Transportation in a changing world Fewer trips, different trips, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Transportation in a changing world Fewer trips, different trips, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transportation in a changing world Fewer trips, different trips, alone May 27, 2020 Steve Koczela President, The MassINC Polling Group Made possible thanks to support from The Barr Foundation. info@massincpolling.com MassINCPolling.com


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Transportation in a changing world

Fewer trips, different trips, alone May 27, 2020

Steve Koczela President, The MassINC Polling Group

Made possible thanks to support from The Barr Foundation.

info@massincpolling.com MassINCPolling.com @MassINCPolling 11 Beacon St Ste 500 | Boston, MA 02108 | Phone: (617) 224-1647

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About the poll

  • Representative statewide poll of 1,478 Massachusetts

residents.

  • The survey was conducted online May 5-13, 2020.
  • The data was weighted to known and estimated

population parameters by age, gender, race, education, geography, and party

  • This project was made possible thanks to support

from The Barr Foundation.

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No going back to “normal”

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Transportation and reopening

  • Residents anticipate fewer trips overall, more of

them taken using solo-travel modes.

  • Working from home has taken hold and could lessen

the load of individual trips. But equity issues loom.

  • Residents, including pre-COVID transit riders, say

they will drive and walk more, take transit less.

  • Some precautions on transit vehicles could increase

comfort levels on transit.

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SLIDE 5

Fewer trips overall

  • Most residents anticipate the same number, or fewer trips

than before. If this holds, it means fewer overall trips.

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10% 44% 41% 5% More trips than before the outbreak Fewer trips than before the outbreak About the same number of trip as before the outbreak Unsure

More residents say they will take the same or fewer trips than in the past

% who expect to take more trips or fewer trips than before

Thinking ahead to getting around when Massachusetts reopens after the worst of the

  • utbreak, do you expect that you will be making…
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SLIDE 6

Major mode shift coming?

6 Q: Thinking ahead to when Massachusetts reopens after the worst of the outbreak, do you expect you will do each of the following more, less or about the same amount as you did before the outbreak?

  • Walking and driving look set to rise, while transit and

shared ride services look likely to drop.

33% 35% 36% 31% 33% 18% 10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 8% 19% 28% 38% 46% 47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 55% 49%

Ride the MBTA commuter rail Ride the MBTA subway Ride a bus Ride in carpool or vanpool Take a taxi, Uber or Lyft Ride a bicycle Drive alone in your own car Walk

Less More Same Individual transportation options look likely to grow in the short term

% who expect to use each mode more or less once the worst passes

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SLIDE 7

Change by actual users

  • Net mode shift (% use more - % use less) shows how users

say they will switch between modes.

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Past users of each mode

OVERALL Drive Alone Drive w

  • thers

MBTA Subway Public Bus Com Rail Bike Walk

Net mode shift (% more - % less) Walk 31% 31% 36% 47% 45% 43% 45% 42% Drive alone in your own car 19% 21% 21% 24% 25% 33% 20% 21% Ride a bicycle 2% 0% 9% 6% 13% 10% 52% 10% Ride in a carpool or vanpool

  • 24%
  • 29%
  • 21%
  • 34%
  • 25%
  • 23%
  • 20%
  • 27%

Take a taxi, Uber or Lyft

  • 25%
  • 30%
  • 25%
  • 28%
  • 28%
  • 19%
  • 29%
  • 27%

Ride a corporate shuttle bus

  • 26%
  • 28%
  • 26%
  • 26%
  • 21%
  • 24%
  • 28%
  • 25%

Ride the MBTA commuter rail

  • 28%
  • 30%
  • 24%
  • 28%
  • 27%
  • 27%
  • 33%
  • 28%

Ride the MBTA subway

  • 29%
  • 32%
  • 28%
  • 34%
  • 29%
  • 21%
  • 25%
  • 30%

Ride a public bus

  • 30%
  • 33%
  • 32%
  • 40%
  • 31%
  • 24%
  • 27%
  • 32%

Net mode shift shows more walking, driving along, less group transport

Net mode shift (% use more – % use less), broken down by past mode users

Q: Thinking ahead to when Massachusetts reopens after the worst of the outbreak, do you expect you will do each of the following more, less or about the same amount as you did before the outbreak?

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Will young people walk, ride or drive?

Demographic groups Overall 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+ Net mode shift (% more - % less) Walk 31% 33% 30% 33% 27% Drive alone in your own car 19% 30% 23% 17% 6% Ride a bicycle 2% 9% 4% 4%

  • 10%

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  • Young people (heaviest transit users) are set to show a major

increase in driving. They are also the most open to biking, if the option is available.

Net mode shift shows young people headed more for cars

Net mode shift (% use more - % use less), broken down by past mode usage

Q: Thinking ahead to when Massachusetts reopens after the worst of the outbreak, do you expect you will do each of the following more, less or about the same amount as you did before the outbreak? Displaying response rider of any transit mode pre-COVID (N=495).

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Walking? Boston residents are ready

Demographic groups Overall Western Central

  • S. East

Outer Suburbs Inner Suburbs Boston Net mode shift (% more - % less) Walk 31% 22% 31% 31% 28% 33% 44% Drive alone in your own car 19% 3% 25% 16% 20% 23% 21% Ride a bicycle 2%

  • 3%

6% 0% 3% 0%

  • 1%

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  • Boston residents are most ready to walk more places.
  • Which individual mode grows the most will determine what
  • ur region’s future looks like.

Net mode shift shows Boston residents open to walking more as pandemic passes

Net mode shift (% use more - % use less), broken down by past mode usage

Q: Thinking ahead to when Massachusetts reopens after the worst of the outbreak, do you expect you will do each of the following more, less or about the same amount as you did before the outbreak? Displaying response rider of any transit mode pre-COVID (N=495).

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When people want to ride transit

  • Residents express more comfort at the idea of

riding transit at less busy times.

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10% 16% 29% 38% 8% 12% 31% 27% 22% 8% Very comfortable Somewhat comfortable Not too comfortable Not comfortable at all Unsure Peak Off peak

More residents are comfortable riding transit at off peak times

% who say they would be comfortable riding transit at peak vs off peak times

Q: Thinking ahead to after the worst of the

  • utbreak, how comfortable would you be riding

public transportation during peak times, like the morning and evening rush hours. Q: Thinking ahead to after the worst of the

  • utbreak, how comfortable would you be

riding public transportation during off-peak times, like mid-day, at night or on weekends

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Precautions increase comfort

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  • Majorities say they would be at least somewhat comfortable with riding transit if

certain precautions were enacted.

27% 28% 30% 35% 36% 40% 34% 38% 37% 37% 38% 34% Scan all passengers for fever Require staff / riders masks Real-time crowding info Limit passengers on vehicles / platforms Sanitize vehicles / stations Hands-free sanitizer dispensers Very comfortable Somewhat comfortable

Q: How comfortable would you be riding public transportation after the worst of the outbreak if the MBTA or the Regional Transit Authority in your area took each of the following steps?

Taking precautions would make residents more comfortable on transit

% who say they would feel comfortable riding transit if specific precautions were taken

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Frequent riders show less concern

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Q: Thinking ahead to after the worst of the outbreak, how comfortable would you be riding public transportation during…

Frequent riders express more comfort with returning to transit than occasional riders

% of riders who say they will feel very / somewhat comfortable riding transit

  • Returning to transit is a

very uncertain prospect for many people.

  • However, the most

frequent riders are also most likely to say they will feel comfortable with the idea.

45% 40% 24% 15%

Most frequent rider Moderate rider Occasional rider Non-transit user

67% 56% 49% 29%

Most frequent rider Moderate rider Occasional rider Non-transit user

At peak times At off peak times

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No going back to the status quo

  • By a wide margin, residents think we need “big changes” to transportation

coming out of the coronavirus crisis.

  • These gaps persist across regions of the state but are widest in the Greater

Boston region.

13

Overall Western Central

  • S. East

Outer Suburbs Inner Suburbs Boston

Go back to the system we had 21% 30% 17% 25% 18% 18% 23% Make big changes to the system 59% 41% 54% 54% 63% 70% 64% Unsure 19% 29% 29% 20% 18% 11% 13%

Q: Thinking about how residents will get around as Massachusetts reopens after the current crisis, which is closer to your point of view?

Residents would like to see changes to the transportation system

% who say we should _______ after the coronavirus crisis

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But what kind of change?

14

  • Bulk of comments concerned public transit:

– 25% want social distancing, include running more service – 24% want cleaning / disinfecting / sanitation – 13% want to improve / update / upgrade transit – 11% want to improve transit reliability / efficiency

“People need public transportation. Prior to Covid-19 it was unreliable, dirty and crowded. We need to do much better.” “We need to practice social distancing on mass transit; i.e., fewer passengers per bus or train car. This will require more buses and trains.” “Keep office workers at home to reduce crowds on train. Increase MBTA reliability and frequency.”

ASKED OF THE 59% WHO THINK WE NEED TO MAKE BIG CHANGES Q: In a few words, what sort of changes do you think we need to make to transportation in Massachusetts coming out of the crisis?

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SLIDE 15

Changing street uses during crisis

  • A majority favors changing how some street spaces are used during the

crisis to give more space for walking and biking.

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25% 37% 16% 11% 11%

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat

  • ppose

Strongly

  • ppose

Unsure

Most residents support street space for walking and biking during the crisis

% who support / oppose closing some street surfaces to cars during the shutdown

Q: How much would you support or oppose Massachusetts cities and towns closing some streets or parts of streets to cars during the coronavirus shutdown to create more space for residents to access essential services on foot on by bike while maintaining a safe social distance?

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SLIDE 16

More sidewalks and bike lanes?

  • As the state reopens, there is support for adopting a strategy

like other cities, with wider sidewalks and new bike lanes.

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27% 37% 16% 9% 11%

Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat

  • ppose

Strongly

  • ppose

Unsure

Most residents adding to walking / biking space as state reopens

% who support / oppose dedicating more space to walking / bikes as state reopens

Q: Cities around the world, including Paris, Berlin, London, and New York, are planning to widen sidewalks and expand networks of bike lanes as they reopen after the coronavirus. How much would you support or oppose Massachusetts cities dedicating more street space for walking and biking at a safe social distance as the state reopens after the crisis?

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A revolution in work patterns?

  • Work from home patterns could have a huge impact on

usage of the transportation system in the future.

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43% 17% 38% 1%

Yes, all of the time Yes, part of the time No Prefer not to say

Most employees have had at least some work from home experience

% who say they have worked from home during the crisis

Q: Since the coronavirus shutdown, have you been able to work from home for your job?

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The inequities of remote work

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25% 30% 56% 71% 27% 33% 42% 69%

HS or less Some college BA / BS Adv degree < $25k $25K to < $75k $75k to < $150k $150k + EDUCATION LEVEL INCOME

The opportunity to work from home is not equally distributed

% in each group who say they worked from home “all of the time” during the crisis

  • Work from home patterns during the crisis deepened

existing income gaps.

Q: Since the coronavirus shutdown, have you been able to work from home for your job?

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Will work from home persist?

  • A considerable share of the workforce would prefer to

work from home in the future

19

41% 29% 22% 8%

Yes, I would prefer to work from home Yes, I would work from home if asked but would prefer to go back to work No, I want to go back into work Unsure

Many workers say they would prefer to work from home in the future

% who say they would prefer to work from home or go back to work after the crisis

Q: Would you consider working from home after Massachusetts reopens if your employer let you or asked you to?

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Continued support for TCI

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  • Support for TCI was measured in a November 2019 voter poll and again this month,

with very similar results.

Q: Massachusetts and other northeast states are currently considering a plan that would charge gasoline distributors a fee based on the amount of pollution their fuels produce. Massachusetts would dedicate a substantial portion of the money raised to reducing greenhouse gas pollution from transportation and improving public transportation. Would you support or oppose this idea?

30% 38% 11% 10% 11% 28% 39% 13% 10% 11% Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat

  • ppose

Strongly

  • ppose

Unsure

Nov-19 May-20 Support for the Transportation Climate Initiative has not changed

% who support / oppose TCI after hearing a description

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21 info@massincpolling.com MassINCPolling.com @MassINCPolling 11 Beacon St, Suite 500 | Boston, MA 02108 | Phone: (617) 224-1647