The Squeeze on the Sales Tax Presented by Matthew N. Murray The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Squeeze on the Sales Tax Presented by Matthew N. Murray The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Squeeze on the Sales Tax Presented by Matthew N. Murray The University of Tennessee September 17, 2007 State General Sales Tax Collections 19772005 40.0% Share of Total Taxes Share of General Revenue, Own Sources 38.0% 36.0% 34.0%


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The Squeeze on the Sales Tax

Presented by Matthew N. Murray The University of Tennessee September 17, 2007

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

State General Sales Tax Collections 1977–2005

20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% 32.0% 34.0% 36.0% 38.0% 40.0% 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

Share of Total Taxes Share of General Revenue, Own Sources

percent

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Sales Tax Base as a Percentage of Personal Income: 1979 to 2006

35.0 37.0 39.0 41.0 43.0 45.0 47.0 49.0 51.0 53.0 55.0 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006

U.S.

SHARE OF PERSONAL INCOME (%)

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

State Sales Tax Rates 1967 and 2007

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0%

AL AZ AR CA CO CT DC FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0%

MO NE NV NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY

Sates without sales tax: Alaska, Delaware, Montana and New Hampshire. Source: CCH, Inc.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Business Share of Total State & Local General Sales Tax Collections: 1989

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

HI NV WA AZ FL NM LA CA TX IN KY WY MN VT ME CT MI IA RI US AR CO MD NE ND SC SD ID MA NJ NC WI TN UT GA MO PA MS NY OH OK KS IL VA AL WV

Source: Ring, R., “Consumers’ Share and Producers’ Share of the General Sales Tax,” National Tax Journal, Vol. 52, 1999, pp. 79-90.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Business Share of Total State & Local General Sales Tax Collections: 2003

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0%

LA WA NM WY OK SD NE NY CT CO RI TX AZ KY CA MO MN KS GA ND OH US IL NV MD MA NC WI VT NJ IA PA MS ME AL VA TN UT FL SC IN AR HI MI WV ID

Source: Ernst & Young, 50-State Tax Model for 2003.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Challenges to Expanding the Scope of Business Exemptions

This would be good policy, but… Perceptions of corporate welfare Perception of diminished capacity to export taxes Practical problem of shoring up revenue losses Political opposition from those who would bear the new burden

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Things We Don’t Know

Little evidence on pyramiding Excess burdens Effects on investment, job creation, etc. Vertical integration Direct burden is not final incidence: Who

bears the burden of the sales tax on business inputs?

Immobile land and labor? Mobile business capital?

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

2007 State Sales Tax Holidays

State

Days

Items Included - Maximum Cost 1st Year 2007 dates Alabama 3 clothing - $100 2006 Aug 3-5 computers - $750 school supplies - $50 books - $30 Connecticut 7 clothing - $300 2001 Aug 19-25 Connecticut 389 weatherization products June 1, 2006 - June 30, 2007 Dist of Columbia 9 clothing - $100 2004 Aug 4-12 school supplies - $100 Dist of Columbia 9 clothing - $100 2004

  • Nov. 23 - Dec. 2

Florida 10 clothing - $50 2007 Aug 4-13 school supplies - $10 Florida 12 hurricane supplies & equipmt 2007 June 1-12 Georgia 4 clothing - $100 2005 Aug 2-5 school supplies - $20 computers - $1,500 energy efficient products - $1,500 Georgia 4 energy efficient 2005 Oct 4-7 products - $1,500 Iowa 2 clothing - $100 2000 Aug 3-4 Louisiana 10 all TPP - $2,500 2007 Aug 3-4 Massachussetts 2 all TPP - $2,500 2007 Aug 11-12

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

State

Days

Items Included - Maximum Cost 1st Year 2007 dates Missouri 3 clothing - $100 2006 Aug 3-5 computers - $3500 school supplies - $50 New Mexico 3 clothing - $100 2005 Aug 3-5 computers - $1,000 school supplies - $15 North Carolina 3 clothing - $100 2001 Aug 3-5 school supplies - $100 computers - $3,500

  • ther comp. - $250

sports equip - $50 Oklahoma 3 clothing - $100 2007 Aug 3-5 South Carolina 3 clothing 2000 Aug 3-5 school supplies computers Tennessee 3 clothing - $100 2006 Apr 27-29 school supplies - $100 computers - $1,500 Tennessee 3 clothing - $100 2006 Aug 3-5 school supplies - $100 computers - $1,500 Texas 3 clothing & backpacks - $100 1999 Aug 17-19 Virginia 3 clothing - $100 2006 Aug 3-5 school supplies - $20 Virginia 4

energy efficient products - $2,500

2006 Oct 5-8

Source: Federation of Tax Administrators <http://www.taxadmin.org/fta/rate/sales_holiday.html>.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Sales Tax on Groceries: 2007

Exempt Taxable No sales tax

Source: CCH, Inc.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Sales Tax on Clothing: 2007

Exempt Taxable No sales tax

Source: CCH, Inc.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Sales Tax on Clothing: 2007

Source: CCH, Inc.

CA Exempt: new children's clothing sold to nonprofits; used clothing sold by thrifts to benefit chronically ill CT Exempt: clothing & footwear items less than $50 each; employee safety apparel and bike helmets ID Exempt: clothing, footwear purchased by nonsale clothiers to be given to needy MA Exempt: clothing & footwear items less than $175 each Taxable: athletic, protective use clothing NJ Exempt: clothing, footwear Taxable: athletic clothing NY Exempt: clothing & footwear items less than $110 each PA Exempt: clothing, footwear Taxable: accessories, fur items, formal wear, athletic clothing RI Exempt: clothing, footwear Taxable: athletic or protective clothing VT Exempt: clothing & footwear items less than $110 each and steel or Kevlar footwear Taxable: athletic or protective clothing is taxable

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Sales Tax on Prescription Drugs: 2007

Exempt Taxable No sales tax

Source: CCH, Inc.

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Some Options for Expanding the Consumer Sales Tax Base

Health services Education services Residential construction services Personal services Amusement and recreation services SSTP-expands the effective base by

expanding the scope of the use tax

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Matthew N. Murray • UT Center for Business & Economic Research • September 17, 2007

Challenges to Expanding the Consumer Base

General concerns over fairness

Sales tax is a poor mechanism to promote fairness

Should human capital investments be taxed? Revenue yield for many personal and amusement

services is modest

Administration/compliance

Construction, personal and amusement services will

be prone to noncompliance Optimal tax theory: if you cannot tax output, it may be appropriate to tax inputs