Welcome Dedicated to Improvement & Ja Jay T. Ryan T R an - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The CE Program: The CE Program: Welcome Dedicated to Improvement & Ja Jay T. Ryan T R an Thank you Thank you June 21, 2010 June 21, 2010 2 Outline Outline Reason for this forum Reason for this forum This forum is the first milestone of the CE Survey This forum is the first milestone of the CE Survey  Reason for this forum Reason for this forum redesign project (Gemini)  The CE Program  Recent survey improvements  Rationale for survey redesign Rationale for survey redesign  Gemini project 3

Reason for this forum Reason for this forum CE Program CE Program Gather information that will inform the redesign Gather information that will inform the redesign  Budget: FY10 $43 million Budget: FY10 $43 million  For what purpose do you use the data?  Staffing: 60 positions at BLS  What specific data do  What specific data do you use? o se?  Economists  What problems or limitations have you  IT Specialists identified with using the data? identified with using the data?  Statisticians  What changes would you like to see in the  Survey Methodologists data? data?  Cognitive Psychologists  Census Bureau  Census Bureau 6 Vision Vision Vision Vision Mission Mission The mission of the Consumer Expenditure Survey The mission of the Consumer Expenditure Survey program (CE) is to collect, produce, and disseminate From straightforward surveys information that presents a statistical picture of Through efficient processing Through efficient processing consumer spending for the Consumer Price Index, d f h d To continuous dissemination government agencies, and private data users. The mission encompasses analyzing CE data to produce p y g p Th CE P The CE Program will provide the nation ill id th ti socio-economic studies of consumer spending, and Valuable, accurate, and complete providing CE data users with assistance, education, and tools for working with the data. CE supports the tools for working with the data CE supports the Information on consumer spending f i di mission of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and therefore CE data must be of consistently high statistical quality, relevant, timely, and must protect respondent l i l d d confidentiality. 7 8

I I nterview & Diary I mprovements t i & Di I t I nterview & Diary I mprovements I t i & Di I t Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI)  Biennial Interview questionnaire revisions Bi i l I t i ti i i i  Interview (2003)  Timely and relevant Interview  Diary demographics and income (2004) Di d hi d i (2004) questionnaire revisions  Medicare prescription drug program (2006) Other data collection improvements  Tax stimulus: amount and how used (2008,  Contact History Instrument (2005, 2006) 2009)  Field training  User friendly diary form and auto-coding system (2005) I nterview & Diary I mprovements I t i & Di I t Rationale for Survey Redesign R ti l f S R d i Statistical methods improvements Statistical methods improvements Despite all these improvements Despite all these improvements  Income imputation (2004)  Basic design has been the same since 1980  Selection of Diary or Interview data for best S l ti f Di I t i d t f b t  Burdensome surveys B d publication estimates (2007, 2009)  Data quality issues  Declining response rates Data Dissemination  CE Microdata Users Workshop (since 2006)  CE Microdata Users’ Workshop (since 2006)  CE Anthologies (2003, 2005, 2008)  More timely release (October 2009)  More timely release (October 2009)

Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Rationale for Survey Redesign R i l f S R d i  Challenges in the social consumer and data  Challenges in the social, consumer, and data The overall mission of the Gemini Project Th ll i i f th G i i P j t collection environments, such as to redesign the CE surveys is to improve  lack of time or willingness g d t data quality through a verifiable reduction lit th h ifi bl d ti  competing surveys in measurement error, with a particular  language barriers  gated communities  focus on under-reporting f d ti t d iti  confidentiality concerns  automatic bill paying  automatic bill paying  large general merchandise stores http://www.geminiproject.org http://www.geminiproject.org Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign 2009 2009 2010 2010  Establish project and teams  Survey Redesign Panel Discussion  Budget initiative B d t i iti ti  Data Capture Technology Forum D t C t T h l F  Executive management group  AAPOR Panel on Respondent Record Use  Expert Panel of advisors  Data User Needs Forum & report  Research Project Tracking  Methods Workshop & report System report  Field research (Order effects,  Data Quality definition report Measurement Issues)  Disseminate research results

Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign 2011 2011 2012 2012  Household Survey Data Producer Workshop  CNSTAT report  Redesign Options for CE Workshop R d i O ti f CE W k h  Develop high level plan (roadmap) to the D l hi h l l l ( d ) t th implementation of a new design  CNSTAT consensus panel  Continue with field research (Records based Contin e ith field esea ch (Reco ds based  Continue with field research (Web diary, interviewing, Bounding study) Individual diary, Records Study)  Disseminate research results  Disseminate research results  Disseminate research results Di i t h lt Gemini: Survey Redesign Gemini: Survey Redesign Contact I nform ation 2013 and later 2013 and later Jay T. Ryan  Continue with field research Division Chief Division Chief  Disseminate research results Di i t h lt Consumer Expenditure Survey  Propose redesign model www.bls.gov/ cex g  Meet with users 202-691-5139  Select redesign model ryan.jay@bls.gov  Development projects  Implementation