The Tasmanian labour market Ivan Neville Assistant Secretary - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The Tasmanian labour market Ivan Neville Assistant Secretary Labour Market Research and Analysis Branch E mployment in Tasmania has declined recently Average annual growth over past 5 years: Tasmania : 1.4% Australia : 2.0% 1.4% -0.9%
Assistant Secretary Labour Market Research and Analysis Branch
Source: ABS Labour Force, April 2019 (trend data)
1.4%
Average annual growth
Tasmania: 1.4% Australia: 2.0%
Source: ABS Labour Force, April 2019 (seasonally adjusted data); Tasmania youth unemployment rate calculated using 12 month averages of original data
The highest of any State or Territory Youth UE rate (April 19): Tasmania: 16.0% Australia: 11.8%
Unemployment rate by LGA, Tasmania
Source: Department of Employment, Skills, Small and Family Business, Small Area Labour Markets, December Quarter 2018; Tasmanian unemployment rate is the seasonally adjusted figure from the ABS Labour Force, April 2019 release
SA2s with the highest UE rates Bridgewater – Gagebrook: 27.0% Ravenswood: 18.7% Risdon Vale: 15.2% Rokeby: 14.1%
Employed persons, Tasmania
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2006, 2011 and 2016
An increase of 17,300 workers from 2006 to 2016 Number of employed 18 to 50 year olds: 2006: 146,900 2016: 140,500 Change: -6400
Number of workers aged 55 years and over, Tasmania, 2016
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2006 and 2016
+4,300 +2,200 +1,100 +1,300 +500 +1,500 +400 Growth in workers aged 55+ since 2006
Tasmania
Source: ABS, Estimated Resident Population, 2001 to 2017
There are 3.3 people aged 15 to 64 years for every person aged 65 years and over 0.6 %pts 1.0 %pts
Net migration into Tasmania by age, five years to 2017-18
Source: ABS, Regional Interstate Migration Estimates
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2006, 2011 and 2016 (longitudinal dataset)
Place of residence in 2016
24,100
in Tasmania
6000
Completed Year 12
60% 76%
Have a Certificate III/IV
32% 22%
Have a Bachelor degree
20% 44%
Have a job
78% 79%
Job is high skilled
34% 48%
Have an income of $78,000+
10% 21%
30,100* 14-18 year olds living in Tasmania in 2006
*Only represents those who were counted in the 2006, 2011 and 2016 Censuses
Over the same period for the same age group,
Tasmania from the mainland.
36% have a
Bachelor degree
Tasmania, persons aged 25-34 years
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing, 2016
(Employment Projections to 2023)
Source: Department of Employment, Skills, Small and Family Business, Employment projections to 2023; 2018 Skill Shortages research; ABS Census of Population and Housing, longitudinal dataset (2011 and 2016)
Persons aged 15 to 49 years, Tasmania
290 850
1000 2000 3000
Net interstate migration
Source: ABS, Interstate Migration statistics; Overseas migration statistics
290 850 900 980 1120 1380 1750 1290 680 1150 1240 1230 1270 1450 1810 2000
1000 2000 3000
Net interstate migration Net overseas migration
Source: ABS, Interstate Migration statistics; Overseas migration statistics
Persons aged 15 to 49 years, Tasmania
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing 2016; Census longitudinal dataset (2006, 2011 and 2016)
Persons aged 15 to 64 who have a Bachelor Degree or higher, Tasmania 2016
Source: ABS, Census of Population and Housing 2016
Represents 2100 people with Bachelor Degrees
Source: Department of Employment, Skills, Small and Family Business, administrative data as at end of April 2019
Total jobactive caseload in Tasmania: 19,100
3,200 11,900 4,400 7,400 1,300 2,000 14,500 4,200 8,000 4,300 6,600 4,000
5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000
Own long-term health condition or disability Attending an educational institution Home duties Caring for children Retired Looking after ill
person
Main activity when not in the labour force, persons aged 15 to 64, Tasmania Two thirds are women 80-90% are women
Source: ABS Participation, Job Search and Mobility, 2016, 2017 and 2018
1100 job seekers are ‘discouraged’
Note: Figures on this slide have been calculated by averaging results across 2016, 2017 and 2018.
Tasmania faces significant labour supply challenges Retaining local talent or encouraging those who leave to return – particularly young people Unemployed may need help finding employment Better utilisation of qualified migrants Promoting employment opportunities to migrants before they move Reducing barriers for those not participating
Department of Employment , Skills, Small and Family Business