Why she had to go migration and sex ratios Ilya Kashnitsky - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Jan 11, 2024 421 likes •660 views

Why she had to go migration and sex ratios Ilya Kashnitsky BSPS19 Ravenstein says: Fe Females ap appear ear to to pr predomina ominate among am ng sh short-jo journey urney migr migrant nts (1889, p.288) Kashnitsky,

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Why she had to go…

Ilya Kashnitsky

migration and sex ratios

BSPS19

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“Fe Females ap appear ear to to pr predomina

minate

am among ng sh short-jo journey urney migr migrant nts”

Ravenstein says:

(1889, p.288)

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Kashnitsky, I. (2018). Russian periphery is dying in movement: A cohort assessment of internal youth migration in Central Russia. GeoJournal. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-018-9953-5

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US counties

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urban/rural classification

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adult sex ratio (15-44)

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median age of the population

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metro to non-metro ASR ratio

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EU NUTS-3 regions

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urban/rural classification

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sex ratio by age group

0–14 15–64 65+ total URBAN 105. 105.4 98. 98.8 75 75 95. 95.3 INTER 105. 105.4 100. 100.9 74. 74.8 96. 96.3 RURAL 105. 105.3 102. 102.7 74. 74.2 97. 97.4

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adult sex ratio

0–14 15–64 65+ total URBAN 105. 105.4 98. 98.8 75 75 95. 95.3 INTER 105. 105.4 100. 100.9 74. 74.8 96. 96.3 RURAL 105. 105.3 102. 102.7 74. 74.2 97. 97.4

migration effect

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adult sex ratio, NUTS-3

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adult sex ratio, NUTS-3

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adult sex ratio, countries

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difference in ASR, URB – RUR

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estimation strategy

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counterfactual approach Li Life e ta tables bles by se sex Se Sex ratios s at bir birth th Ze Zero-migration se sex ratios Com Compar are to to act actual al se sex ratios

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small area life tables

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TOPALS model Re Relational mo model el base sed on

n sp

splines

De Beer, J. (2011). A new relational method for smoothing and projecting age- specific fertility rates: TOPALS. Demographic Research, 24, 409–454. https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2011.24.18 De Beer, J. (2012). Smoothing and projecting age-specific probabilities of death by

TOPALS. Demographic Research, 27, 543–592.

https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2012.27.20 Gonzaga, M. R., & Schmertmann, C. P. (2016). Estimating age-and sex-specific mortality rates for small areas with TOPALS regression: An application to Brazil in 2010. Revista Brasileira de Estudos de População, 33(3), 629–652. http://schmert.net/topals-mortality/

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thank you

paintingvalley.com

@ikashnitsky

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0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00

1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000

Log of total population size of a region Empirical cumulative density

Europe The US