Wednesday 19 November, 2014 Disclaimer This presentation provides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wednesday 19 November, 2014 Disclaimer This presentation provides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wednesday 19 November, 2014 Disclaimer This presentation provides information in summary form only and is not intended to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into
Disclaimer
This presentation provides information in summary form only and is not intended to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. No presentation ,express or implied, is made as to the fairness accuracy, completeness or correctness of information contained in this presentation, including the accuracy, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts, prospects, synergies, returns, benefits or statements in relation to future matters contained in the presentation. The forward-looking statements are by their nature subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies and are based on numbers or estimates
- r assumptions that are subject to change (and in many cases are outside the control of FGB and its directors) which may cause the actual results
- r performance of FGB to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward looking statements.
To the maximum extent permitted by law, FGB disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this presentation including any forward-looking statements and disclaims any responsibility to update or revise any information or forward-looking statement to reflect any change in FGB’s financial condition, status or affairs or any change in the events, conditions or circumstances on which a statement is based. To the maximum extent permitted by law, neither FGB nor its related bodies corporate, directors, employees or agents, nor any other person, accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any liability arising from fault or negligence, for any direct, indirect or consequential loss arising from the use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it. This presentation should be read in conjunction with other publicity available material. Further information including historical results and a description of the activities of FGB is available on our website, www.fgb.ae
Slide 2
4.30pm Opening Remarks - André Sayegh, CEO 4.40pm 9M’14 Performance Review - Karim Karoui, CFO 5.00pm Wholesale and International Banking Group - Simon Penney, Head of WBG 5.20pm Treasury & Global Markets Group - Christopher Wilmot, Head of T&GM 5.35pm Group Q&A session 6.05pm Break 6.20pm Consumer Banking Group - Hana Al Rostamani, Head of CBG 6.40pm Dubai First - Amit Talgeri, CEO of Dubai First 6.55pm Risk Review - Arif Shaikh, CRO 7.10 m Looking Ahead - Karim Karoui, CFO 7.25pm Group Q&A session 8.00pm Dinner
Agenda
Slide 3
Opening Remarks
André Sayegh, CEO November 19th , 2014
Key Messages
- UAE Positive outlook supported by a strong non-oil economy.
- The UAE economy is diversified, resilient and competitive.
- Intense competition drives innovation.
- The UAE Banking Sector is advanced, dynamic and liquid.
- FGB is very well positioned to pursue disciplined and sustainable
growth path.
Slide 5
5 10 15 20 25 30 10/31/04 10/31/05 10/31/06 10/31/07 10/31/08 10/31/09 10/31/10 10/31/11 10/31/12 10/31/13 10/31/14
FGB TRI Regional Peers TRI (Indexed) MSCI EM TRI (Indexed)
A Track Record of Superior Returns
FGB is the largest UAE Bank by Market Cap with AED 74.1Bn (USD 20.2Bn) as of November 18th , 2014
Total Return Index*
FGB Regional Peers** MSCI EM 10y 1438% 398% 166% 5y 233% 262% 18% 3y 280% 76% 13% 1y 56% 41% 1%
Source: Bloomberg *The Total Return Index captures share price appreciation and dividends paid. Period cut-off date: 10/11/2014 **FGB regional peer group weighed average TRI includes NBAD, ENBD, ADCB, QNB, Samba Financial Group , Riyad Bank and NBK
Slide 6
FGB Model: Specialization & Synergies
Wholesale & International Banking Group Real Estate Treasury & Global Markets Consumer Banking Group Dubai First Aseel
Slide 7
9M’14 Group Performance Review
Karim Karoui, CFO
9M’14 Performance Recap
Balance Sheet – in AED Bn Sep’14 Sep’13 YoY Total Assets 208.0 191.7 +8% Loans & Advances 132.7 124.8 +6% Customer Deposits 144.6 132.6 +9% P&L – in AED Mn 9M’14 9M’13 YoY Revenues 6,868 5,945 +16% Expenses 1,528 1,233 +24% Pre-Provision Profit 5,340 4,712 +13% Provisions/ impairments 1,196 1,274
- 6%
Net Profit 4,105 3,402 +21% EPS 1.01 0.83 +22%
- Strong commercial momentum
- Comfortable liquidity
- Strong revenue growth and continued
income diversification
- Growth in expenses driven by
consolidation of Dubai First and Aseel, and continued investments in people, systems and product development
- Reducing cost of risk
- Double-Digit EPS growth
Slide 9
9M’14 Annualized as % Average Assets FGB NBAD ENBD ADCB QNB SAMBA RIYAD NBK Net Interest Income 3.2 1.9 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.3 Core fee and commission income 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.0 Other Income 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9
REVENUES
4.5
2.8 4.2 3.9 3.4 3.5
3.8 3.3
Operating Expenses 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.1 Risk Costs 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 Other 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
RoAA
2.7
1.5 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.4
2.1 1.3
Gearing* 6.3 10.1 7.9 7.7 8.5 5.8 6.1 7.9
RoAE
17.2
15.6 11.9 16.2 19.8 13.8
12.8 10.6
Dupont Analysis Comparison based on 9M’14 Performance reveals FGB’s superior revenue base and profitability
Our Performance vs. Regional Peer Group
*Gearing = Average Assets/ Average Equity
Slide 10
In AED Mn 9M’14 9M’13 YoY Net Interest and Islamic Financing Income 4,844 4,375 +11% Commission Income 417 391 +7% Fee Income 572 492 +16% Credit card fees 425 286 +48% Investment income 176 96 +84% FX & Derivatives 139 116 +20% Property and other Income 295 189 +56% Total Non-Interest Income 2,024 1,570 +29% TOTAL OPERATING INCOME 6,868 5,945 +16% 368bps 361bps +23bps
- 31bps
9M'13 NIM Gross Yield Cost of funds 9M'14 NIM
Solid Revenue-Generation Capability
NIM PRESSURE SUCCESSFULLY MITIGATED…. … BY POSITIVE TREND ACROSS ALL REVENUE LINES 9M’14 revenues increased by 16% YoY as NIM pressure was successfully offset by dynamic BS management, stronger fee-based business and enhanced cross-sell
- 7bps
NII Impact 9M’14 vs 9M’13
in AED Mn
Volume Impact Rate Impact Total Interest Income +795
- 362
+433 Interest Expense
- 276
+312 +36 Total +519
- 50
+469
Slide 11
Improving Credit Quality
Highest Coverage and lowest NPL Ratio since Sep’10
2.5% 3.9%
2.7%
126%
122%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 4.0%Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14
NPL ratio Provision coverage 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12 Dec'13 Sep'14
COST OF RISK DECLINING
Slide 12
1,233
1,528
70 208 17 9M'13 FGB Bank UAE Subsidiaries International Business 9M'14 7% 5% 46% 3% 3% 37% 7% 5% 38% 3% 16% 31% WBG UAE WBG IB CONSUMER BANKING TGM SUBSIDIARIES SUPPPORT UNITS
9M’13
9M’14
Strong Operating Efficiency
24% YoY growth in expenses was driven by the consolidation of Dubai First and Aseel, as well as continued investments in people and infrastructure
17.8 18.9 19.6 21.0
22.2
2010 2011 2012 2013 9M'14
CONTINUED COST DISCIPLINE – C/I RATIO (%) COST MIX BY SEGMENT – 9M’14 VS. 9M’13 YOY MOVEMENTS
TS IN OPERATING EXPENSES (AED MN)
+AED 295Mn
Slide 13
Delivering on our Co Commitments
Last year’s commitments FGB’s 9M’14 performance Ensure Disciplined Growth
- Strong commercial momentum driven by
positive trends across businesses
Drive Revenue Diversification
- Continued focus on fee-based business
supported by product diversification and enhanced cross-business synergies
Continued Risk Discipline
- Asset quality metrics continue to improve in
light of favorable operating backdrop
Strong Operating Efficiency
- Outstanding cost efficiency despite increased
investments
Superior Returns and Robust Capital Position
- On right track to meet medium term sustainable
targets
FGB displayed a robust performance over 9M’14 in line with commitments
Slide 14
Wholesale and International Banking Group
Simon Penney, Head of WBG
The WBG st strategy remains on track…
1
Solid foundation anchored in the UAE with evolving international presence
2
Focus on differentiating and diversifying the client base
3
Invest in core products to diversify revenue streams
4
Expansion of International Banking
5
Align control and support functions to ensure consistently high
service levels
Slide 16
Debt Markets Global Transaction Services Islamic Finance Corporate Finance Treasury & Global Markets
..with an integrated operating model…..
Dubai & NE International network
APAC (SNG, HK, SK) India Financial Institution Group Libya Qatar UK
Abu Dhabi
Corporate Bank Corporate Investment Bank Corporate Investment Bank Corporate Bank Non-Presence Countries New Target Countries WBG operating model has started to deliver the desired results 5 Distinct Product Platforms
Slide 17
2,124 2,502 2,747 3,051 3,272 2,599
..that continues to deliver robust st growth..
2,458
WBG Revenues – in AED Mn International Contribution to WBG Revenues + 6% 13% 10% 3% 1% 4% 9M’14 9M’13 2012 2011 2010 2009 14%
9M’14 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009
Slide 18
...from a diversified product range
9M’14 2013 2012 2011
Fee Income
14% 33% 54% 35%
Successful franchises established
Treasury
Asset Growth partially
- ffset by NIM contraction
Growth in Volume All Products established FX Volume up
Loans Global Transaction Services Islamic Banking Debt Market & Syndications Revenue composition
Revenue
Slide 19
Debt Markets & Syndications
Corporate & Structured Finance
TATA Motors MLA & Bookrunner USD 600m 2014 Emaar Malls Group MLA & Bookrunner USD 1,500m 2014 Vedanta MLA & Bookrunner USD 500m 2014
Debt Capital Markets
Emaar Malls Group Joint Lead Manager USD 750m 2014
Syndicated Loan MLAs, Q1-Q3 2014 Rank Bank Deal Value ($m) Mkt Share Change (%) 1 SCB 3,230
- 1.1
2 HSBC 2,718
- 1.8
3 BNPP 2,651 +1.9 4 Barclays 2,391 +1.7 5 Citi 2,184
- 0.2
6 NBAD 2,142 +1.1 7 FGB 2,079 +2.5 8 Credit Ag 1,915 +0.9 9 JPM 1,803 +0.5 10 Samba 1,758 +0.2 Syndicated Loan MLAs, Q1-Q3 2014 Rank Bank Deal Value ($m) Mkt Share Change (%) 1 FGB 2,013 +5.1 2 HSBC 1,617
- 0.5
3 NBAD 1,613 +2.1 4 ENBD 1,512 +2.4 5 Citi 1,204 +0.3 6 DIB 1,142 +2.8 7 ADCB 1,119
- 1.2
8 SCB 889
- 8.8
9 UNB 791 +0.6 10 Mashreq 748 +0.8 10th in 2013 34th in 2013
Lamprell MLA & Bookrunner 2014 USD 500m Mubadala GE Capital Joint Lead Manager USD 500m 2014
UAE MEA
Source : Dealogic
Slide 20
Global Transaction Services
- Transforming from vanilla product offer to holistic value
added proposition
- Four Core Pillars :
- Cash Management
- Trade Finance
- Channels
- Client Services
- Close collaboration with Consumer Bank
- Central to domestic and international grow ambition
Slide 21
Islamic Finance
IsDB Joint Lead Manager USD 1,500m 2014 Etihad Airways Ijarah Financing USD 180m 2014 Emaar Malls Group MLA & Bookrunner USD 1,500m 2014
Islamic Loan MLAs, Q1-Q3 2014 Rank Bank Deal Value ($m) Mkt Share Change (%) 1 NCB 855 +7.3 2 Samba 855 +6.6 3 Banque Saudi 811 +5 4 Noor Islamic 766 +2.2 5 DIB 729 +6.5 6 Mashreq 620 +4.4 7 FGB 587 +4.3 8 Citi 417 +4 9 Barwa 330
- 2.2
10 NBAD 313 2.9 18th in 2013
- Coverage and product capability built
- Governance in place
- “Siraj” brand launched
- Key USP to expand internationally
EMEA
Source : Bloomberg
Slide 22
International Strategy
The Connector
Strategy predicated
- n regional,
cultural, trade-flow, investment led links
1
Strategic Filter
3
Profitability over presence
4
Business model sustainability
2
Focus to deliver ambition
- Focus on areas where scale can be
achieved
- Focus on high value relationship
business consistent with global product
- ffer
- Client, Product & funding sustainability
- Focus on connectivity and Market
consideration
Target operating model mirroring the way our clients handle their global operations
Slide 23
The WBG st strategy remains on track
1
Solid foundation anchored in the UAE with evolving international presence
2
Focus on differentiating and diversifying the client base
3
Invest in core products to diversify revenue streams
4
Expansion of International Banking
5
Align control and support functions to ensure consistently high
service levels
Slide 24
Treasury & Global Markets Group
Christopher Wilmot, Head of T& T&GM
2014 Review
SUSTAINABLE GROWTH DIVERSIFICATION OF REVENUE STREAMS ENHANCED GLOBAL MARKETS EXPERIENCE
KEY OBJECTIVES KEY ACHIEVEMENTS
- Strengthened and diversified client relationships
- Increased synergies with Wholesale Banking and Consumer Banking
- Strengthened and diversified funding profile
- Strong liquidity position
- Hired key resources with backgrounds in international and local markets
- Progressed core infrastructure upgrades
- Increased depth and breadth in products and distribution capabilities
- Achieved efficient deployment of balance sheet
- Evolving from UAE base >> diversifying and expanding revenue streams
internationally
- Established client-driven, solution-oriented sales approach
- Expanded product offerings, including Islamic and eCommerce solutions
- Established 24/6 global, cross-asset market coverage
- Launched FGB Insight and FGB Access
Slide 26
Increased contribution to Group Revenues
431 565 810 1,115 969 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M'14 Transformed from a Treasury function to a Treasury & Global Markets business
7% 9% 11% 13% 14% Contribution to Group Revenues T&GM Revenues – in AED Mn
771
+ 26%
Slide 27
13% 14% 17% 20% 20% 98% 100% 94% 92% 90% 97% 101% 94% 91% 92%
8% 13% 18% 23% 28% 33% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105%Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12 Dec'13 Sep'14
Liquid Assets Ratio UAE Banking Sector - L/D ratio FGB - L/D Ratio
Strong Liquidity Profile
- Higher CASA balances to optimize funding costs
- Stable deposit maturities
- Liquid assets increase as a result of reducing
L/D ratio
- Compliant with Basel III glide-path for LCR
9% 9% 13% 20% 20% 80% 77% 74% 65% 64% 11% 14% 14% 15% 16% Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Sep-14
CASA Time deposits Other Deposits
FGB liquidity profile mirrors trend in operating environment
DEPOSIT MIX L/D RATIO AND LIQUID ASSETS
TS RATIO
Slide 28
Diversified Fixed Income Portfolio
Reducing concentration risk by increasing non-GCC exposure
76% 11% 11% 2% 70% 20% 6% 4%
68% 21% 6% 5% GCC Asia Western Europe Others 2012 2013 Sep'14
Slide 29
Middle East 29% Europe 33% Asia 17% Japan 13% Australia 8%
Funding Diversification
Six issuances in four different currencies totaling AED 3.7Bn were completed between October 2013 and September 2014
Issue Date – Notable Trades Maturity Profile Investor Base by type and geography
Oct’13 - Sep’14 Issuances
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2015 2016 2017 2019 2023 2025 Tokyo Pro-Bond Public A$ Public US$ Conventional Public US$ Sukuk Bilat Loan Public Swiss Syndicated Loan PP AED Mn
Nov’13 Mar’14 Jun’14 Jul’14
Public Transaction US$500Mn 5yr Public Transaction A$250Mn Kangaroo 5yr Public Transaction ¥10Bn Tokyo Pro- Bond 5yr Private Placement 100Mn 11yr Banks 43% Fund Managers 16% Insurance 16% Private Banks 12% CB/Govt 6% Hedge Funds 6% Other 1%
Slide 30
Growing Global Markets Business
Growth of T&GM Clients Growth in T&GM Client Derivative Transactions
79% Existing T&GM Clients 21% New 28% New 23% New 2012 2013 Sep'14 Existing T&GM Clients New T&GM Clients
69% 54% 19% 13% 5% 21% 7% 12%
9M'13 9M'14 FX Derivatives IR Derivatives Commodity Derivatives Investor Products
29% YoY increase in derivative transactions Transactions more diversified across products 467% YoY Growth in Commodities
NB: Based on number of deals
Slide 31
Looking Ahead: Key Objectives
Collaborative Synergies Solution Provider of Choice Targeted Market Reach Client Value Proposition
Client- Centric Mobilize the T&GM Platform by delivering value to clients, aligning to international industry standards, building brand awareness and expanding product and distribution capabilities
Optimize T&GM Platform via tighter collaboration with WBG / CBG more cross-sell and wallet share opportunities Formalize value proposition by client segment enable targeted business development underpinned by needs-based solutions Evolve regional platform in 2015 and establish Emerging Markets platform for 2016+
- pportunities
Be a leading solution provider to both institutional / NBFI and WBG / CBG clients in FX, Rates, Credit and Commodities
Slide 32
Consumer Banking Group
Hana Al Rostamani, Head of CBG
Trends impacting Consumer Business
Banking Landscape
- UAE central bank regulation tightening the banking environment
- Launch of Credit Bureau
UAE Urbanization
- UAE population estimated to be 10.6 Mn by 2020
- Consumer segment (Age 18 – 65) will grow by 857K
Competition
- Competition to gain market share with tactical marketing (Pricing promotion)
- New product propositions based on partnership
- Services propositions through technology adoption
Consumer behavior
- Customer loyalty is fading – on average each customer has more than two banking
relationships in UAE
- Price is not the primary reason for choosing the main bank
Technology
- Increasing banking trends are focusing on digital channel platforms to target Gen Y
segment – currently about 18% of UAE banking population uses digital banking (internet banking & mobile banking)
Source: UAECB/AT Kearney/Capgemini/Simon Kucher
Slide 34
FGB Co Consumer Bank: Strong Foundation
2,850 2,914 2,968 3,386
2,630
521 607 692 892 660 1,522 1,626 1,767 1,867 1,482 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M'14 Operating Income Expenses Net Profit National Loans 58% Cards 13% SBS 9% Mortgages 6% Personal Installment Loans 2% Wealth 12% Others 0%
CONSISTENT GROWTH IN REVENUES AND PROFITS
TS
A WELL DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO1 STABLE LOSS RATES WITH ADEQUATE PROVISIONS UNSECURED PORTFOLIO DRIVING REVENUE GROWTH
3,908 2,857 2,038 342 (1,468) (1,117) Wealth SBS Credit Card Others National Loan Mortgage
Portfolio growth since May’11 (in AED Mn)
100% 101% 101% 122% 120% 4.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.0% 3.1% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 0% 50% 100% 150% 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M'14 Provision Coverage NPL Ratio
Slide 35
1 Excluding National Housing Loans
In AED Mn
In AED Bn unless
- therwise stated
FGB ENBD NBAD ADCB ADIB DIB Mash UNB Revenue 2.6 4.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.2 1.0 C/I Ratio 25% 29% 52% 47% 46% 43% 52% 39%3 42% Assets 32.61 49.0 38.6 37.7 23.9 39.7 30.8 14.2 15.1 Net Profit 1.5 2.8 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.4 Provisions 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 Liabilities 19.62 117.2 64.1 36.0 0.0 45.9 51.2 18.0 16.6 # of branches in UAE 21 119 89 46 33 87 86 65 67 Revenue/ Branch - AED Mn 125 35 27 53 71 25 23 18 14 Net Profit/ Branch - AED Mn 71 23 11 16 25 11 9 8 6
CBG Peer Group 9M’14 Comparison
Strong Financial Performance
1 FGB Assets (Including NHL) = AED 49.4Bn 2 FGB Liabilities (Including NHL) = AED 36.4Bn 3Cost estimated based on Revenue distribution
Source: Banks’ financials, UAE Central Bank branch data as of Sep’14
2 1 5 2 2 6 1 1
Slide 36
CBG Strategic Priorities
1
Strong value proposition solutions and services
2
Superior Customer Experience
3
Seamlessly integrated Digital Initiatives and CRM solutions
4
Strong Distribution Capabilities
Attractive bundled Personal Banking solutions One stop shop for all financial & savings needs for Emiratis Wealth Management solutions from multiple international locations for the Affluent & HNW segments full fledged business solutions model for SME Consistent and Customized customer experience standards across all customer touch points
Slide 37
UAE is behind in terms of Cust stomer Experience
TOP 10 AND BOTTO
TOM 10 COUNTRIES WITH POSITIVE CUSTO TOMER EXPERIENCES (%), 2014
Slide 38
Cust stomer Experience
2016 2015 2014
- Expanded and
centralized Customer Care unit improving the turn around times to resolve customer complaints
- Transformation of our
Branches – full service and sales models
- Self and assisted service
digital provisioning
- Consistent customer
experience standards across all touch points
- Customized customer
service standards based
- n customer segments
Customer Experience remains both an ongoing priority initiative and drive in Consumer Banking
Slide 39
CBG Strategic Priorities
1
Strong value proposition solutions and services
2
Superior Customer Experience
3
Seamlessly integrated Digital Initiatives and CRM solutions
4
Strong Distribution Capabilities
Attractive bundled Personal Banking solutions One stop shop for all financial & savings needs for Emiratis Wealth Management solutions from multiple international locations for the Affluent & HNW segments full fledged business solutions model for SME Consistent and Customized customer experience standards across all customer touch points Leverage digital initiatives and CRM for Consumer banking transformation
Slide 40
Online Banking and Service matter more in MENA
FACTO
TORS INFLU LUENCING CUSTO TOMERS WHEN CHOOSING A BANK, BY REGION (%), 2014
Slide 41
FGB’s Digital Transformation
2014 2015 2016
DIGITAL INITIATIVE – BUILD THE FOUNDATION
- Enhance capabilities of existing touch points
- Introduce new touch points
- Segment specific web/mobile portals
DIGITAL BRANCH TRANSFORMATION
- Customer journeys and engagement points
- Automation of service flows
- Digital experience (Self service and semi assisted)
- Segment special service centers (i.e. SME)
1 2
DIRECT BANKING
- Digital touch points only
- Segment customer propositions
3
Slide 42
CBG Strategic Priorities
1
Strong value proposition solutions and services
2
Superior Customer Experience
3
Seamlessly integrated Digital Initiatives and CRM solutions
4
Strong Distribution Capabilities
Attractive bundled Personal Banking solutions One stop shop for all financial & savings needs for Emiratis Wealth Management solutions from multiple international locations for the Affluent & HNW segments full fledged business solutions model for SME Consistent and Customized customer experience standards across all customer touch points Leverage digital initiatives and CRM for Consumer banking transformation Provide a complete suite of products and services across all traditional and alternative channels
Slide 43
Dubai First
Amit Talgeri, CEO of Dubai First
- Relatively small company, in similar products
(Credit Cards) and familiar market (UAE)
- Detailed Due Diligence before acquisition -
Locked Box approach
- Strong
brand and products with good visibility
- Synergistic benefits identified in systems,
processes, business opportunities and people leading to quick integration
- Opportunity to increase revenue and profit
re-confirmed
- Consolidation of financials for 2013
- Reduced operational costs by rationalizing
- perating platforms and functions
- Built
a strong corporate culture
- f
governance, commercial thinking with adequate controls and compliance THOROUGH DUE DILIGENCE BUILDING A STRONG FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
Acquisition and Integration
FIRST ACQUISITION FOR FGB SMOOTH & SEAMLESS INTEGRATION
Slide 45
in AED Mn 9M’14 9M’13 YoY Revenue 261 203 29% Expenses 101 116
- 13%
Provisions 54 59
- 8%
Net profit 106 28 275%
Loans and advances 905 686 32%
*Annualized
9M’14 Financials
NET PROFIT TREND (AED MN)
20 48 35
106 2011 2012 2013 9M'14
C/I RATIO NPL RATIO ROAE* ROAA*
57%
39% 9M'13 9M'14
4.0%
3.5% 9M'13 9M'14
8%
35% 9M'13 9M'14
11%
17% 9M'13 9M'14
Slide 46
2014 Dubai GDP growth estimated to be around 5% Trading, tourism, manufacturing, hospitality, transportation and logistics – major contributors to Dubai growth
11.17 13 15 20 2013 2014e 2015f 2020f
- No. of Tourists (In Mn)
Tourism
- Key driver to Dubai’s growth, over 10mn tourists annually,
estimated to reach 20mn by 2020
- Expected rise in tourists and residents leading to increased
spending – Retail, Hotels, Restaurants Trade
- Major contributor to Dubai’s GDP, continues to be a trading
hub with Trade Surplus over AED 500mn
- Over 300,000 SMEs contribute 40% of GDP
Infrastructure/ Real Estate
- Key element in Dubai Government’s strategy of building
world-class infrastructure
- Real Estate recovery will continue to drive the sentiment
- Dubai emerging as a leading logistics hub in the region
1.Source: Dubai’s Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing
- 2. Frost & Sullivan : Gulf Business
- 3. Dubai Statistical Centre
- 4. Gulf News
- 5. Institute of International Finance
Dubai – Key Drivers
Slide 47
- Enhance the brand by
leveraging on its ‘Affinity to Dubai’ theme
- Seek opportunities to partner
for the smart city initiatives
- f the Dubai Government
- SME financing based on needs
fulfilment gap analysis primarily aimed at micro SMEs
- Launch product propositions
with Dubai based themes
Aligned to Dubai & UAE
Capitalising on Opportunity
AFFINITY TO DUBAI
Slide 48
MAXIMISING ENTERPRISE VALUE FOR SHAREHOLDERS
We Well Positioned for Sust stainable Growth
BUILDING A ROBUST ORGANIZATION STRONG AND SUSTAINABLE PERFORMANCE
- Establish
strong corporate governance structure
- Implement
Group-wide Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) framework with prudent credit and adequate provisioning
- Increase
market presence with high visibility
- Independent Operating model with FGB
DNA – FGB synergy with DF agility
- Diversify
revenue streams with multiple products and increased fee based activities
- New to group customers ensures customer
and portfolio expansion across the Group with cross-sell opportunities
- Prudent expense management and low NPLs
to ensure adequate controls
- Focus
- n
performance productivity and profitability and efficiency ratios to ensure sustainable financial performance
Slide 49
Credit Bureau
Overview
Update & Impact
AL ETIHAD CREDIT BUREAU (AECB)
- Fully owned by the UAE Federal Government
- Initiated through Federal Law 6 (Credit Information) 2010 and
By-laws approved by the Cabinet in 2014
- FGB part of working group consisting of 12 banks involved in
initial stage of assisting AECB
- Formal Launch of Consumer Bureau in Q4-2014
- Subsequently
Value added services – Credit Score & Commercial Bureau in 2015
CURRENT UPDATE
- All Banks & FIs have signed ‘Data Supply Agreement’ – Most
banks have provided 24 months historical data – Over 2.8mn unique records
- Monthly uploads by banks mandatory with refreshed data
- ‘Service Subscription Agreement’ currently close to finalisation
– Key to banks pulling data
- Banks likely to commence using the data full-fledged from Q1-
2015 after initial stabilisation
CONSUMER CREDIT REPORT CONTENTS
- Demographic details
- Employment & Income details
- Contact address including historical data
- Contact details including past contact numbers – tie-up with
telcos in the offing
- Credit history with 24 months historic data
- Court data including cheque bounce information
- Financial Summary – Detailed delinquency data including
enquiry status
IMPACT
- Short-term impact for banks in initial period but long-term
benefits for the industry
- Impact primarily on salaried customers
- Will Enable banks to implement risk based pricing
- Enable quicker, more informed and accurate credit decisions
- Will facilitate change in consumer behaviour and reduce losses
- ver a period of time
Slide 51
Sample Co Consumer Credit Report
Pricing ranges between AED 25 to AED 35 per query (report) for Banks, Individual report – AED 110
Slide 52
Risk
Arif Shaikh, CRO
Key Themes
1
Institutionalization of key components of ERM framework based on industry best practices
2
Enhanced strategic alignment and strong partnership with all businesses within FGB Group
3
Strong underlying fundamentals – strong capital and liquidity, robust portfolio quality, diligent risk management and pro-active approach towards regulatory requirements
4
This framework will enable Risk Management function to engage with all businesses within the FGB Group for holistic management of business and regulatory challenges
As per FGB Group’s strategic vision, we have established a robust Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) framework to manage and optimize risks across the FGB Group in an integrated manner
Slide 54
FGB Group Risk Management Vision
To establish best-in-class ERM framework aligned with Group vision to drive consistent shareholder value and enable business to achieve its objectives ALL BUSINESS AND ENTITIES WITHIN FGB GROUP AND LOCATIONS ALL MATERIAL RISKS
ERM FRAMEWORK
SOUND CORPORATE / RISK
GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK
EFFECTIVE RISK APPETITE
FRAMEWORK
INVESTMENT IN RISK
CAPABILITIES & RESOURCES
ROBUST RISK
TECHNOLOGY AND PROCESSES
STRONG RISK
ORGANIZATION / CULTURE ACROSS THE GROUP
COMPREHENSIVE MIS
FOR EFFECTIVE MONITORING
COMPREHENSIVE AND
CLEAR RISK POLICY FRAMEWORK
COMPLIANCE WITH ALL
APPLICABLE REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS
ENHANCED RISK
METHODOLOGIES AND ANALYTICS
ALIGNED WITH FGB CORPORATE VALUES
Slide 55
Key metrics for 76 banks (rated AA- and above) across 36 countries Metrics used by rating agencies for annual rating reviews FGB’s GCC peer benchmarks CBUAE regulatory requirements
Metrics across Key Risk Categories monitored on a monthly basis COMPREHENSIVE 3 TIERED STRUCTURE
Metrics @ FGB Group Metrics @ Business Group and Group Entity level Metrics for specific portfolios within all businesses Tier 1 (Implemented) Tier 2 (Implemented) Tier 2.5 (To be launched)
Implemented comprehensive Risk Appetite Framework covering all businesses within FGB Group facilitating business into acceptable Risk / Reward framework
ERM Co Components – Risk Appetite Framework
Slide 56
Impact Current Compliance Lifecycle FGBs Culture & Values Support FGBs Growth Strategy International Capabilities Proactive Capabilities Product Specialists Compliance Culture Change Scan Target Compliance Lifecycle
CURRENT STATE LIFECYCLE TARGET STATE LIFECYCLE STRATEGIC ALIGNMENT
Regulatory Compliance AML & Sanctions Extraterritorial Regulations Current Compliance Framework Other Regulatory Aspects Current Compliance framework is in line with regional practices & regulatory requirements. Enhancements being undertaken to align with global business and regulatory environment Financial Crimes Regulatory Compliance Global Markets & Int’l Regulations New Compliance Framework Conduct Compliance
ERM Co Components – Co Compliance Framework
Carried out benchmarking of Group Compliance Framework - Enhancement Underway
Slide 57
Strategic Alignment with Business
HRSC EMCO WBCC CBCC ALCO IMCO ORC TSC REC CC Mgmt Committees
STRONG GOVERNANCE
Board of Directors BoD Committees EC RCMC AC REMCO Risk scorecards Holistic Risk Appetite Compliance guidance Enhanced ALM management Advanced measures for risk reward analysis Product review Comprehensive ERM Policy framework Strong IT / IS controls
ERM PARTNERSHIP KEY CHALLENGES
Margin pressures Large exposure restrictions Strong SME competition Compliance Issues Real estate volatility New portfolio risks Liquidity regulations Geopolitical risks Emerging Market concerns Trading controls Business model alignment Subsidiaries WBG CBG TGM
CUSTOMER
Robust limit structure
Slide 58
CBUAE BII / BIII 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sep’ 14 Capital (%) Threshold Threshold CAR >= 12 >= 8 23.0 21.1 21.1 17.6 19.5 CE - T1 Ratio
- >= 4.5
16.2 17.3 15.0 14.1 15.7 Tier I Ratio >= 8 >= 6 19.3 17.3 17.7 16.5 18.2 Leverage Ratio
- >= 3
11.6 10.9 10.6 9.8 10.9 Liquidity (%) Regulatory LD Ratio <= 100
- 80.2
84.5 76.2 80.6 79.1 LCR
- >= 60
- 58.9
76.3 98.2 129.1 USRR <= 100
- 91.3
95.1 93.7 87.9 Quality (%) NPL Ratio
- 3.7
3.4 3.3 3.3 2.7 Credit Risk Charge
- 1.7
1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 Provision Coverage
- 89
98 96 90 122 General Provisions / CRWA 1.5
- 0.7
1.1 1.1 1.1 1.6
Strong Underlying Fundamentals
While we have demonstrated robust growth, we’ve continually focused on risk fundamentals as well
Slide 59
- Business inputs for stress scenarios; reviewed and approved by Board Risk Committee
- Capital / Liquidity plans are drawn up annually and approved by the Board
- ICAAP policy covering capital contingency plans
- Supervisory review of ICAAP by Central Bank of UAE annually
29.3 29.3 30.7 32.0 34.4 15.3 15.3 17.4 18.2 21.2 23.0% 23.0% 21.1% 21.1% 19.5% 10 20 30 40 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 14 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Total Capital Pillar 1 Capital Demand Pillar 1 CAR AED Bn
- FGB conducts stress testing on a regular basis to check its
readiness to weather any unforeseen circumstances
- Stress factors include shocks to Oil prices, interest rates, market
volatility and Real Estate in local economy Stress Impact (AED Bn) 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sep’14 Moderate Stress 6.9 5.5 5.8 5.2 5.5 Extreme Stress 9.2 7.2 8.9 8.6 9.2 Surplus Capital (AED Bn) 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sep’14 Moderate Stress 7.7 8.0 8.3 4.6 8.0 Extreme Stress 5.6 6.6 5.5 1.5 4.6
FGB is well placed to capitalize on new
- pportunities
Robust st Capital Base
STRONG CAPITAL ADEQUACY ADEQUATE CAPITAL BUFFERS TO
TO WITHSTAND STRESS
ICAAP CAPITAL GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK
Slide 60
- Moderation of oil prices; reduced fiscal spend
Limited impact in short term; Int’l growth strategy
- Geopolitical conflicts, structural/governance issues
Risk Appetite framework and policy measures
- Rising Interest rates scenario
Matched Interest rate ALM profile; limited impact
- Overheating of Real estate sector
Selective participation in the Real estate sector
- QE withdrawal, High liquidity & competition
Customer focus, expanded products suite; risk based pricing
- Competition in the SME segment
SME business as a key focus area; higher general provisioning
- Aggressive consumer lending
Strict portfolio limits for aggressive schemes
- More GCC Banks heading towards Asia Pacific
Understanding of Asian markets, niche customer set, full product set
Looking Ahead – Key Business Challenges
GLOBAL REGIONAL SECTORAL
Slide 61
- New local & extraterritorial regulations & enhanced
compliance checks Benchmarking of compliance framework; teams’ specialization implementation started
- Enhanced risk & compliance requirements amidst
expanded international footprint Enhanced ERM organization structure and risk appetite framework
- Introduction of Credit bureau in UAE poses challenges
for new portfolio growth Transparent customer information to help enhance the portfolio health and enable risk pricing
- Enhanced online threats & global attacks posing
Information security high risks Review of Information security framework; FGB 91% NESA compliant (UAE average 79%)
- Alignment of policy guidelines with new business /
product lines Annual validation
- f
policies to align with Business structure
Looking Ahead – Key Regulatory Challenges
REGULATORY COMPLIANCE BUSINESS ALIGNMENT
Slide 62
To Wrap-Up
1
We have a robust Enterprise Risk Management Framework that complements FGB Group’s business model to deliver continuous shareholder value
2
We have always focused on strong risk fundamentals and have put in place a comprehensive risk management infrastructure as a part of the ERM framework
3
We are closely monitoring the dynamic business and regulatory environment and are further enhancing the ERM framework to manage risks across the Group
4
We believe in FGB’s ability to weather any storm externally and deliver sustainable and disciplined growth
5
Finally, we stay firmly committed towards ensuring sustained value creation for our shareholders, investors and the community at large
Slide 63
Looking Ahead
Karim Karoui, CFO
Laying the foundations for fu future performance
Focus on core businesses
I
Maximize cross-business synergies
II
Selective International Expansion
III
2015-2017 Strategic Priorities Key Takeaways
- Consistent BS management and efficiency
- Increased focus on fee-generating business
and cross-sell to drive revenue growth
- Diversification across products, clients,
geographies
- Specialized offerings
- Instilling a service and customer-centric
culture across the organization
- Digital Enablement
Slide 65
Expectations for 2015 and beyond
Slide 66
FY 2015 BY 2017 LOAN BOOK GROWTH
High Single-Digit Growth High Single-Digit CAGR
REVENUES
Double-Digit Growth Double-Digit CAGR International operations contribution to Group revenue: 6% - 10% Subsidiaries contribution to Group revenue: 10% - 12%
NIMS
25bps – 35bps decrease NIM > 300bps
EXPENSES
C/I Ratio: 23%-24% C/I Ratio <= 25%
ASSET QUALITY
CoR ~ 100bps 80bps < CoR < 100bps
NET PROFIT
Low Double Digit Growth Low Double Digit CAGR
ROAE*
18% 18% sustainable target