TRANSPORTATION PLA LAN (th (through Federal Fis Fiscal l Year - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

NYMTC’s NE NEW RE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLA LAN (th (through Federal Fis Fiscal l Year 20 2045 45) East End Planning Conference September 20, 2017 1

A “metropolitan planning organization” for New York City, Long Island & the Lower Hudson Valley A regional council of governments consisting of nine voting & seven advisory members An organization required by Federal legislation which authorizes funding for transportation An organization responsible for the mandated metropolitan transportation planning process WHAT IS IS NYMTC? 2

MEMBERSHIP ADVISORY MEMBERS: New Jersey Transit, North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority, Federal Transit Administration, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, NYS Department of Environmental Conservation 3

PLANNING AREA 4

Major Elements of Transportation Funding Congress (authorizes & appropriates $$) NYS Legislature NYS (appropriates $$) Local county, municipality & Region (MPO) public authority budgets Project sponsor Project sponsor Project sponsor

Federal l Form rmula la Fundin ing Programs Programs administered by the Programs administered by the Federal Highway Administration Federal Transit Administration • National Highway Performance • Sections 5307/5340 Urbanized Program (NHPP) Area Formula • National Highway Freight Program • Section 5309 Fixed Guideway • Surface Transportation Block Capital Investment Grant Program (STBGP) • Section 5310 Enhanced Mobility of • Transportation Alternatives Seniors and People with Program (STBGP set aside) Disabilities • Congestion Mitigation-Air Quality • Section 5337 State-of-Good Repair Program (CMAQ) • Highway Safety Improvement • Section 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities Program (HSIP) • Railway-Highway Crossings • Ferry Boat & Terminal Facilities

REQUIRED METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION PLA LANNING PROCE CESS 7

The basis for federal A blueprint that transportation helps guide federal 1 funding in the investments in the NYMTC planning area planning area 2 NYMTC members’ shared strategic vision for the planning area WHAT IS THE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN?

WHY A NEW PLAN?  Federal requirement for a new Plan every 4 years  New information on population & employment growth – changing demands & trends  Updated transportation funding sources  New information on costs & other financial inputs  Revised regional priorities as determined by NYMTC’s members  New federal requirements & priorities  Technological developments  New air quality forecasts 9

Required scale and schedule • Multi-modal • Minimum 20-year planning horizon • New plan required every four years A framework for the use of federal funding • Congestion management • Fiscal constraint/project selection • Transportation conformity (mobile source emissions) 10

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Shared Vision and Federally-Supported Required Special Strategic Transportation Financial Plan Elements Framework System • Megaregional & • System Inventory • Capital Costs & • Environmental Regional Contexts Resources Mitigation & New • Transportation System Consultation • Growth & Demand Management & • Operations & Forecasts/Drivers of Operations (TSMO) Maintenance Costs & • Pedestrian-Bicycle Change Resources Element • Transportation Safety, • Goals and Desired Security and • Supplemental • Regional Freight Plan Outcomes Emergency Resources • Coordinated Public Management • Coordinated Transit-Human Services Development Emphasis • Major Projects, System Transportation Plan Areas Preservation & System • Congestion Enhancements • Near-Term Priorities & Management Process (constrained & Actions (first ten years) (CMP) Status Report aspirational) • System Performance • Environmental Justice Report (to be added Assessment 2018) Plan 2045 Components

Plan 2045 was developed in part through a public involvement effort that engaged various constituencies in the NYMTC planning area. This included: • Website and virtual public workshop Input was gathered from the • An online survey general public, community- based advocacy groups, • An explanatory video communities of concern and • Public workshops other stakeholders. • Focus groups • Public advisory working groups • Feedback through social media PUBLIC IC IN INVOLVEMENT FOR PLAN 2045 2045 13

FUTURE CHALLENGES 14

The current transportation NYMTC’s planning system The current area is projected to transportation accommodates grow in population, millions of daily system is extensive employment and passenger trips, as and aging . travel by 2045. well as millions of tons of freight. KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE NEW PLAN 15

Hundreds of miles of local, express, An extensive network Over 19,000 lane-miles commuter, and of passenger hubs, of roadways intercity bus routes and stations and stops an aerial tramway Over 2,400 roadway 225 route miles of Supporting bridges subway tracks infrastructure More than 1,100 miles Nearly 480 route miles of bicycle facilities of commuter rail CHALLENGE - OPERATING, PRE RESERVING AND ENH NHANCING THE FE FEDERALLY-SUPPORTED TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM

CHALLENGE - ANTICIPATING CHANGE

CHALLENGE – REGIO IONAL GROWTH Forecasted Growth in the NYMTC Planning Area; 2017 through 2045 70.4% 67.1% 11.0% 10.3% Population Employment Freight Tonnage* GDP** *Forecasted growth in Freight Tonnage is for 2012 through 2045 **Forecasted growth in GDP is for 2015 through 2045 18

CHALLENGE - GROWING TR TRAVEL Forecasted Growth; 2017 through 2045 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Daily Trips Daily Transit Trips Daily Auto Trips Daily VMT LHV 14.9% 26.8% 13.4% 16.1% LI 12.8% 27.0% 12.3% 13.1% NYC 8.0% 10.5% 5.0% 7.4% 19

CHALLENGE – INCREASING CONGESTION

Forecasted Roadway Conditions 6 a.m.-10 a.m. Suffolk County 21

CHALLENGE -- GROWING GOODS MOVEMENT Freight Tonnage by Mode – NYMTC Planning Area Truck Rail Water Air Freight Tonnage by County 700 610 2012 & 2045 MILLIONS OF TONS 600 500 365 400 300 200 100 0 2012 2045 Source: 2012 IHS Global Insight Transearch Data, 2012 Surface Transportation Board (STB) Waybill Sample 22

CHALLENGE -- -- MEGAREGIONAL TRA RAVELSHED 23

RESPONDING TO THE CHALLENGES 24

Strategic Goals Related Desired Outcomes Near-Term Actions Sustainability Features Fiscal Constraint & Project Eligibility/Selection Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework

Enhance the regional environment Improve the regional economy Improve the regional quality of life Preserve the existing transportation infrastructure Provide a convenient, flexible transportation system within the region Enhance the safety and security of the transportation system for both motorized and non- motorized users Improve the resiliency of the regional transportation system Build the case for obtaining resources to implement regional investments Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Strategic Goals

Coordinated Development Emphasis Areas (CDEAs) Locations where changes to land use and transportation will help shape future growth and the manner in which that growth is accommodated by the transportation system CDEAs are targets for development and CDEAs provide a framework for transportation investment in a sustainable growth and development coordinated fashion, particularly linked to the existing and future transit network Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Sustainability Features

Suffolk County Coordinated Development Emphasis Areas (CDEAs) 6/27/2017 28

Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Fiscal Constraint & Project Eligibility/Selection Plan 2045 proposes . . . Nearly $627 billion in year-of- expenditure (YOE) dollars to adequately operate and maintain system components and services. An average of $22.4 billion Roughly $463 billion in YOE dollars for per year System Preservation projects and strategies. An average of Approximately $33 billion for various $16.5 billion per year System Enhancement projects. 29

Fiscal Constraint – An Illustration $60.000 VISION ELEMENT (unconstrained) $50.000 BILLIONS OF YOE $$ $40.000 SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCING ALTERNATIVES $30.000 CONSTRAINED PLAN Constrained TIP and Plan must $20.000 TIP include a forecast REASONABLY-EXPECTED of System REVENUES Preservation costs $10.000 for the entire planning period $0.000 Year 1 Year 6 Year 25 30

Capital Revenues Vs. Costs Federally-Supported Transportation System (in millions of YOE dollars) $600,000 TOTAL COSTS: ADDITIONAL FUNDING, $3,078 $496,066 $500,000 PROJECT SPECIFIC System enhancements, STATE/LOCAL, $18,234 $32,603 Roadway presevation, $92,544 $400,000 LOCAL for MTA, $243,096 $300,000 $200,000 Transit preservation, $370,919 OTHER STATE/ LOCAL, $115,165 FEDERAL DISCRETIONARY & OTHER, $11,655 $100,000 FORMULA FEDERAL , $104,838 $- FORECASTED REVENUES (AT FEDERAL UPPER LIMIT) FORECASTED COSTS 31

Majo jor System Enhancements in in th the Constrained Pla lan 32

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Other Plan 2045 6/27/2017 Constrained/Vision Projects 34