Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling Understanding our cities and citizens Dr. Afra Mashhadi Bell Laboratories Alcatel-Lucent January 2015 The world is in the midst of an immense population shift 50% living in


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Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling

  • Dr. Afra Mashhadi

Bell Laboratories Alcatel-Lucent January 2015

Understanding our cities and citizens

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The world is in the midst of an immense population shift

– 50% living in cities; 1.2 billion people to live in urban areas (2050)

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The world is in the midst of an immense population shift

– 50% living in cities; 1.2 billion people to live in urban areas (2050)

How to keep up with changes in the urban cities?

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Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling

Crowd-sourcing: leveraging the power of citizens to contribute dynamic information about the city.

Directly from the citizens through explicit reporting.

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Challenge Dataset Results

Can we rely on the quality of the crowd-sourcing to deal with accuracy and coverage issues?

Understanding Urban Crowd-sourcing

Impact

Enabling crowd-sourcing for practical and important problems with massive social impact.

  • Accuracy is high and sometimes higher than proprietary data.
  • Coverage is low and non-uniformly distributed.
  • Coverage is impacted by socio-economic factors.
  • Participation is highly affected by the cultural factors.

Given a set of users and profile of an area (e.g., population) we can predict the future crowd-sourcing participation in that area.

Census

6 YEARS OF Points pf Interests (POIs) CROWDSOURCED in 35 COUNTRIES

OpenStreetMap

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Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling

Crowd-Sensing through infrastructure: Leveraging the citizens footprint through infrastructural sensors. E.g., Oyster cards.

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Challenge Results

Can we leverage Transportation Data to understand the urban dynamics better, e.g., who, when, (and how often) go to a particular area and why?

Citizen Behaviour Modelling with Transportation Data

Impact

Better Crowd Management, Improved Infrastructure Planning, Adaptive Transport Scheduling. Location Profiling Models with Different Ranking Algorithms for


  • Spatio-Temporal Travel Trajectory with Activity Inference.

  • Significant Place Detection (Home, Work, Favourite Dining etc.)

  • Citizen Behaviour Analysis : Diversity, Introversion, etc.


Given ONLY transportation data, our model can infer the profile of the location and the purpose of the travel.

Dataset

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Understanding Urban Dynamics with Community Behaviour Modelling

Mobile Communication

Learning more about the urban cities through

  • ther sources of data. E.g., Call Data Records.
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Challenge Dataset Results

Can we leverage mobile communication meta data to understand a community better? Can we model their level of socio-economic?

Understanding Socio-Economic Structure through Communication Patterns

Impact

Radical minimisation of the cost and complexity of traditional methods (household surveys, Census) A set of models based on physics (gravity) and economy (diversity, introversion) that can infer the socio-economic level of areas in fine granularity With meta communication data we can infer the state and change of socio-economic level

  • f a community in fine granularity that was not possible before.

Global-Pulse UN research lab

1 YEAR aggregated CDR data Ivory coast

Orange Telecom