TRANSPORTATION PLA LAN (th (through Federal Fis Fiscal l Year - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

NYMTC’s NE NEW RE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLA LAN (th (through Federal Fis Fiscal l Year 20 2045 45)

East End Planning Conference September 20, 2017

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A “metropolitan planning organization” for New York City, Long Island & the Lower Hudson Valley A regional council of governments consisting

• f nine voting & seven advisory members

An organization required by Federal legislation which authorizes funding for transportation An organization responsible for the mandated metropolitan transportation planning process

WHAT IS IS NYMTC?

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MEMBERSHIP

ADVISORY MEMBERS: New Jersey Transit, North Jersey Transportation Planning Authority, Federal Transit Administration, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, NYS Department of Environmental Conservation

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PLANNING AREA

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Congress (authorizes & appropriates $$) NYS Region (MPO) Project sponsor NYS Legislature (appropriates $$) Project sponsor Local county, municipality & public authority budgets Project sponsor

Major Elements of Transportation Funding

Programs administered by the Federal Highway Administration

• National Highway Performance

Program (NHPP)

• National Highway Freight Program
• Surface Transportation Block

Grant Program (STBGP)

• Transportation Alternatives

Program (STBGP set aside)

• Congestion Mitigation-Air Quality

Program (CMAQ)

• Highway Safety Improvement

Program (HSIP)

• Railway-Highway Crossings
• Ferry Boat & Terminal Facilities

Programs administered by the Federal Transit Administration

• Sections 5307/5340 Urbanized

Area Formula

• Section 5309 Fixed Guideway

Capital Investment

• Section 5310 Enhanced Mobility of

Seniors and People with Disabilities

• Section 5337 State-of-Good Repair
• Section 5339 Bus and Bus Facilities

Federal l Form rmula la Fundin ing Programs

REQUIRED METROPOLITAN TRANSPORTATION PLA LANNING PROCE CESS

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WHAT IS THE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLAN?

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The basis for federal transportation funding in the NYMTC planning area

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A blueprint that helps guide federal investments in the planning area NYMTC members’ shared strategic vision for the planning area

WHY A NEW PLAN?

• Federal requirement for a new Plan

every 4 years

• New information on population &

employment growth – changing demands & trends

• Updated transportation funding

sources

• New information on costs & other

financial inputs

• Revised regional priorities as

determined by NYMTC’s members

• New federal requirements & priorities
• Technological developments
• New air quality forecasts

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Required scale and schedule

• Multi-modal
• Minimum 20-year planning

horizon

• New plan required every four

years

A framework for the use of federal funding

• Congestion management
• Fiscal constraint/project selection
• Transportation conformity

(mobile source emissions)

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Plan 2045 Components

Shared Vision and Strategic Framework

• Megaregional &

Regional Contexts

• Growth & Demand

Forecasts/Drivers of Change

• Goals and Desired

Outcomes

• Coordinated

Development Emphasis Areas

• Near-Term Priorities &

Actions (first ten years)

• System Performance

Report (to be added 2018) Federally-Supported Transportation System

• System Inventory
• Transportation System

Management & Operations (TSMO)

• Transportation Safety,

Security and Emergency Management

• Major Projects, System

Preservation & System Enhancements (constrained & aspirational) Financial Plan

• Capital Costs &

Resources

• Operations &

Maintenance Costs & Resources

• Supplemental

Resources Required Special Elements

• Environmental

Mitigation & New Consultation

• Pedestrian-Bicycle

Element

• Regional Freight Plan
• Coordinated Public

Transit-Human Services Transportation Plan

• Congestion

Management Process (CMP) Status Report

• Environmental Justice

Assessment

PUBLIC IC IN INVOLVEMENT FOR PLAN 2045 2045

Plan 2045 was developed in part through a public involvement effort that engaged various constituencies in the NYMTC planning area. This included:

• Website and virtual public workshop
• An online survey
• An explanatory video
• Public workshops
• Focus groups
• Public advisory working groups
• Feedback through social media

Input was gathered from the general public, community- based advocacy groups, communities of concern and

• ther stakeholders.

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FUTURE CHALLENGES

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KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE NEW PLAN

The current transportation system accommodates millions of daily passenger trips, as well as millions of tons of freight. The current transportation system is extensive and aging. NYMTC’s planning area is projected to grow in population, employment and travel by 2045.

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Over 19,000 lane-miles

• f roadways

Over 2,400 roadway bridges More than 1,100 miles

• f bicycle facilities

Nearly 480 route miles

• f commuter rail

225 route miles of subway tracks Hundreds of miles of local, express, commuter, and intercity bus routes and an aerial tramway An extensive network

• f passenger hubs,

stations and stops Supporting infrastructure

CHALLENGE - OPERATING, PRE RESERVING AND ENH NHANCING THE FE FEDERALLY-SUPPORTED TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM

CHALLENGE - ANTICIPATING CHANGE

CHALLENGE – REGIO IONAL GROWTH

11.0% 10.3% 67.1% 70.4%

Population Employment Freight Tonnage* GDP** Forecasted Growth in the NYMTC Planning Area; 2017 through 2045 *Forecasted growth in Freight Tonnage is for 2012 through 2045 **Forecasted growth in GDP is for 2015 through 2045

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CHALLENGE - GROWING TR TRAVEL

Daily Trips Daily Transit Trips Daily Auto Trips Daily VMT LHV 14.9% 26.8% 13.4% 16.1% LI 12.8% 27.0% 12.3% 13.1% NYC 8.0% 10.5% 5.0% 7.4% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%

Forecasted Growth; 2017 through 2045

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CHALLENGE – INCREASING CONGESTION

Forecasted Roadway Conditions 6 a.m.-10 a.m. Suffolk County

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CHALLENGE -- GROWING GOODS MOVEMENT

365 610 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2012 2045 MILLIONS OF TONS

Freight Tonnage by Mode – NYMTC Planning Area

Truck Rail Water Air

Freight Tonnage by County 2012 & 2045

Source: 2012 IHS Global Insight Transearch Data, 2012 Surface Transportation Board (STB) Waybill Sample

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CHALLENGE --

• MEGAREGIONAL

TRA RAVELSHED

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RESPONDING TO THE CHALLENGES

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Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework

Strategic Goals Related Desired Outcomes Near-Term Actions Sustainability Features Fiscal Constraint & Project Eligibility/Selection

Enhance the regional environment Improve the regional economy Improve the regional quality of life Preserve the existing transportation infrastructure Provide a convenient, flexible transportation system within the region Enhance the safety and security of the transportation system for both motorized and non- motorized users Improve the resiliency of the regional transportation system Build the case for obtaining resources to implement regional investments

Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Strategic Goals

Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Sustainability Features Coordinated Development Emphasis Areas (CDEAs)

Locations where changes to land use and transportation will help shape future growth and the manner in which that growth is accommodated by the transportation system

CDEAs provide a framework for sustainable growth and development CDEAs are targets for development and transportation investment in a coordinated fashion, particularly linked to the existing and future transit network

Suffolk County Coordinated Development Emphasis Areas (CDEAs)

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Plan 2045’s Strategic Framework Fiscal Constraint & Project Eligibility/Selection Plan 2045 proposes . . .

Nearly $627 billion in year-of- expenditure (YOE) dollars to adequately

• perate and maintain system

components and services. Roughly $463 billion in YOE dollars for System Preservation projects and strategies. Approximately $33 billion for various System Enhancement projects.

29 An average of $22.4 billion per year An average of $16.5 billion per year

Fiscal Constraint – An Illustration

$0.000 $10.000 $20.000 $30.000 $40.000 $50.000 $60.000 Year 1 Year 6 Year 25 BILLIONS OF YOE $$

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REASONABLY-EXPECTED REVENUES SUPPLEMENTAL FINANCING ALTERNATIVES

CONSTRAINED PLAN

VISION ELEMENT (unconstrained)

TIP

Constrained TIP and Plan must include a forecast

• f System

Preservation costs for the entire planning period

FORMULA FEDERAL , $104,838 FEDERAL DISCRETIONARY & OTHER, $11,655 OTHER STATE/ LOCAL, $115,165 LOCAL for MTA, $243,096 PROJECT SPECIFIC STATE/LOCAL, $18,234 ADDITIONAL FUNDING, $3,078 Transit preservation, $370,919 Roadway presevation, $92,544 System enhancements, $32,603

$- $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000

FORECASTED REVENUES (AT FEDERAL UPPER LIMIT) FORECASTED COSTS

Capital Revenues Vs. Costs Federally-Supported Transportation System

(in millions of YOE dollars)

TOTAL COSTS: $496,066 31

Majo jor System Enhancements in in th the Constrained Pla lan

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Other Plan 2045 Constrained/Vision Projects

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Significant Planning Studies in the Vision Element

Regional

• Impacts of Future Changes Study
• Demand Management Program

Evaluation

• Local capacity-building through

community planning workshops

• Freight Land Use Study
• Clean Freight Corridors Program
• Cross Sound Connection Feasibility

Study

• NY-NJ-CT Transportation Vulnerability &

Adaptation Study (FHWA)

• Centralized Information for Specialized

Services Study Long Island

• Long Island Motor Parkway Trail

(Nassau County)

• Shoreham Deep Water Port Feasibility

Study (Suffolk County)

• Sagtikos State Parkway/Sunken

Meadow State Parkway Operational Study (Suffolk County)

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