TURBULENT CONVERGENCE Rome, EUROPARLIAMENT, November 13 th -16 th - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

8 th WCSA CONFERENCE PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH TURBULENT CONVERGENCE Rome, EUROPARLIAMENT, November 13 th -16 th 2018 Andrea Pitasi

ONE WORLD… … MANY INTERCONNECTED WORLDS The whole is greater and much more complex than the sum of its parts. That is why a systemic and holistic vision is strategic. WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE UN WORLD TODAY THE WORLD TODAY Alaska (U.S.A.) Greenland (Denmark) CANADA RUSSIAN FEDERATION ICELAND SWEDEN FINLAND NORWAY UNITED KINGDOM ESTONIA DENMARK LATVIA 1 BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA R.F. LITHUANIA NETHERLANDS 2 CROATIA BELARUS IRELAND POLAND GERMANY 3 SERBIA BELGIUM UKRAINE LUXEMBOURG KAZAKHSTAN MONGOLIA 4 MONTENEGRO CZECH REP. SLOVAKIA FRANCE AUSTRIA REP. OF MOLDOVA DEM. PEOPLE'S 5 SLOVENIA HUNGARY SWITZERLAND St. Pierre 5 REP. OF KOREA 6 THE FORMER YUGOSLAV REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA ROMANIA and Miquelon LIECHTENSTEIN 2 1 UZBEKISTAN MONACO UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (Fr.) 3 KYRGYZSTAN 4 BULGARIA GEORGIA SAN a) STATE OF PALESTINE ITALY MARINO 6 JAPAN AZERBAIJAN ANDORRA ARMENIA PORTUGAL SPAIN ALBANIA TAJIKISTAN HOLY SEE TURKEY REPUBLIC TURKMENISTAN CHINA OF KOREA SYRIAN GREECE Jammu and ARAB REP. Gibraltar CYPRUS Kashmir ** (U.K.) MALTA ISLAMIC Bermuda TUNISIA LEBANON AFGHANISTAN REP.OF ISRAEL (U.K.) MOROCCO IRAQ a IRAN a BHUTAN JORDAN KUWAIT PAKISTAN NEPAL BAHAMAS ALGERIA LIBYA LAO PEOPLE'S BAHRAIN MEXICO EGYPT Hawaiian CUBA Western DEM. REP. Islands Turks and Caicos Islands (U.K.) UNITED ARAB Sahara BANGLADESH SAUDI (U.S.A.) QATAR EMIRATES Northern Cayman DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Islands ARABIA Puerto Rico (U.S.A.) Mariana HAITI MYANMAR (U.K.) British Virgin Islands (U.K.) INDIA OMAN Islands BELIZE CABO VERDE MAURITANIA Anguilla (U.K.) St. Martin (Fr. & Neth.) (U.S.A.) HONDURAS U.S. Virgin Islands Saba (Neth.) MALI ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA NIGER MARSHALL JAMAICA (U.S.A.) St. Eustatius (Neth.) THAILAND VIET NAM Montserrat (U.K.) SENEGAL CHAD SUDAN ERITREA YEMEN Guam GUATEMALA ST. KITTS AND NEVIS ISLANDS Guadeloupe (Fr.) PHILIPPINES (U.S.A.) DOMINICA GAMBIA EL SALVADOR BURKINA CAMBODIA Aruba Curaçao Martinique (Fr.) ST. LUCIA NICARAGUA FASO DJIBOUTI Bonaire GUINEA-BISSAU GRENADA ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES GUINEA NIGERIA COSTA RICA BARBADOS SOUTH ETHIOPIA VENEZUELA TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO SUDAN*** GHANA BENIN CENTRAL SRI LANKA PANAMA SURINAME BRUNEI SIERRA LEONE AFRICAN REP. Pacific Ocean CAMEROON French Guiana (Fr.) TOGO SOMALIA DARUSSALAM LIBERIA COLOMBIA CÔTE D'IVOIRE PALAU MALAYSIA FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA KIRIBATI MALDIVES EQUATORIAL GUINEA UGANDA KENYA GUYANA CONGO SINGAPORE GABON ECUADOR DEMOCRATIC RWANDA NAURU TUVALU SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE REBUBLIC OF BURUNDI THE CONGO SEYCHELLES Tokelau ANGOLA UNITED REP. (N.Z.) PAPUA OF TANZANIA SOLOMON Ascension INDONESIA NEW GUINEA ISLANDS BRAZIL SAMOA (U.K.) PERU MALAWI TIMOR-LESTE COMOROS American ANGOLA Christmas Island Samoa (U.S.A.) Marquesas (Austr.) Islands (Fr.) ZAMBIA MOZAMBIQUE St. Helena Wallis and Indian Ocean Cocos (Keeling) Futuna Islands (U.K.) Islands (Austr.) BOLIVIA ZIMBABWE MADAGASCAR (Fr.) VANUATU FIJI Réunion MAURITIUS Society NAMIBIA French BOTSWANA Islands (Fr.) Atlantic Ocean (Fr.) COOK PARAGUAY Polynesia (Fr.) NIUE ISLANDS Gambier Islands (Fr.) CHILE New Caledonia TONGA ESWATINI AUSTRALIA (Fr.) LESOTHO Austral Islands Pitcairn SOUTH (Tubuai Islands) (Fr.) (U.K.) ARGENTINA AFRICA URUGUAY Tristan da Cunha (U.K.) Gough (U.K.) The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country,territory, city or any area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. South NEW Falkland Islands (Malvinas) (U.K.)* ZEALAND Georgia (U.K.) *A dispute exists between the Governments of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas). Member States of the United Nations ** Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and South Pakistan. The final status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Sandwich Non-Self-Governing Territories Islands *** Final boundary between the Republic of Sudan and the Republic of South Sudan has not yet been determined. (U.K.) Non-Member States of the United Nations Observer Non-Member States of the United Nations The initials in parentheses refer to the administering power or the power involved in a special treaty relationship Map No. 4136 Rev. 12.1 UNITED NATIONS Department of Field Support Geospatial Information Section (formerly Cartographic Section) July 2018 WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE UN WORLD TODAY The UNITED NATIONS (UN) u Headquarters in New York, US u Offices in Geneva, Nairobi and Vienna u 193 Member Countries / 196 Countries in the world WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE WHO WORLD WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE WHO WORLD The World Health Organization (WHO) u Headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland u 6 WHO regions u 149 field offices in countries/territories/areas u Countries without a WHO office: covered by nearby field offices or by the appropriate regional office WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE ILO WORLD WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE ILO WORLD The INTERNATIONAL LABOR ORGANIZATION (ILO) u Headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland u 187 Member Countries / 196 Countries in the world u Divided into 5 regions: Africa, Americas, Arab States, Asia and the Pacific, Europe and Central Asia WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE WTO WORLD WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE WTO WORLD The WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION (WTO) u Headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland u 164 Member Countries / 196 Countries in the world u 23 Observers WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE OECD WORLD WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE OECD WORLD The ORGANIZAZION FOR ECONOMIC AND COOPERATION DEVELOPMENT(OECD) u Headquarters in Paris, France u 36 Member Countries u Global Relations reach non-Members u Key partners: Brazil, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa u Regional Initiatives: Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia; Asia; Latin America; the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE EMERGING GLOBAL PLAYER SCENARIO (EGPS) Is shaped as Conway's Game of Life (Dennett, 2004) u With few GP interconnected u By a relatively small amount of links (L) u Where each GP is free to empower and evolve some links and weakening others u But is predetermined in the whole amount of potential link (P) u Where L=(f)P WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

CONWAY’S GAME OF LIFE WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE EGPS AS A COMPLEX SYSTEM The Emerging Global Player Scenario-EGPS AS A UNITAS MULTIPLEX OF u Global cosmopolitanism u Science intensive, knowledge-based policy modeling, and procedural decision making u Entrepreneurial self-constructing, wide horizon spirit u Social autonomy structuration to a systemic global level WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE EGPS The GLOBAL PLAYERS (1) are u The NAFTA GP u The BRICS GP u The TURKISH AREA GP u The EU GP u The UNITED AFRICAN MARKET GP u The CHINESE – JAPANESE AREA GP WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE EGPS GLOBAL PLAYERS (2) u They are « LEGO » shaped u In a very interconnected way u BRICS and MERCOSUR are both GPs u Brazil belongs to both of them WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE EGPS GLOBAL PLAYERS (3) In brief… u Some areas remain outsiders (Bahamas, Singapore, Switzerland, for example) u But are not autarchically closed u They remain independent as they bridge the GPs u Thus, they are CONVERGENCE KNOTS WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE PROCESS VISION ON GLOBAL CHANGE u MACRO: The EGPS u MESO: Each GP “scanned” u MICRO: National states and their fragments u PSYCHO-SOCIAL: Gemeinschaftliche Lebenswelt (Elias, De Swaan, Goudsblom) WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

IN THESE EGPS The WCSA as A THINK AND DO TANK (TDT) FOR RESEARCH & POLICY IN THE EGPS and on WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE KEY FEATURES of the TDT (1) 1. Interdisciplinary among the social, political, legal and economical sciences 2. Policy determines politics (Lowi, Arenas of power , 2009) 3. Policy is design-based research, not subjected to political selection 4. Mind Elias - De Swaan’s Process from macro to psycho-social WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH

THE KEY FEATURES of the TDT (2) 5. All four steps are required in a correct and viable systemic complex process design, but not all the four matter in the same way 7. Political decisions = (f) science based research design is viable 9. Turned upside down is rhetoric manipulation on masses (back to Canetti?) WCSA 8 TH CONFERENCE, EP, ROME - PRESIDENTIAL SPEECH