[PDF] - VERIF FYING A B BAN ON NU UCLEAR T TEST EXP PLOSIONS S Multilat PDF Document

SLIDE 1

VERIF Multilat Vienna By And Let me in the V have ha Executi Now, I Nuclear Nationa Alongsi Svein M Test Ba

say? When th system a regim It was th draw th a rather verifica In addit infrastru near-rea At the t with fic Twenty than on a differe a micro Twenty the rang FYING A B teral Verific Internation dreas Persbo first thank t Vienna Inter ad a full age ive Council have been a r-Test-Ban al Academy ide the Aca Mykkeltveit an?’ and it g So this year he CTBT w was already me that relied he first syst heir own con r passive rol ation’. tion, it was ucture, relay al-time. time, it all fe

y years ago, ne kiloton. L ent way, ab

y years later ge of tens of BAN ON NU cation, Coll nal Centre, A

the CTBTO rnational Ce enda, and yo . asked to say

y of Science ademy repor and Hein H goes through r has seen a was opened f y more soph d primarily tem that tran nclusions on

the first sys ying data fr felt a bit like n some case the system Let us put th bout 4,000 ra at is a very r, today, the f tons in cer UCLEAR T lective Secu Austria, 18 J e Director O team for g

y a few wor ere is a lot to es underpinn rt, I’d like to

h the techni number of v for ratificati histicated th

nsmitted un n complianc

stem that rel rom the sour e science fic es, even sur was envisio hat in perspe ather large p large explo system is f rtain region TEST EXP urity: The C July 2012 getting me h

best before rds about th

ning the deb

alled ‘Detec ical capabili very author tion more th han all previ monitoring nprocessed d

etimes refer lied on a lar rce event to

rpassed it.

precision-gu

far more cap ns of the wor PLOSIONS Contribution here on time t is good to e you with to e effective v that, especi bate. nd a book b ct and Dete ities of the C ritative stud han 15 years ious regime techniques data directly laced the D rred to this rge and sop

s you now k ng able to d kiloton is o uided bomb pable—dete

S n of the CTB

see so man

verification ially with th y Ola Dahlm er: Can Cou CTBT’s ver ies on the tr s ago, the en

rather than y to the state irector-Gen as the ‘dem histicated g

know, scien detect any nu

bs going off ecting man-m me critics, e BT urse fantast ny of you he simulation n of the Com he new repo man, Jenife untries Verif rification sy

nvisioned v he first treaty

te parties, en neral and the mocratization global comm n and its sta nce has now nuclear explo kilograms o f in one tiny made seism especially in tic to be bac ere today. Y

mprehensive

er Mackby, fy the Nucle ystem in gre what do they erification y ever to ha pections. nabling them e Secretaria n of munications ate parties in w caught up

y space in ab mic events in n the United ck You e ear eat y all ave m to at in n r , put bout n d

SLIDE 2

States, c confide There c nuclear any inst extensio the opti these ar cent ass The IM think it

around virtually hundred signific Add to imagery nuclear describe The scie years, w to or at The sys as low a cases, m smart b When th data to t and unn rapid de

In the 1 easily c data to t

So wha said, in demons

continue to ence that oth could be a n

tance of non

ion to condu rguments, b surance, and MS, by the w will be. Th fication than the world, o y covered w ds upon hun cantly increa that ever-in y, and it bec

e it as focus ence is prog which shoul some distan stem is very as magnitud magnitude 2

he IMS was the system, necessary to ecline in the

990s, the C carried on th the IMS, in puting powe at does this m a recent VE strate a very e to anyone argue that t her states ar number of po sions, not m n-complianc

uct nuclear but not all, c d no sane pe way, does no he IMS is far n it is by itse

with them. In ndreds of sta asing the se ncreasing sa comes clear eparations. sing state as gressing als ld enable sta nce from an y sensitive e de 2.8 at the 2.8 correspo talked about s initially de should the

e price of da

CTBTO’s ba he internet. M ncreasing the er and trans mean? Let m ERTIC brie y high level who wants the treaty is re complyin

more than ten ce, no matte ty of the stat tests and th can be count erson would

r more sens

n several ne n addition,

nsitivity of atellite capab r that it is in The authors ssets on one

ates to bette n event. even withou e 10 per cen

t earlier hav esigned, the primary ne e stations on ata transmis last decade andwidth re Moreover, m e sensitivity smission spe me give you f on verific

s to cheat. T s unverifiab ng with the n lanations fo ns of tons, a er how sma te parties. S hat the test b

d expect it t plendid isol sitive when ample, there

the ‘ring of se could be the regime bilities and ncreasingly d s of Detect e particular

er understan ut national te nt confidenc eld of less th ve been redu e auxiliary s etwork detec n-line. Of c ssion or, for e has seen a equirement w many auxili y and respon eeds shows u the words ation and d al reliability The IMS doe le or that it nuclear-test

are militarily all, would se Still others a ban therefor erification r to.

combined w e are now m wo continent f fire’ aroun used for tes as a whole. readily-ava difficult to h and Deter c region of th n equipped nd and use d echnical me ce level. Thi han 10 tons uced to only stations wer ct a suspicio course, the d r that matter radical tran was seen as iary stations nsiveness o few signs o

eterrence, a y, coverage a es that.’ End cannot prov ban. e may belie y significan eriously und argue that th e constrains regime can p n be enhanc with states’

ts, Europe a nd the Pacifi st ban treaty . ailable high- hide not onl call this ‘pre he world. with new m data obtaine

is is a very s

y 40. re envisione

designers co r, the conseq nsformation staggering s are able to f the system

alker, anoth and I quote: and sensitiv d of quote. I vide 100 pe eve that eve

dermine the heir country s future cho provide one ced, and in t national tec 6,000 seismi and North A fic Ocean is y verificatio

nly a nuclear ecision mon methodology ed both in cl etection thre small event ms of TNT. ed as provid t was consid

quences of n of our virtu . Today, its

down. her CTBT v ‘A regime vity presents I agree. ercent n very smal might argue t treaty and, y must retain

e hundred p he future I chnical mea ic stations America, are lined with

commercia r test, but al nitoring’ an y in recent lose proxim eshold can b

Those 4,00 ding on-call dered costly ve foreseen the evolutio ual world. data can be ear-real-tim rapid evolut

that can s a formidab ll that by n y of per ans e al lso nd mity be 00 y a

e me tion ble

SLIDE 3

Once th be brou

detect in inspecti see this As Edw be a hig explosio any cou And so, stand a state wi Obstruc

final ins possibly In conc treaty re Of cour know th But onc explosio will be us look Thank y he treaty com ught into pla inspection w nstances of ion regime a again in Jo ward Ifft not gh probabili

untry contem , returning t very good c ill have to o ction is by n ation will te spection rep y cheat, and lusion, I do egime is str rse, we need he difficulti ce the treaty

good for in forward to you for you mes into for

would equip f non-compl are already

ted in a 200 ity that a pro ucially, that mplating ch to Dr Walke chance of u

no means a g ll its own st port, and it w d try to cove

rong right no d this treaty es with the y does enter nned in all en nternational that day, an ur attention. rce, of cour

p the organi

in place. W

9 VERTIC

‘the possib eating.’ er: ‘Knowin ncovering f inspectors i good option

will have co er your track here should b

y to enter int entry-into-f into force, nvironment

nd prepare f rse, the on-s tion were ap isation with re is still wo We saw this nfident of th brief, and I ducted OSI bility of an O ng that the t facts strongl in the field. n for a non- nspection tea

be much de ll become e to force for force formu we’re enter ts, for all tim nd this will for it in the site inspectio pproved, the h a powerful

his. I again quot would ident OSI should treaty’s OSI ly suggestiv ’ compliant s am leader w s in the Exe nce, howev ebate about t ven stronge it to be lega ula of the tre ring into a n

be good fo meantime.

e ability of t l additional re, but the f pes of Kaza te: ‘One can tify any mil have a pow I capability ve of non-co

will note dow ecutive Cou ver: would it the verifiab er in the futu ally-binding

new era: a w ll be good f r arms cont ns of the CT the CTBTO tool to con fundamenta akhstan in 2 n expect tha litarily sign werful deterr is effective

tern of evas wn this narr

t be worth i bility of the ure. g on its mem y take some world where for our envi trol and disa TBT can als O to conduct nclusively als of the

at there wou ificant nucl rent effect o and would a cheating ion, delay a rative in the you could t?

more time. e nuclear tes

so t an ill uld lear