Wacker Neuson Group May 2019 Agenda 01 Overview 02 Financials - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wacker Neuson Group May 2019 Agenda 01 Overview 02 Financials - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Wacker Neuson Group May 2019 Agenda 01 Overview 02 Financials Q1/19 03 Outlook Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019 2 Product range to meet the full spectrum of customer needs Light Equipment Compact Equipment Services Concrete technology
Agenda
2 Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Overview
01
Financials Q1/19
02
Outlook
03
Product range to meet the full spectrum of customer needs
3
Light Equipment Compact Equipment
1 FY 2018. 2 In selected countries.
Concrete technology Compaction Demolition Power & Lighting Pumps Heating Excavators Dumpers
Telehandlers Wheel loaders
Skid Steers Backhoe-loaders
Academy Used machines2 Repair2 & Maintenance2 Financing Rental service2 E-Store2 Genuine parts Telematics
Services
53% of sales1 27% of sales1 20% of sales1
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019 Concrete solutions
Target industries besides construction
4
Markets Light equipment Compact equipment Agriculture Renovation/rehabilitation Development Infrastructure (road and highway construction, bridge construction) Gardening and landscaping Handling logistics/port logistics Residential construction Demolition Maintenance/repairs Industry & Recycling Underground construction Oil & gas/energy industry Events Municipalities Target group oriented sales:
Light equipment 27% Compact equipment 53% Services 20%
Revenue split (FY 2018, as %)
Business segments Most industries demand both light an compact equipment
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Our brands and target groups
5
Construction, gardening/landscaping, energy sector etc. Agriculture, horse breeders, tree nurseries etc.
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Global footprint
6
Sales by region Core markets: EMENA & NAM, further internationalization ongoing Europe 73% Americas 23% Asia-Pacific 4%
Revenue split (FY 2018)
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
5 year comparison
7
Revenue and EBIT margin 2014-2018
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
1,284 1,375 1,361 1,534 1,707
10.2% 7.4% 6.5% 8.6% 9.4%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
CAGR +7.4%
[€ m]
Agenda
8 Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Overview
01
Financials Q1/19
02
Outlook
03
Key figures
9
1 Net working capital/annualized revenue for the quarter. 2 Days inventory outstanding: (inventory/annualized cost of sales for the quarter)*365.
NWC ratio1: 45.8%
(+6.5PP yoy)
DIO2: 179 days
(+26 days yoy)
Equity ratio: 57.7%
(-7.8PP yoy)
March 31, 2019
Revenue yoy
+17%
EBIT yoy
+31%
- Op. CF
€ -116m
FCF
€ -143m
(margin: 6.9%)
Q1/19
(€ 435m) (Q1/18: € -45m) (Q1/18: € -41m)
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
339 425 379 392 371 455 416 466 435
4.2% 11.0% 10.6% 7.8% 6.2% 12.3% 10.1% 8.4% 6.9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 100 200 300 400 500 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Revenue and earnings
10
+17% Q1/19: Accelerated revenue growth continues from Q4/18 Income statement (excerpt) Q1/19: Comments Revenue +17.3% yoy (adj. for FX effects: +15.6%)
▪ Double-digit growth in all reporting regions ▪ Compact equipment for the agricultural sector grew at a significantly higher-than-average rate (+42% yoy)
Gross profit +15.3% yoy (gross profit margin -0.5PP)
▪ Restructuring at the plant in Wisconsin, USA, continued as planned ▪ Increased costs in production and logistics caused by changes in the product mix, additional shifts required to manage increased production volumes and handle unfinished machines
EBIT +31.3% yoy (EBIT margin: +0.7PP)
▪ Operating costs increased at a disproportionately low rate despite a moderate increase in headcount, wage increases and costs for Bauma trade show ▪ Operating costs as a share of revenue fell by 1.2PP on the prior year
Earnings per share +42.9% yoy ▪
The financial result was EUR 2.1m up on the previous year: Positive FX effects (EUR +2.9m yoy) in particular due to the appreciation of currencies in several emerging economies; interest income slightly below prior year (EUR -0.8m yoy), mostly due to the initial application of IFRS 16
▪
The tax rate increased slightly to 30.4% (Q1/18: 29.1%)
Revenue [€ m] EBIT margin
€ million Q1/19 Q1/18 Δ Revenue 434.6 370.5 17.3% Gross profit 110.9 96.2 15.3%
as a % of revenue 25.5% 26.0%
- 0.5PP
SG&A incl. other income/expenses
- 80.7
- 73.2
10.2% as a % of revenue
- 18.6%
- 19.8%
1.2PP EBIT 30.2 23.0 31.3% as a % of revenue 6.9% 6.2% 0.7PP Profit for the period 20.8 14.6 42.5% EPS (in €) 0.30 0.21 42.9%
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Q1/19: Compact equipment driving growth
434.6 13.4 104.5 316.7 Total Q1/19 Asia-Pacific Americas Europe
Business development by region and business segment
11
Q1/19: Double-digit growth in all regions Revenue Europe +18.3% yoy (adj. for FX effects: +18.4%)
▪ Strong demand for compact and light equipment in all regions ▪ Rapid growth in the UK (significant gains with dumpers and excavators), above-average growth in France, Poland and Austria with increased market shares ▪ Revenue generated with Weidemann- and Kramer-brand compact equipment for the agricultural sector +42% yoy
Revenue Americas +14.0% yoy (adj. for FX effects: +6.7%)
▪ Worksite technology (especially generators and light towers) and compact equipment were key growth drivers ▪ Growth dampened by pre-buy effects in Q4/18 related to changes in emissions legislation in Canada ▪ Positive developments in South America, uncertainties remain ▪ Earnings bolstered by improved currency situation, restructuring in the US continued as planned
Revenue Asia-Pacific +21.8% yoy (adj. for FX effects: +20.9%)
▪ Production in China ramped up on schedule, positive development with light equipment and excavators ▪ First mini and compact excavators delivered to John Deere
73% 24% 3% 100% +18% +14% +22% +17% share yoy 46.1 2.5
- 1.7
30.2 EBIT1
Q1/19: Comments
Revenue [€ m]
434.6 82.3 245.8 109.8 Total Q1/19 Services Compact equipment Light equipment 25% 56% 19% 100% +6% +25% +12% +17% share yoy
1 EBIT for regions before consolidation. 2 Revenue by business segment before cash discounts.
Revenue [€ m]2
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Rise in inventories and receivables drive up net working capital
12
Inventories Trade payables Trade receivables
▪ Seasonal rise in inventories, further increase in pre-buy engines ▪ Rise in trade receivables due to the increased volume of business and expansion of the dealer network in North America ▪ Rise in trade payables due to the increased volume of business and an increase in inventory compared with the prior-year quarter. → Significant, temporary rise in net working capital (see the following slide)
1 Days inventory outstanding = (inventories/(cost of sales*4))*365 days; 2 Days sales outstanding =
(receivables/(revenue*4))*365 days; 3 Days payables outstanding = (payables/(cost of sales*4))*365 days.
Comment
Trade payables [€ m] Inventories [€ m] 462 428 439 434 459 462 500 553 633
171 129 150 141 153 130 151 144 179
100 200 300 400 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 DIO1 [days] 241 272 249 235 273 320 304 303 371
65 58 60 55 67 64 67 59 78
50 100 150 200 100 200 300 400 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 113 114 120 134 149 163 167 213 208
42 34 41 43 50 46 50 56 59
100 200 300 400 100 200 300 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Trade receivables [€ m] DPO3 [days] DSO2 [days]
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
13
Net working capital Free cash flow Cash flow from operating activities
▪ Increase in net working capital due to a temporary rise in inventory and increased trade receivables (see previous slide) ▪ Financing programs used to establish a network of anchor dealers in North America (rise in other assets) ▪ Increased investments in growth ▪ Major yet temporary impact on free cash flow, normalization of inventory levels and reduction in trade receivables expected over the coming months
- 19
33 61 63
- 41
6 10 8
- 116
- 150
- 100
- 50
50 100 150 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Comment
- 26
28 51 46
- 45
57
- 3
- 12
- 143
- 160
- 120
- 80
- 40
40 80 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Free cash flow [€ m] Cash flow from operating activities [€ m] Net working capital [€ m] 590 586 568 536 583 620 638 644 797
44% 34% 38% 34% 39% 34% 38% 35% 46%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 200 400 600 800 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Net working capital [as a % of sales]
Cash flow impacted by a rise in net working capital
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
1,102 1,083 1,103 1,115 1,122 1,170 1,200 1,221 1,241
67% 65% 67% 69% 65% 65% 65% 64% 58%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 237 245 195 148 193 188 193 205 358
22% 23% 18% 13% 17% 16% 16% 17% 29%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 100 200 300 400 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19
Increased gearing in balance sheet
14
▪ Temporary reduction in equity ratio due to increased debt and a structural reduction of around 2PP due to the first-time application of IFRS 16 ▪ Marked rise in net financial debt, gearing1 increased to 29% ▪ May 2019: Promissory note (Schuldschein) successfully issued with attractive interest rates and terms of five and seven years to secure long-term funding for the Group’s accelerated growth
1.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Net financial debt [€ m] Equity [€ m]
Net financial debt and gearing1 Equity and equity ratio Net financial debt/EBITDA2
1 Net financial debt/equity. 2 Net financial debt/annualized EBITDA for the quarter.
Gearing1 Equity ratio Net financial debt/ EBITDA2 [x]
Comment
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
50 75 100 125
Wacker Neuson SDAX DAX Peergroup
Share Development
15
The share in 2018/191 Key figures per share Special dividend proposed to AGM
1 As at May 1, 2019 2 Peergroup: Ashtead, Atlas Copco, Bauer, Caterpillar, Cramo, Deutz, DoosanBobcat, Haulotte,
Husqvarna, John Deere, Komatsu, Manitou, Palfinger, Ramirent, Terex, United Rentals, Volvo. 3 As at May 1, 2019.
1.30 0.94 0.81 1.25 2.06 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.60 38% 53% 62% 48% 43%
- 100%
- 80%
- 60%
- 40%
- 20%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
EPS in € Dividende je Aktie in € (2018: Vorschlag) Ausschüttungsquote
Family 63% Free float 37% in € Q1/19 Q1/18 Earnings per share 0.30 0.21 Book value per share 17.69 16.00 Share price end of period 21.20 28.14 Market capitalization (€ m) 1,487.0 1,973.7
(Total shares: 70,140,000)
Coverage3 Shareholder structure
Bank TP (€) Recom. Date Hauck & Aufhäuser 36.50 Buy Apr 29, 2019 Berenberg 27.00 Buy Jan 20, 2019 Warburg 28.00 Buy Apr 10, 2019 MainFirst 28.00 Buy Apr 23, 2018 Commerzbank 25.80 Hold Apr 29, 2019 Metzler 25.00 Buy Mar 14, 2019 Bankhaus Lampe 23.00 Buy May 03, 2019 Pareto 21.30 Hold Apr 10, 2019 Kepler Cheuvreux 21.00 Hold Mar 19, 2019
0.60 Special dividend 0.50
Dividend per share (proposed to AGM) Payout ratio
%
- 45%
2
+48%
1.10
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Agenda
16 Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Overview
01
Financials Q1/19
02
Outlook
03
17
▪ Extension of contracted dealer network for compact and light equipment ▪ Pro-active relationship management with key account rental customers and construction companies ▪ Focus on diversification of sales channels and industries ▪ Light equipment established in new retail channels ▪ North American market for skid steers accounts for ~70% of world market ▪ Essential product to be attractive for dealers and rental companies ▪ Large potential for further compact equipment sales
81,000 89,000 91,000 25,000 50,000 75,000 100,000 2016 2017 2020e
Skid Steer market North America1 2016 – 2020e (units)
Roadshow Truck, Franklin Equipment.
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Relocation of skid steer production to the US pays off
Skid steer as key product for North American market Development of contracted dealers in North America
1 Source: CECE, Off-Highway, 2018.
36,800 50,000 50,000 20,000 40,000 60,000 2017 2018e 2022e
18
New plant located in Pinghu, 30 km from Shanghai city border.
▪ Mini and compact excavators for Asia-Pacific, production of the first model (1.7 tons) started in Q1/18, production of larger models (5-7 tons) started in Q4/18 ▪ OEM cooperation with John Deere will help to improve capacity utilization (cooperation covers machines in the range of 1.7 to 7.5 tons) ▪ Building on local/regional presence Demand for repair and maintenance
- f infrastructure is growing, especially in megacities
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Setting the base for further growth in Asia
Successful start of production in Pinghu (China)) Mini excavator market China 2017 – 2022e (units)1
Excavator: EZ17.
1 Source: Off-Highway, August 2018.
Strategic alliances and partnerships leverage our sales
19
1 Not in Japan. 2 Commonwealth of Independent States. 3 Kramer “green line” only. 4 WN = Wacker Neuson.
Wacker Neuson produces for Caterpillar1 Kramer3 distributes via JD‘s dealer network
Weidemann via ISEKI‘s network WN4 via MHE‘s network
HAMM produces for Wacker Neuson
OEM (global) OEM (global1) Distribution (EMENA & CIS2)
OEM (Latin America) Distribution (Japan) Distribution (ASEAN)
Core Markets: Europe & North America Latin America & Asia
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Randon produces for WN4 WN4 produces for John Deere
OEM (Asia-Pacific)
Strategic alliance with John Deere in EMENA and CIS1
20
1 Commonwealth of Independent States. 2 Revenues of FY 2017 in € bn, agricultural sectors only. 3 FY ending October 31. 4 FY ending September 30. Source: Annual reports.
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
John Deere: Market leader within agricultural machinery2
9 small and compact wheel loaders 9 telehandlers 4 tele wheel loaders
Start in EMENA & CIS1 (Region 2)
1.3 3.8 7.4 9.9 11.3 17.9 SAME Deutz-Fahr Claas AGCO CNH Industrial Kubota John Deere
4 3
[€ bn]
Outlook for 2019
21
Revenue and earnings guidance for 2019 confirmed Business index for construction industry at a high level Business index for agricultural industry subdued
▪ CECE business index at a high level, slight decrease in order intake in April; expectations in the agricultural sector have cooled slightly according to CEMA, high inventory levels among dealers ▪ IMF lowered its economic outlook once again in April, macroeconomic uncertainties remain in place ▪ Situation in the supply chain has improved compared with 2018; however, the risk of delayed deliveries remains ▪ Revenue and earnings guidance for 2019 confirmed, with revenue expected in the upper half of the projected range ▪ Net working capital expressed as a percentage of revenue is expected to be slightly lower than the prior-year level
Source: CECE, April 2019 Source: CEMA, April 2019
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1,707
9.4%
8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2018 Guidance 2019 1,775-1,850
9.5-10.2%
+4-8%
Revenue [€ m] EBIT margin
Comments
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Agenda
22 Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Appendix
23
“Strategy 2022” and mid-term targets
“Strategy 2022” Mid-term targets 2022
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
24 Source: Off-Highway Research, August 2017.
▪ Most major equipment markets are expected to see growth in the next years ▪ Europe and Americas main growth drivers Europe: strong business in the construction and agricultural sector North America: skid steer loader as door opener for other compact equipment ▪ Asia-Pacific: a key driver will be China
+11% +15%
1,000,000 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e
Tailwind from global markets
Construction industry: 2017–2021 machinery sales +11% Development of agricultural sector in Germany
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Europe India Japan North America Rest China
Milk price development in Germany
Source: ife Institut für Ernährungswirtschaft, Kiel, March 2019. Source: German Farmer’s association, December 2018. Price [Cent / kg milk] [Units]
Fragmented market Dominated by niche/specialized manufacturers Not targeted by heavy equipment manufacturers Quality rather than price Significant barriers to market entry
Light equipment/ construction Market structures and dynamics
Fragmented market with local manufacturers
Compact equipment/ agriculture
Global competitors Similar target groups to light equipment for the construction industry Specialized manufacturers Compact and heavy equipment providers
Compact equipment/ construction
Ammann Bomag Husqvarna Multiquip/Mikasa Weber MT
Competitors
JCB Manitou Schaeffer Thaler Compact equipment Atlas Weyhausen Bobcat (Doosan) Kubota Manitou Takeuchi Yanmar Heavy equipment Caterpillar Hitachi JCB Komatsu Liebherr Volvo
25
Competitive landscape for Wacker Neuson Group
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
26 Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Challenges: New emission regulations for diesel engines
Engine emissions regulations – lack of harmonization driving costs and consuming resources
27
EZ17e DW15e DT10e AP1840e AP2560e AS60e AP1850e
Continuous expansion of zero emission portfolio
Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019
Financial Calendar and Contact
28
May 7, 2019 Publication of Q1 report 2019, analysts’ & investors’ conference call May 14, 2019 Roadshow, Zurich May 22, 2019 Berenberg USA Conference, New York May 29, 2019 Annual General Meeting, Munich June 12, 2019 Roadshow, London June 13, 2019 Roadshow, Hamburg July 1, 2019 Roadshow, Paris August 6, 2019 Publication of half-year report 2019; analysts’ & investors’ conference call November 7, 2019 Publication of Q3 report 2019; analysts’ & investors’ conference call
Contact Wacker Neuson SE
IR Contact: +49 - (0)89 - 354 02 - 427 ir@wackerneuson.com www.wackerneusongroup.com
Disclaimer
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty expressed or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of this information or opinions contained herein. Certain statements contained in this document may be statements of future expectations and other forward looking statements that are based on management‘s current view and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. None of Wacker Neuson SE or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its content or otherwise arising in connection with this document. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities and neither it nor any part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. Wacker Neuson SE, May 2019