SLIDE 1 The New ISO 10723
Advances and new concepts in the performance evaluation and benchmarking
- f on‐line natural gas analysers.
Dr Paul Holland BD Director, EffecTech Group
SLIDE 2 Natural gas quality measurement
composition (content) of natural gas
- inert gases
- nitrogen, carbon dioxide, helium, (argon & hydrogen)
- hydrocarbons
- methane, ethane, propane, iso‐butane, n‐butane,
pentanes, hexanes + ......
properties (characteristics) of natural gas
- calorific value, Wobbe number, standard density (ISO 6976)
- compression factor, line density (ISO 12213)
- hydrocarbon dew point (ISO 23874)
- emission factors
SLIDE 3
Energy determination
SLIDE 4 Risks in energy metering
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
Annual Value / € U(Energy) / %
Typical gas fired power station Power output : 500 MW Energy Price : €60 / MWh
Typical
SLIDE 5
Gas quality measurement instruments
SLIDE 6 Legal / commercial requirements
legislation
- customer protection (example in UK law)
Public Gas Transporters (PGTs) shall carry out performance evaluations of gas quality metering instruments in accordance with ISO 10723 following installation or maintenance. Provided that the results of the procedure show that the error on the calculated calorific value of transmission gas will not exceed 0.10 MJ.m‐3 for gas compositions allowed in the system, the PGT may then use that instrument for the determination of calorific values for the purposes of section 12 of the Gas Act 1986.”
- control of GHG emissions (example in EU directive)
commercial gas contracts
- sales gas agreements / contracts (end‐users)
- allocation agreements (upstream)
SLIDE 7
SLIDE 8 Revision of ISO 10723 : 1995
revision to existing standard required for
- inclusion of measurement uncertainties
- instrument precision, instrumental errors
- working calibration gas
- compliance with GUM
- more rigorous assessment of errors and uncertainties of
measurement of
- composition (gas content amount fraction)
- gas properties (calculated from composition)
revision by
- ISO/TC193/WG15 (with liaison from ISO/TC158)
- Drafting by G Squire (EffecTech, UK) and D Lander (NGG,
UK)
SLIDE 9
ISO/DIS 10723 : 2011 ‐ Scope
Determine E(x), E(P) and U(x), U(P) over a pre‐defined range of compositions for each specified component Determine a range of compositions for each specified component which satisfy pre‐ defined maximums in E(x), E(P) and U(x), U(P)
using a specified calibration gas composition and uncertainty calibration gas redesign composition and uncertainty
SLIDE 10 Instrument errors
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
response / (peak area) content / (% mol/mol)
y=Fass(x) xcal
SLIDE 11 Instrument errors
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
response / (peak area) content / (% mol/mol)
y=Fass(x) y=Ftrue(x) xcal
SLIDE 12 Instrument errors
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
response / (peak area) content / (% mol/mol)
y=Fass(x) y=Ftrue(x) xcal
SLIDE 13 Instrument errors
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
response / (peak area) content / (% mol/mol)
y=Fass(x) y=Ftrue(x) xcal
SLIDE 14 Challenge
measurement of TRUE (actual) response functions for the instrument for all components (i=1..q)
- calibration functions
- y = Fi,true(x)
- analysis functions
- x = Gi,true(y)
function types for F & G
- polynomials of order 1, 2 or 3
- yi = Fi,true(xi) = a0 + a1xi + a1xi
2 + a3xi 3
- xi= Gi,true(yi) = b0 + b1yi + b2yi
2 + b3yi 3
SLIDE 15 Design of reference gases
a series of reference gases is measured by the instrument being calibrated components included in reference gases
range of composition
- equal or greater than that expected to be measured by the
instrument (no extrapolation)
number of mixtures
- dependent upon expected order of F and G
- 3 (1st order), 5 (2nd order), 7 (3rd order)
- approximately equally spaced within the range
SLIDE 16 ISO 10723 ‐ Performance evaluations of on‐line analytical systems
- ISO 17025 accredited calibration
gases
- well established reference values &
uncertainties
- 7 ‐10 cylinders each containing 10,11
- r 12 components
- wide range natural gas compositions
SLIDE 17
Experimental design
replicate measurements reference gases
Batch‐wise calibration
simplest / manual / most practical (p gas changes) temporal drift has more significance
SLIDE 18
replicate measurements reference gases
Drift compensation calibration
compensates for temporal drift (due to sample size effects) automation required
Experimental design
SLIDE 19
Drift correction
Samples are injected at (or with reference to) ambient pressure.
response effective sample size ambient pressure
Batch‐wise calibration Drift compensation calibration
yijk = y’ijk . Pref / Pijk
measure ambient pressure at time of sample injection (Pijk)
SLIDE 20
Gas fired power station
SLIDE 21
Gas fired power station
SLIDE 22
Witnessed factory evaluation
SLIDE 23
LNG receiving terminal
SLIDE 24
Custody transfer border station
SLIDE 25
Drift compensation calibration (automated)
SLIDE 26
Offshore allocation / sales gas
SLIDE 27 Regression analysis
parameters F and G are calculated using GLS
- maximum liklihood functions relationships (MLFR)
- uncertainties in both variables (amount and response)
- procedure identical to that prescribed in ISO 6143
response functions validated for each component and in each domain F and G using ISO 6143
SLIDE 28
Calibration results
SLIDE 29 Errors
content / amount fraction & properties
- assumed
- true
- measured amount following calibration
(where functions coincide)
) (
, i ass i i
y G x ) (
, i true i i
x F y
)) ( ( )) ( ( .
, , , , , , , * , cal i true i ass i true i true i ass i cal i meas i
x F G x F G x x
* , * , , meas i meas i meas i
x x x
true i meas i meas i
x x x
, , ,
true meas meas
P P P
SLIDE 30 Uncertainties in errors
contributions from
- calibration gas
- instrument precision
properties
- any property / characteristic calculated from composition
) (
,cal i
x u ) ( & ) (
, , meas i cal i
y u y u
) ,..., , , ,..., , (
2 1 2 1 m n
w w w x x x f P
) ( ) ( ) (
2 1 2 2 1 2 2 i m i i i n i i c
w u w f x u x f P u
SLIDE 31 produce a off‐line model of instrument
- errors as a function of amount fraction
- repeatability as a function of amount fraction
- uncertainties as a function of amount fraction
use Monte Carlo simulation
- generate 10,000 different gas compositions
- for each composition calculate
- errors in physical properties
- uncertainties in physical properties
Off‐line model
SLIDE 32 Errors and uncertainties on errors
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98
E(CVSUP) / MJ.m-3 methane content / (% mol/mol)
SLIDE 33 Error distribution
0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98
E(CVSUP) / MJ.m-3 methane content / (% mol/mol)
SLIDE 34 Mean error (bias)
- 0.16
- 0.14
- 0.12
- 0.10
- 0.08
- 0.06
- 0.04
- 0.02
0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 78 83 88 93 98
E(CVSUP) / MJ.m-3 methane content / (%mol/mol)
Maximum Permissible Bias (MPB)
mean error = bias ‐ B(P)
MPB P
SLIDE 35 Uncertainty on mean error
- 0.16
- 0.14
- 0.12
- 0.10
- 0.08
- 0.06
- 0.04
- 0.02
0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 78 83 88 93 98
E(CVSUP) / MJ.m-3 methane content / (%mol/mol)
Maximum Permissible Error (MPE) uncertainty on the mean error ≈ uncertainty on bias ‐ U(B(P))
MPE
P U P
c
SLIDE 36
Errors and uncertainties ‐ summary
SLIDE 37
Example – design of calibration gas
SLIDE 38 Example – design of calibration gas
xC1,cal = 0.88 mean E(CV) = 0.001 ± 0.061 MJ.m‐3
SLIDE 39 Example – design of calibration gas
xC1,cal = 0.88 mean E(CV) = 0.001 ± 0.061 MJ.m‐3 xC1,cal = 0.81 mean E(CV) = 0.000 ± 0.028 MJ.m‐3
SLIDE 40
Analysis function correction ‐ superior CV
SLIDE 41 Instrument errors
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
response / (peak area) content / (% mol/mol)
y=Fass(x) y=Ftrue(x) xcal
SLIDE 42 Dove House Dove Fields Uttoxeter Staffordshire ST14 8HU United Kingdom tel : +44 (0)1889 569229 e‐mail : paul.holland@effectech.co.uk web‐site : www.effectech.co.uk
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