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Wrapup Presentation Covering Public Pensions: Mary Williams Walsh - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wrapup Presentation Covering Public Pensions: Mary Williams Walsh - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wrapup Presentation Covering Public Pensions: Mary Williams Walsh The New York Times June 3, 2011 The pension plan is underfunded. So what? Geraldine Major Stakeholders Public workers Public retirees Taxpayers Municipal
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Geraldine
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Major Stakeholders
- Public workers
- Public retirees
- Taxpayers
- Municipal bondholders
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Who champions Geraldine’s interests?
- Securities and Exchange Commission?—only to protect
the bond market if there’s a finding of fraud
- IRS?—limited authority over governmental pensions, and
no legal authority over funding
- Labor Department?—only oversees company pension
plans, not governmental plans
- GASB?—they have no enforcement power
- State attorneys general?—sometimes get involved, but
they represent the state
- “The market”?—it’s too hard to short municipal bonds
- Journalists—can shine a light on unsavory practices,
fairness issues, sustainability
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No ERISA
- There was initially intended to be a second
law, called PERISA, but it fizzled out. It’s pretty hard to trigger a federal enforcement action because the main federal law doesn’t apply.
- You don’t have to break a law to cause
- harm. It’s possible to cause harm in an
attempt to do good.
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Mexican debt crisis
- No one stole the money
- They were trying to do good, to develop
the country
- They financed it by taking on a lot of debt,
and securing it with rising oil prices
- Oil prices fell
- Pensions—an attempt to do good, secured
with stocks—and stocks fell
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Is the solution taxing the rich?
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Who are the local taxpayers?
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Data on states and cities
- Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board
(MSRB)
- Electronic Municipal Market Access
(EMMA), fairly new, still expanding content
- http://emma.msrb.org/
- Has a tutorial on its site
- “Official Statement” is a factual overview
- f the community’s finances
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Official statements have:
- Lists of the ten biggest employers—can
see how many are non-profits that pay no taxes
- Data on whether the population is
shrinking or growing
- How is the bond secured, in case there’s
a dispute?
- Description of pension promises
- Etc.
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Look for discrepancies
- Pension data in Official Statement
- Pension data in the city or state CAFR
- Pension data in the pension fund’s CAFR
- Pension data in the actuarial valuation—if
you have a source who can help you read it
- Pension data in fiscal notes
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The numbers should reconcile
- In New Jersey they did not—SEC action
- In San Diego they did not—SEC action
- Illinois?
- Rhode Island?
- Detroit?
- California?
- Etc.
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New Jersey Diverts Billions, Endangering Pension Fund
Lead: In 2005, New Jersey put either $551 million, $56 million or nothing into its pension fund for teachers. All three figures appeared in various state documents -- though the state now says that the actual amount was zero.
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Audited financial statement
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Official Statement, appdx A
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Official Statement, appdx D
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Can’t explain the discrepancy
- Contributions are a cash number
- Not smoothed
- Not amortized
- Schedule 2 is normally very good data …
- … but the Official Statement must be right,
- r else the bond market it being given
false information
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“Excess Valuation Assets”
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New Jersey fiscal note
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Benefit Enhancement Fund
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Problem started in 1994
- Unanimous state supreme court order
- State’s school financing system was
unconstitutional
- “Abbott v. Burke,” filed in 1981
- A need to find hundreds of millions of
dollars, for 30 blighted urban school districts, by 1996
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Difficult Time
- Governor Christine Todd Whitman had
campaigned on a promise to cut state income taxes by 30 percent over 3 years
- Two weeks before the court ruled, she had just
pushed a budget through the legislature
- One-third of state spending then went to
education
- Whitman said she believed the court order could
be met “through a reallocation of existing resources.”
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Where will we find the money?
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Actuarial cost methods used
- New Jersey had been on “Entry Age”
- Coopers & Lybrand advised switching to
“Projected Unit Credit”
- The new method is perfectly legal, but it
slows down the rate of new money going into the plan
- Suspicious legislators held public hearings
- Actuaries testified but never answered the
questions clearly
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Context: the boom years
- New Jersey Education Association knew
what was happening and sued, unsuccessfully
- The stock run-up made it look as if there
was plenty of money and the change didn’t matter
- To pacify the teachers, Gov. Whitman
issued a Pension Obligation Bond
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Benefit increase in 2001
- Tech bubble had already burst
- Fund had suffered significant losses
- State looked back to 1999, when the fund was
still flush
- Market value of assets was $5.3 billion greater
than the actuarial value, because of smoothing
- State officials grabbed that $5.3 billion difference
and treated it as “found money,” putting it into the “Benefit Enhancement Fund”
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From audited financial statements:
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Role of the S.E.C.
- No legal standing to protect pension plan
participants
- No legal standing to protect Geraldine
- Limited legal standing to protect municipal
bond participants
- Took action against New Jersey for
misleading potential bond buyers about the state’s financial condition
- Pension fund is still underfunded!
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Contact me with questions
- Mary Williams Walsh
- maryw@nytimes.com
- Direct: 212-556-4271
- Follow up if you don’t hear back from me