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Wrapup Presentation Covering Public Pensions: Mary Williams Walsh The New York Times June 3, 2011 The pension plan is underfunded. So what? Geraldine Major Stakeholders Public workers Public retirees Taxpayers Municipal


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Wrapup Presentation

“Covering Public Pensions: Mary Williams Walsh The New York Times June 3, 2011

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The pension plan is underfunded.

So what?

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Geraldine

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Major Stakeholders

  • Public workers
  • Public retirees
  • Taxpayers
  • Municipal bondholders
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Who champions Geraldine’s interests?

  • Securities and Exchange Commission?—only to protect

the bond market if there’s a finding of fraud

  • IRS?—limited authority over governmental pensions, and

no legal authority over funding

  • Labor Department?—only oversees company pension

plans, not governmental plans

  • GASB?—they have no enforcement power
  • State attorneys general?—sometimes get involved, but

they represent the state

  • “The market”?—it’s too hard to short municipal bonds
  • Journalists—can shine a light on unsavory practices,

fairness issues, sustainability

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No ERISA

  • There was initially intended to be a second

law, called PERISA, but it fizzled out. It’s pretty hard to trigger a federal enforcement action because the main federal law doesn’t apply.

  • You don’t have to break a law to cause
  • harm. It’s possible to cause harm in an

attempt to do good.

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Mexican debt crisis

  • No one stole the money
  • They were trying to do good, to develop

the country

  • They financed it by taking on a lot of debt,

and securing it with rising oil prices

  • Oil prices fell
  • Pensions—an attempt to do good, secured

with stocks—and stocks fell

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Is the solution taxing the rich?

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Who are the local taxpayers?

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Data on states and cities

  • Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board

(MSRB)

  • Electronic Municipal Market Access

(EMMA), fairly new, still expanding content

  • http://emma.msrb.org/
  • Has a tutorial on its site
  • “Official Statement” is a factual overview
  • f the community’s finances
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Official statements have:

  • Lists of the ten biggest employers—can

see how many are non-profits that pay no taxes

  • Data on whether the population is

shrinking or growing

  • How is the bond secured, in case there’s

a dispute?

  • Description of pension promises
  • Etc.
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Look for discrepancies

  • Pension data in Official Statement
  • Pension data in the city or state CAFR
  • Pension data in the pension fund’s CAFR
  • Pension data in the actuarial valuation—if

you have a source who can help you read it

  • Pension data in fiscal notes
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The numbers should reconcile

  • In New Jersey they did not—SEC action
  • In San Diego they did not—SEC action
  • Illinois?
  • Rhode Island?
  • Detroit?
  • California?
  • Etc.
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New Jersey Diverts Billions, Endangering Pension Fund

Lead: In 2005, New Jersey put either $551 million, $56 million or nothing into its pension fund for teachers. All three figures appeared in various state documents -- though the state now says that the actual amount was zero.

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Audited financial statement

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Official Statement, appdx A

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Official Statement, appdx D

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Can’t explain the discrepancy

  • Contributions are a cash number
  • Not smoothed
  • Not amortized
  • Schedule 2 is normally very good data …
  • … but the Official Statement must be right,
  • r else the bond market it being given

false information

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“Excess Valuation Assets”

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New Jersey fiscal note

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Benefit Enhancement Fund

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Problem started in 1994

  • Unanimous state supreme court order
  • State’s school financing system was

unconstitutional

  • “Abbott v. Burke,” filed in 1981
  • A need to find hundreds of millions of

dollars, for 30 blighted urban school districts, by 1996

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Difficult Time

  • Governor Christine Todd Whitman had

campaigned on a promise to cut state income taxes by 30 percent over 3 years

  • Two weeks before the court ruled, she had just

pushed a budget through the legislature

  • One-third of state spending then went to

education

  • Whitman said she believed the court order could

be met “through a reallocation of existing resources.”

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Where will we find the money?

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Actuarial cost methods used

  • New Jersey had been on “Entry Age”
  • Coopers & Lybrand advised switching to

“Projected Unit Credit”

  • The new method is perfectly legal, but it

slows down the rate of new money going into the plan

  • Suspicious legislators held public hearings
  • Actuaries testified but never answered the

questions clearly

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Context: the boom years

  • New Jersey Education Association knew

what was happening and sued, unsuccessfully

  • The stock run-up made it look as if there

was plenty of money and the change didn’t matter

  • To pacify the teachers, Gov. Whitman

issued a Pension Obligation Bond

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Benefit increase in 2001

  • Tech bubble had already burst
  • Fund had suffered significant losses
  • State looked back to 1999, when the fund was

still flush

  • Market value of assets was $5.3 billion greater

than the actuarial value, because of smoothing

  • State officials grabbed that $5.3 billion difference

and treated it as “found money,” putting it into the “Benefit Enhancement Fund”

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From audited financial statements:

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Role of the S.E.C.

  • No legal standing to protect pension plan

participants

  • No legal standing to protect Geraldine
  • Limited legal standing to protect municipal

bond participants

  • Took action against New Jersey for

misleading potential bond buyers about the state’s financial condition

  • Pension fund is still underfunded!
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Contact me with questions

  • Mary Williams Walsh
  • maryw@nytimes.com
  • Direct: 212-556-4271
  • Follow up if you don’t hear back from me