The world according to. The world according to. Modeling surface - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The world according to. The world according to. Modeling surface - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The world according to. The world according to. Modeling surface trace gas exchanges: Modeling surface trace gas exchanges: What are the main limitations? What are the main limitations? Laurens Ganzeveld Max-Planck
Modeling surface trace gas exchanges: Modeling surface trace gas exchanges: What are the main limitations? What are the main limitations?
Laurens Ganzeveld Max-Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany E-mail: ganzevl@mpch-mainz.mpg.de
Outline Outline
- Results of modelling of surface trace gas exchanges at
site- and global scale
- What are the main limitations and how can we deal
with/get around these?
- Future: scenario analyses of impact of land cover and
land use changes on atmospheric chemistry
- Conclusion and outlook
SO SO2
2 dry deposition velocity [cm s
dry deposition velocity [cm s-
- 1
1]
]
0.02 1.15 0.75 0.35
Modeling surface trace gas exchanges Modeling surface trace gas exchanges
emissions dry deposition turbulence
crown-layer ~ 0.5-15 m ECHAM/SCM surface layer ~ 68 m
chemistry
dc dt = ∂c ∂t
turb + ∂c ∂t
chem + ∂c ∂t
emiss + ∂c ∂t
dep
canopy-soil layer Vegetation model Vegetation and wet skin fraction
Evaluation of multi Evaluation of multi-
- layer model in SCM
layer model in SCM
Tropical rainforest, Tropical rainforest, Manaus Manaus (Brazil), LAI=7, canopy height = 30 m (Brazil), LAI=7, canopy height = 30 m
Model Model Measurements Measurements Rn [W m-2] 450 ~ 600 CC [0-1] 0.9 ~0.7 H [W m-2] 20 ~200 Tair [K] 297 – 300 (32 m) ~296-301 (~39 m) u [m s-1] 0.5 – 2 (~39 m) ~1.5 – 2.5 (~39 m) q [g kg-1] 19 (~53 m) 15 (~39 m)
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 1
4 8 12 16 20 24
Time [hr] O3 flux [1e11 molec. cm-2 s-1]
model
- bserv.
model, 'dry day'
Tropospheric Tropospheric NO NOx
x budgets
budgets
Annual Annual
What are the limitations? What are the limitations?
- Available measurements
- Lack of understanding of controlling mechanisms
- Scaling issue: upscaling of measurements to the model resolution
- Characterization of surface properties and land use
- Representation of micro- and PBL meteorology in models
How to deal with /get around these limitations: How to deal with /get around these limitations:
- Lack of measurements: biased towards vegetated surface and only a small
selection of gases (O3, SO2, NOx/y) have been measured on a ”routinely” bases
O3 soil resistance as a function of soil organic matter and soil moisture, July.
- wait patiently and hopefully the scientific career will last long enough
- offer help: join field campaigns!
- use model results for feedback to experimentalists
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
NO 2 dry deposition velocity versus the stomatal resistance [CNO2 = 41 ppbv], data by Johansson, 1987
V
d [mm s- 1]
Stomatal conductance K
s [mm s -1 ]- Lack of understanding of controlling mechanisms
Vegetation:
- Stomatal vs cuticular uptake, what is the fate within the plant tissue? Effects?
- What controls the internal N concentrations?
- How are the VOC emissions related to the nitrogen and carbon cycle?
- Surface wetness?
Soils:
- What controls the uptake by soils? organic material, soil moisture, soil pH, etc.
Water:
- Role of plankton in controlling uptake/release of trace gases like O3/DMS
- Parameterisations become (too) complex and specific
Parameterisations become (too) complex and specific
Lehning at al., 2001: seasonal cycle in C5H8 emission factors based on a parameterization of isoprene synthase activity by fitting to observations.
- Inconsistencies between parameterisations
Inconsistencies between parameterisations
VOC emissions versus dry deposition
- Parameterisations are often scale dependent
Parameterisations are often scale dependent
- Parameterisations are representative for present
Parameterisations are representative for present-
- day
day conditions and might not be applicable to predict surface conditions and might not be applicable to predict surface exchanges for future environmental conditions exchanges for future environmental conditions
More measurements in well constrained conditions (laboratory) to determine the role of the different substrates involved, e.g, soils versus vegetation . Include parameters in field campaigns that are complementary in identifying the mechanisms:
- energy balance and turbulence
- photosynthesis
- O3 uptake
- N uptake/release
- VOC emissions
What is needed to develop process What is needed to develop process-
- based models?
based models? We should get away from including too many different parameteris We should get away from including too many different parameterisations to ations to represent surface exchange processes of the different species in represent surface exchange processes of the different species in models. Instead,
- models. Instead,
the development of more process the development of more process-
- based models that link the C and N cycle to the
based models that link the C and N cycle to the uptake (and effects of the uptake) of gases such as O uptake (and effects of the uptake) of gases such as O3
3,
, SO SOx
x, etc., and VOC emissions
, etc., and VOC emissions should be pursued. should be pursued.
10 January July
- Characterization of surface properties and land use
More collaborations with GIS and remote sensing specialists:
- We:
What data are required for modeling? Soil properties, vegetation data, etc.
- They: Data availability, domain (regional to global scale), resolution, and
UNCERTAINTIES UNCERTAINTIES! ! What is needed? What is needed?
- 3
- 2
- 1
1 2 3 4 00:00 06:00 12:00 18:00 24:00
LAI=7 LAI=11 NOx flux [109 molec. cm-2 s-1] Time [hr:min]
LAI=7 LAI=11
- Representation of micro- and PBL meteorology in models
Sensible and latent heatfluxes, Harvard forest site.
- 600
- 500
- 400
- 300
- 200
- 100
100 1 10 19 28 37 46 55 64 73 82 91 100 109 118 Time [Hr] H F /LF [W m -2]
H, original soil moisture LE, original soil moisture H LE
- Max. observed. LE
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 0:00:00:00 0:06:00:00 0:12:00:00 0:18:00:00 1:00:00:00
Model resolved PBL height for a soil moisture
- f 0.4 and 0.2 m, tropical rainforest, Manaus, April
ws=0.4 ws=0.2 PBL height [m] Time [day:hr:min:sec]
Ws=0.4 Ws=0.2
Tropical rainforest
- 4
1 6 11 16 1:03 1:06 1:10 1:14 1:17 1:21
Time [day:hr] NOx flux [1e9 molec. cm-2 s-1]
Leaf Area Index=8 LAI=4
- comp. CNO2=0.5 ppbv
nocturnal mixing each 2 hr
- Turbulence exchange:
- counter-gradient transport
- intermittency
- stability effects in canopy versus surface layer, nocturnal free-convection
Nudging of SCM for model evaluation Nudging of SCM for model evaluation
Friction velocity, BEWA site, July-august 2001
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 20.07.01 22.07.01 24.07.01 26.07.01 28.07.01 30.07.01 Time [dd.mm.yr] u* [m s-1]
measured model, Trelax=2hr model, Trelax=3hr
Air temperature, BEWA site, July-august 2001
10 15 20 25 30 27.07.01 27.07.01 28.07.01 28.07.01 29.07.01 29.07.01 30.07.01 Time [dd.mm.yr] Tair [°C]
Tair Ts, Trelax=2hr Ts, Trelax=3hr
Air temperature, BEWA site, July-august 2001
5 10 15 20 25 30 10.07.01 15.07.01 20.07.01 25.07.01 30.07.01 Time [dd.mm.yr] Tair [°C]
- bserved
model model, ws=wsmax
Short-wave radiation, BEWA site, July-august 2001
200 400 600 800 1000
10.07.01 15.07.01 20.07.01 25.07.01 30.07.01
Time [dd.mm.yr] Rg [W m -2]
- bserved
model model, albedo=0.12
Simulated versus observed net radiation, BEWA site, July-August 2001.
y = 0.9394x + 5.2445 R2 = 0.8289 y = 1.0565x + 11.733 R2 = 0.8332
250 500 750 1000 250 500 750 1000 Simulated Rn [W m-2] Observed Rn [W m-2]
albedo=0.17 albedo=0.12 albedo=0.12 albedo=0.17
- Workshop with specialists from all kind of disciplines in which upscaling is
involved didn’t result in a major breakthrough.
- Scaling issue: upscaling of measurements to the model resolution
Solutions? Nested models/model hierarchy, site-scale – regional – global scale applications
Example: SCM constrained with ECMWF analysed meteorology for interpretation of site
- bservations using the process representation consistent with the global model ECHAM.
Using process-based models to avoid using scale-dependent parameterizations
Bottleneck: are the required input data available at the site- as well as larger scales? Accuracy? Example: DNDC model for N soil emissions based on soil-redox potential
Land cover and land use changes Land cover and land use changes
L Large Scale
arge Scale B
Biosphere
iosphere-
- atmosphere experiment in
atmosphere experiment in A
Amazonia
mazonia ( (LBA
LBA)
)
Lagrangian Lagrangian experiment with SCM to study de experiment with SCM to study de-
- forestation
forestation
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 12 24 36 48 60 72 Time [hr] C5H8 flux [1e 11 m ole c. cm -2 s- 1] 'actual' dLAI, deforest C5H8 flux, deforest
deforest - 'actual'
50 100 150 200 12 24 36 48 60 72
Time [hr]
Rg [W m-2] 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 c(Cl-sun and Ct) Net radiation Cl-sun Ct
294 298 302 306 310 314 12 24 36 48 60 72
Time [hr] Tsurf [K]
'actual' deforest deforest, reduced ws
Conclusions Conclusions
- Characterization of the surface properties and land use, e.g., LAI, soil
properties, soil moisture etc., is critical for a fair model evaluation and limits to a large extent the quality of the calculations at large (global) scales.
- Complexity of feedbacks in the chemistry-climate system requires the use of
mechanistic micrometeorological and biogeochemical models to assess the impact of land cover and land use changes on atmospheric chemistry.
- The use of the nudging technique using ECMWF data seems to result in a
simulation of a more realistic meteorology in the SCM, which ensures a more fair comparison of simulated and observed trace gas exchanges.
Outlook Outlook
- Further evaluation of micro-meteorology and atmosphere-biosphere trace gas
exchanges in the SCM and ECHAM using observations of LBA-EUSTACH and CLAIRE/ECHO/BEWA
Tropical rainforest
- 4
1 6 11 16 1:03 1:06 1:10 1:14 1:17 1:21 Time [day:hr] NO x flu x [1e 9 m o le c. cm -2 s -1]
LAI=8 LAI=4 CNO2=0.5 ppbv nocturnal mixing each 2 hr
- dry deposition process, role of surface wetness,
compensation point
- (nocturnal) turbulent exchange
- land cover characterization
Site scale Site scale Global scale Global scale
- Perform an ensemble of land use and land cover scenarios in the global
chemistry-GCM ECHAM5
- Collect information on scenarios of future land cover and land use
- Applying “observed” meteorological conditions (ECMWF/RAMS) to
constrain the SCM