y p o c t o n o d e Market or governmental intervention: which topics remain U unsolved in the climate agreement T Energydays, 28/03/2019 Laetitia Ouillet Strategic Area Energy
Climate agreement: What was his plan? y p o c t o n o d e U T 2 Energydays
Let’s summarise it down to two graphs y p o c t o n o d e U T Bron: eRisk Group, using PPSGen 3 Energydays
What will happen to energy supply? y • Wind offshore grows from 1-14GW in p o 12 years (NL). UK hopes to have c reached this capacity level in 2022 t o already. n • Solar and onshore wind will be regional o d discussion (what’s a region?) e • On-roof solar spinning out of (their) U control T • No subsidy. Bron: eRisk Group, using PPSGen 4 Energydays
Offshore wind y p • The Netherlands has o great ambitions c t • But the market is more o n than that: position o Germany and the UK d • Some perspective on a e subsidy stop U T 5 Energydays
y p o c t o n o d e U T No subsidy: but why? 6 Energydays
On-roof solar y p • Not possible to steer, although one o thinks one can c t • Different business case, no rational o n economic discussion o • Planning of regional network operators d • Capacity connection value: where is the e U menu? T 7 Energydays
Existing production park • Coal plants: 4,6 GW (minus 680MW) y p • Conversion:yes/no/who pays? o c • Arbaheat (TNO, Engie). Combining t hydrogen to reduce the value loss o n (hydrogen cofiring 15-20%) o • Who is negotiating with whom? d Kolenwet e U T 8 Energydays
Security of supply • The Belgian case y p • Hinckley point: Nuclear is cheap? (92,5 o GBP/MWh: 2x last tender price offshore c wind NL (47 EUR/MWh) t o n • Nederlandse laissez-faire, with a strong o role/room for the opinion and vision of d TenneT e • Role NL as export-country difficult to U T combine with CO2 reduction ambitions 9 Energydays
The Netherlands: Island or new energy hub? Norway 20 bn m3 Norway Denmark Gas y 0,7 GW in 2030 0,7 GW in 2030 Electricity p Heat o Russia (Nord United c Stream) 55 bn Kingdom (BBL) m3 9 bn m3 t o Renewable Renewable n fuels electricity o United Kingdom d Germany NL energie 1,0 GW in 2030 5,0 GW in 2030 hub e U Renewable Renewable Gas Electricity hub Chemical heat roundabout T LNG (Gate terminal) Zuid Wending 12 bn m3 Storage 0,8 bn m3 Heat Heat storage roundabout Belgium 3,8 GW in 2030 10 Energydays
Permit request energy island Doggersbank y p o c t o or n o d Permit request for a new CCGT e U in the Eemshaven T 11 Energydays
And how about energy demand? y • Electrification of high temperature heat p o • Electrical boilers within the industry c t • Heat pumps for households o n • Green gas, and all other names they call o it d • Electrical cars e U T Bron: eRisk Group, using PPSGen 12 Energydays
Industrial heat • The transition that never will happen? y p • E-boilers: @ crossroad between two o negotiation tables c t • Large-scale flexibility supply: not the o n intended (primary) function. And who’s o in charge? d • Industry does not foresee a role for e themselves on the energy market. U T Prosumer? 13 Energydays
Heat pumps next generation y p • Innovation versus lobby o c • Also available without noise, efficient t o and with temperatures of 65+ n • Large markets: NL, UK, Japan and o d Scandinavia e • Role regarding the developmet of U demand T • Financing constructions • And regulatory settings 14 Energydays
Electric vehicles • Two pathways: Is that efficient? y p • Waterstof auto, nieuwe vormen van o brandstoffen (afval, bio enz) c t • Costs of batteries o n • Toyota is the kodak of the car industry o d e U T 15 Energydays
Hydrogen • Ambition vs science y p • Double, triple, quadruple counting o c • Demand/supply game t • Qualitative discussion o n • Infrastructure development: Market? o Network operator? Both? d e U T 16 Energydays
Flexibility development y p o c t o n o d e U T 17 Energydays
Comparing apples with pears very low low medium high very high y 1 p 2 3 o MW c t o MWh n o Ramp speed d e Conventional power plants, cross border capacity 1. Conventional solutions U T 2. New technologies and innovative Hydro, pump storage, Power to Heat, Demand Side applications of existing technologies Response (e.g. electric mobility, heat pumps) New fuels produced by abundant renewable power, 3. Seasonal flexibility demand shifting through heat storage or heat / cold storage 18 Energydays
Dilemma business case flexibility y DEMAND FOR FLEXIBILITY (MW) p o - Growth eCars, Heat - Batteries and - Further growth of - New technologies c Pumps, demand response solar PV and win (especially NextGen) t o - Storage technologies Batteries and generation (by 2030 finally solve the n and smart grids not demand response expected to be 4-5 flexibility issues yet developed become successful times average peak o and manage all demand) d demand for flex - Need for new e flexibility U technologies T YEARS 19 Energydays
Topsport approach 00:53,37 y 00:53,59 p o c 00:54,42 t o 00:55,57 n o d 01:08,37 e U T Jongens Minioren 6 Jongens Junioren 4 Jongens Jeugd 2 Heren Senioren 2 Heren All In Bron: KNZB Meerjaren Selectie Systeem 2017 Samenvatting van vereiste MSS-tijden voor 100 meter 20 Energydays vlinderslag Tijden in een 50 meter-bad
Recommend
More recommend
