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T h e C o p e r n i c u s A t m o s p h e r e M o n i t o r i n g S e r v i c e Developing linkages with FAIRMODE Atmosphere Monitoring Laurence ROUL (Ineris, FR) Copernicus EU Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu C A M S : C

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Atmosphere Monitoring

Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu Copernicus EU

Developing linkages with FAIRMODE Laurence ROUÏL (Ineris, FR)

T h e C o p e r n i c u s A t m o s p h e r e M o n i t o r i n g S e r v i c e

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Atmosphere Monitoring

C A M S : C O P E R N I C U S AT M O S P H E R E M O N I TO R I N G S E RV I C E

Solar radiation and UV index Ozone layer Emissions and surface fluxes Global analyses, forecasts and reanalyses

NO2

European Air Quality and products in support of policy users

http://atmosphere.copernicus.eu

Direct access to main daily global products at http://atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams

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Atmosphere Monitoring

CAMS SERVICE CHAIN

Sp Space Agencies In In-si situ ob

  • bse

servations

15

C A M S : fo c u s o n r e g i o n a l a i r q u a l i t y i s s u e s

ECMWF Integ tegrated For

  • recastin

ing Sy System (IFS) S) Regio ional l multi multi-model l ens nsemble (lead: Météo-France) Polic licy y Prod

  • ducts

(lead: INE NERIS) S)

Users: En

  • Env. Agencies

Academia SM SMEs Es Ci Citi tizens ... ...

Glob lobal l and nd regio ional l emis missio ion inventorie ies (lead TNO) NO)

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Atmosphere Monitoring

  • Documenting and predicting in the finest way background air pollutant

concentrations (Ozone, NO2, PM) in Europe tacking stock of all available assessment means

  • An intensive activity around data assimilation and data fusion
  • Hot spots and city scale are out of the scope of CAMS services
  • Understanding contribution of (very) long range transport of air

pollution and its contribution to the urban scale

  • Focus on natural sources and their global contribution : dusts, forest fires,

sea salts

  • Global and regional emission services to bridge “official emissions”

(CLRTAP/EMEP, NECD) to “experts estimates” (needed for modelling)

  • A unique framework for regional chemistry-transport model

development, evaluation and implementation: about 10 European models involved in the CAMS Ensemble approach

A i r q u a l i t y r e l a t e d

  • b j e c t i v e s
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Atmosphere Monitoring

T h e R e g i o n a l C A M S s e r v i c e s f o r E u r o p e

Daily production

  • f air quality

forecasts and Analyses (9 models & Ensemble) Global model products Regional emissions Observations Annual production of air quality reanalyses Interim (YY-1) & Validated (YY-2)

USERS

CHIMERE (INERIS) EMEP (MET Norway) EURAD-IM (RIUUK) LOTOS-EUROS (KNMI/TNO) MATCH (SMHI) SILAM (FMI) MOCAGE (Meteo-France) DEHM (Aarhus Univ.) GEM-AQ (Warsaw Univ.) 9 operational models 2 new models under development : MINNI from ENEA (IT), and MONARCH from BSC (SP)

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Atmosphere Monitoring

C A M S M o d e l s e v a l u a t i o n ( i ) Transparency is the n°1 rule Comparison against NRT and validated

  • bservation datasets
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Atmosphere Monitoring

 Complementarity with the Fairmode evaluation processes; evaluation against Fairmode criteria should be performed  Evaluation against new datasets : 3D observations, collocated measurements (EMEP-GAW), chemical composition (ACTRIS)

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Atmosphere Monitoring

  • https://policy.atmosphere.copernicus.eu/
  • Objectives:

– Support analysis and understanding of air quality trends and episodes – Provide illustrative tools to document the multi-factorial and complexity

  • rigin of air pollution episodes

– Focus on PM and ozone for which model capacities are well-suited

  • No compliance checking, no planning tools

– Improving our understanding of air pollution patterns and episodes in Europe : role of local sources versus long range transport, chemical composition, activity sectors, trends… C A M S P o l i c y S u p p o r t P r o d u c t s

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Atmosphere Monitoring

« W h a t i f » o n - l i n e s c e n a t i o t o o l ( A C T )  Helpful to support episode understanding  Surrogate model of the Chimere CTM but non-linerarity of the processes is taken into account

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Atmosphere Monitoring

S o u r c e - r e c e p t o r a n a l y s i s

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Atmosphere Monitoring

S u p p o r t e p i s o d e u n d e r s t a n d i n g

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Atmosphere Monitoring

  • New tools focused on day to day analysis and episodes
  • Support for policy decision and communication in case of episode and

analysis/understanding of various air pollution patterns in Europe

– Variability of the influence of activity sectors – Linkages between local and transboundary air pollution

  • Planning is not the objective of these tools but they can provide a

“first guess” for qualifying exceedances

  • Collaborative work

– On the evaluation of the results: feedback from “informed users” would be very welcome – On the interpretation of their results in the light of FAIRMODE recommendations, especially regarding source-apportionment aspects P o s s i b l e c o l l a b o r a t i o n w i t h F A I R M O D E

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Atmosphere Monitoring

  • Improving the Ensemble approach
  • Statistical adaptation (data fusion) to improve forecasts
  • To be prepared to assimilate sentinel 4 retrievals (geostationary

dedicated to air quality)

  • Improving the analysis of roles of various sources and emission

inventories

U p c o m i n g d e v e l o p m e n t s

CAMS_81 (TNO, J. Kuenen) PM_split_for_CAMS-REG-AP_v2_2_1_rev_20190326

  • CAMS is implementing tagged EC in the European AQ

Forecasts (experiment).

  • Participating RCTMs: Chimere, EMEP, Eurad-IM, Lotos-

Euros, MATCH, MOCAGE, SILAM, DEHM, GEM-AQ, MINNI, MONARCH

  • Collaboration with EMEP for the evaluation phase taking

stock of the last EMEP field campaign (winter 2017/2018)

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Atmosphere Monitoring

E U R O D E L T A - c a r b p r o j e c t ( C L R T A P / E M E P )

EC_wb/PM2.5 EC_ff/PM2.5

averaged over DJF 2017/2018

 EMEP/CAMS Contribution to the scientific evaluation of regional CTMs  Help in understanding role played by activity sectors (and understanding)  2020 EMEP work plan

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Atmosphere Monitoring

Copernicus EU Copernicus EU www.copernicus.eu Copernicus EU

Last information: : 4th

th CAMS poli

  • licy users’workshop

12 12 Mar arch 20 2020 20, Bru russels ls, kin kindly ly hos

  • sted by

y DG DG-ENV an and DG-DEFIS All ll experts ar are welc lcome ! !

Thank you for your attention