The Norwegian EV Success Christina Bu, Secretary General Norwegian - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Norwegian EV Success Christina Bu, Secretary General Norwegian EV Association

The Norwegian EV Association • Non-profit NGO • 70.000 members • 30 employees elbil.no

Norway 5,3 million Large exporter € 2,7 million High GDP/capita 98% renewable High taxes Cold Oslo

Close to 300 000 EVs in Norway! 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Oct) BEV PHEV Source: OFV and NPRA

Market shares new cars, BEVs and PHEVs 29% 30% 25% 20% 18% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Oct) BEV PHEV Source: Ofv.no

Market share passenger cars 2010 BEV 0% PHEV 0% Hybrid 2% Gasoline 23% Diesel 75% Source: Ofv.no

Market share passenger cars 2018 (by September) PHEV 18% BEV 28% Gasoline 24% Hybrid 12% Diesel 18% Source: Ofv.no

Norway’s 2025-goal “ All new passenger cars and light vans sold in 2025 shall be zero- emission vehicles. All new urban buses sold in 2025 shall be zero emitters or use biogas” .

September: Finnmark 14% Troms 32% 45% BEV market share Nordland 31% Møre og Romsdal 16% Trøndelag 49% Sogn og Fjordane 31% Oppland 29% Hordaland 58% Hedmark 38% Akershus 51% Buskerud 38% Oslo 57% Telemark 38% Østfold 28% Rogaland 54% Vestfold 39% Vest-Agder 40% Source: Ofv.no Aust-Agder 33%

92 % ARE SATISFIED OR VERY SATISFIED WITH BEING A BEV OWNER

If you had to replace your electric car tomorrow, would you get a… 82% BEV PHEV 8% 4% ICE Other 6% Source: The Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

How long distances do you drive per day on average?​ 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 25% 30% 19% 17% 16% 20% 9% 8% 10% 5% 3% 0% 0-5 km 6-10 km 11-20 km 21-40 km 41-60 km 61-100 km More than I don't know 100 km Source: Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

I have let my BEV «sit» due to 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 42% 36% 40% 32% 30% 20% 20% 14% 12% 10% 3% 0% Few Range Need of Lack of Charging Has not Other charging towing hitch space takes too happened possibilities long Source: Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

4 out of 10 believe diesel/petrol cars will be less attractive in the second hand market than EVs I believe that diesel/petrol cars will be less 38% attractive than EVs in the second hand market I don´t believe there will be a difference between EVs and diesel/petrol cars when it 26% comes to attractiveness in the second hand market I believe EVs will become less attractive than 20% diesel/petrol cars in the second hand market 16% Don´t know/no opinion ? n= Which of the following statements do you agree with the most? 822 14

Support is key • ICE cars are taxed • BEVs are not • Also several benefits when using an electric car: • Toll roads, ferries, parking • Bus lanes elbil.no

Photo: Geirangerfjorden Feriesenter as

How often do you charge? n = 9 293 n = 1 836 n = 11 717 n = 11 706 n = 11 692 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% At home (detached, At home (flat/shared At work At public charging At fast charging Terraced etc) garage) stations (slow stations charging) Daily Weekly Monthly Never Source: Norwegian EV owner survey 2017 18

Charging stations • 10.500 publicly accessible charging points. • Fast chargers • 1030+ CHAdeMO and/or CCS points • 550 Tesla Superchargers • Around 1.600 cars can fast charge at the same time Source: nobil.no, October 2018

We will be charging more than a million cars in 2025 … … then another 200,000 more every year

Next generation fast charging • Recently Norway got first high- power charger (HPC) installed near Oslo • Delivers 150 kW (prepared for 350) equipped with CCS 2.0 • Network needs to grow at a fast pace • More competition in the Norwegian market

Electricity consumption from 1,5 million BEVs 140 +3,2% 120 100 80 TWh 60 40 20 0 Consumption 2016 Estimated BEV Consumption Sources: Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate Report 74-2016 Stastics Norway Table 08311

What about the grid? • 1,5 milllion BEVs in 2030 → 4 TWh • Total consumption today is around 130 TWh • Average load from each BEV is low, and the electricity grid will handle a relatively large transition to EVs • Some local challenges • Smart charging will reduce possible challenges (charge at night!) From report about EVs from the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, available here https://www.nve.no/nytt-fra-nve/nyheter-energi/stromnettet-er-klar-for-elbilene/

Top selling BEV models 2018 (by October) Nissan Leaf Volkswagen e-Golf BMW i3 Tesla Model X Tesla Model S Renault Zoe Hyundai IONIQ Kia Soul EV Opel Ampera-E Jaguar I-Pace - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Source: Ofv.no

Larger cars (54%) Smaller cars (46%) 48% 12% Source: Ofv.no

OEMs now think differently about BEVs, but …

How fast can they deliver? • Nissan Leaf: 10.000 delivered • Hyundai Kona: 8000 • Jaguar I-Pace: 3000 • Audi e-tron Quattro: 6300 • Kia Niro electric: 5900 • Tesla Model 3: Five digit • Mercedes-Benz EQC: 2200 • Porsche Taycan: 2400 • BMW iX3: 1000 • DS Crossback E-Tense: 1350 • (Mini, Opel Corsa, Peugeot 208 + 2008)

September: Finnmark 14% Troms 32% 45% BEV market share Nordland 31% Møre og Romsdal 16% Trøndelag 49% Sogn og Fjordane 31% Oppland 29% Hordaland 58% Hedmark 38% Akershus 51% Buskerud 38% Oslo 57% Telemark 38% Østfold 28% Rogaland 54% Vestfold 39% Vest-Agder 40% Source: Ofv.no Aust-Agder 33%

Municipalities • Big differences between them. • Political decisions key • Examples: • Hamar: All 161 by 2021 • Søndre Land: one, and no further plans • Some: We want to do this! + environmental goals • Others: Prejudice, myths and lack of experience (but after trying …)

Barriers: • Between 5000 and 50000 km • Up to 1000m altitude with small and winding roads + very low temperatures. • The need to carry stuff like wheelchairs, different equipment etc (4WD). • Other: small budgets, costs connected to investing in charging, lack of knowledge, and leasing contracts with fixed term.

Why electrify your fleets? • Why not?

Why electrify your fleets? • The cost of maintanence is reduced! • So is fuel costs (30 cents per liter) • Better working environment • Your business footprint – are you just talking green, or also doing it?

How? • Do your research. What cars are used for what? • Involve you employees • Start with the right cars

Electrification is spreading!

Electrification is spreading! Sreenshot from: https://www.aftenposten.no/bil/Hun-liker-at-det-brummer-under-panseret_-men- alternativet-ble-langt-billigere--Jeg-sparer-22000-i-aret--12280b.html

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