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1 Q1 1 Results
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1 Q1 1 Results 1 Disclaimer This presentation may include - - PDF document
May 6 , 2 0 1 1 1 Q1 1 Results 1 Disclaimer This presentation may include statements that present Vale's expectations about future events or results. All statements, when based upon expectations about the future and not on historical
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May 6 , 2 0 1 1
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“This presentation may include statements that present Vale's expectations about future events or results. All statements, when based upon expectations about the future and not on historical facts, involve various risks and
These risks and uncertainties include factors related to the following: (a) the countries where we operate, especially Brazil and Canada; (b) the global economy; (c) the capital markets; (d) the mining and metals prices and their dependence on global industrial production, which is cyclical by nature; and (e) global competition in the markets in which Vale operates. To obtain further information on factors that may lead to results different from those forecast by Vale, please consult the reports Vale files with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF), and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, and in particular the factors discussed under “Forward- Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in Vale’s annual report on Form 20-F.”
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Iron ore +3.9 Pellets +26.5 Manganese +25.5 Ferroalloys +3.5
∆ production 1Q11/1Q10 in %
Nickel +79.7 Copper +107.9 Coal +0.2
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1Q11
US$ billion
1Q10
US$ billion
Operating income 13.543 6.848 97.8 Adjusted EBIT¹ 6.456 2.062 213.1 Adjusted EBIT margin¹ 48.9% 31.2% +1,770 bps Adjusted EBITDA¹ 7.663 2.855 168.6 Net earnings 6.826 1.604 325.6
%
1 figures excluding the gain from the sale of assets of US$ 1.513 billion, a non-recurring event.
The best first quarter ever
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Δ US$ million¹
Seasonal
Main cost pressures 1Q11 vs. 4Q10
Source
Maintenance materials Fuel and gases Purchases of products Cyclical / political Cyclical 93 79 78
¹ Net of volume and FX impacts
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9,176 (1,640) (379) (65) (41) 313 606 1,513 8,869
4 Q1 0
Price variation Sales volume R&D
US$ million
Adjusted EBITDA
Dividends² Δ FX
1 Q1 1
Cost and expenses¹
1 SG&A + COGS + other operating expenses
² Dividends received from affiliated non-consolidated companies
Gain on sale of assets
9 16.319 17.480 19.853 19.018 17.570 13.077 9.717 9.165 9.739 13.591 19.392 26.116 32.437
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
LTM Adjusted EBI TDA US$ billion
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18.4 19.5 21.2 22.9 23.6 24.0 25.3 25.3 23.7 13.0 11.1 6.2 9.7 9.4 11.8 11.0 11.2 12.2
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 Total debt - US$ billion¹ Liquid asset s - US$ billion 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.5 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.7
Total debt/LTM EBITDA (x)¹ ¹ at end of quarter. ² cash and cash equivalent.
Total debt
¹,²
4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.7
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5
Average cost of debt Average debt maturity
Debt cost and m aturity
% Years 9.1 10.1 4.7 5.5
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Jun- 09 Oct- 09 Feb- 10 Jun- 10 Oct- 10 Feb- 11
Global industrial production % 3mma, saar¹
¹ Seasonally adjusted annualized rate Source: Vale and J.P. Morgan
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Global manufacturing PMI, sa¹ New orders/inventories ratio, sa¹
55 54 55 57 54.3 53.3 52.9 54.7 55.5 57.4 55.7
52 53 54 55 56 57 58 Jun-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 I ndex, sa
¹ Seasonally adjusted Sources: Vale and JP Morgan
1.17
1.13
1 ,00 1 ,05 1 ,1 1 ,1 5 1 ,20 1 ,25 Jun-1 Aug-1 Oct-1 Dec-1 Feb-1 1 Apr-1 1 Rat io, sa
14 ¹ Saar
Chinese GDP growth %
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11
YoY QoQ¹
Source: CEIC
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2 0 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 3 0
Jan- 1 0 Mar- 1 0 May- 1 0 Jul- 1 0 Sep- 1 0 Nov- 1 0 Jan- 1 1 Mar- 1 1
% YoY 6 8 1 0 1 2 1 4 1 6 1 8 2 0 % 3m m a,saar1
FAI and IP growth
¹ Seasonally adjusted annualized rate Source: Haver Analytics
FAI I P
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5.8 10.0
2 4 6 8 10 12
2010 2011
million units 72.4%
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Global 1
1 monthly data, on a seasonally adjusted basis.
Sources: Vale and World Steel.
3-month moving average
80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Million metric tons
35 40 45 50 55 60 65 M a r
S e p
M a r
S e p
M a r
S e p
M a r
S e p
M a r
1 Million metric tons
China 1
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110 125 140 155 170 185 200
Apr- 1 0 Jun- 1 0 Aug- 1 0 Oct- 1 0 Dec- 1 0 Feb- 1 1 Apr- 1 1
Platts IODEX 62% Fe US$/dry metric ton
Source: Platts.
1 8 3
May 3, 2011
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1 seasonally adjusted.
Global stainless steel output
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4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 1 Q 2 8 2 Q 2 8 3 Q 2 8 4 Q 2 8 1 Q 2 9 2 Q 2 9 3 Q 2 9 4 Q 2 9 1 Q 2 1 2 Q 2 1 3 Q 2 1 4 Q 2 1 1 Q 2 1 1 '000 m etric tons
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% QoQ
SA quarterly rate of change.
21 Source: Bloomberg
15.000 17.000 19.000 21.000 23.000 25.000 27.000 29.000
Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
US$ per m etric ton 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 000' m etric ton
Inventories Prices
Nickel prices US$/ metric ton
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Copper equivalent volume growth (C2010-20, rebased)
Source: J.P. Morgan
Peer1 Peer2 Peer3 Peer4
Vale Vale
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Brow nfield Greenfield
2012
From 2011 to 2015, 34 additional major projects will be delivered, contributing to shareholder value creation
2011 2013 2015
Conceição Itabiritos Carajás 40 Mtpy Teluk Rubiah Salobo Tubarão VIII Karebbe Long-Harbour Serra Sul (S11D) Rio Colorado Moatize Totten Simandou I Biodiesel Konkola North Vargem Grande Itabiritos Salobo II ALPA CSP CSU Iron ore & pellets Nickel Coal Copper Fertilizers Logistics Energy Steel
2014
Serra Leste Bayovar II CLN 150 Mtpy Cauê Itabiritos Moatize II Conceição Itabiritos II CLN S11D Ellensfield Apolo Nacala Cristalino Salitre Simandou II Belo Monte Samarco IV
24 1Q06 3Q06 1Q07 3Q07 1Q08 3Q08 1Q09 3Q09 1Q10 3Q10 1Q11
US$ billion 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
1 ROIC LTM = return on invested capital for last twelve-month periods.
ROI C LTM 1 I nvested capital US$ billion
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São Luís Zhuhai Oman 2 plants Tubarão 7 plants Samarco 3 plants Vargem Grande Fábrica Anyang
Tubarão VIII Samarco IV
To come on stream ¹ 61.8 Mt from wholly-owned and leased plants and 18.2 Mt from affiliated companies (attributable share).
19 pellet plants around the world
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¹ cost with electric energy in 2010 was US$ 1.2 billion.
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