TIER 1 STUDY/SUBAREA PLAN I-70 REAP Meeting March 12, 2020 Tier 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TIER 1 STUDY/SUBAREA PLAN

I-70 REAP Meeting

March 12, 2020

Tier 1

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Comprehensive Plan Strategy

• Strategy GM 1.2(b) - Prepare Subarea Plans

Within the Urban Area, the County will determine areas that may need detailed land use planning and prepare Sub-area Plans when necessary. Such Subarea Plans will be adopted as elements of the Comprehensive Plan. Subareas of potential priority include:

• South Parker Road Corridor
• Centennial Airport Employment Center
• Federal Boulevard Corridor
• Platte Canyon Road Corridor
• Tier 1 / Urban Reserve
• Regional Waste Disposal Site Environs

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Purpose of the Plan

• The 2018 Comprehensive Plan identifies “Urban Reserve” as a

subarea of Tier 1 along the I-70 Corridor. Other than reserving the area for future urban development, little guidance is given in identifying desired future land uses, the character of future development, needed transportation network improvements, and other infrastructure needs.

• The remainder of Tier 1 is zoned A-1. Much of this area is

already developed with large lot residential development, but large parcels remain which are currently agricultural or vacant.

• The purpose of the Subarea Plan is to develop a vision for

future development throughout Tier 1 and provide additional guidance for future land uses, transportation network improvements, and other infrastructure needs.

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Changing Conditions – Land Use

• Denver’s aerotropolis and the Colorado Air and Space Port,

as significant regional land uses, will impact future development in the corridor. The Air and Space Port received a site operator license from the FAA in October 2018, seven months after the 2018 Arapahoe County Comprehensive Plan was adopted.

• Tier 1 was included in the City of Aurora’s East Area

Annexation Study. A portion of Tier 1 was included in Aurora’s recently adopted Comprehensive Plan. The Plan was effective in October 2018, seven months after the 2018 Arapahoe County Comprehensive Plan was adopted.

Roadway Improvement Studies

• Arapahoe County studying the I-70 /

Watkins interchange to identify interim and ultimate improvements.

• The County and the Town of Bennett

collaborating on a project to improve the I-70/Converse Road (County Road 133) interchange.

• CDOT conducting system level study
• f I-70 along the entire north

boundary of Tier 1 to assess improvements needed to accommodate anticipated growth, including roadway improvements, interchange improvements and new interchanges.

• County Transportation Plan Update

underway. ➔Future land use is a key determinant

• f future travel demand and roadway

system needs. A Subarea Plan would include recommended land uses.

Changing Conditions - Population

• Population Increased 27%

in 7 Years; 4% per Year

2,600 2,941 3,330 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Tier 1 Population

Population Increase

2010 2012 2017

+27%

• Fewer Households are

Moving Compared to 2 Years Ago

82.7% 90.1% 87.6% 86.3% 86.7% 84.8% 89.1% 87.8% 90.2% 87.2%

75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0% Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 3e Eastern Plains

Lived in Same House 1 Year Ago

2015 2017

Changing Conditions - Population

• Population is Younger than

4 Years Ago

26% 3% 24% 35% 12% 23% 7% 22% 39% 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% <18 18-24 24-44 45-64 65 and over

Population by Age

2013 2017

• Married Couple Households

Increased; Single Parent Households Decreased

63% 14% 20% 3% 72% 12% 11% 4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Married Couple Single Householder Single Parent Household Other

Household Composition

2013 2017

Changing Conditions - Population

• Household Income

Increased; Exceeds Countywide Median

$77,227 $71,719 $60,400 $82,949 $76,065 $70,200

$- $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 Tier 1 Eastern County Countywide

Median Household Income

2013 2017

• Owner Occupancy Increased

7% in 2 Years; 19% Higher than Countywide Rate

75% 62% 82% 63%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Tier 1 Countywide

Owner Occupied Housing

2015 2017

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Forecast

2,588 2,924 1,367 6,879 35,200 29,000 7,400 71,600

10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Eastern Plains

Population Forecast

2010 2015 2020 2025 2035 2040

Development Activity 2010-2019

• Over 80% of New Units Have

Been Built in the Last 5 Years

Annual New Unit Permits 2010-2019 Year Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 2010 4 7 2011 3 1 2 2012 1 3 4 2013 1 12 4 2014 2 12 3 2015 3 24 6 2016 9 27 5 2017 9 17 19 2018 4 16 14 2019 5 9 14 Total 37 125 78

• Tier 1 New Units Lag Behind

Other Areas of the County

37 41 59 25 78 2,366 1 10 100 1000 10000 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 2 Byers Tier 2 Strasburg Tier 3 West

New Units Added 2010-2019

Tier 1 Parcels with Residential Units

• Study Area 44 Square

Miles

• Bennett Approximately

2 Square Miles

• North Kiowa Creek Open

Space Approximately .5 Square Mile

• Approximately 16

Square Miles of Existing Residential Development

• Few Parcels or Lots

Available for Additional Residential Development

• Most of Tier 1 is Zoned

A-1 (19-acre Minimum Lot Size)

Proposed Development - Transport Colorado

Available Land

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Scope of Work Highlights

• Advisory Committee – At least 5 meetings
• Citizen Involvement Program to include:
• Project website
• Social media presence (TBD)
• Citizen Survey
• Presence at county and community events (e.g., County Fair)
• 3 Public Open Houses
• 4 Planning Commission Study Sessions
• Plan Preparation:
• Alternative Development Scenarios
• Draft Subarea Plan
• Final Draft Subarea Plan
• Adoption of Subarea Plan as part of Comprehensive Plan

Project Timeline

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 Public Open House  Planning Commission Study Session  Planning Commission Public Hearing

MAY APR FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. NOV. DEC. JAN.

Project Phases

FEB. DEC. MAR. JAN.

Tier 1 Project Tentative Timeline

Alternative Development Scenarios Prepare Draft Subarea Plan

2021 2020

• P. Preparatory Phase
• I. Project Initiation, Inventory and Analysis
• II. Subarea Plan Preparation
• III. Final Plan Preparation and Approval

P I III

Data Report; Begin Citizen Involvement Program Prepare Final Plan and Maps Final Printing and Distribution Amend Comprehensive Plan

We Are Here

Public Review Public Review

II

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Questions?