me a sure a nd no e nha nc e me nt

to L

  • w Ca rb o n F

ue l Sta nda rd (ke e p a t 10% re duc tio n in CI )

 *Cap-and-T

ax – re q uire e a c h fa c ility/ e ntity to re duc e e missio ns

a nnua lly with no tra ding , e missio ns wo uld b e ta xe d *F

  • c us o f disc ussio n fo r to da y

13

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All Ca p-a nd-T ra de Alte rna tive

 Re lie s o n Ca p-a nd-T

ra de

 No re fine ry me a sure  No e nha nc e me nt to L

  • w Ca rb o n F

ue l Sta nda rd (ke e p a t 10% re duc tio n in CI )

 L

e ss c e rta inty a b o ut a mo unt o f g re e nho use g a s re duc tio ns a t re fine rie s

14

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Ca p & T a x: Ove rvie w

 T

he Ca p-a nd-T ra de Pro g ra m wo uld mo stly b e re pla c e d b y a Ca p & T a x Re g ula tio n po st-2020

 E

missio ns fro m e a c h c o ve re d e ntity wo uld b e sub je c t to a de c lining a nnua l c a p

 E

a c h me tric to n o f GHG e missio ns fro m c o ve re d e ntitie s wo uld b e sub je c t to a ta x a t the so c ia l c o st o f c a rb o n

 Pe na ltie s wo uld b e a sse sse d fo r a ny a nnua l e missio ns

a b o ve a n individua l e ntity c a p

 No tra ding o f e missio ns a llo wa nc e s a nd no use o f o ffse t

c re dits

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Ca p & T a x: Se c to rs Co ve re d

 Pe rc e nta g e o f to ta l e missio ns b y se c to r fro m 2014 GHG

e missio ns inve nto ry:

T ra nspo rta tio n (36.1 %) Re c yc ling & Wa ste (2.0 %) Hig h GWP Ga se s (3.9 %) Ag ric ulture (8.2 %) Re side ntia l & Co mme rc ia l (8.7%) E le c tric Po we r (20.0 %) I ndustria l (21.1 %)

Cap & T ax Option Se c tor s Cove r e d by Cap & T ax

Optio n A All se c to rs Optio n B T ra nspo rta tio n, industry, e le c tric po we r, a nd re side ntia l a nd c o mme rc ia l#

# T

he se a re se c to rs c urre ntly c o ve re d b y the Ca p-a nd-T ra de Pro g ra m.

16

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Ca p & T a x: Ac hie ving the 2030 T a rg e t

Se c tor 2021- 2030 Annua l E missions Re duc tions (% ) PRE F E RRE D: Ca p & T a x Option A –Uniform Ac ross All Se c tors Ca p & T a x Option B – Only Ca p- a nd- T ra de Se c tors*

*T ra nspo rta tio n 4.5 4.7 *I ndustry 4.5 4.7 *E le c tric Po we r 4.5 4.7 *Re side ntia l & Co mme rc ia l 4.5 4.7 Ag ric ulture 4.5 3.5 Hig h GWP Ga se s 4.5 5.4 Re c yc ling & Wa ste 4.5 1.4

17

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Ca p & T a x: E xa mple Ca ps fo r a Hypo the tic a l F

  • o d Pro c e sso r

Annua l GHG e missio ns c a ps unde r Ca p & T a x Optio n A fo r a hypo the tic a l fo o d pro c e ssing fa c ility with e missio ns e q ua l to 65,000 MT CO 2e in 2020.

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Annua l GHG E missio ns Ca p (MMT CO 2e )

18

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Ca p & T a x: E xa mple Ca ps fo r a Hypo the tic a l Na tura l Ga s Supplie r

Annua l GHG e missio ns c a ps unde r Ca p & T a x Optio n A fo r a hypo the tic a l na tura l g a s supplie r with e missio ns e q ua l to 20,000,000 MT CO 2e in 2020.

2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 20,000,000 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Annua l GHG E missio ns Ca p (MMT CO 2e )

19

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Ca p & T a x: Additio na l De ta ils

 Se t the ta x a t the so c ia l c o st o f c a rb o n sa me a s the c a rb o n

ta x a lte rna tive

 Ca p de c line , no t ta x, wo uld b e ma in drive r o f e missio ns

re duc tio ns

 Additio na l wo rk wo uld b e ne e de d to a ddre ss ne w industry

mo ving to the Sta te

 Wo uld ne e d re g ula tio n to se t individua l c a ps fo r a ll e ntitie s,

inc luding e sta b lishing a b a se ye a r

 Sta ff do e s no t b e lie ve e a c h se c to r c a n re duc e a t this le ve l

ye a r o ve r ye a r

 E

xpe c te d to b e mo re c o st tha n pro po se d pla n a nd ma y re sult in lo ss o f industry, jo b s, a nd GDP

20

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Re fine me nts to the E c o no mic Ana lysis

21

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Pla nne d Re fine me nts to the E c o no mic Ana lysis

 Re g io na l impa c ts  Ma c ro e c o no mic a na lysis o f a ll sc e na rio s  He a lth impa c ts

22

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SLIDE 23

Re g io na l I mpa c ts Asse ssme nt

 E

stima te the re g io na l impa c ts o f a ll Sc o ping Pla n sc e na rio s

 Ana lyze ho w the Sc o ping Pla n sc e na rio s will a ffe c t

re g io na l e c o no mic g ro wth, industry o utput, wa g e s, a nd e mplo yme nt

 E

stima te the impa c t o f the Sc o ping Pla n sc e na rio s o n Disa dva nta g e d Co mmunitie s

23

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RE MI Ca lifo rnia Co unty Mo de l

 Re pre se nta tive o f 58 re g io ns a nd 160 se c to rs o f the CA

e c o no my

 Ac c o unts fo r re g io na l diffe re nc e s in e c o no mic a nd

de mo g ra phic c ha ra c te ristic s

 L

  • c a l c o nsumptio n is e stima te d using da ta fro m the US

Bure a u o f E c o no mic Ana lysis (BE A) a nd the Ce nsus Bure a u

 E

a c h c o unty ha s distinc t c ha ra c te ristic s inc luding industry o utput, pe rso na l inc o me , a nd pric e inde xe s fo r ho using a nd e ne rg y

 Allo ws fo r flo w o f po pula tio n a nd e mplo yme nt b e twe e n

c o untie s

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Ca lifo rnia Co unty I nte ra c tio ns in RE MI Ca lifo rnia Co unty Mo de l

25

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T ra nsla tio n o f I nputs in RE MI Ca lifo rnia Co unty Mo de l

RE MI Polic y Var iable County Conve r sion Ca pita l c o st b y I ndustry Pro po rtio na l to industry o utput a t c o unty le ve l F ue l c o st fo r a ll industria l se c to rs Pro po rtio na l to industry c o nsumptio n in e a c h fue l c a te g o ry a t the c o unty le ve l Cha ng e s in fina l de ma nd b y industry Pro po rtio na l to industry o utput y c o unty Co nsume r spe nding fo r re duc e d fue l purc ha se s Pro po rtio na l to pe rso na l c o nsumptio n e xpe nditure in e a c h spe nding c a te g o ry a t the c o unty le ve l Pro duc tio n c o st b y industry Pro po rtio na l to industry o utput a t the c o unty le ve l T ra nsfe r pa yme nts Pro po rtio na l to po pula tio n b y c o unty Co nsume r pric e Pro po rtio na l to c o unty pe rso na l e xpe nditure in e a c h c a te g o ry

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RE MI Ca lifo rnia Co unty Mo de l Outputs

 Co unty e c o no mic g ro wth  Co unty e mplo yme nt  Co unty wa g e s  Co unty-le ve l industry o utput  Ca n b e use d to e stima te e c o no mic impa c ts o f

disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s

27

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E stima ting the E c o no mic I mpa c t to Disa dva nta g e d Co mmunitie s

 Disa dva nta g e d c e nsus tra c ts a re ide ntifie d using

Ca lE nviro sc re e n 2.0

 Me tho do lo g y

 Co unty e mplo yme nt info rma tio n fro m Ame ric a n Co mmunity Surve y

(ACS) pro vide s c e nsus-tra c t le ve l e stima te s o f jo b s b y o c c upa tio n

 Co mpa re to the c o unty-le ve l e stima te s o f jo b s b y o c c upa tio n a s

  • utput b y the RE

MI Ca lifo rnia Co unty Mo de l

 E

stima te the e mplo yme nt impa c t o n disa dva nta g e d c e nsus tra c ts

28

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DAC I mpa c t Me tho do lo g y

29

County-level impact to jobs by occupation (REMI county output) Disadvantaged census tracts’ share of

  • ccupational employment

(CalEnviroscreen 2.0) ACS occupational employment by census tract Disadvantaged tracts’ share of

  • ccupational

job impacts

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SLIDE 30

Re sults

 E

stima te e c o no mic impa c ts re la tive to the b a se line

 E

stima te re sults b y:

 Co unty  Re g io na l a re a  Disa dva nta g e d c o mmunitie s

 Me tric s o f inte re st

 Co unty e c o no mic g ro wth  E

mplo yme nt

 Wa g e s  Se c to r va lue a dd

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E c o no mic Mo de ling o f Sc e na rio s

31

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All Ca p-a nd-T ra de E c o no mic Mo de ling

 I

nc lude PAT HWAYS re sults tha t e xc lude the re fine ry me a sure a nd a ny e nha nc e me nt to L

  • w Ca rb o n F

ue l Sta nda rd in RE MI

 Apply ra ng e o f a llo wa nc e pric e s in a simila r ma nne r a s the

Pro po se d Pla n inc luding fre e a llo wa nc e a llo c a tio n a nd re turn o f a uc tio n pro c e e ds thro ug h the GGRF a nd a pe r c a pita divide nd

Allo wa nc e pric e ra ng e

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($2015) 2020 2025 2030

C+T F lo o r Pric e $15.40 $19.70 $25.20 C+T Re se rve Pric e $72.10 $73.00 $78.40

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Ca p & T a x E c o no mic Mo de ling

 Ba se d o n unifo rm re duc tio ns fro m e stima te d 2020 GHG le ve ls a s

mo de le d in PAT HWAYS

 Re duc tio ns a re mo de le d b y se c to r a nd no t individua l fa c ilitie s

 Pro vide s fle xib ility a mo ng fa c ilitie s in a se c to r tha t do e s no t e xist

whe n re g ula ting individua l fa c ilitie s

 T

he e stima te d c o st o f c o mplying with Ca p & T a x a s mo de le d in PAT HWAYS will like ly b e muc h lo we r tha n a c tua l c o st o f c o mplia nc e

 I

nc lude ta x o n a ll GHG e missio ns a t so c ia l c o st o f c a rb o n

 No ta x mo dific a tio ns to e nsure c o mpe titive ne ss o f CA b usine sse s  All ta x re ve nue is re turne d to CA c o nsume rs a s a divide nd

33

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Ca p & T a x Co nside ra tio ns

 Additio na l re duc tio ns a re intro duc e d to e a c h se c to r o n to p o f

re duc tio ns a c hie ve d unde r the ‘ No Ca p-a nd-T ra de ’ sc e na rio

 L

imite d info rma tio n o n mitig a tio n po te ntia l in the industria l se c to r

 Ma y re q uire mo de ling re duc tio ns in o utput o r pro duc tio n to

a c hie ve the 2030 ta rg e t

 T

he e c o no mic impa c t o f re duc tio ns in o utput o r pro duc tio n a re intro duc e d o utside o f PAT HWAYS

34

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SLIDE 35

Po te ntia l Me tho ds to Mo de l Ca p & T a x b y Se c to r

35

Se c tor Pr

  • pose d Cap & T

ax Me asur e s (Build off mode ling for no c ap- and- tr ade sc e nar io)

Ag ric ulture Additio na l re duc tio ns fro m da iry ma nure me tha ne Re s. & Co mm. Additio na l e le c trific a tio n o f b uilding s E le c tric Po we r Po te ntia l sma ll inc re a se in RPS Hig h GWP No c ha ng e I ndustria l 10-15% e le c trific a tio n o f ma nufa c turing 10-15%a dditio na l re duc tio ns fro m re fining , o il & g a s, a nd industria l ma nufa c turing - po te ntia lly fro m re duc e d o utput/ pro duc tio n Re c yc ling / Wa ste Additio na l re duc tio ns fro m wa ste T ra nspo rta tio n Re mo ve the e a rly re tire me nt o f L DVs fro m No Ca p- a nd-T ra de Sc e na rio

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SLIDE 36

Pre limina ry Dire c t Co st Ra nking o f Sc e na rio s

36

L

  • we r Dire c t Co st

Hig he r Dire c t Co st

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SLIDE 37

Pre limina ry Dire c t Co st Ra nking o f Sc e na rio s

37

L

  • we r Dire c t Co st

Hig he r Dire c t Co st

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SLIDE 38

He a lth E c o no mic Ana lysis

 Qua ntify a nd mo ne tize the e stima te d a vo ide d he a lth impa c ts

re sulting fro m imple me nta tio n o f the Sc o ping Pla n sc e na rio s

 Mo ne tize d impa c ts ma y inc lude :

 Avo ide d pre ma ture mo rta lity  Avo ide d ho spita liza tio ns  Avo ide d e me rg e nc y ro o m visits  He a lth b e ne fits due to inc re a se mo b ility

38

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SLIDE 39

He a lth I mpa c ts in RE MI

 I

de ntifying wa ys to po te ntia lly intro duc e mo ne tize d he a lth impa c ts in ma c ro e c o no mic mo de ling

 Cha ng e s in c o nsume r spe nding o n he a lth re la te d c o sts

 Physic ia n visits a nd ho spita liza tio n

 Cha ng e s in pro duc tivity due to a vo ide d sic k da ys  Po te ntia lly inc o rpo ra ting a vo ide d pre ma ture mo rta lity

39

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SLIDE 40

E stima ting He a lth I mpa c ts

40

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SLIDE 41

E stima ting He a lth I mpa c ts fro m 2030 T a rg e t Sc o ping Pla n

 So me a c tio ns tha t re duc e GHG e missio ns c a n le a d to

re duc tio ns in o zo ne a nd PM2.5 pre c urso rs, a nd T ACs

 Re duc e d a dve rse he a lth impa c ts  Re duc e d c a nc e r risk

 SCSs c a n le a d to mo re wa lka b le c o mmunitie s

I nc re a se in physic a l a c tivity a nd impro ve d o ve ra ll he a lth

Ac tive T ra nspo rt c a n le a d to VMT re duc tio ns

41

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SLIDE 42

Mo rta lity Re duc tio ns Due to De c re a se s in Air Po llutio n

US E

PA ha s de te rmine d tha t PM2.5 e xpo sure is a c a usa l fa c to r in pre ma ture mo rta lity

E

stima te pre ve nte d

 Pre ma ture mo rta lity  Ho spita liza tio ns  E

me rg e nc y Ro o m visits

E

stima te mo rta lity re duc tio ns fro m Pro po se d Sc e na rio a nd 4 Alte rna tive s

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SLIDE 43

Me tho do lo g y fo r Qua ntifying Mo rta lity Re duc tio ns

Sa me me tho do lo g y a s use d fo r o the r ARB

re g ula tio ns

E

missio n re duc tio ns fro m Sc o ping Pla n le a d to lo we r PM2.5 c o nc e ntra tio ns (T a b le lll-1)

Re la te lo we r PM2.5 to impro ve d he a lth Adjust fo r po pula tio n g ro wth b e twe e n 2010

a nd 2030

43

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SLIDE 44

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Minute s pe r Da y o f Physic a l Ac tivity Re la tive Risk

F

  • c us: Ac tive T

ra nspo rta tio n Ac tive T ra nspo rta tio n: He a lth Be ne fits o f Physic a l Ac tivity

 Re g ula r physic a l a c tivity re duc e s

the risk o f ma ny a dve rse he a lth

  • utc o me s.

 I

ndividua ls who a re a c tive fo r a ppro xima te ly 12 minute s/ da y ha ve a 20% lo we r risk o f dying e a rly tha n tho se who a re a c tive just 5 min/ da y. T ho se who a re a c tive a n ho ur a da y ha ve a 40% lo we r risk.

 Wa lking o r b ic yc ling fo r

tra nspo rta tio n c o ntrib ute s to yo ur physic a l a c tivity to ta l.

44

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SLIDE 45

Ac tive T ra nspo rta tio n: He a lth Be ne fits o f Physic a l Ac tivity

 Co mpa ra tive Risk Asse ssme nt Me tho do lo g y

  • 1. De te rmine pre ma ture de a ths a ttrib uta b le to b a se line le ve ls o f

physic a l a c tivity

  • 2. E

stima te the inc re a se in physic a l a c tivity due to a do ptio n o f a c tive tra nspo rta tio n

  • 3. E

stima te the re duc tio n in pre ma ture de a ths fro m the b a se line to the future sc e na rio

Ba se line Pre ma ture De a th a nd Illne ss Ra te s Proje c te d Pre ma ture De a ths a nd Illne ss Sc oping Pla n Stra te g ie s

  • Pro je c te d he a lth b e ne fit o f a c tive tra nspo rta tio n a do ptio n is the

diffe re nc e b e twe e n the b a se line a nd sc e na rio .

  • E

ndpo ints ma y inc lude o b e sity, hype rte nsio n, he a rt dise a se , dia b e te s, a nd de a th

  • Se e king c o mme nts o n this me tho do lo g y

45

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SLIDE 46

Sc he dule

 CE

QA c o mme nt pe rio d: Ja nua ry 20 – Ma rc h 6

 Wo rksho ps to da y a nd in e a rly Ma rc h  E

JAC a nd Co mmunity Me e ting s

 F

e b rua ry Bo a rd He a ring

 April 2017: Re le a se F

ina l Pro po se d Sc o ping Pla n

 April 2017: F

ina l Bo a rd c o nside ra tio n

46

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SLIDE 47

Disc ussio n

 T

he full te xt o f “T he 2017 Sc o ping Pla n Upda te : T he Pro po se d Pla n fo r Ac hie ving Ca lifo rnia ’ s 2030 Gre e nho use Ga s T a rg e t” is a va ila b le a t: www.a rb .c a .g o v/ c c / sc o ping pla n/ sc o ping pla n.htm

 Sta ke ho lde rs a nd the pub lic a re e nc o ura g e d to sub mit

c o mme nts b y 5:00 PM PST

  • n Ma rc h 6, 2017

www.a rb .c a .g o v/ lispub / c o mm/ b c list.php

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