The third mobile network in Norway
Arctic company presentation, 24 April 2020 CEO Eivind Helgaker, CFO Henning Karlsrud & Head of IR Espen Risholm
The third mobile network in Norway Arctic company presentation, 24 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The third mobile network in Norway Arctic company presentation, 24 April 2020 CEO Eivind Helgaker, CFO Henning Karlsrud & Head of IR Espen Risholm Disclaimer By reading this company presentation (the Presentation), or attending any
The third mobile network in Norway
Arctic company presentation, 24 April 2020 CEO Eivind Helgaker, CFO Henning Karlsrud & Head of IR Espen Risholm
Disclaimer
By reading this company presentation (the “Presentation”), or attending any meeting or oral presentation held in relation thereto, you (the “Recipient”) agree to be bound by the following terms, conditions and limitations. The Presentation has been produced by Ice Group ASA (the “Company”) for information purposes only and does not in itself constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities of the Company in any jurisdiction. The distribution of this Presentation may be restricted by law in certain jurisdictions, and the Recipient should inform itself about, and observe, any such restriction. Any failure to comply with such restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of any such jurisdiction. The Recipient acknowledge that it will be solely responsible for its own assessment of the Company, the market and the market position of the Company and that it will conduct itsIce Group in brief
Brands Smartphone + mobile broadband Mobile broadband ▪ Pure 4G (5G ready) Nokia network ▪ Attractive spectrum portfolio ▪ Low cost base ▪ Government support for 3rd network Norway Denmark Smartphone Mobile broadband 1 3Ice Group’s strategy
Continued network roll-out to achieve economics of scale
▪ Build approx. 1,000 Nokia base stations in 2020 ▪ Expand smartphone network to 95% population coverage ▪ Transmit >90% of data traffic through own 4G network
Build a trusted and customer-focused brand
▪ Become Norway’s most recommended mobile tele- communications company to buy services from and work for
Leverage multiple growth and margin levers
▪ Further increase market share and ARPU ▪ Increased focus on higher data usage segments
1 2 3
4Our path to medium-term and long-term value creation
▪ ARPU1,2 ▪ Adj EBITDA margin
3▪ Capex / sales
(1) Target for smartphone subscriptions in Norway (2) Average Revenue Per User (3) Adjusted EBITDA>25% +2.5% p.a. mid 40s % ~10%
Long term targets: Medium term targets:
>20% ~NOK300 mid 30s % ~10% ▪ Subscriber share1
2019 was a great year for Ice
CAPITAL MARKETS
placement
unsecured bond NETWORK
licenses in Norway
base stations on ice+
MARKET SHARE
reach 10% market share
launches during the year
Growth in both ARPU and smartphone subscribers leading to 36% increase in smartphone service revenues
365 389 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 287 289 320 +36% Q3-19 573 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q4-19 443 457 536 555 +130k Smartphone subscribers & ARPU
1,000 subscribers / ARPU in NOKSmartphone service revenues
NOK million224 221 220 231 234 ARPU Subscribers
10% market share reached – medium term target of 20%
▪ Added 130k subscribers in 2019, +2.3pp market share during the year ▪ Ice now with 19 consecutive quarters of subscriber growth ▪ Ice has 24% of available mobile frequencies in Norway ▪ Tele2 had 19% (and growing) marketshare in 2013, before they lost the spectrum and were acquired by Telia ▪ The average #3 player in 3-player markets in Europe has 22% market share ▪ The Norwegian government actively supports a sustainable third mobile network operator ▪ We have the tools, products and strategy to support continued subscriber growth Note: Iliad initially offered their basic mobile package free of charge to their existing fixed-line subs, allowing them to massively grow in the first year Note: Masmovil acquired Yoigo in Jun-2016, which in FY2015 held 7% market shareMarket Entry Benchmarking
Mobile Market Share (incl targets/guidance)Disruptive product launches:
▪ Data Frihet (unlimited data for +99,-) ▪ ice Junior (1GB for 0,- for u/12) ▪ Mobilbytte (handset-as-a-service) ▪ ice Ung (10GB and 5GG packages with
age restrictions u/29 and u/15)
▪ ice SMB (20GB & 5GB packages for
299,- and 199,- for the B2B segment)
We continue to build base stations – giving us higher on-net share and lowering our roaming costs
67% Q4-19 Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 71% 72% 73% 80% Q4-18 Q1-19 Q2-19 Q3-19 Q4-19 1,775 1,873 1,933 1,987 2,116 +129 Operational smartphone sites Average on-net data and VoLTE share Data 16% 19% 6% 22% 30% VoLTE
iPhone agreement with Apple in place ▪ Handset sale and marketing ▪ Launches ▪ Distribution network ▪ Automatic operator settings ▪ Improved customer experience ▪ Increased on-net shares (data & VoLTE)
Ice is well prepared for the 5G era
Key considerations ▪ Ice already has a large installed base of the newest and 5G ready Nokia base station type. Ongoing core modernization (cloud) will take the nodes to 5G ▪ An upcoming 5G pilot is expected in summer 2020 with 3.6GHz test- frequencies in one or two smaller cities. Initial 5G offering on 700MHz in urban areas expected end of 2020 ▪ Limited investments needed to turn on initial 5G offering over the next years 5G frequency portfolio ▪ Ice has a healthy 5G frequency portfolio, and has already won the 700MHz band, one of the 5G pioneer bands. Ice was first in Norway to turn on the 700MHz band in November this year (4G) ▪ Ice expects that current spectrum holdings will be re-deployed on 5G as more handsets will support 5G on more frequencies over time ▪ Norwegian auctions relevant for 5G will be arranged over the next years, most notably the 3400-3800MHz 5G pioneer band, available from 1.1.2023 “Ice has turned on the 700 MHz band” - Inside Telecom 28 November 2019New regulation of Norwegian telecom market
▪ The Norwegian telecom market will continue to be highly regulated, as one of the least competitive markets in Europe ▪ Continued and increased support for the 3rd network ▪ Telenor is one of a very few telecom operators in Europe with this kind of regulation, main points in the new regulation are:
▪ Continued obligation to offer wholesale access, with lower data prices for Ice than the current regulation ▪ Continued obligation to allow site sharing, with stricter regulation on cost sharing and application deadlines
▪ New regulation was sent to ESA for verification 26 March, with 30 days response deadline ▪ Ice has a «National Roaming Agreement» (NRA) with Telia until April 2021
Limited direct Covid-19 impact:
Limited direct impact, focus on maintaining business as usual and continue to build the third network in Norway Several initiatives taken to protect employees and ensure the quality and stability of the network Dramatic changes in user behavior with no negative impact on network stability Changing traffic volumes:
Effects on subscription growth:
quarantine measures, especially impacting retail sales
and investments in digital in Q2
Underlines the importance of a well- functioning stable, diversified and modern telecom infrastructure and a healthy and competitive telecom market in Norway
Q4 2019 financials
Positive top-line and margin development in Q4 2019
*Other revenues in Q1-19 includes sale of trademark from AINMT Holdings (NOK 46 million)72 67 75 84 79 39 34 34 287 421 Q4-18 21 80* 289 483 Q1-19 27 320 432 Q2-19 498 Q3-19 389 Q4-19 457 30 365
Sweden (divested Q1-19) Smartphone service revenues Other revenues MBB service revenues (NO/DK)0,0
Q3-19 Q4-18
Q1-19
Q2-19
Q4-19 Adj EBITDA Adj EBITDA margin
Operating revenues
NOK millionAdj EBITDA and adj EBITDA margin
NOK million / %Revenues
17Expenses Adj.
▪ Network build-out enabling shift from variable to fixed cost base ▪ iPhone agreement with Apple accelerate on- net shift ▪ Continuously decreasing network rent cost as on-net share increases
On-net data share and network rental cost as % of revenues 18The increasing on-net share driving the decline in NRA cost share despite growth in data consumption
Q1-18 41% 45% 55% 33% 41% 16% Q2-18 36% 59% 1% Q3-18 67% 35% 6% Q4-18 71% 19% 34% Q1-19 72% 34% Q2-19 73% 22% Q3-19 80% 29% 30% Q4-19Ice already the most efficient mobile operator in Norway
Source: Tefficient's compilation based on publicly reported operator dataLiquidity level sufficient to fund network build-out and growth in Norway until second half 2020
Net interest bearing debt (NOK million) 275 902 1,183 Q4-18 1,496 Q3-19 Q1-19 Q2-19 1,164 Q4-19 Cash and cash equivalents (NOK million)
Satisfactory liquidity well into H2 2020, when the company expects to be adj EBITDA break even
Q4-19 Q4-18
Q1-19 Q3-19 Q2-19
Guidance & outlook
21Smartphone network build-out:
2020: ~1,000 new smartphone base stations
National Roaming Cost (NRA):
2020: NOK ~400 million
CAPEX:
2020: NOK ~750 million
EBITDA:
Expect to reach EBITDA* break even during H2 2020 restated new new updated
* Adjusted for revenue and cost one-offsKey drivers behind profitability improvements
▪ Reduction of NRA cost
▪ adding ~1,000 base stations in 2020 ▪ increasing VoLTE penetration ▪ iPhone agreement in place ▪ new telecom market regulation
▪ Continued topline growth
▪ adding customers ▪ growing in high ARPU segment ▪ increasing consumption among current customers ▪ value add services
EBITDA:
Expect to reach EBITDA* break even during H2 2020 Guidance:
* Adjusted for revenue and cost one-offsWelcome to Ice Group ASA Q1 2020 presentation Q1 2020 webcast: 14 May at 08:00
www.icegroup.com
Report, presentation and analyst spreadsheet will be published on our website at 07:00 on 14 May
Investor contact
Henning Karlsrud CFO +47 930 45 389 henning.karlsrud@ice.no Espen Risholm Head of investor relations +47 924 80 248 espen.risholm@ice.no
Appendix
Income statement*
*Numbers from the divested Swedish operation are included in the 2018 figures, while only for two months in 2019. Ice Group defines Adjusted EBITDA as operating profit after adjustment of operating expenses for depreciation, amortisation, impairment network upgrades, share based compensation expense, non-recurring and other non-NOK million Q4 2018 Q4 2019 FY 2018 FY 2019
Service revenue 390 468 1,539 1,687 Other operating revenue 42 30 121 173 Total operating revenue 432 498 1,660 1,859 National roaming expensesCash flow*
*Numbers from the divested Swedish operation are included in the 2018 figures, while only two for months in 2019.NOK million Q4 2018 Q4 2019 FY 2018 FY 2019
Cash flow before changes in working capitalBalance sheet*
*Numbers from the divested Swedish operation are included in the 2018 figures. NOK million 31.12.2019 31.12.2018 ASSETS Intangible assets 2,070 1,344 Tangible assets 2,383 2,603 Other non-current assets 663 335 Deferred tax assets 1 Total non-current assets 5,115 4,282 Inventory 9 20 Trade receivables 143 127 Other receivables 18 31 Prepaid expenses and accrued income 27 63 Cash and cash equivalents 1,183 275 Total current assets 1,381 516 TOTAL ASSETS 6,496 4,799 NOK million 31.12.2019 31.12.2018 EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Equity attributable to parent company shareholdersIFRS 16 impact
NOK million
Reported Change IFRS 16 Restated Reported Change IFRS 16 Restated Statement of financial positions Closing balance FY 2018 Opening balance 2018 Total assets 3,279 1,520 4,799 5,655 1,593 7,248 EquityKey KPIs
Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019
573* 546 627 645 663
443 457 536 555 573
404 420 498 517 535
38 37 38 38 38
130* 89 91 91 90 Smartphone ARPU 224 221 220 231 234 Number of Smartphone base stations in service EoP 1,775 1,873 1,933 1,987 2,116 Smartphone avg. Data on-net share % 67 % 71 % 72 % 73 % 80 % Voice on-net share % 6 % 16 % 19 % 22 % 30 % Smartphone churn, annualized % 31 % 24 % 24 % 33 % 26 %
*Numbers from the divested Swedish operation are included in the 2018 MBB figures