Kellogg Company May 2, 2019 1 of 14
KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019
May 2, 2019
KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019
Welcome, Agenda & Disclaimers
John Renwick VP Investor Relations & Corporate Planning
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Welcome, Agenda & Disclaimers John Renwick VP Investor - - PDF document
Kellogg Company May 2, 2019 May 2, 2019 KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019 Welcome, Agenda & Disclaimers John Renwick VP Investor Relations & Corporate Planning KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019 2 1 of
KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019
KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019
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This presentation contains, or incorporates by reference, “forward-looking statements” with projections concerning, among other things, the Company’s global growth and efficiency program (Project K), the integration of acquired businesses, the Company’s strategy, zero-based budgeting, and the Company’s sales, earnings, margin, operating profit, costs and expenditures, interest expense, tax rate, capital expenditure, dividends, cash flow, debt reduction, share repurchases, costs, charges, rates of return, brand building, ROIC, working capital, growth, new products, innovation, cost reduction projects, workforce reductions, savings, and competitive
“projects,” “estimates,” “implies,” “can,” or words or phrases of similar meaning. The Company’s actual results or activities may differ materially from these predictions. The Company’s future results could also be affected by a variety of factors, including the expected benefits and costs of the divestiture of selected cookies, fruit and fruit flavored-snacks, pie crusts and ice cream cones businesses of the Company, the expected timing of the completion of the divestiture, the ability of the Company to complete the divestiture considering the various conditions to the completion of the divestiture, some of which are outside the Company’s control, including those conditions related to regulatory approvals, the risk that disruptions from the divestiture will divert management's focus or harm the Company’s business, risks relating to any unforeseen changes to or effects on liabilities, future capital expenditures, revenues, expenses, earnings, synergies, indebtedness, financial condition, losses and future prospects, risks associated with the Company’s provision of transition services to the divested businesses post-closing, the ability to implement restructurings as planned, whether the expected amount of costs associated with restructurings will differ from forecasts, whether the Company will be able to realize the anticipated benefits from restructurings in the amounts and times expected, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies from business acquisitions in the amounts and at the times expected, the impact of competitive conditions; the effectiveness of pricing, advertising, and promotional programs; the success of innovation, renovation and new product introductions; the recoverability of the carrying value of goodwill and other intangibles; the success of productivity improvements and business transitions; commodity and energy prices; transportation costs; labor costs; disruptions or inefficiencies in supply chain; the availability of and interest rates on short-term and long-term financing; actual market performance of benefit plan trust investments; the levels of spending on systems initiatives, properties, business opportunities, integration of acquired businesses, and other general and administrative costs; changes in consumer behavior and preferences; the effect of U.S. and foreign economic conditions on items such as interest rates, statutory tax rates, currency conversion and availability; legal and regulatory factors including changes in food safety, advertising and labeling laws and regulations; the ultimate impact of product recalls; business disruption or other losses from war, terrorist acts or political unrest; and other items. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made, and the Company undertakes no obligation to update them publicly. This presentation includes non‐GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the earnings press release, which is available on the Investor Relations page on the Company’s website, www.Kelloggcompany.com, for a reconciliation of these non‐GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Management believes that the use of such non-GAAP measures assists investors in understanding the underlying operating performance of the company and its segments. KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019
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Reported Currency-Neutral Adjusted* * Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
$ in Millions, % Change Versus Prior Year
Net Sales Operating Profit Earnings Per Share
Reported Currency-Neutral *
pension asset value at beginning of year
Vs. Year Ago +3.5% +7.2% (25.4)% (4.6)% (15.4)% (35.4)%
Cash Flow
payments within year
$(174) Q1 2019 $3,522 $3,645 $381 $477 $0.82 $1.04 $(78)
Currency-Neutral Adjusted* Reported
*
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Year-over-year, % change
Net Sales Growth by Components*
* Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
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% of Net Sales, Currency-Neutral Adjusted Basis * * Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Gross Profit Margin*
Ongoing: ~(90) bp
Cost inflation and comparisons
(transportation, energy, inputs)
Productivity savings
Mechanical: ~(110) bp
Multipro consolidation, May 2018
Growth-Related: ~(140) bp
Adverse costs and mix shifts (pack formats,
emerging markets)
RX recall write-offs
_
+
_ _ _
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* Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
$ in Millions, Versus Year Ago, Positive/(Negative), Currency-Neutral Adjusted Basis
Debt related to acquisition of increased stakes in West Africa operations during Q2 2018 Lower pension asset values entering the year, following December 2018 financial markets’ decline; partially offset by other items Impact of lapping discrete tax benefit in Q1 2018
Q1 2019
* *
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Cookies Ice Cream Cones Fruit Snacks Pie Crusts
Businesses Being Sold: Businesses We Retain From 2001 Keebler Acquisition:
Crackers
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* Currency-neutral Adjusted basis. Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
$ in Millions
*
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* Currency-neutral Adjusted basis. Please refer to Q1 2019 earnings press release tables for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. (a) 2019 guidance for Currency Neutral Net Sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. Organic growth also excludes acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. (b) 2019 guidance for adjusted Operating Profit and adjusted Earnings Per Share excludes the impact of mark-to-market adjustments, restructuring costs, and other gains/costs impacting
Adjusted EPS(b)
Currency Neutral
Adjusted Operating Profit(b)
Currency Neutral
Net Sales(a)
Currency Neutral
+3-4% ~ Flat (5)-(7)%
floating rates
Cash Flow * ~ Flat
services plan and business realignment
Growth vs. Prior Year * (2)-(3)% (4)-(5)% (4)-(5)% TBD
Previous Guidance
~+1-2% (4)-(5)% (10)-(11)% TBD
2019 Impact
Guidance After Divestiture
No Change No Change No Change No Change
Key Assumptions
No Change
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Net Sales Growth, in Percent, Organic Basis *
* Organic net sales growth excludes the impact of foreign currency translation, acquisitions, divestitures, and changes in shipping days. KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019 20
* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
brands
timing
price realization
brands Q1 Highlights:
Q1 Net Sales * (1.5)%
(3.4)%
Currency-Neutral, Adjusted basis, unless otherwise noted *
snacks power brands
expansion
cereal
foods
structure
portfolio What to Watch for in 2019:
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Net Sales on Currency-Neutral Basis
Momentum for Strongest Brands Consumption Growth +14% +12% +8% +4% +3% Exciting, Incremental Innovation
Q1 Net Sales * 0% Source: Nielsen, xAOC, 13 weeks 3/30/19 * Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Despite recall KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019 22
Revitalizing Brands Consumption Growth +22% +5% +1% Exciting, Incremental Innovation
Q1 Net Sales * (4)% Source: Nielsen, xAOC, 13 weeks 3/30/19
Pack-Size Harmonization
Net Sales on Currency-Neutral Basis
* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
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Lapped YAG +DD Net Sales growth
Q1 Net Sales * (1)%
Net Sales on Currency-Neutral Basis
* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. KELLOGG COMPANY | Q1 2019 EARNINGS | MAY 2, 2019 24
* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
good emerging-markets growth
wholesome snacks
price realization Q1 Highlights:
Q1 Net Sales * 4.4%
9.9%
Currency-Neutral, Adjusted basis, unless otherwise noted
momentum
wholesome snacks
Central Europe What to Watch for in 2019:
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* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
Brazil
despite Argentina
cereal
price realization Q1 Highlights:
Q1 Net Sales * 4.3%
(2.6)%
Currency-Neutral, Adjusted basis, unless otherwise noted
Caribbean/Central America What to Watch for in 2019:
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* Please refer to the Q1 2019 earnings press release for reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
election disruptions
Middle East
price realization Q1 Highlights:
Q1 Net Sales * +77.5% Organic +4.1%
+26.7%
Currency-Neutral, Adjusted basis, unless otherwise noted
in Asia & Africa
What to Watch for in 2019:
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