Financial analysts presentation
2017 ANNUAL RESULTS Financial analysts presentation HIGHLIGHTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2017 ANNUAL RESULTS Financial analysts presentation HIGHLIGHTS - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2017 ANNUAL RESULTS Financial analysts presentation HIGHLIGHTS HIGHLIGHTS Return to growth Improved Group Highlights of consolidated Sustained growth in profitability: EBITDA revenues in Q4, up Group share of margin up +3.3% + 1.2 pts to
HIGHLIGHTS
HIGHLIGHTS
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
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Accelerated rollout of 4G+ in Morocco
93% population coverage 78% growth in mobile data
traffic Improved Group profitability: EBITDA
margin up
+1.2 pts to 49.1% Return to growth
- f consolidated
revenues in Q4, up
+3.3%
at constant exchange rates
Very strong performance by the new subsidiaries with +12% revenue growth
at constant exchange rates
Sustained growth in Group share of adjusted net income
+4.4%
Surge in Fixed-Line and Internet business in Morocco
+8.9% revenue growth in Q4
Gradual deregulation of the dirham, with limited impact on its exchange rate — Inflation under control
MACRO: MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
4
GDP Real GDP growth
2016 2017 2018
GDP Real GDP growth
2016 2017 2018 5.5% 5.5% 5.7%
MOROCCO
Exchange risk under control thanks to the CFA franc being tied to the Euro — Sustained economic growth — Inflation overall under control
4.6% 3.4% 3.2%
INTERNATIONAL
Sources: Ministry of the Economy and of Finance Sources: IMF Data – October 2017
Sharp increase (5.5%) in the Group’s customer base to nearly 57 million customers — Growth of the customer base while pursuing the process of identifying customers in all countries — Sustained 16% growth in customer bases of new subsidiaries
OPERATING AND FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
5
CUSTOMER BASE GROWTH
(Million)
Return to growth of consolidated revenues in Q4 — Return to revenue growth in Morocco (+2.7%) thanks to Internet activities — Revenues of new subsidiaries up 14.5% at constant exchange rates
GROWTH IN CONSOLIDATED GROUP REVENUES AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES
(%)
Morocco
+5.1% +2.6% +2.2%
- 0.2%
- 1.9%
- 2.8%
- 2.2%
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 21.3 21.6 32.8 35.4 2016 2017 54.0 56.9
+5.5%
+8.0% +1.7% International +3.3%
SUCCESS OF INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
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% Group customer base
2015 2016 2017
% Group revenues % EBITDA
Morocco International
59% 41% 33% 61% 43% 35% 62% 45% 37%
REGULATORY HIGHLIGHTS
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
IN MOROCCO
Liberalization of VoIP since November 2016
—
ANRT reintroduces 20% asymmetry in Mobile call termination rates against Maroc Telecom
AT SUBSIDIARIES
Continuing pressure by authorities for Service Quality and customers Identification — Universal license granted to Gabon Telecom and 3G frequencies to AT Centrafrique — Mobile call termination rates reduced in Mauritania, Ivory Coast and Benin — 3rd operator launched in Mali wich benefited from asymmetric call terminations — Sector contributions and taxes falling in Niger, Gabon and Benin, and rising in Mali and Ivory Coast
January 1, 2013 March 1, 2017
Inwi Orange Maroc Maroc Telecom
MAD 0.1399/min MAD 0.1399/min MAD 0.1399/min MAD 0.1169/min
20%
2017 ANNUAL RESULTS ABOVE ANNOUNCED GUIDANCE
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
OUTLOOK published in July 2017
At constant scope and exchange rates
FY 2017 ACHIEVEMENTS Slight decrease in revenues
after the impact of regulatory measures
Stable EBITDA CAPEX approximately 23%
- f revenues, excluding
frequencies, licenses
- 0.9%
+1.5% 22.9%
DIVIDEND UP 1.9% IN LINE WITH RESULTS’ GROWTH
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
*Based on the share price on February 16, 2018 (MAD 147.05).
REPRESENTING A YIELD OF 4,4%*
Proposal to distribute MAD 6.48/share 100% of Net Profit
BUSINESS REVIEW
MOROCCO – MOBILE
11
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights REVENUE GROWTH IN OUTGOING SERVICES
(%)
Sustained revenue growth in outgoing services thanks to the surge in Mobile Internet revenue (+53% year-on-year) — In Q4 2017, noticeable slowdown in the impact of VoIP liberalization since November 2016
- 6.1%
- 6.5%
+4.4% +1.3% +2.1% +1.1%
- 1.0%
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17
+5.6%
MOROCCO – MOBILE
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights MOBILE BASE
(000)
MOBILE REVENUE
(MAD million)
ARPU (MAD/month)
Growth in mobile customer base Growth in Postpaid Mobile customer base which represents more than 9% of the customer base — Decline in incoming revenues Resulting from the liberalization of VoIP since November 2016 and the reintroduction of the asymmetry in call terminations since March 1, 2017
Postpaid
16,645 16,766 1,729 1,767 2016 2017 18,375 18,533
+0.9%
+2.2% 0.7% Prepaid Equipment
2016 2017 14,115 13,335
- 5.5%
- 23.8%
Outgoing services revenues Incoming services revenues +1.9%
61.1 58.0 2016 2017
- 5.0%
MOROCCO – CONTINUING SURGE IN MOBILE DATA
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
16.6%
Mobile Internet very popular Data penetration up to 51% Increase in data usage, thanks to 4G customers who consume 2.3x more than 3G customers
—
Maroc Telecom consolidates its leading position in Mobile Internet with 45.5% of market shares at end-December 2017
43% 51% Penetration Rate*
* Calculation based on Maroc Telecom total customer base
Of which 4G traffic
MOBILE INTERNET BASE (000) DATA TRAFFIC DATA REVENUES
Postpaid
6,410 7,981 1,434 1,501 2016 2017 7,844 9,481
+20.9%
+4.7% +24.5% Prepaid
24% 40% 2016 2017 2016 2017
+78% +53%
4,165 4,037 2,427 2,664 2,237 2,261
2016 2017
Success of Double Play offers’ enrichment — Popularity of FTTH offers
MOROCCO – FIXED-LINE AND INTERNET STRONG GROWTH OF DATA REVENUES
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights FIXED-LINE AND INTERNET REVENUE
(MAD million)
DATA REVENUE GROWTH
(%)
FIXED-LINE & ADSL CUSTOMER BASE** (000)
Focus on Data revenue
1 640 1 725 1 241 1 363
2016 2017
500 1 000 1 500 2 000
8,962 8,829
*Fixed-line data includes Internet, ADSL TV, and Data services to businesses; ** Includes low-speed and leased connections.
Data* Voice (including transit) Intra-LL Maroc Telecom +1.1% +9.8%
- 3.1%
ADSL Fixed-Line +11.3% +4.5% +9.5% +4.1% +7.1% +13.6% +9.5% +8,8%
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17
+5.2% +9.8%
+1.7%
+1.5%
INTERNATIONAL CONTINUES TO DEMONSTRATE SUSTAINED GROWTH
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE
(000)
REVENUE GROWTH AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES
(MAD million)
14,593 16,894 17,778 18,073
2016 2017 32,370 34,967
Solid revenue growth (+5,0% in 2017) — In Q4, acceleration of growth in the new subsidiaries (Ivory Coast and Benin in particular) and stabilization in historical subsidiaries
+8.0%
+15.8% +1.7% +12.7% +9.2% +4.8% +2.4%
- 0.7%
+0.6% +4.7% +5.0%
Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17
Historical subsidiaries New subsidiaries
MOROCCO - NETWORK MODERNIZATION
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights CAPEX (excluding frequencies & licenses)
(MAD million)
COVERAGE
(as % of population)
3G 2G 87% 96% 99.5% 99.5% 4G 73% 93%
18.4% 22.1% CAPEX/ REVENUES
1,200 1,279 1,972 2,224 734 1 025
2016 2017
Continuing investment in broadband confirming Maroc Telecom's position as the leading 4G+ operator in Morocco — Activation of 900 MHz frequency on 3G, allowing the improvement of Indoor and Outdoor coverage — Strong growth in Fixed and Mobile data traffic — Extension of the residential Fiber Optic access network to support the growing number of Fiber customers 2016 2017 +15.9%
Very-High-Speed Mobile Very-High-Speed Fixed-Line
3,905 4,528
Other
INTERNATIONAL – ACCELERATING INVESTMENT TO SUPPORT THE GROWTH OF SUBSIDIARIES
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights CAPEX (excluding licenses)
(MAD million)
CHANGE IN RADIO SITES
20.8% 22.2% CAPEX/ REVENUES
3,097 3,263 2,526 2,704
2016 2017
1,466 1,835 1,723 1,651
2016 2017 3,189 3,487 5,623 5,967
Moov Benin 4G network launched, and 3G in Niger - 3G license allocated to Central African Republic — Extensions and densification of Radio coverage supported by infrastructure upgrades — Rollout and upgrade of urban and interurban optical transmission networks to support the growth of Data and Voice usage +9.3%
- 4.2%
+25.2% Historical subsidiaries New subsidiaries
+6.1%
+7.0% +5.4%
Financial Review
7,124 7,319
2016 2017
65% 68% Adjusted CFFO / EBITDA (%)
MOROCCO – INCREASE IN MARGINS AND CASH GENERATION
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
MAD million 2016 2017 Change REVENUES 21,244 20,481
- 3.6%
EBITDA 11,004 10,804
- 1.8%
Margin (%) 51.8% 52.8% +1.0 pt Adjusted EBITA* 7,157 6,954
- 2.8 %
Margin (%) 33.7% 34.0% +0.3 pt CAPEX 3,905 4,589 +17.5%
- /w licenses & frequencies
61 CAPEX/REVENUES (excl. licenses & frequencies) 18.4% 22.1% +3.7 pt Adjusted CFFO* 7,124 7,319 +2.7 % % EBITDA 64.7% 67.2% +2.5 pt NET DEBT 10,937 11,009 +0.7% Net debt / EBITDA 1.0 1.0
Adjusted CFFO EBITDA
+2.7%
*See Appendix 1
CONTINUING STRONG CASH GENERATION
despite CAPEX increase (MAD million)
EBITDA MARGIN UP
(%)
+1.0 pt
Gross margin OPEX
51.8% 52.8%
+0.5 pt +0.5 pt
2016 2017
11,004 10,804
INTERNATIONAL – RESULTS IN STRONG GROWTH
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights SOLID CASH GENERATION (MAD million) EBITDA MARGIN UP
(%) MAD million 2016 2017 Change Change at constant exchange rates REVENUES 15,326 15,733 +2.7% +2.4% EBITDA 5,905 6,357 +7.6% +7.6% Margin (%) 38.5% 40.4% +1.9 pt +1.9 pt Adjusted EBITA* 3,268 3,599 +10.1% +10.2% Margin (%) 21.3% 22.9% +1.6 pt +1.6 pt CAPEX 4,077 3,643
- 10.7%
- /w licenses and frequencies
888 156 CAPEX/REVENUES (excl. licenses & frequencies) 20.8% 22.2% +1.4 pt Adjusted CFFO* 3,563 3,700 +3.9% % EBITDA 60.3% 58.2%
- 2.1 pt
NET DEBT 4,670 5,767 +23.5% Net debt / EBITDA 0.8 0.9
*See Appendix 1
marge 2016 Marge brute OPEX marge 2017
38.5%
2016 2017
+1.4 pt 40.4%
Gross Margin
+0.5 pt
OPEX
3,563 3,700 Adjusted CFFO / EBITDA (%)
2016 2017
60% 58%
+3.9% +1.9 pt
Adjusted CFFO EBITDA
5,905 6,357
MAROC TELECOM GROUP – CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
*See Appendix 1
5,622 MAD million 2016 2017 Change Change at constant exchange rates REVENUES 35,252 34,963
- 0.8%
- 0.9 %
EBITDA 16,909 17,160 +1.5% +1.5 % Margin (%) 48.0% 49.1% 1.1 pt 1.2 pt Adjusted EBITA 10,426 10,553 +1.2% +1.2 % Margin (%) 29.6% 30.2% +0.6 pt +0.6 pt Financial Income
- 446
- 491
+10.1 %
- Corp. inc. tax
- 3,426
- 3,276
+4.4 % Minorities
- 884
- 885
+0.1 % Group share of adjusted net income* 5,622 5,871 +4.4 % +4.1% Margin (%) 15.9% 16.8% +0.8 pt +0.8 pt
GROUP SHARE OF ADJUSTED NET INCOME
(MAD million) 5,622 5,871
2016 Group share
- f adjusted net
income
Change in Financial Result Change Corp.
- inc. tax
Change minority interests Change in adjusted EBITA
5,622 + 141
- 45
+150 +1
+4,4%
2017 Group share
- f adjusted net
income
MAROC TELECOM GROUP – CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
*See Appendix 1
MAD million 2016 2017 Change EBITDA 16,909 17,160 +1.5% CAPEX 7,983 8,232 +3.1%
- /w licenses & frequencies
888 217 CAPEX/revenues (excl. licenses & frequencies) 20.1% 22.9% +2.8 pt Adjusted CFFO* 10,686 11,019 +3.1% % EBITDA 63.2% 64.2% +1.0 pt Financial expenses
- 418
- 793
+89.7% Income tax paid
- 3,388
- 3,170
- 6.4%
Adjusted CFAIT* 6,880 7,056 2.6% % EBITDA 40.7% 41.1% 0.4 pt NET DEBT 12,289 13,042 +6.1 % Net debt / EBITDA 0.7 0.8
Financial expenses Income tax paid Minority interests Dividends to shareholders Other CFFO adjusted* Non-recurring items*
NET DEBT
(MAD million)
0,7x EBITDA 0,8x EBITDA
- Dec. 2016
- Dec. 2017
- 12,289
- 13,042
+ 11,019
- 1,259
- 793
- 3,170
- 921
- 5,598
- 31
OUTLOOK
OUTLOOK FOR 2018
24
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights MOROCCO Stable Mobile call termination rates — Slowdown of the impact of VoIP on incoming revenues — Competitive pressure on Mobile — Major investment to support strong growth in Data usage — Expansion of FTTH network coverage — Launch of an international submarine fiber optic cable project
Group outlook for 2018 at constant scope and exchange rates
INTERNATIONAL Reduction in call termination rates with positive impact on margins — Continuing profitable growth thanks to sustained growth of Data business — Investment still very high to expand coverage and improve quality of service — Regulatory pressure to identify customers and Quality Of Service — Acquisition of new 4G licenses Stable revenues Stable EBITDA CAPEX approximately 23% of revenues, excluding frequencies and licenses
APPENDICES
APPENDIX 1: CHANGE FROM ADJUSTED FINANCIAL INDICATORS TO PUBLISHED FINANCIAL INDICATORS
26
Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
(
2016 2017
( MAD million) Morocco International Group Morocco International Group
Adjusted EBITA
7,157 3,268 10,426 6,954 3,599 10,553
Real estate proceeds
+297 +297
Restructuring costs
- 255
- 255
- 193
- 49
- 243
Published EBITA
6,902 3,565 10,468 6,760 3,550 10,310
Adjusted net income – Group share
5,622 5,871
Real estate proceeds
+152
After-tax restructuring charges
- 176
- 165
Published net income – Group share
5,598 5,706
Adjusted CFFO
7,124 3,563 10,686 7,319 3,700 11,019
Real estate proceeds
+317 +317
Restructuring costs
- 579
- 41
- 620
License payments
- 33
- 33
- 61
- 578
- 639
Published CFFO
7,124 3,847 10,970 6,679 3,081 9,761
APPENDIX 2: MOROCCO - GLOBAL TELECOM MARKET
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
Source: ANRT, Q4 2017
Customer base (M of customers) Penetration rate (%) 43,0 41,5 43,9
127% 123% 126%
2015 2016 2017
101 113 108
0,27 0,23 0,23
Outgoing usage (mins/customer/month) Price per outgoing mobile minute (MAD/min)
2015 2016 2017
1,132 1,229 1,325
3.2% 3.6% 3.9%
2015 2016 2017
High-speed market (000) Penetration rate (%) 1,8 1,8 1,9 0,5 0,3 0,2
6.1% 5.9%
2015 2016 2017
Restricted mobility (M customers) Penetration rate (%) Fixed-line market (M customers)
- 4.4%
- 3.5%
+11.9%
MOBILE MARKET MOBILE MARKET : PRICE AND USAGE FIXED-LINE MARKET HIGH-SPEED MARKET
6.6%
+5.8%
+1.6% +4.1% +20%
APPENDIX 3: REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT IN MOROCCO
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
January 1, 2011 July 1, 2011 January 1, 2012 July 1, 2012 January 1, 2013
0.9232 0.6601 0.4152 0.2534 0.7485 0.5390 0.3390 0.2289 0.6238 0.4679 0.2943 0.2066 0.1399
Maroc Telecom Orange Maroc Inwi Mobile termination rates MAD/min
March 1, 2017
0.1399 0.1169 Between 2011 and 2013, Mobile call termination rates were on average linear at peak hours and off-peak hours
20%
APPENDIX 4: SCOPE OF CONSOLIDATION OF MAROC TELECOM GROUP
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
Source: Dataxis – Q3 2017, IMF – October 2017 and ANRT – Q4 2017;
MOROCCO Population : 34,0 millions GDP : 102 Md $ Mobile penetration rate: 126% Mobile Market Share : 42% Competitive Position : 1/3 MAURITANIE Population : 3,9 millions GDP : 5,0 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 95% Mobile Market Share : 59% Competitive position : 1/3 BURKINA FASO Population : 18,9 millions GDP : 13,2 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 87% Mobile Market Share : 41% Competitive Position : 1/3 MALI Population : 18,9 millions GDP : 15,0 Md $ Mobile penetration rate: 105% Mobile Market Share : 34% Competitive Position : 2/2 BENIN Population : 11,4 millions GDP : 9,4 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 81% Mobile Market Share : 42% Competitive Position : 2/4 CENTRAFRIQUE Population : 5,0 millions GDP : 2,0 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 21% Mobile Market Share : 15% Competitive Position : 4/4 CÔTE D’IVOIRE Population : 25,0 millions GDP : 39,9 Md $ Mobile penetration rate: 134% Mobile Market Share : 23% Competitive Position : 3/3 NIGER Population : 18,8 millions GDP : 7,9 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 39% Mobile Market Share : 24% Competitive Position : 3/4 TOGO Population : 7,7 millions GDP : 4,8 Md $ Mobile penetration rate : 79% Mobile Market Share : 47% Competitive Position : 2/2 GABON Population : 1,9 millions GDP : 14,5 Md $ Mobile penetration rate: 150% Mobile Market Share : 56% Competitive Position : 1/3
IMPORTANT LEGAL NOTICES
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Business Review Financial Review Outlook Appendices Highlights
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS —
This presentation contains forward looking statements and provisional items concerning the financial position,
- perating results, strategy and outlook of Maroc Telecom and the impacts of certain transactions. Although Maroc
Telecom believes that these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, they do not amount to guarantees for the company’s future performance. The actual results may be very different from the forward-looking statements because of a number of risks and uncertainties, both known and unknown. The majority of these risks are beyond our control, namely the risks described in public documents filed by Maroc Telecom with the Autorité Marocaine du Marché des Capitaux [Moroccan Capital Markets Authority] (www.ammc.ma) and the Autorité des Marchés Financiers [French Financial Markets Authority] (www.amf- france.org). These documents are also available in French on our website (www.iam.ma). This presentation contains forward-looking information which can be assessed only on the date it is disclosed. Maroc Telecom does not undertake to supplement, update, or alter these forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, or for any other reason, subject to the applicable regulations, and especially to Articles III.2.31 et
- seq. of the circular issued by the Moroccan Capital Markets Authority and to Articles 223-1 et seq. of the French
Financial Markets Authority’s General Regulations.