Valuation of Automobile Dealerships: Primer and Discussion
Stephen D. Kertzman & Charles Seguin Kertzman Valuations Inc. Seguin Advisory Services se segui uinadv dviso sory
Valuation of Automobile Dealerships: Primer and Discussion Stephen - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Valuation of Automobile Dealerships: Primer and Discussion Stephen D. Kertzman & Charles Seguin Kertzman Valuations Inc. Seguin Advisory Services se segui uinadv dviso sory About The Presenter Stephen Kertzman,
Valuation of Automobile Dealerships: Primer and Discussion
Stephen D. Kertzman & Charles Seguin Kertzman Valuations Inc. Seguin Advisory Services se segui uinadv dviso sory
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About The Presenter
Stephen Kertzman, BA (with distinction), LLB, CBV
experience exclusively specializing in the areas of financial loss/damage quantification, business valuation and investigative and forensic accounting. Stephen is a member of the Board of Directors of the International Institute of Business Valuators and Chairs both the Audit Committee and By-Laws Committee.
dealer sales and profitability;
Stephen Kertzman, BA, LLB, CBV Kertzman Valuations Inc. First Canadian Place, Suite 5700 100 King Street West Toronto, ON M5X 1C7 skertzman@kertzmanval.ca 416.806.4900
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About The Presenters
Charles Seguin, CPA,CA
tax perspective as well as advisory services. Chuck is involved with dealership buy/sell transactions, representing both buyers and sellers. Chuck has a strong track record in succession planning and as an expert witness in auto retail matters.
Program, a graduate level program offered by the Automotive Business School of Canada. He is a regular speaker at Auto Industry events across North America and is a regular columnist for Canadian Auto Dealer magazine. He has also authored many reports for the Canadian Automobile Dealers Association and its Provincial counterparts. Charles Seguin CPA, CA President Seguin Advisory Services PO Box 277 Midland, ON L4R 4K8 cs@seguinadvisory.ca (416) 565-9493 www.seguinadvisory.ca
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Outline of Presentation
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New Vehicle Sales and Number of Dealership Locations
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2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000 3,200 3,400 3,600 3,800 1,000,000 1,100,000 1,200,000 1,300,000 1,400,000 1,500,000 1,600,000 1,700,000 1,800,000 1,900,000 2,000,000 2,100,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2001 - 2017 New Vehicle Sales and Dealership Rooftops
Total Unit Sales Total Rooftops
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Canadian Population Projections by age, by sex
7
Driving Age Zone
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Canadian New Vehicle Sales, Population, Average Household Wages and Unemployment Rate
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Interest Rates, Consumer Credit, Loans to Private Sector and Household Debt to Disposable Income
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se segui uinadv dviso sory se segui uinadv dviso sory Today’ s dealership landscape in Canada 3,350 dealerships 1,632 owners
# of Owners
Single Store 2 to 4 5 to 10 10 to 20
# of Stores
Single Store 2 to 4 5 to 10 10 to 20
1,632 1,440 330 425 500 655
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Compet e
Grow or
ue to Grow
What is fueling acquisition growth?
Finance Community
Market Share
Opportunity
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What is a franchised Auto Dealership?
Several businesses under one roof
23 January 2018 Page 13
New Vehicles Used Vehicles After Sale Services Vehicle Finance People
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New Vehicles
Gross margin between 2% and 10%
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New Vehicles
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Used Vehicles
Margins between 8% and 15%
standpoint – vehicle reconditioning
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Used Vehicles
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Vehicle Finance
Gross Margin 4% to 10%
dealership
customers in their direction
are involved in point-of-sale vehicle finance
etching etc.
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Vehicle Finance
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After Sale Service
Gross Margins Vary between 75% and 35%
dealership’s service, parts and (for some) body shop departments
sales
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After Sale Service
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Other Businesses
Requires Brand approval
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Industry Headwinds
monthly payments
Baby Boomers to Millennials
between dealers and brands
management succession
redesign
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Headwinds (Continued)
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Why so much M&A activity? Most historic Canadian acquisitions based more on opportunity rather than strategy
dealership networks
some are not
future of auto retailing
take chips off the table
access to capital for acquirers is easy
internal transactions
retain real estate as their pension plan.
financing
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CICBV – January 24, 2018 Page 24
Industry Terminology
Source: James L. William, Automobile Dealerships Overview
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Valuation – How Do They Make Money
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Valuation – How Do They Make Money
New Cars Used Cars P+S F+I Revenue 1,652,795 725,430 382,933 130,423 Revenue - % of total 57% 25% 13% 5% Cost of goods sold 1,534,498 678,238 181,674 11,038 Gross profit - $ 118,297 47,192 201,259 119,385 Gross profit - % 7% 7% 53% 92% Gross profit - % of total 24% 10% 41% 25% AutoCanada $Cdn000s
2016 Annual report
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What Are We Trying To Value – Automobile Dealerships
demos, holdbacks, incentives and advertising.
Related debt is then paid off.
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New vehicles now typically carry a 3 to 5 year warranty and some customers purchase extended warranties and new vehicle dealers are in the best position to do warranty work. Used vehicle warranties are becoming more popular. Every time a new vehicle dealership sells a new or used vehicle they are in essence creating an ‘annuity’ in their fixed operations department that will yield $350 to $500 of gross profit per year per vehicle for at least three years. Good dealers can increase this to over $600 and extend this to 4 or 5 years. Exceptional dealers can extend this to 8 to 10 years
Parts and Service
Source: Desrosiers Automotive Source: Desrosiers Automotive Source: Desrosiers Automotive
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Information Requested
expenditures, the age of accounts receivable, accounts payables and other liabilities.
plans, contracts with financial institutions, notes to shareholders and forward business plans.
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Review of Financial Statements – Automobile Dealerships
Estate, Out of Country Extended Service Contracts
agreement utilize the OEM’s standard accounting system. Easy to compare similar dealerships
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Situations When A Valuation May Be Required
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Valuation Definitions
different results
hands between a hypothetical willing and able buyer and a hypothetical willing and able seller, acting at arms length in an open and unrestricted market, when neither is under compulsion to buy or sell and when both have reasonable knowledge of the relevant facts.
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CICBV – January 24, 2018 Page 33
Valuation Definitions - Continued
consideration of a minority discount;
auction / fire sale.
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What is valuation – Intrinsic Valuation v. Relative Valuation
reflect price.
risk and uncertainty;
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Valuation Approaches – Automobile Dealerships
estate)
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Valuation Considerations – Automobile Dealerships
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Valuation Adjustments (Cont’d)
Dealerships):
investments)
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Valuation of New Vehicle Dealerships Considerations
Compensation
Investment
CICBV January 24, 2018
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Valuation Issues – Automobile Dealerships
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Benchmarking
Auto Canada Auto Nation NADA Gross Profit New vehicles 7% 6% 6% Used vehicles - total of retail and wholesale 7% 7% 12% Parts and service 53% 43% 47% Finance and insurance 92% * 100% * n/a
*Certain charges below CGS.
SGA - % of sales 13% 11% 10% 2015 / 2016 Analysis
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Other Industry Risks – PwC Study
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Transactions - Haig
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US Blue Sky Multiples
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Automobile Dealership - Multiples
benchmarking, etc.
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Differences between Canada and USA
Canada (National Automobile Dealer Arbitration Program in Canada)
in rural markets. In USA 10 miles for metro markets and 20 miles for rural markets.
small market dominance in both countries
brands per location is possible.
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Some unique Canadian characteristics
brand to brand
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Reasonable Tests – Return on Capital
Franchise Economic Justification and Analysis Base annual target projections Input Assumptions / Extrapolations : Cost of equity - Unlevered 12.00% Cost of Equity - Levered 14.00% Pre-tax interest rate on term loan 6.00% After-tax interest rate on term loan 4.20% Effective corp income tax rate 30.00% Sales revenue $50,000,000 Gross profit - % of revenue 20.00% Operating expenses - % of revenue 15.50% EBIT - % of revenue 4.50% EBIT $2,250,000 EBIT(1-T) $1,575,000 EBIT(1-T) - % of revenue 3.15%
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Reasonable Tests – Return on Capital
Net operating tangible assets - @ cost (ex Inventories that are financed via Floor Plan Loan; and also excluding facility Land and Building) $4,000,000 Franchise - cost $6,500,000 Total capital employed @ BV $10,500,000 EBIT(1-T) - % of capital employed @ BV = ROIC 15.00% Term loan facility - % of Franchise cos t 75.00% Term loan amount - @ BV 4,875,000 $ Equity capital - @ BV 5,625,000 $ Total capital employed @ BV $10,500,000 Return on equity - ROE EBIT 2,250,000 $ Interest expense on term loan 292,500 $ EBT 1,957,500 $ Tax 587,250 $ EAT 1,370,250 $ ROE 24.36% Weights Intrinsic value (FMV) of equity = (EAT / Cost of Equity - Levered) 9,787,500 $ 66.75% Term loan amount - @ BV - (assumed to equate to FMV of Debt) 4,875,000 $ 33.25% Intrinsic enterprise value = Total capital employed @ FMV 14,662,500 $ 100.00% Implied multiple of EBIT = (Total capital employed @ FMV / EBIT) 6.52 Implied capitalization rate on EBIT = (1 / Multiple) 15.35%
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Reasonable Tests – Return on Capital
Intrinsic enterprise value = Total capital employed @ FMV 14,662,500 $ Total capital employed @ BV 10,500,000 $ Implied Goodwill or "BlueSky"= (FMV - BV) of total capital employed 4,162,500 $ Implied multiple of BlueSky = FMV of Goodwill / EBIT 1.85 Implied multiple of (Franchise + Goodwill) / EBIT 4.74 EBIT(1-T) % of capital employed @ BV = ROIC 15.00% WACC = Total cost of captal 10.74% Excess of ROIC over WACC 4.26% Economic profit = (Excess of ROIC over WACC) x Total capital employed @ BV 447,123 $ Economic Value Added (EVA) = Goodwill value = (Economic profit / WACC) 4,162,500 $ Total capital employed @ BV 10,500,000 $ Intrinsic enterprise value = Total capital employed @ FMV 14,662,500 $ EAT % of Equity capital employed @ BV = ROE (see above) 24.36% COE = Levered Cost of Equity 14.00% Excess of ROE over COE 10.36% Economic profit = (Excess of ROE over COE) x Equity capital - @ BV 582,750 $ Economic Value Added (EVA) = Goodwill value = (Economic profit / COE ) 4,162,500 $ Equity capital - @ BV 5,625,000 $ Intrinsic value (FMV) of equity 9,787,500 $
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Reasonable Tests – Real Estate (Utilize a 3Rd Party Expert)
Facility (Land and Building) Valuation Input Assumptions / Extrapolations : Fair value gross rent included in operating expenses - % of Sales revenue - (Note 1) 3.00% Gross rent revenue $1,500,000 Assumed FMV cap rate for property - (Note 2) 11.00% Implied FMV multiple of gross rent revenue 9.09 FMV of property $13,636,364 Notes:
dealt with on a full arms-length basis. Therefore, vehicle dealership ultimately bears the costs of property repairs and maintence, property expenses, and realty taxes. 2.The sale of an auto dealership facility (land and building) most frequently involves the concurrent sale of the business and the
constructed for a specific use and are not readily adaptable to alternative uses. From a real estate perspective, auto dealership facilities are considered special use or a special purpose property, which means that the real estate cannot typically be assigned other uses without substantial reconstruction costs.
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Rules of Thumb
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Stages To Selling Business – Maximizing Value
1.
Deciding When To Sell
2.
Planning
3.
What’s My Business Worth and Estimating Price
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Stages To Selling Business (Cont’d)
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Questions
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