2008 Preliminary Results Agenda Financial Results Warren Tucker - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2008 preliminary results
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2008 Preliminary Results Agenda Financial Results Warren Tucker - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

5 March 2009 The most important thing we build is trust 2008 Preliminary Results Agenda Financial Results Warren Tucker Chief Financial Officer Market Update and Business Overview Allan Cook Chief Executive Q&A 1 2008


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The most important thing we build is trust

2008 Preliminary Results

5 March 2009

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 1 Cobham plc

Agenda

  • Financial Results

Warren Tucker

Chief Financial Officer

  • Market Update and Business Overview

Allan Cook

Chief Executive

  • Q&A
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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 2 Cobham plc

Summary Profit and Loss Account

Note: See Appendix for definitions, including underlying, used throughout this presentation. * Prior year restated due to SPARTA

40.2%

1,663.9

1,186.6

Orders Received

17.8%

15.42p

13.09p

Underlying Earnings Per Share

18.1%

243.8

206.5

Profit Before taxation

0.1pts

5.7%

5.6%

PV Spend % *

(1.5)pts

17.2%

18.7%

Margin

26.6%

251.6

198.8

Trading Profit

38.2%

1,466.5

1,061.1

Revenue £m £m Growth Year to 31/ 12/ 08 Year to 31/ 12/ 07

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 3 Cobham plc

Earnings Per Share Growth

0.62 0.30 0.09 1.32 15.42 13.09

8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.0 14.0 15.0 16.0 17.0 2007 FX Translation FSTA Project Costs FX Transaction Growth 2008

pence

13.1 % at constant translation exchange

2.3% 0.7% 4.7% 10.1%

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 4 Cobham plc

Cash Flow and Dividends

10.0% 4.95p

4.50p

Dividend per Share (719.2)

77.0

Decrease/ (I ncrease) in Net Debt 51.5% 202.9

133.9

Free Cash Flow from Business 25.0pts 106.1%

81.1%

Operating Cash conversion 66.3% 260.5

156.6

Operating Cash Flow 27.3% 245.6

193.0

Trading Profit (ex. JV) £m £m Growth Year to 31/ 12/ 08 Year to 31/ 12/ 07

Net Debt £641.3m: £7m translation impact for every 1 cent movement*

* @£= US$1.42. Year end rate £= US$1.44

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 5 Cobham plc

Cash Flow Summary

Year to 31/12/07

Year to 31/ 12/ 08

£m

£m Trading Profit (excluding joint ventures)

193.0

245.6

Depreciation and other movements 33.8 34.5 Decrease/(Increase) in working capital and provisions (27.6) 35.4 Net capital expenditure (42.6) (55.0)

Operating cash flow

156.6

260.5

Taxation paid (23.3) (58.2) Dividends received from joint ventures 3.2 8.9 Other (3.7) (2.2)

Free cash flow

133.9

202.9

Dividends paid (43.8) (52.7) Acquisition payments less disposal proceeds (17.7) (616.6) Movements in funding and exchange movements 4.6 (252.8)

Decrease/ (increase) in net debt

77.0

(719.2)

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 6 Cobham plc

Revenue and Profit

17.2%

18.7% Margin

26.6% 251.6

198.8

38.2% 1,466.5

1,061.1

Cobham Group

(2.3)

(3.4)

(1.0)

(1.1) Head Office & Other

25.6% 253.9

202.2

38.2% 1,467.5

1,062.2

Operating Divisions

11.2%

11.4% Margin

13.2% 24.8

21.9

15.3% 221.9

192.5 Cobham Aviation Services 18.4%

20.7% Margin

27.1% 229.1

180.3

43.2% 1,245.6

869.7 Technology Divisions

Growth 2008

2007

Growth 2008

2007

£m Trading Profit Revenue

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 7 Cobham plc

Technology Divisions’ Revenue Growth

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 8 Cobham plc

Technology Divisions’ Organic Revenue Growth 2005 to 2008

9.6% 17.5% 10.2% (7.2)% 13.9% 8.6% 10.8% 17.1% 8.4% 5.8% 13.2% 10.3%

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 9 Cobham plc

Technology Divisions’ Revenue and Profit

Note: Intercompany eliminations not shown.

18.4%

20.7% Margin

229.1

180.3

10.3% 1,245.6

869.7

Technology Divisions

17.3%

20.6% Margin

52.2

54.1

8.6% 302.0

262.8 Mission Systems 19.9%

24.9% Margin

105.2

74.8

10.8% 529.3

299.9 Defence Systems 16.6%

15.9% Margin

71.7

51.9

10.2% 432.8

326.9 Avionics and Surveillance

2008

2007

Organic Growth 2008

2007

£m Trading Profit Revenue

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 10 Cobham plc

Foreign Exchange

£0.5m PBT translation impact for every 1 cent movement

Dollar/Euro exposure predominantly hedged for 2009 & 10 with $58m @ 1.45

Transaction Exposure

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 11 Cobham plc

Group Revenue Analysis By Destination

Drivers

  • Faster growing geographies
  • Cross-selling out of home markets
  • Long term investment in Washington DC, India & Middle East
  • Cobham teamed with primes selling in developing markets

55% of revenue is from the USA

USA 55% UK 10% Australia 10% RoW 10% Mainland Europe 15%

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 12 Cobham plc

Group Revenue Analysis By Market Driver

70% of revenue is from military and government contracts – 10% from Aviation Services

Drivers

  • Low commercial exposure
  • Securing preferred suppliers positions with certain primes
  • Demographics and outsourcing by primes/ governments
  • Suitability of technology for either OEM fit or upgrade
  • Demand for satellite on the move from military and developing markets
  • Acquisition synergies
  • Significant investment in selling capabilities

Aviation Services 15% Other Communication 11% Commercial/ GA Aerospace 13% Non US Military/ Government 17% US Military/ Government 44%

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 13 Cobham plc

H1 2 0 0 8 H2

$38m $240m £13m + £3m contingent $372m + $35m deferred $425m $26m USA USA UK USA USA USA Fixed wing autopilots Electronic warfare technology and subsystems Specialist cellular communications for intelligence Intelligence, scientific, systems engineering and technical assistance services RF, Microwave components & sub systems Digital equipment, including video surveillance and high definition and wireless video technologies Avionics and Surveillance Defence Systems Avionics and Surveillance Defence Systems Defence Systems Avionics and Surveillance S-TEC (January) Sensor & Antenna Systems Lansdale (February) MMI Research (April) SPARTA (June) M/A-COM (September) GMS (October)

Consideration Location Activity Division Company

Acquisitions

US$1.2bn of acquisitions - integration is on or ahead of plan

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 14 Cobham plc

  • Order book increased from £1.8bn to £2.7bn, giving excellent long term revenue visibility
  • Growth markets and technology focus underpin 10% organic increase in Technology

Divisions’ revenue; strong growth from Cobham Aviation Services

  • Underlying EPS growth of 18% (13% at constant translation exchange rates) driven by

acquisitions and organic growth

  • Cash conversion of 106% and free cash flow of £203m
  • US$1.2bn of acquisitions completed with good progress on integration
  • 10% increase in 2008 dividend; double digit compound growth since 1980

Financial Highlights

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 15 Cobham plc

Agenda

  • Financial Results

Warren Tucker

Chief Financial Officer

  • Market Update and Business Overview

Allan Cook

Chief Executive

  • Q&A
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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 16 Cobham plc

The US Defence Market

What is known

  • Three major budget sources

– Core defence US$664bn – Homeland security US$43bn – National security

  • Growth in core defence budget to Oct

2010, then ‘flat’

  • Priorities include C4ISR, cyber security,

recapitalisation

  • Missile defence continues to be

important to national security

  • No programme cuts announced
  • Strength in export A&D orders
  • Reduction in ongoing activities in Iraq

Major growth opportunities in defence, homeland security and national security markets Implications for Cobham

  • Growth in all core budgets for Cobham
  • Capabilities focused on critical

intelligence and defence areas

  • Priorities match core capabilities
  • Ongoing demand for missile defence
  • Able to benefit from new platforms and

upgrades with technology

  • Operational deployment is not a major

driver for Cobham

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 17 Cobham plc

Other Defence Markets

  • Established positions on most major platforms and programmes
  • Governments face a familiar but escalating dilemma – increased geopolitical tensions and

continued threat to national security, leading to a greater dependency on intelligence assurance and homeland security opportunities for Cobham

  • European defence budgets remain under pressure and account for only 16% of revenue.

Cobham’s UK contracts are long term, running to 2025 and beyond with modest growth

  • verall
  • Australian markets have, so far, held up considerably better than America, rising to

AUD$22.4bn. Cobham’s core Sentinel contract runs to 2019

  • Compound growth of 20% forecast for India, Saudi Arabia, UAE and South Korea for the

period 2008 to 2013

Major growth will occur in markets such as Asia and the friendly Middle East countries

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 18 Cobham plc

Non Defence Markets

  • Non defence markets account for 29% of Cobham revenue

– Commercial and General Aviation 13%, Aviation Services 5% and other communication 11%

  • Airlines in all regions face a tough 2009 with too much capacity still in the market, with

North America forecast to do slightly better than other regions

  • Majority of Cobham products fitted post production of ‘green’ aircraft and less susceptible

to near term decline in aircraft orders

  • Business aviation subdued, although new airframes are scheduled for entry into service in

2010 and beyond

  • Commercial avionics business levels should be sustained through 2009
  • OEMs are seeking higher levels of systems integration from avionics suppliers
  • Cobham’s success with Rockwell Collins on the communication package for the A350 is an

indication of the shift in dynamics

OEMs are seeking greater levels of system integration

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 19 Cobham plc

Cobham’s Broad Portfolio

$0.2m AMRAAM Missile $0.2m T50 $0.2m A380

  • A350

$1m V-22 $2m Global Hawk

  • VI C-3/ VI S-X

$1.5m Typhoon 2008 $2.3m $1m Current Ship Set Value US$ F/ A-18 F-35 2020+ 2020 2018 2016 2014 2012 2010 Platform/ Programme

Broad platform, programme and customer base with good revenue visibility

I n order book Service life US$200m over aircraft life VIS-X US$1.5bn over programme life VIC-3

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 20 Cobham plc

Strategy

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 21 Cobham plc

  • Cobham has been doing business in India for more than 20 years
  • Many defence and non defence opportunities
  • Indian Air Force

– US$1bn order for six C-130J tactical transporters – US$2.1bn agreement for eight Boeing P-8I maritime patrol aircraft – US$10bn MMRCA tender to replace MiG-21 – Follow on order for BAE Systems Hawk AJT – AgustaWestland VVIP AW-101 – Refuelling

  • Indian Army

– Digital Universal Control Harness vehicle intercoms for 7,000 vehicles – Future Infantry Solider as a System: 350,000 soldiers – Mine detection systems (hand held & vehicle mounted)

  • Non military

– Homeland security, space, satellite, SATCOM/VSAT, slip rings for aviation and wind farms

  • Partnerships

– Working with Hindustan Aeronautics, Bharat Electronics, Tata and Alpha Design Technologies

Growth - Major Prospects in India

Large range of direct and indirect opportunities worth up to US$400m by 2012

Between US$750k & US$3m per aircraft Between US$10m & US$150m Up to US$10m in 2010 Contract values to Cobham

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 22 Cobham plc

Technology – Building and Leveraging

Customers viewing Cobham as a strategic partner for complex assemblies and subsystems

Microwave Assemblies MMI Cs Components I ntegrated Subsystems I ntegrated Microwave Assemblies (I MAs) Line Replaceable Units (LRU’s) Antenna Subsystems T/ R Modules Broadband High Power Transmit Antennas & Arrays Broadband High Power Amplifier Subsystems

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 23 Cobham plc

Transformation – Shaping the Company

Beginning to think and behave like a large, global, growing company

  • Collaboration

– Capturing aftermarket business and cross selling – Reading across technology – Bidding collaboratively with new acquisitions

  • Efficiency

– Reducing sites, creating centres of excellence – Developing more effective supply chain

  • Enablers

– Standardising IT systems selectively – Group wide talent management – Transitioning to a single brand

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 24 Cobham plc

Summary

  • Broad portfolio of platform, programme and customers with excellent long term revenue

visibility

  • Opportunities exist in core and developing markets for increased level of capability
  • Remain focussed on the development of distinctive technologies
  • Transforming how we do business to accelerate further growth
  • Strong results reflect the successful implementation of our strategy
  • Confident of achieving further progress in 2009
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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 25 Cobham plc

  • IR calendar
  • Market position
  • Ship set values
  • US Budgets
  • Shareholder returns
  • Revenue & trading profit growth
  • US$/£ translation exchange rates
  • Exceptional profits from portfolio restructuring
  • Working capital efficiencies
  • Reconciliation of IFRS to Underlying Result
  • Definitions & glossary
  • Cautionary statement

Appendices

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 26 Cobham plc

IR Calendar

13 29

  • I nvestor Days

2009 Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan

4 6 6 5

  • Announcements/ AGM

I nterim s AGM & I nterim Managem ent Statem ent I nterim Managem ent Statem ent Prelim s Cobham Sensor System s Cobham Analytic Solutions ( SPARTA)

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 27 Cobham plc SAS Lansdale, SPARTA M/ A-COM

High Low Building Scale I n Top 3 Vehicle Com m unications Air Refuelling C4 I SR* SATCOM Avionics Surveillance Mission Equipm ent Aviation Services

Size of bubble represents Cobham revenue * Radar, EW, ISR, Missiles, CNI

Market Grow th Life Support

Avionics & Surveillance Mission System s Defence System s

MMI Research, GMS A3 5 0 &3 8 0 RAI MS

Market Position

LENS renamed Surveillance

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 28 Cobham plc

Ship Set Values

Programme / Platform 2006 2008 2010 2012 Ship Set Values US$ F16 X X X X $1,000k F/A 18 E/F/G X X X X $2,300k F22 X X X X $1,400k F35 X X X $950k Eurofighter Typhoon X X X X $1,500k Hawk X X X X $600k T50 X X X X $190k Gripen X X X X $760k Rivet Joint X X $4,350k A330 X X X $6,000k C17 X X X X $600k C130 / KC130 X X X X $3,300k KC135 X X X X $2,960k C-160 X X X X $420k ASTOR Sentinel R X X X X $520k B2 X X X X $1,360k Predator X X X X $300k AMRAAM X X X X $220k Global Hawk X X X X $2,030k UAV / Missiles Military Fast Jet/ Trainers Medium / Large Military Programme / Platform 2006 2008 2010 2012 Ship Set Values US$ EH101 / VH71 X X X X $1,200k MD902 X X X $200k EC120 X X X X $190k EC135 X X X X $300k EC155 X X X X $375k TH 57 X X X $330k ALH X X X X $360k Lynx X X X X $240k Apache X X X X $180k V22 X X X X $1,000k A380 X X X $220k B787 X X $150k Type 45 Destroyer X X X X $300k Sampson Radar X X X X $3,000k EDG 1000 X X X $4,000k Aegis DPYIDV X X X X $2,200k Light Vehicle X X X X $20k Amoured Fighting Vehicle X X X X $70k Tanks X X X X $50k Land Rotary Commercial Naval

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 29 Cobham plc

US Department of Defense Budget

Source: White House Office of Management and Budget, Feb ’09

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 30 Cobham plc

US Department of Homeland Security Budget

Source: White House Office of Management and Budget, Feb ’09

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 31 Cobham plc

US National Intelligence

Source: White House Office of Management and Budget, Feb ’09

2009 US I ntelligence Budget of $75bn

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 32 Cobham plc

Shareholder Returns

Year to 31/12/07

Year to 31/ 12/ 08 Growth

Underlying Tax Rate 28.8%

28.7% Earnings Per Share

Underlying 13.09p

15.42p 17.8%

Basic 11.61p

8.38p

Diluted 11.55p

8.34p Dividend Per Share

4.50p

4.95p 10.0% Free Cash Flow Per Share

11.81p

17.83p 51.0%

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 33 Cobham plc

Group Revenue Growth

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 34 Cobham plc

Group Trading Profit Growth

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 35 Cobham plc

Aviation Services Revenue Growth

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 36 Cobham plc

US$/£ Translation Exchange Rates

£0.7m PBT translation impact for every 1 cent movement

2008

Opening Full Year Full Year

Income Statement (average rate) n/a 2.00

1.86

Balance Sheet (closing rate) 1.96 1.99

1.44

2007

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 37 Cobham plc

Exceptional Profits from Portfolio Restructuring

Past Years

2005 £5.6 m 2006 £14.5 m 2007 £(7.7)m

£12.4 m 2008

Wimborne Site Restructuring £(2.1)m North American Avionics Restructuring £(2.9)m North American Mission Systems Restructuring £(2.4)m Adjustment to profit on divestment FR HI-Temp £2.9 m £(4.5)m

Available to invest on further exceptional restructuring

£7.9 m

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 38 Cobham plc

Working Capital Efficiencies

£55m over three years

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 39 Cobham plc

Reconciliation of IFRS to Underlying Result

Year to 31/12/07

Year to 31/ 12/ 08 Operating profit

165.8

128.5

Portfolio restructuring 9.5

7.4

Unrealised losses on revaluation of currency instruments 5.7

59.5

Amortisation of intangible assets arising on acquisition 13.8

46.8

Acquisition related adjustments: Cost charged post-acquisition for acquired share options

  • 5.5

Fair value adjustments to inventory on acquisition 0.1

3.9

Costs associated with terminated acquisition 3.9

  • Trading profit

198.8

251.6

Net finance (expense)/income 7.7

(7.8) Underlying profit before taxation

206.5

243.8

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 40 Cobham plc

Definitions

Free cash flow is cash generated by the business before movements in funding and FX, acquisitions and disposals and dividends to shareholders Free Cash Flow Defined as free cash flow/average number of shares in issue Operating cash flow is defined as cash generated from operations, adjusted for cash flows from the purchase or disposal of fixed assets. Operating cash conversion is defined as operating cash flow as a percentage of trading profit, excluding profit from joint ventures. Operating cash conversion is defined as operating cash flow as a percentage of trading profit, excluding profit from joint ventures. Organic growth represents the growth of the business for the period that it was within the Group’s control, translated at constant exchange rate. Growth achieved in the first twelve months of ownership within the Group is shown as ‘acquisition’ contribution. Company funded R&D expenditure as a percentage of technology division revenues Free Cash Flow per share Operating Cash Flow Operating Cash conversion Organic growth PV Investment The underlying tax rate is based on underlying profit before tax, excluding the share of post tax income from joint ventures. Underlying Tax Rate To assist with the understanding of earnings trends, the Group has included within its published statements trading profit and underlying earnings results. Trading profit and underlying earnings have been defined to exclude the impacts of certain acquisition related charges, portfolio restructuring costs, the mark-to-market of currency instruments not realised in the period and impairments of goodwill. Acquisition related charges excluded from trading profit and underlying earnings include the amortisation of intangible assets recognised on acquisition, such as customer relationships, technology and software and the like, the writing off of the pre- acquisition profit element of inventory written up on acquisition, costs charged post acquisition, which relate to purchasing the shares of acquired companies and, in the prior year, direct costs associated with the exceptional terminated acquisition. Portfolio restructuring costs comprise exceptional profits arising on business divestments, which have funded exceptional costs associated with the restructuring of the Group’s business and site integrations. Both the divestments and the integration activity originate from the Group’s strategy announcement in September 2005. Underlying

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 41 Cobham plc

A&D Aerospace & Defence AJT Advanced Jet Trainer C4ISR Command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance IMA Integrated Microwave Assembly LRU Line Replaceable Unit MMIC Monolithic Microwave Integrated Circuit MMRCA Medium Multi-Role Combat Aircraft OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer PV Private Venture (Company funded research & development) SATCOM Satellite Communication T/R Transmit/Receive VSAT Very Small Aperture Terminal VVIP Very, Very Important People

Glossary

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5 March 2009 2008 Preliminary Results 42 Cobham plc

Cautionary statement

For the purposes of the following disclaimers, references to this “document” shall be deemed to include references to the presenters’ speeches, the question and answer session and any other related verbal or written communications. This document contains certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to the financial condition, results of

  • perations and business of Cobham plc (Cobham) and to certain of Cobham’s plans and objectives with respect to

these items. Forward-looking statements are sometimes but not always identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as “anticipates”, “aims”, “due”, “could”, “may”, “should”, “expects”, “believes”, “intends”, “plans”, “targets”, “goal”, or “estimates”. By their very nature, forward-looking statements are inherently unpredictable, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or will occur in the future. There are various factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in the economies, political situations and markets in which the Group

  • perates; changes in government priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives; changes

in the regulatory and competition frameworks in which the Group operates; the impact of legal or other proceedings against or which affect the Group; changes to or delays in programmes in which the Group is involved; the completion of any acquisitions and divestitures and changes in exchange rates. All written or verbal forward- looking statements, made in this document or made subsequently, which are attributable to Cobham or any other member of the Group or persons acting on their behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Cobham does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.