The Norwegian EV Success Christina Bu, Secretary General Norwegian - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Norwegian EV Success

Christina Bu, Secretary General Norwegian EV Association

The Norwegian EV Association

• Non-profit NGO
• 70.000 members
• 30 employees

elbil.no

Norway

98% renewable 5,3 million 2,7 million Cold

€

High GDP/capita Large exporter High taxes Oslo

Close to 300 000 EVs in Norway!

Source: OFV and NPRA

• 50,000

100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Oct)

BEV PHEV

Market shares new cars, BEVs and PHEVs

Source: Ofv.no

29% 18%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Oct)

BEV PHEV

Market share passenger cars 2010

Hybrid 2% PHEV 0% BEV 0% Gasoline 23% Diesel 75%

Source: Ofv.no

Hybrid 12% BEV 28% PHEV 18% Gasoline 24% Diesel 18%

Market share passenger cars 2018 (by September)

Source: Ofv.no

Norway’s 2025-goal

“All new passenger cars and light vans sold in 2025 shall be zero- emission vehicles. All new urban buses sold in 2025 shall be zero emitters or use biogas”.

Finnmark 14%

Hordaland 58%

Nordland 31% Rogaland 54% Møre og Romsdal 16% Akershus 51% Trøndelag 49% Troms 32% Østfold 28% Oppland 29% Hedmark 38%

Oslo 57%

Vestfold 39% Vest-Agder 40% Sogn og Fjordane 31% Aust-Agder 33% Telemark 38% Buskerud 38%

September: 45% BEV market share

Source: Ofv.no

ARE SATISFIED OR VERY SATISFIED WITH BEING A BEV OWNER

92 %

Source: The Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

BEV PHEV ICE

If you had to replace your electric car tomorrow, would you get a…

Other

82% 8% 4% 6%

How long distances do you drive per day on average?​

5% 9% 16% 25% 19% 17% 8% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0-5 km 6-10 km 11-20 km 21-40 km 41-60 km 61-100 km More than 100 km I don't know

Source: Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

I have let my BEV «sit» due to

20% 42% 32% 12% 14% 36% 3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Few charging possibilities Range Need of towing hitch Lack of space Charging takes too long Has not happened Other

Source: Norwegian BEV owner survey 2018

16% 20% 26% 38%

Don´t know/no opinion I believe EVs will become less attractive than diesel/petrol cars in the second hand market I don´t believe there will be a difference between EVs and diesel/petrol cars when it comes to attractiveness in the second hand market I believe that diesel/petrol cars will be less attractive than EVs in the second hand market

4 out of 10 believe diesel/petrol cars will be less attractive in the second hand market than EVs

14

n=

?

Which of the following statements do you agree with the most?

822

Support is key

• ICE cars are taxed
• BEVs are not
• Also several benefits

when using an electric car:

• Toll roads, ferries,

parking

• Bus lanes

elbil.no

Photo: Geirangerfjorden Feriesenter as

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% At home (detached, Terraced etc) At home (flat/shared garage) At work At public charging stations (slow charging) At fast charging stations

Daily Weekly Monthly Never

How often do you charge?

Source: Norwegian EV owner survey 2017 18

n = 9 293 n = 1 836 n = 11 717 n = 11 706 n = 11 692

Charging stations

• 10.500 publicly accessible charging

points.

• Fast chargers
• 1030+ CHAdeMO and/or CCS points
• 550 Tesla Superchargers
• Around 1.600 cars can fast charge at

the same time

Source: nobil.no, October 2018

We will be charging more than a million cars in 2025…

…then another 200,000 more every year

Next generation fast charging

• Recently Norway got first high-

power charger (HPC) installed near Oslo

• Delivers 150 kW (prepared for

350) equipped with CCS 2.0

• Network needs to grow at a fast

pace

• More competition in the

Norwegian market

Electricity consumption from 1,5 million BEVs

20 40 60 80 100 120 140

TWh

Consumption 2016 Estimated BEV Consumption

+3,2%

Sources: Norwegian Water and Energy Directorate Report 74-2016 Stastics Norway Table 08311

What about the grid?

• 1,5 milllion BEVs in 2030 → 4 TWh
• Total consumption today is around 130 TWh
• Average load from each BEV is low, and the electricity grid will handle

a relatively large transition to EVs

• Some local challenges
• Smart charging will reduce possible challenges (charge at night!)

From report about EVs from the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, available here https://www.nve.no/nytt-fra-nve/nyheter-energi/stromnettet-er-klar-for-elbilene/

Top selling BEV models 2018 (by October)

Source: Ofv.no

• 2,000

4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Jaguar I-Pace Opel Ampera-E Kia Soul EV Hyundai IONIQ Renault Zoe Tesla Model S Tesla Model X BMW i3 Volkswagen e-Golf Nissan Leaf

Larger cars (54%) Smaller cars (46%)

48% 12%

Source: Ofv.no

OEMs now think differently about BEVs, but…

How fast can they deliver?

• Nissan Leaf: 10.000 delivered
• Hyundai Kona: 8000
• Jaguar I-Pace: 3000
• Audi e-tron Quattro: 6300
• Kia Niro electric: 5900
• Tesla Model 3: Five digit
• Mercedes-Benz EQC: 2200
• Porsche Taycan: 2400
• BMW iX3: 1000
• DS Crossback E-Tense: 1350
• (Mini, Opel Corsa, Peugeot 208 + 2008)

Finnmark 14%

Hordaland 58%

Nordland 31% Rogaland 54% Møre og Romsdal 16% Akershus 51% Trøndelag 49% Troms 32% Østfold 28% Oppland 29% Hedmark 38%

Oslo 57%

Vestfold 39% Vest-Agder 40% Sogn og Fjordane 31% Aust-Agder 33% Telemark 38% Buskerud 38%

September: 45% BEV market share

Source: Ofv.no

Municipalities

• Big differences between them.
• Political decisions key
• Examples:
• Hamar: All 161 by 2021
• Søndre Land: one, and no further

plans

• Some: We want to do this! +

environmental goals

• Others: Prejudice, myths and lack
• f experience (but after trying…)

Barriers:

• Between 5000 and 50000 km
• Up to 1000m altitude with small and winding roads + very low

temperatures.

• The need to carry stuff like wheelchairs, different equipment etc

(4WD).

• Other: small budgets, costs connected to investing in charging, lack of

knowledge, and leasing contracts with fixed term.

Why electrify your fleets?

• Why not?

Why electrify your fleets?

• The cost of maintanence is reduced!
• So is fuel costs (30 cents per liter)
• Better working environment
• Your business footprint – are you just talking green, or also doing it?

How?

• Do your research. What cars are used for what?
• Involve you employees
• Start with the right cars

Electrification is spreading!

Electrification is spreading!

Sreenshot from: https://www.aftenposten.no/bil/Hun-liker-at-det-brummer-under-panseret_-men- alternativet-ble-langt-billigere--Jeg-sparer-22000-i-aret--12280b.html

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