2013 Indiana Renewable Resources Study Presented by: David G. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2013 Indiana Renewable Resources Study Presented by: David G. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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ENERGY CENTER State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG) 2013 Indiana Renewable Resources Study Presented by: David G. Nderitu State Utility Forecasting Group Purdue University Presented to: 2013 WiNUP Conference Fort Wayne, Indiana October

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

2013 Indiana Renewable Resources Study

Presented by: David G. Nderitu State Utility Forecasting Group Purdue University Presented to: 2013 WiNUP Conference Fort Wayne, Indiana October 15, 2013

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Contents

  • 1. Overview
  • 2. Wind
  • 3. Biomass - Energy Crops
  • 4. Biomass – wastes & residues
  • 5. Solar photovoltaic (PV)
  • 6. Solar thermal
  • 7. Hydro

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

U.S. Total Energy Consumption

Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Renewables in U.S. Total Energy Consumption

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Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Renewables in U.S. electricity

Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Renewables Share of U.S. electricity generation

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Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Renewables Share of Indiana Total Energy Consumption

Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Renewables Share of Indiana Electricity Generation

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Data source: EIA

0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% Hydroelectric Other renewables Total renewables

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Barriers to Renewables

  • Major barrier is cost

– Most renewable technologies have high capital costs – According to EIA Indiana’s average electric rate in 2011 was 8.01 cents/kWh

  • vs. the national average of 9.90

cents/kWh

  • Limited availability for some resources

– Solar/photovoltaics, hydropower

  • Intermittency for some resources

– Solar/photovoltaics, wind

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Capital Costs for Various Generation Sources

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Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Drivers

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Source: DSIRE

  • Federal PTC (2.3 ¢/kWh),
  • State renewable portfolio standards
  • Utility feed-in-tariffs
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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

U.S. Wind

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

U.S. Wind

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Source: AWEA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Wind Capacity Dec. 2012

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Indiana Wind

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Energy Crops

  • Crops

– Fast growing hardwood trees (poplars, willows, eucalyptus, …….) – Grasses (switchgrass, miscanthus, …..)

  • Barriers to be overcome

– Other high-value uses for the land – Price of competing fossil fuels – Harvesting and transportation costs

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Energy Crops Supply Curves

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Source: DOE-Billion-ton study

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Organic Waste Biomass

  • Today

– Wood and wood waste – Landfill gas – Municipal solid waste – Animal waste biogas – Wastewater treatment

  • Tomorrow

– Agricultural crop residues

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Organic Waste Biomass

  • U.S.

– 27% renewable energy 2012 (hydro-30%) – 7% net renewable electricity 2012 (hydro-56%, wind-22%)

  • Indiana

– 21% renewable energy 2011(biofuels-52%, wind-22%) – 4% net renewable electricity 2010 (wind-92%, hydro-4%)

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Solar Thermal / Solar PV

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Solar Thermal

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Solar Photovoltaic

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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CA 1,241 AZ 253 NV 182 FL 75

Data source: NREL

U.S. Solar Thermal Capacity

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Data source: NREL

Project Name Developer/ Owner State Capacity (MW) Online Date Solar Energy Generating System (I-IX) Luz/Nextra CA

354

1985

  • 1991

Saguaro Solar Power Plant Solargenix AZ 1 2006 Nevada Solar One Acciona NV

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2007 Kimberlina Ausra CA 5 2008 Sierra SunTower eSolar CA 5 2009 Holaniku at Keyhole Point Sopogy HI 2 2009 Maricopa Solar Power Plant Tessera Solar AZ 1.5 2010 Colorado Integrated Solar Project Abengoa/Xcel CO 2 2010 Martin Next Generation Solar Center Florida Power & Light FL

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2010

U.S. Solar Thermal Installations

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Data source: NREL

Project Name State Capacity (MW) Technology Expected Online Year Tooele Army Depot UT 1.5 Dish/Engine 2013 Ivanpah Solar Electric Generating System CA 377 Power tower 2013 Crescent Dunes Solar Energy Project NV 110 Power tower 2013 Solana Generating Station AZ 250 Parabolic Trough 2013 Genesis Solar Energy Project CA 250 Parabolic Trough 2014 Mojave Solar Project CA 250 Parabolic Trough 2014

U.S. Solar Thermal Under Construction

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Data source: Solar Energy Industries Association

U.S. Photovoltaic Capacity

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Data source: Solar Energy Industries Association

Project Name Developer Capacity (MW) State Online Date California Valley Solar Ranch SunPower 130 CA 2012 Agua Caliente First Solar 100 AZ 2012 Copper Mountain 2 First Solar 92 NV 2012 Agua Caliente First Solar 70 AZ 2012 AV Solar Ranch One First Solar 115 CA 2013 Alpine Solar Project First Solar 66 CA 2013 Mesquite Solar Sempra Generation 66 AZ 2013 Catalina Solar Project EDF Renewables 60 CA 2013

Large PV Installations

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

PV Cost Trends (Residential & Commercial)

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

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Data source: NREL

Indiana PV Capacity

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Indiana PV Drivers

  • IPL feed-in tariff (expired)

100 MW committed

– $0.24/kWh (20kW - 100 kW) – $0.20/kWh (>100kW -10MW

  • NIPSCO tariff (fully subscribed)

12.3 MW committed

– $0.30/kWh (<= 10kW) – 0.26/kWh (10kW – 2 MW)

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Hydro in U.S. Total Energy Consumption

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Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Hydro in U.S. electricity generation

Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Hydro Share of U.S. electricity generation

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Data source: EIA

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Hydro Expansion Potential in Existing Non-Powered Dams

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12,000 MW U.S. 454 MW Indiana

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Indiana Hydro

  • Indiana has 73 MW of hydroelectric

generating capacity.

– mostly run-of-the-river (no dam) – 2nd largest source of renewable electricity

  • American Municipal Power is constructing

an 84 MW facility at the Cannelton Locks

  • n the Ohio River

– expected to be operational in 2014

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ENERGY CENTER

State Utility Forecasting Group (SUFG)

Further Information

State Utility Forecasting Group 765-494-4223 sufg@ecn.purdue.edu http://www.purdue.edu/discoverypark/energy/SUFG/ David Nderitu nderitu@purdue.edu

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