2016 State Strategy for the State Implementation Plan Los Angeles - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2016 State Strategy for the State Implementation Plan

Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce Transportation and Goods Movement Council Sylvia Vanderspek, Chief Air Quality Planning Branch July 12, 2016

• Largest contributor to smog-forming and diesel PM

emissions and greenhouse gases

• 80 percent of ozone-forming NOx
• 50 percent of greenhouse gases
• 90 percent of diesel PM
• Will require combination
• f cleaner technologies,

fuels, and energy sources

2

Mobile Source Reductions are Key

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% GHG NOx Diesel PM All Other Sectors Transportation Sector Emissions contribution

Emission Contribution from Mobile Sources

• Mobile Source

Strategy integrates climate and air quality planning updated in May

• State SIP Strategy

represents the needs to meet State attainment

• South Coast needs

drive reductions

3

Mobile Source Strategy

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2015 2031 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2015 2031 86% reduction 85% reduction

On-Road Heavy-Duty Vehicles

NOx Emissions in the South Coast (tpd)

On-Road Light-Duty Vehicles

NOx Emissions in the South Coast (tpd)

• Fair share scenario - all sources need to be reduced

by 80 percent in 2031from today

• Mobile Source Share
• Current program achieves over 50 percent of the needed

share of reductions

• With new rule commitments, over 80 percent of share of

reductions are achieved

• Remaining will be met through new regulations and

incentives

4

South Coast Attainment Needs

• Establish cleaner engine performance standards
• Increase penetration of ZEV technologies
• Ensure durability of emission control systems
• Expand use of cleaner renewable fuels
• Conduct pilot studies to demonstrate new

technologies

• Incentivize deployment of cleanest technologies

5

Key Strategy Actions

Establish Cleaner Engine Standards

• Low-NOx Engine Standard
• Establish California standard effectively 90% cleaner than today’s

engines; petition U.S. EPA to establish federal standard

• More Stringent Locomotive Emission Standards
• Petition U.S. EPA for federal Tier 5 standard and more stringent

requirements for remanufactured locomotives

• Tier 4 Vessel Standards
• Advocate for more stringent IMO standards and efficiency targets
• At-Berth Regulation Amendments

Introduce ZEV Technologies: On-Road

• Advanced Clean Cars 2
• Increase number of ZEVs and PHEVs sold in California
• Increase stringency of fleet-wide emission standards
• Advanced Clean Transit
• Continue transition of transit fleets to advanced clean

technologies

• Achieve benefits in disadvantaged communities and

maintain/expand service

• Last Mile Delivery
• Phase-in of zero emission purchase requirements
• Zero-Emission Airport Shuttle Buses
• Develop approaches to increase penetration of zero
• f zero emission technologies

Introduce ZEV Technologies: Off-Road

• Zero-Emission Off-Road Forklift Regulation
• Increase penetration of zero emission technologies for forklifts with lift

capacities <8,000 lbs

• Transport Refrigeration Units Used in Cold Storage
• Stationary run-time limitations
• Increased operational efficiencies
• Zero-Emission Airport Ground Support Equipment
• Transition diesel and LSI equipment to zero emission technologies
• Small Off-Road Engines
• Establish more stringent exhaust and evaporative standards
• Increase penetration of zero emission technologies
• Technology Assessments for other off-road categories

Ensure Engine Durability

• Light-Duty Lower In-Use Performance Assessment
• Joint assessment with Bureau of Automotive Repair
• Evaluate in-use performance of OBD II systems
• Heavy-Duty Lower In-Use Emission Performance Level
• Develop supplemental actions to address in-use emissions and

decrease engine deterioration

• Innovative Technology Certification Flexibility
• Provide regulatory flexibility for innovative technologies to expand

hybrid and other advanced technologies in heavy-duty truck applications

Expand Use of Renewable Fuels

• Low Emission Diesel Fuel
• Replace 50 percent of diesel demand with low emission

diesel by 2031

• Gradual implementation of strategy beginning in South

Coast, then expanding statewide

• Greatest emission reductions in off-road, legacy fleets

Further Technology Deployment

• Achieve further emission reductions for South Coast

attainment through a suite of additional actions including:

• Further regulatory strategies

based on initial technology deployment

• Incentive programs for early

penetration of zero and near-zero technologies

• Increased operational

efficiency strategies

• Use of connected and

autonomous vehicles, telematics, and intelligent transportation systems

NOx Emissions in the South Coast from Mobile Sources

100 200 300 400 500 600 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Current Control Programs Cleaner Technology and Fuels Scenario + Further Deployment NOx tons per day

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Implementation Schedule

Scope of Cleaner Technologies

South Coast 2031

Passenger Fleet

ZEV Population 2.9 Million PHEV Population 1.2 million

Truck Fleet

Low-NOx truck population 430,000 ZEV last-mile delivery truck population 11,000

• Analysis of economic impacts conducted using

Regional Economic Models, Inc. (REMI)

• Benefits: Broad environmental and health benefits
• Costs: Strategy not anticipated to significantly

impact California economy

• Measures likely to change the way vehicles, fuels,

and mobile equipment are manufactured, distributed, and consumed

• Employment and production shifts within industries

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Economic Analysis

• Public comment period is
• pen through

July 18, 2016

• Workshops in summer 2016
• Board will consider State SIP

Strategy in September 2016

• Region specific

commitments are part of SIP

• Measure regulatory process

15

Next Steps