TPOS 2020 Project 1 st Report and Implementation Workshop Goals - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TPOS 2020 Project 1 st Report and Implementation Workshop Goals - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TPOS 2020 Project 1 st Report and Implementation Workshop Goals Neville Smith Co-Chair TPOS 2020 SC Qingdao, 4-6 September 2017 Outline TPOS 2020 short background First Report : Approach, Key Recommendations and Actions

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TPOS 2020 Project 1st Report and Implementation Workshop Goals

Neville Smith Co-Chair TPOS 2020 SC

Qingdao, 4-6 September 2017

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Outline

  • TPOS 2020 – short background
  • First Report :

– Approach, Key Recommendations and Actions

  • Implementation
  • Aims of this Workshop

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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TPOS 2020 Project in short

  • Jan 2014 La Jolla TPOS 2020 Review and Workshop – Suga, Anderson

– OOPC, Tropical Mooring Implementation Panel and others raised alarm – TPOS 2020 Project created – initiated ~ June 2014 – 14 White Papers and Report: major resource, reference

  • TPOS 2020 Project Objectives (our mandate):

– To redesign and refine the TPOS to observe ENSO and advance scientific understanding

  • f its causes;

– To determine the most efficient and effective observational solutions to support prediction systems for ocean, weather and climate services; and – To advance understanding of tropical Pacific physical and biogeochemical/ecosystem variability and predictability.

  • Review, re-design and rejuvenate the Tropical Pacific Observing System:

– Take advantage of new science and technology – Recast design in response to new needs, purposes: requirements à First Report – Reset the inter-agency and intergovernmental cooperation that has been the hallmark

  • f TPOS since the mid 1990’s

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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Schedule of Major Outputs

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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We are here

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The First Report

  • Published

– December 2016 Exec summary translated and published (6 languages)

  • 22 Recommendations

– Many taking long-term view

  • 15 Actions

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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What is new(-ish)

  • First published OS design following the GOOS Framework for Ocean

Observing

– Distinguishes sustained and experimental observing networks but single design Some backgrounding of TPOS as “public goods” and analysis of socio-economic benefit areas – Distinguishes variable requirements from solutions – Integrates R&D into design (refer to “Are We There yet?”) – Not just climate but it is main focus

  • Joined consideration of in situ and satellite solutions

– Evolving, complementary roles

  • Elaboration of data record and climate record
  • First steps for BGC integration into design

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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  • Sustained observations are defined as measurements taken routinely that TPOS

agencies have committed to on an ongoing basis, generally for seven years or

  • more. These measurements are primarily for public good services or for research

in the public interest, but will usually support both.

  • Experimental observations are defined as measurements taken for a limited
  • bserving period, generally seven years or less, that TPOS agencies are committed

to for research and development purposes. These measurements serve to advance knowledge, explore technical innovation and/or lead to improvements in the effectiveness and efficiency of the TPOS.

  • Could further subset into research/process studies, etc.
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Framework for Ocean Observing Process Diagram

Chapter 2: Background/Issues Chapter 3: Requirements, EOVs Chapter 4: Principles Chapter 5: The Backbone Societal Impact Data Products Creation Data Assembly Chapter 7: Implementation

SOOP GO-SHIP Tropical Moorings VOS / VOSCLIM Argo Profiles

Satellites

Drifters,

  • ther surface

Chapter 6: Studies Pilots

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Implementation and Action

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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… There is a solid foundation …

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Actions

  • Addressing degraded sampling in the West Pacific;
  • Staged reconfiguration of the tropical Pacific moored buoy array;
  • A step-by-step increase in Argo,

– beginning in the western Pacific;

  • Retargeted flux measurements;

– and a series of assessments and sensitivity experiments to better inform future recommendations.

  • Tropical Pacific surface winds and wind stress remains a

significant issue.

  • Pilot projects, studies
  • Improved modelling and biogeochemical and ecosystem
  • bserving advice are the initial targets for the next Report.
  • We anticipate some new technologies will be incorporated into

future designs.

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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TPOS 2020 Resources Forum

17-18 May 2017, Honolulu

  • 15 agencies joined the Forum

– Exceeded my expectations; Very positive engagement

  • Boosted by WMO EC-69 TPOS decision week before
  • All recommendations endorsed
  • All actions supported (or noted)

– Considerable debate along the way! – This workshop an additional agreed action – agency presentations à considerable optimisim around future

  • Strong engagement, encouragement on biogeochemistry
  • Strong engagement, encouragement on new technology development
  • STRONG support for implementing Pilots
  • Challenged us on:

– The schedule detail (e.g. Argo and TMA; W Pacific vs Central Pacific vs Eastern Pacific) – Specifics of the Tropical Moored Buoy Array – Modelling and data assimilation

  • Supported transition arrangements with JCOMM and WMO

17-Oct-17

See here for Report www.tpos2020.org

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Implementation Schedule

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Project www.tpos2020.org

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  • Backbone to JCOMM
  • Projects to R&D (?)
  • Oversight to ?

Resources Forum

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Western Pacific Implementation Workshop

  • An action from TRF-2
  • See Background with Agenda
  • Key Outcomes

1. Establish a good dialogue on TPOS WP activities 2. Clarity on the steps for implementation of the WP actions from the 1st Report (sustained part) 3. Clarity on the next steps for the LLWBC Pilot (scope, purpose, likely activities, etc.) 4. Improved understanding of the potential to support process studies

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Workshop www.tpos2020.org

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Western Pacific Implementation Workshop

  • Informal guidance for meeting!

1. Feel free to provide input – this workshop has flexibility

  • TPOS 2020 is listening as well as acting
  • However, keep the overarching aims in mind!

2. This is the first step of many, going from plans to “doing”; some urgency but no rush 3. The underlying plan (1st Report) provides a solid basis: use it and build from it. Use the TPOS community. 4. Many actors in the western Pacific – these workshops provide a way to establish dialogue and positive relationships.

  • It is not all about TPOS 2020!

5. The 2nd Report will elaborate on biogeochemistry, modelling, intraseasonal: a chance to influence the agenda

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Workshop www.tpos2020.org

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THANKS

Acknowledge all within the TPOS 2020 community, and particularly from the western Pacific part of the world, and the many who provided review and comment, sometimes several times.

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 Workshop www.tpos2020.org

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Modelling discussion

2nd REPORT OUTLINE

1. Introduction and background 2. Observations in support of coupled weather, wave and subseasonal applications 3. Biogeochemical and ecosystem backbone observations 4. Modelling and data assimilation 5. Developing an Eastern Pacific backbone OS 6. The TPOS 2020 Backbone Observing System 7. Progress with implementation, including pilots and process studies 8. An evaluation of new technologies

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 T&I www.tpos2020.org

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Modelling discussion

1. Introduction and background

2. Observations in support of coupled weather, wave and subseasonal applications

– Requirements (ECVs) – Requirements of the Backbone observing systems (recommendations) – Required actions

3. Biogeochemical and ecosystem backbone observations

– Requirements (ECVs) – Requirements of the Backbone observing systems (recommendations) – Required actions

4. Modelling and data assimilation

– The role(s) of ocean models – Assessment of status – Recommendations

5. Developing an Eastern Pacific backbone OS 6. The TPOS 2020 Backbone Observing System

– Update on the 1st Report Backbone recommendations and actions – Synthesis of enhancements and changes – Recommendations and changes

7. Progress with implementation, including pilots and process studies 8. An evaluation of new technologies

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 T&I www.tpos2020.org

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Key areas

1. Evaluation of sub-seasonal to interannual prediction modelling and DA systems 2. Modelling in support of weather-subseasonal time scales 3. Build modelling in as an integral part of the “pilot” implementation in the W Pacific

– Testing effectiveness; testing impact

4. Modelling as an integral part of LLWBC pilot project

– Guiding design; part of monitoring

5. Modelling sensitivity studies for surface variables

– Satellite observations

17-Oct-17

TPOS 2020 T&I www.tpos2020.org

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