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What impact language do you speak? USAID, Bureau for Resilience and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
What impact language do you speak? USAID, Bureau for Resilience and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
What impact language do you speak? USAID, Bureau for Resilience and Food Security 1 New Results Framework 2017 to 2021 What do we measure and how? Focus on farm-level productivity, sustainable intensification and farm profitability. We
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What do we measure and how? Focus on farm-level productivity, sustainable intensification and farm profitability. We measure at two levels:
- Zone of Influence level in 12 target countries (mostly
sub-Saharan)
- livestock module when applicable
- Project level for each implementing mechanism
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Range of standard indicators (output, outcome and impact) (using standard PIRS indicator definitions) 4 key farm level agriculture indicators:
- Number of farmers applying improved management practices
- Yield (production output / unit of production) (productivity)
- Number of hectares under improved technologies/management
practices
- Value of incremental sales
Context indicators (e.g. rainfall, NDVI) understand true programming impact.
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Risk of Emerging Infectious Diseases
Allen et al. Nature Comm. 2018
Impact of shocks – resilience measurement
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Disaggregate livestock results by 4 production systems:
- Rangelands
- Rural mixed-crop
- Urban-peri-urban
- Intensive commercial confined systems
Also gender disaggregation of data All livestock systems were treated equally - Apples and Oranges?
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What’s in the “+”? Six major components (A to F), including agriculture
Input suppliers Imports Farmers Processors Traders Traders Consumers Exports
Manufacturing GDP
(ISIC 1010-1311, 1610-1629)
Agricultural GDP
(ISIC 0111-0322)
Food Services
Services GDP
(part of ISIC 4500-4799)
F A B D C Hotels
Services GDP
(ISIC 5610-5630, part
- f 5510-5590)
E
AgGDP+ combines agriculture GDP and the portion of upstream and downstream sectors that can linked to agricultural production (measured in constant dollars)
Other sectors’ GDP
(part of ISIC 510-990, 1312-1520, 1701-4390, 5811-9900)
AgGDP+
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AgGDP+ (2017) AgEMP+ (2017)
Input suppliers Farmers Processors Traders Traders Food Services F A B D C Hotels E
14% 31% 21% 10% 14% 37% 41% 38% 21% 30% 17% 27% 32% 46% 38% 38% 35% 50% 52% 49% 35% 49% 38% 42% BGD ETH GHA GTM HND KEN MLI NER NGA NPL SEN UGA 41% 67% 34% 29% 32% 58% 66% 76% 37% 70% 33% 71% 58% 75% 55% 51% 50% 71% 74% 85% 51% 81% 48% 81% BGD ETH GHA GTM HND KEN MLI NER NGA NPL SEN UGA
AgGDP+ / AgEMP+ Components
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Share of AgGDP+ GFSS, 2017 value chain decomposition
16% 12% 7% 14% 14% 6% 9% 13% 9%
BGD ETH GHA GTM HND KEN MLI NER NGA NPL SEN UGA
Cereals Pulses, oilseeds Roots Horticulture Livestock, dairy Fish Export crops Forestry Beverages,
- ther
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What is not well measured? Multifunctionality of livestock: other benefits/outputs of livestock production systems – risk management, financial services, crop- livestock synergies, ecosystem services, not captured Externalities – (GHG emissions, water footprint etc.) only captured
- n an ad hoc basis and by environment office (e.g. CCAFS PRIME
evaluation) Food loss and waste (including mortalities and morbidities) not systematically captured
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2.3 3.3 2.6 9.7 7.6 1.4 4.3 2.3 0.5
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2015 2016 2017
Milk (mt) per producing cow and per beneficiary, and number
- f producing cows per beneficiary
2015-2017
Milk (mt)/producing cow Milk (mt)/beneficiary Producing cows/beneficiary
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2.9 1.5 0.5 2.3 1.2 0.5
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5
Milk yield Milk per beneficiary Cows/beneficiary Milk (mt) per producing cow and per beneficiary, and number of producing cows per beneficiary, by sex of producer 2017
Male Female