2018 Draft Master Plan GATCOM – October 2018 Tim Norwood Chief Planning Officer 2
Introduction • Today marks the publication of our Draft 2018 Master Plan • Previous Master Plan was published in 2012 • Airports Commission process is over • Government has confirmed its support for ‘making the best use of existing runways’ • Government drafting a new Aviation Strategy - still forecasting a UK airport ‘capacity gap’ • Demand for global connectivity greater than ever • It’s the right time for Gatwick to set out its ambition to grow sustainably 3
Chapter 1: Our Vision • Draft Master Plan looks ahead 5 years - and from 5-15 years up to 2032 • Sustainability is at the heart of every growth scenario we explore in the plan • Master Plan identifies six strategic priorities to achieve our vision 4
Chapter 2: Gatwick today • This part of our masterplan document describes the current airport, the markets and airlines it serves, and how it has developed since the last master plan was published in 2012. • In 2017/18 the five main London airports handled 171million passengers making it the biggest aviation market in the world. • Gatwick has grown in the period since 2012 by virtue of increased numbers of passengers per flight, growth in periods of the year traditionally quieter for the airport (“peak spreading”), and by increasing the peak hourly runway capacity. • Gatwick currently serves 233 destinations, more than any other UK airport. Long haul traffic now accounts for 17% of passengers in 2017/18. • Gatwick’s Capital Investment programme amounts to £1.11bn over the next 5 years. 5
Chapter 3: Looking ahead, market and policy developments • The low cost revolution will continue but there is also demand from full-service airlines. A round 62% of Gatwick’s throughput is low -cost. • New generation aircraft are entering service which are more fuel efficient and quieter. Within the next 10-15 years the fleet operating will be almost entirely new generation types. Today just 3% of Gatwick’s fleet is new generation (examples are the A350 and B787 dreamliner); by 2032 this is expected to increase to 86%. • We expect the emergence of new transfer hubs and new routes facilitated by point to point Growth in seats per aircraft over time services • We expect growth in emerging global markets in Asia, India and Africa • Government policy continues to support growth in aviation, and making best use of existing capacity. A new Aviation Strategy will be published in 2019 and Government is committed to airspace modernisation. 6
Chapters 4 and 5: Growth scenarios up to 2032 • Three ways Gatwick could be developed to meet the increasing demand for air travel which has been identified by DfT and achieves our vision • In each scenario the Master plan clearly examines the key economic and environmental impacts for consideration 7
This image shows the three scenarios 8
Scenario 1 – Existing Main Runway • This scheme extracts the maximum value from the existing infrastructure and main runway, whilst delivering a sustainable and resilient operation. • Traffic forecasts show passenger growth from 52m in 2022 to up to between 57m and 61m in 2032. • Growth comes from seasonal peak spreading with more limited increases in peak hourly movements (from 55 to 60 per hour), plus increase in aircraft size • Investment in technological advancements will also enable future growth 9
Scenario 2 – Using the Standby Runway ✓ Standby Runway is designed to provide much-needed capacity from within the airport’s existing footprint ✓ In line with Government policy and able to meet international safety requirements o High benefit - 20m passenger capacity boost, £2bn economic benefit, more competition, 20,000 new jobs (8,000 on airport) Low impact – within the airports existing footprint with noise levels similar to today o o Low-cost - privately financed, landing charges to remain within existing framework o Deliverable - could be operational by mid-2020s o Complementary - complementary to Heathrow, adding more resilience to London 10
Scenario 2 – Using the Standby Runway • These drawings show how we would bring the standby runway into routine use for departures only alongside the Main Runway • This scenario meets international safety requirements
Scenario 3 – Additional Runway Safeguarding • Gatwick is not actively pursuing plans for an additional runway at this time • Full length runway proposal is parallel to existing runway, but 1,045m to the south • We will seek to continue safeguarding the land in the national interest 12
Chapter 6 Environmental Strategies • Air and Ground Noise – increase community engagement (e.g. via the Noise Management Board) and act on community concerns; ensure compliance with Government noise abatement regulations and work with all stakeholders, including ATC and airlines, to reduce noise. Implement fully the airport’s Noise Action Plan. • Water – continue to reduce water consumption and leaks. Evaluate new technologies including de-icer recovery and less polluting de-icing chemicals. Explore opportunities to employ rainwater harvesting in new buildings. • Carbon reduction, energy and waste and climate • Landscape and biodiversity – manage, change – continue to work with low carbon initiatives, safeguard and protect ecologically important and to evaluate solar power and waste to renewable areas on the airport campus. Implement energy systems. Examples include on-airport biomass biodiversity action plans. and support and energy from waste facilities. – Continue to review Gatwick Greenspace Partnership. operational resilience measures (e.g. flood risk); • Air Quality – continue to monitor air quality and to promote low emissions initiatives (e.g. electric vehicles, new logistics centre, requiring use of fixed electrical ground power by aircraft); 13
Noise Impacts Scenario 1: • Noise levels expected to reduce by 2028 • Downward trend continues to 2032 due to introduction of quieter aircraft • Change in future fleet mixes expected to outweigh the effect of higher numbers of flights Scenario 2: • Preliminary analysis shows the scheme would be broadly comparable to today • More flights are balanced by quieter aircraft • Little overall change in the number of people living within each Leq noise contour 14
Chapter 7: Economic and Employment Strategies • Employment and skills: The primary factors that determine the scale of Gatwick’s economic contribution are the number of aircraft and passengers that pass through the airport and the number of people employed in airport-related businesses. • We work closely with local authorities and education partners to promote employment opportunities and skills development. • Education: our education programme aims to inform, inspire and invest in young people. For example our sponsorship and participation in Crawley STEMfest and Big Bang South East help us to reach 200,000 students across the region. • We will continue to maintain our engineering apprenticeship and graduate engineer programmes. • Supporting local business and economic growth: we support local businesses directly through our supply chain, or indirectly through initiatives which encourage growth – for example in the “Meet the Buyers” event. We sponsor business innovation and excellence through sponsorship of awards programmes - for example the Gatwick Diamond Business Awards. 15
Chapter 8: Community Engagement Strategies • Engagement: we recognise that if we are to continue to grow, strong relationships with local community organisations are fundamental • One of our most important areas of engagement is on the issue of noise. We provide noise reports, briefings and workshops for a variety of stakeholders and groups, including, GATCOM, the Noise Management Board and the Noise and Track Monitoring Advisory Group (NATMAG). • Through our direct engagement with GATCOM, local councils and other groups we have identified the issues which are most important to local residents and businesses. These include education and skills, local economy, environment, and local community support. • Investment: our community investment programme includes charity partnerships and direct funding to meet community needs and priorities, and environmental and nature conservation works. • For example, through our S106 Agreement with WSCC and CBC we fund the Gatwick Airport Community Trust (GACT) which supports schemes targeted towards the development of young people, the arts, sporting facilities, environmental improvement and conservation, community facilities, and volunteering. • We have also established the Gatwick Foundation Fund which oversees £300,000 of annual grants for worthy causes across Kent, Surrey and Sussex. 16
What happens next? We’re keen to hear views on the draft Master plan from local communities, and all our stakeholders. All responses will be reviewed before final version is adopted : 12-week consultation starts today and runs • until January 10th 2019 The consultation is online and we will hold 5 • exhibitions across the region: Horsham (3 rd Nov) ➢ Croydon (8 th Nov) ➢ Tunbridge Wells (10 th Nov) ➢ Brighton (12 th Nov) ➢ Crawley (17 th Nov) ➢ These will be published on our website and • advertised in local press The consultation website is: www.gatwickairport.com/masterplan2018 • 17
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